Wonder if 200k by October will end up looking by 60k by August did?
Succesful presidency?
Poor old orange bas if he somehow end up winning it would be the biggest upset in history yes even bigger than Shillarys gutless loss
White house used model now calls 200k dead by October
Wonder if 200k by October will end up looking by 60k by August did?
Do you think theres any chance our hospital system would collapse this fall?
If that happens then all bets are off
I’m buying the theory that the virus is less deadly now than it was 2 months ago and deaths will gradually decline even when cases increase. Don’t think it’ll be on time enough to save DJTs presidency, but I think it’ll be what saves us from a pandemic that kills millions of Americans.
I don't know, these kind of projections to make this far out are ing impossible. It was crystal clear what was going to happen in March when ducks was saying it's only 50 dead but making a projection right now when we don't know how seasonal it is, how the virus has mutated, the chance we might have a decent vaccine for healthcare workers by that time (not getting my hopes up for the Oxford vaccine yet but not writing it off either), etc? Might as well ask what the lottery numbers are this week.
Would be nice if that's the case. Probably won't really understand what's happening until the pandemic is over though.
Really don't know. We halted the spread and a lot of people are still doing the things to limit the spread, even now.
Don't think it is any less deadly, just less likely to spread outside of Dumb clusters.
Just interested to see what happens in a month or two.
Trump is going to be hosting superspreading rally after rally, all over the country. At some point, he will decide he knows better than scientists, and let his guard down. I will be surprised if he doesn't get it. Given his age and health, I wonder what the idiots will do if he is hooked up on a respirator to save his dumb ass. I will do a dance at his misery.
That's actually my hope that he Corona19s right out of the 2020 election. Running out of time, though.
I've posted some on this, but I'm not sure what to make of it. I've seen reports from Italy and Pennsylvania saying as much, but for a virus to mutate into a less deadly strain in under 6 months seems far-fetched to me for some reason.
Im going to make a guess that it will not mutate significantly.
That is, the coding regions for proteins will not actually change the shape of the proteins that are critical for infection.
We already surpassed the WWI tally of dead, most of them died from disease too.
I buy it only because in my (non scientific) opinion, it makes logical sense that a virus might mutate more rapidly with a new carrier (humans). It also makes sense that less deadly strands of the virus are spreading while the deadlier strands are more contained.
In Texas with Abbott in charge and at this rate, it's possible.
Officials in the SA briefing today basically said at this rate it will. "We're treading water" is what I heard.
The strain is also exacerbated because they may have beds but not enough personnel to staff them all.
Mmm
If system collapses we will have bodies lying on the streets. I cant imagine that happening here tbqh
But I also never imagined 200k dead
I guessed 250k was high when over a million was first projected in the US.
By the time we reach Feb 2021 I could be “dead wrong”
Why would you not imagine happening in our banana republic?
~600,000 die per year from cancer.
So Trumpets got a fall back, this virus is nothing.
All Trump has to do is issue a statement stating that cancer can be passed from person to person thru contact. He could base this on a few cancers that are associated with viruses and bingo...
7% mortality rate, and cases keep increasing
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavir...7&country=~USA
Trump said that windmills cause cancer.
Okay then.
Im not over reaching what this dumbass can cook up.
Tbh, I wouldn't be so sure. If deaths lag by roughly a month then we're seeing the deaths from the low infection rates in early May coming off from peak social distancing in late April when we had less than 20k infections per day.
Considering we're reaching 30k infections per day again, I think by late July is when we'll see this thing kick back into gear then August could be a concern coming off of 4th of July.
You could very well be right, and if you are we’re really ed
We can’t afford for the economy to go into another complete shutdown either way imo, if a state like Florida has to reverse course and shut down again, we’re going to see unprecedented levels of financial market volatility and chaos. If a bunch of boomers die off then so be it, next time they should vote for a president who takes public health crises seriously.
The one thing that I think is clear is that the increase in cases in states like Florida isn’t solely due to “more testing!” New York/New Jersey/Massachusetts all have more testing too, and their cases are declining. The states where cases are increasing are the states that haven’t taken this seriously.
Military historian Trash said WWI ended because so many people died, yet another insult to the winning armies.
The worst thing is that dumb Trump is only exacerbating the anti-science movement in the US. US citizens didn't need Trump to ignore science, but he certainly is making it much worse.
Then you still have Trump slurpers like Abbott parroting the "it's just increased testing and backlogs" when that's an obvious lie. Nearly 10 percent of tests everyday are starting to come back positive here in SA alone which is doubling from the past few months in less than a week. SA had more infections yesterday than Dallas and Houston.
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