***** Official All-Inclusive 2020 Election Night Thread *****

[spurraider21]

That's one county.

maricopa is a massive county... still a lot of votes to come from there

[Reck]

Isn't Nate Silver calling the NY Times' claim of only 70% ballots reported for Philly fishy though?

You really worship Nate silver don’t you?

[InRareForm]

Trust the bovada odds process. Biden a heavy favorite still

[baseline bum]

Pima County will probably give him a buffer.

Thought I read these Pima votes were breaking slightly for Trump in the last bunch too though. This one looks like it's going to the wire.

[baseline bum]

You really worship Nate silver don’t you?

Not really. Don't trust any of these mother ers after how off the polling was.

[InRareForm]

Georgia has turned out to be a really compe ive race (less than a percentage point separates Trump and Biden), with 95% of the expected vote reporting. But almost all of Georgia’s counties where the vote is outstanding are blue counties. https://t.co/GD8yXiO0JK

[midnightpulp]

Looks like the Biden celebration is quite immature yet

I know we expect the worst, but Trump simply can't beat the math in PA. Every forecasting wonk is essentially calling it for Biden, and by a good margin. And Biden is more than likely to win AZ.

[Joseph Kony]

[spurraider21]

Not really. Don't trust any of these mother ers after how off the polling was.

live election analysis is fairly different from polling, to be fair

[ElNono]

This is/was a Presidential adviser.

#NeverForget

[midnightpulp]

Thought I read these Pima votes were breaking slightly for Trump in the last bunch too though. This one looks like it's going to the wire.

That's where I got confused. That was the case in which they were day off election ballots.

[Chris]

[Joseph Kony]

Trump s gathering outside of the election dept in Maricopa...

[Winehole23]

AP says 98% have been counted.

is that per precinct or vote total?

[baseline bum]

I know we expect the worst, but Trump simply can't beat the math in PA. Every forecasting wonk is essentially calling it for Biden, and by a good margin. And Biden is more than likely to win AZ.

And they were all calling a Biden landslide going into yesterday.

[Will Hunting]

Trump s gathering outside of the election dept in Maricopa...

Biden is winning in Arizona. In order for the Brooks Brothers Riots to work you need to actually be winning the state, not trying to get more votes counted.

[baseline bum]

is that per precinct or vote total?

I think it's state overall

[TSA]

Pima County will probably give him a buffer.

Maybe, maybe not.

[baseline bum]

LOL fake news

[FkLA]

Black Politicians Matter

[Will Hunting]

I really can't wait for the doesithurt.gif

Hurry up and count dem Soros ballots Pennsylvania.

[hater]

Looks like Dump might hang on to GA and even take AZ.

But PA will be his undoing. Too many uncounted ballots there.

[midnightpulp]

And they were all calling a Biden landslide going into yesterday.

Yeah, but that's based off more speculative forecasting via polls. We have harder data in terms of how the vote splits are trending, so it's more quantifiable. E.g. If successive vote dumps keep breaking 60-40 or something, they'll likely finish breaking at that ratio.

[pgardn]

See this is actually very good stuff having different people check different numbers from different people who actually attempt to be accurate.
BB being the doubter for the blue team actually makes people take a closer look to make a case.

Midnight, thanks for actually participating.

[Chillen]

This election stinks of election fraud. No one at Biden rallies and he got more votes because of Trump hate. I bet it's going to court.