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  1. #1
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    Post the latest Iowa polls you find in this thread...

    Here is one from Rasmussen today...Clinton 30%, Obama 26% and Edwards 22%

    Rasmussen: Clinton, Edwards, and Obama Tied in Iowa

    "The latest Rasmussen Reports poll of the Iowa Democratic Caucus for 2008 find Hillary Clinton at 27%, Barack Obama at 25%, and John Edwards at 24%. Bill Richardson is the only other Democrat in double-digits at 10% while Joe Biden earns 4% of the vote from Likely Caucus Participants.
    These results reflect little change from a Rasmussen Reports survey conducted earlier in the month. In the previous survey Clinton had 29% support with Edwards at 25% and Obama at 24%."

    ...

    "Currently, in Iowa, Clinton attracts 30% of the vote from women while Obama earns 26% and Edwards 22%. Among men, it’s Edwards 26%, Clinton 24%, and Obama 23% (see crosstabs)."

    "In terms of second-choices in Iowa, John Edwards tops the list of candidates. He is the second choice for 28% of likely caucus participants. Obama is the second choice for 18%, Clinton for 16%, and Richardson for 15%. Second choice preferences are especially important given the nature of the Iowa caucuses. In a particular caucus setting, if a candidate receives less than 15% of the vote, their supporters will be re-allocated to other candidates."
    Rasmussen

  2. #2
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
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    I just saw one on FoxNews that showed Hillary at 26%, Edwards at 24% and Obama at 23%.

  3. #3
    Boring = 4 Rings SA210's Avatar
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    We should have a vbookie on the Iowa Caucus.

    My bet would be on John Edwards.

  4. #4
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    Huckabee runs with the Norris and becomes the front-runner...

    Mike Huckabee has leaped ahead of Republican presidential rival Mitt Romney in Iowa, seizing first place in a new Des Moines Register poll of likely Republican caucus participants.

    Huckabee wins the support of 29 percent of Iowans who say they definitely or probably will attend the Republican Party's caucuses on Jan. 3. That's a gain of 17 percentage points since the last Iowa Poll was taken in early October, when Huckabee trailed both Romney and Fred Thompson.

    Other poll findings indicate that the former Arkansas governor is making the most of a low-budget campaign by tapping into the support of Iowa's social conservatives.

    Romney, who has invested more time and money campaigning in the state than any other GOP candidate, remains in the thick of the Iowa race with the backing of 24 percent of likely caucusgoers. But that's a drop of 5 points since October for the former Massachusetts governor.
    Register

  5. #5
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    Osama, Obama takes the Demo nomination lead...

    Barack Obama has pulled ahead in the race for Iowa's Democratic presidential caucuses, while the party's national frontrunner Hillary Clinton has slipped to second in the leadoff nominating state, according to The Des Moines Register's new Iowa Poll.


    Huckabee, Obama now lead despite the movement, the race for 2008's opening nominating contest remains very compe ive about a month before the Jan. 3 caucuses, just over half of likely caucus-goers who favor a candidate saying they could change their minds.

    Obama, an Illinois senator, leads for the first time in the Register's poll as the choice of 28 percent of likely caucus-goers, up from 22 percent in October. Clinton, a New York senator, was the preferred candidate of 25 percent, down from 29 percent in the previous poll.

    Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, who led in the Register's May poll, held steady with 23 percent, in third place, but part of the three-way battle.
    Register

  6. #6
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    The tale of the tape:

    Obama's gained 6 points in the last month and has opened up a statistically insignificant lead over Hillary Clinton and John Edwards. That lead looks even weaker when you consider a chunk of Obama's support comes from younger adults, who are notoriously poor caucus-goers. (Only 5 percent of likely Democratic caucus-goers are under 25. In 2004, only 17 percent were under 29.)

    So he needs to light some fires under those voters. Last week, he tried to do that by unloading a 50,000-piece flier aimed at college students. The piece even urged those "not from Iowa" to register to vote and caucus in their campus communities.

    Obama might also be expected to spend a little more time in rural Iowa. He runs weakest there, yet 47 percent of the likely caucus-goers say they're from rural areas or small towns.

    Clinton's slipped in the last month and is losing support of women. Obama carries their votes 31 percent to 26 percent, and women form 59 percent of the likely caucus-going audience. Among women, 51 percent say they have very favorable feelings toward him.

    She continues to be vexed by her relatively high negative ratings. Close to a third of Democratic activists view her negatively, and that may deny her a first-place finish on caucus night, despite her good organization. She's had some success improving her image by making lots of personal appearances in Iowa, so look for her to add campaign time in the state.

    John Edwards is in third place at 23 percent. It'll be fatal for the guy who finished second in 2004 to finish in third place now. Yet his support is unchanged from October. While he's not improved in the last month, he hasn't slipped more, either.

    This poll might be a sign that Edwards should go back to that softer style and more positive, moderate message that served him so well in 2004. His populist themes and indignant style smack of class warfare and haven't moved numbers in Iowa.
    Register

  7. #7
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
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    Go Barack Obama!!!

  8. #8
    Retired Ray xrayzebra's Avatar
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    Go Barack Obama!!!
    Where do you want him to go?????

  9. #9
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
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    All the way!! Sounds like Hillary is going to get dirty now that Obama is picking up steam.

  10. #10
    Retired Ray xrayzebra's Avatar
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    Yep, Obama is the man. He has such a record of achievement!
    Like Billary. By the way, can you tell me who his spiritual advisor
    is and what he professes to?

  11. #11
    Damn The Man Mr. Peabody's Avatar
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    Yep, Obama is the man. He has such a record of achievement!
    Like Billary. By the way, can you tell me who his spiritual advisor
    is and what he professes to?
    Yes, because the GOP candidates have so much more of a record to run on.

