Reply With Quote
If we lose, it's not the end of the world. But if we win, we destroy all that confidence they're coming in with.
Different team, and no home-court advantage. How important will game 1 be for the Spurs? Will it foreshadow the outcome of the series as many people said game 1 against the Suns did?
If we lose, it's not the end of the world. But if we win, we destroy all that confidence they're coming in with.
Would love to see the Spurs start off right and win game 1 going away, but I think if we just steal 1 of the 2, the Spurs are right where they want to be.
a game 1 win would be ideal....
The winner of game 1 goes on to win the series 83% of the time.
a game 1 victory is imperative.
They need to win at least 4 of the 7 games they are going to play. If they can do that I'm confident they will win the series.
If the Spurs can steal Game 1 or 2, they will win the series.
I honestly think that Game 1 is more important to the Hornets than the Spurs -- and I thought that Game 1 of the first round was more important to the Spurs than to the Suns. If the Spurs get Game 1, all of the pressure in the series shifts to the Hornets. That's only slightly less true if the Spurs lose Game 1 and then get Game 2.
The Spurs go to New Orleans looking to get at least one game. It doesn't really matter to the Spurs whether it's Game 1 or Game 2, but the idea of coming home with a split is the crucial issue.
i totally agree with you.
i hope pop knows this..
The Hornets and their crowd are going to come out like Phoenix did in game four. Unlike in game four, the Spurs need to play well enough to weather that storm until the adrenaline rush fades for the team, and then they need to take control of the game. It will require a 48 minute effort, something they've only done two or three times in the last month, but it's a sure way to get a stranglehold on the series.
We need to steal HCA from the Hornets. I'd be happy going back to San Antonio with the series 1-1.
Game 1 is important, but not nearly as important as game 3 will be.
At least as important as games 2 through 4
If the home team wins Game 1 they are really in the drivers seat. The stats are that they win the series 86% of the time, better than 6 out of 7 times. Source: http://whowins.com.
If you are the home team and win Game 1, the visitors first almost MUST win game 2. Home teams that go up 2-0 win the series 94% of the time, almost 19 out of 20 times. Even if the visitors win game 2, they also really need to win game 3 at home, because if they go down 2-1, they lose 89% of the time. So, basically, outside of really long odds, a team that loses Game 1 on the road really must win Games 2 and 3 to have a reasonable chance at victory in the series.
On the other hand, visitors who win game 1 win the series 57% of the time. This is a much easier route to victory. And it makes game 2 pretty much a must win for the home team, because visitors who win games 1 and 2 take the series 88% of the time.
A split is more important, though stealing Game 1 goes a long way to sneaking doubts into the minds of the Hornets...
The Hornets haven't put together too many 48 minute games themselves in the last month. They had some bad first quarters against the Mavs, being outscored in 3 of the 5 games, so it's not whether or not you can withstand the adrenaline rush but if you get ahead can you keep the lead, something the Chamin-soft Mavs couldn't do.
The Hornets have been pretty good at generating second half runs in big games. A couple of those came against the Spurs, which is why putting together the complete game is more important. The hardest time to do that is going to be right at the beginning when the crowd is waiting to explode and the team is feeding off that energy. Weathering runs will be important, too. If the Spurs fold up the tents like they have too many times this year, they could be in trouble.
Howevuh, IF the Spurs play for 48 minutes four times in this series, they win. Doesn't matter when they come. There's only one other team in this league that can do that, in my opinion. Atteendodeday, that's all that matters.
Or both teams can play really bad 1st quarters and let the next 3 quarters decide the games.
I don't put a great deal of faith in the Spurs playing great first quarters any more. (though they did get 33 in Game 3 at Phoenix and 30 in Game 5 vs. the Suns).
It's always big. 83% of game 1 winners go on to win the series.
They need to go back and revisit "Appropriate Fear".Or both teams can play really bad 1st quarters and let the next 3 quarters decide the games.
I don't put a great deal of faith in the Spurs playing great first quarters any more. (though they did get 33 in Game 3 at Phoenix and 30 in Game 5 vs. the Suns).
game seven will be really important
stats are not so relevant when teams are so close as it has been the case in the west.
the team who wins G1 wins the serie 83 % of the time.
the visitor team who win G1 wins the serie "only" 57 % of the time.
what does it mean:
1/ home team often wins game 1
2/ home team has still a good chance to win the serie after having lost G1
3/ home team with the HCA often wins the serie
Why ? because home team with the HCA is often better than the opponent, which is not so clear this year in the west
it's why the G1 will be "only" a game in this serie, with two teams supposed so close (even if i still think that the spurs will show their superiority in this serie)
Ok, but that stat is a little misleading. The better team usually has homecourt for game one and usually wins; if the hometeam wins game one this number goes up over 90% I believe; also, if the road team wins I believe the number is somewhere around 57%, or only a little better than a tossup.
Ahhh I was two minutes slow. Well said (except the Spurs on top part)
spurs have lost more than enough GAME 1s - and look how they turned out
There are currently 1 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 1 guests)
Posting Permissions
