Win Scores Draft Preview

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Prospect List
http://xlssports.googlepages.com/200...ectTableDX.htm

Preview with explanations, etc.:
http://www.draftexpress.com/article/...-Preview-2932/

The 2007 Win Scores Draft Preview for a look at last year's crop:
http://www.draftexpress.com/article/...-Preview-2146/

What is a Win Score?:
Points + Rebounds + Steals + ½Assists + ½Blocked Shots – Field Goal Attempts – Turnovers - ½Free Throw Attempts - ½Personal Fouls

Adjusted for Strength Schedule and Pace Adjusted.


Looks like the picks had a fairly decent hit rate compared to other statistical methods, but the sampling is fairly small. I guess it would help if they went back and modeled older draft classes to give a larger sampling.

Highly Optimistic:
Michael Beasley
Kevin Love
Marreese Speights
Richard Hendrix
Joey Dorsey
Chris Lofton

Optimistic:
Chris Douglas-Roberts
Roy Hibbert
Mario Chalmers
Omer Asik
Jason Thompson
Pat Calathes
J.R. Giddens
George Hill
Aleks Maric

Pessimistic:
Jerryd Bayless
D.J. Augustin
Javale McGee
Robin Lopez
Kosta Koufos
DeAndre Jordan
Bill Walker
Sonny Weems
James Mays
Bryce Taylor

Highly Pessimistic:
OJ Mayo
Eric Gordon
Anthony Randolph


I had said before I'd like Giddens with the 45, but maybe a big like Joey Dorsey might be worth it, or many have said Hendrix would be a good pickup. It also looks like CDR or Chalmers might be well worth it at 26, but Walker looks like a risk more than just his injuries.