  12. #12
    Damn The Man Mr. Peabody's Avatar
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    Yep, Obama is the man. He has such a record of achievement!
    Like Billary. By the way, can you tell me who his spiritual advisor
    is and what he professes to?
    I don't know who his adviser is, but I think his church professes liberation theology.

  13. #13
    keep asking questions George Gervin's Afro's Avatar
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    Yep, Obama is the man. He has such a record of achievement!
    Like Billary. By the way, can you tell me who his spiritual advisor
    is and what he professes to?

    does he hate gays..that's what ray wants to know..

  14. #14
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
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    Yep, Obama is the man. He has such a record of achievement!
    Like Billary. By the way, can you tell me who his spiritual advisor
    is and what he professes to?
    Well he graduated from Columbia University, where he majored in political science and specialized in international relations. He then attended Harvard Law School, graduated magna laude, and served as the first African-American president of the Harvard Law Review. After law school, he worked as a community organizer and a civil rights lawyer in Chicago. He also taught at the University of Chicago Law School as a senior lecturer specializing in cons utional law. He also kicked Alan Keyes ass by winning over 70% of the vote for Senator.

    He's a very intelligent man and while his "political" achievements may not be up to your standards but look at the records of Dubya and Cheney and where it has gotten us.

    As for as his spiritual advisor is? That is his own personal business.

  15. #15
    Boring = 4 Rings SA210's Avatar
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    http://video.msn.com/video.aspx?mkt=...3-08bd3ec55ea8

    Time Poll with John Edwards leading with 29%, Hillary 24%, Obama 22%.

  16. #16
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
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    He's a very intelligent man and while his "political" achievements may not be up to your standards but look at the records of Dubya and Cheney and where it has gotten us.

    As for as his spiritual advisor is? That is his own personal business.
    ray used to visit a brothel in the middle east where they held women as sex slaves.

    you'd think anyone could meet his standards.

  17. #17
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    Here is how the Iowa independent sees the Democratic Iowa caucus shaping up....

    First Place

    Barack Obama -- Upward Momentum -- Obama has enjoyed a great week of press following his events with Oprah Winfrey. His organization
    is showing signs of real strength with its nearly 1,000 house parties across the state Thursday night, and he seems to have strong second-
    choice support. If the caucuses were held tonight, he would win.

    Second Place

    John Edwards -- Edwards may still have the strongest organization in Iowa, but that is no longer enough to keep him in the number one spot.
    His base of supporters is slowly shrinking, and many seem to be floating in Obama's direction. Edwards still has many talented activists in his
    corner and may be viable in more rural precincts than Obama, but if the caucuses were held tonight, we predict he would take second.

    Third Place

    Hillary Clinton -- Downward Momentum -- Clinton's campaign has demonstrated a renewed commitment to retail politics at recent events,
    but neither she nor her husband are drawing the large crowds they once did. Fairly or not, she is slowly being branded as the 'negative'
    candidate, diminishing her second-choice support. The excitement surrounding her candidacy is waning, and her campaign seems to be
    too busy putting out public relations fires from day to day to do much about it. The campaign itself, along with independent groups like
    Emily's List, have devoted significant resources to build an organization here that should not be underestimated, but, if the caucuses
    were held tonight, we think she would finish third.
    Iowa Independent


    Biden comes in fourth, Richardson is fifth, Dodd slips in at sixth while Kucinich comes in at seventh with Gravel bringing up the rear.
    Mark Penn is doing a great job -- for Obama and Edwards. I for one hope Penn doesn't get fired.

  18. #18
    Retired Ray xrayzebra's Avatar
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    ray used to visit a brothel in the middle east where they held women as sex slaves.

    you'd think anyone could meet his standards.
    Well old buddy, you certainly don't. But again that's
    a whole different story, isn't it.............

  19. #19
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
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    Well old buddy, you certainly don't. But again that's
    a whole different story, isn't it.............
    maybe you can bring up your past escapades while sitting around the christmas tree celebrating baby Jesus. i'm sure the family would love that.

  20. #20
    Veteran 01Snake's Avatar
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    maybe you can bring up your past escapades while sitting around the christmas tree celebrating baby Jesus. i'm sure the family would love that.
    Ho's need love too.

  21. #21
    W4A1 143 43CK? Nbadan's Avatar
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    With about 2 weeks before voting begins Obama holds a 4 point lead over Clinton in Iowa...according to a ABC News poll....

    Obama's Theme of Fresh Start Resonates Strongly Against Clinton Campaign

    Currently, among likely Democratic caucus-goers in this ABC News/Washington Post poll, 33 percent support Obama, 29 percent Clinton and 20 percent Edwards, with single-digit support for the other Democratic candidates.

    In this poll, when supporters of single-digit candidates are reallocated to their second choice among the top three, Obama goes to a lead, with 37 percent support; Clinton has 31 percent, Edwards 26 percent.
    ABC PDF

  22. #22
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
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    With about 2 weeks before voting begins Obama holds a 4 point lead over Clinton in Iowa...according to a ABC News poll....

    Obama's Theme of Fresh Start Resonates Strongly Against Clinton Campaign



    ABC PDF
    Keep the hope alive!!

  23. #23
    Believe.
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    edwards is going to win.

  24. #24
    I can live with it JoeChalupa's Avatar
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    edwards is going to win.
    I can see that happening. It really depends, obviously, on who shows up Jan.3. Edwards has the edge there. If the Obama supporters truly show up then he can take Iowa. If Hillary wins Iowa she could begin a roll that will be very difficult to stop.

  25. #25
    Boring = 4 Rings SA210's Avatar
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    We should have a vbookie on the Iowa Caucus.

    My bet would be on John Edwards.

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