2022 Midterm Elections

[MultiTroll]

https://www.predic .org/markets/de...orial-election

Dobbs 84 / 12 means
bet 84 to win a profit 12?

[Ef-man]

btw wtf is wrong with CA counting so in slow?

The Hugo Chavez servers were moved to Ukraine from Germany and the internet connection is slowing down the changing of republican votes to democrat.

[Trainwreck2100]

Det Soros ballot stuffing, tbh...

el nono why you still taking dem soros handouts, i thought you paid off your coyote already

[ElNono]

el nono why you still taking dem soros handouts, i thought you paid off your coyote already

triggering dem conserva s, tbh

[Spurs Homer]

Not sure if i actually hope the dems defy all odds - pull out a hail mary and keep the house


or

watch as the repukes win with 218
and watch mccarthy try to actually keep his nazi party together and not lose any votes on ANY ATTEMPTED LEGISLATION

[florige]

triggering dem conserva s, tbh

Waiting for dear leader Trump to tell them it was stolen.

[Will Hunting]

You're assuming the Alaska seat goes D?

Yes and that’s not really that hard of an assumption. Peltola will win easily.

[Splits]

Yes and that’s not really that hard of an assumption. Peltola will win easily.

MSNBC is projecting 219-216 +/-4 which would imply they only need to flip 2 of the 4 you identified assuming your 4 are the same, but they don't show a breakdown.

[Will Hunting]

MSNBC is projecting 219-216 +/-4 which would imply they only need to flip 2 of the 4 you identified assuming your 4 are the same, but they don't show a breakdown.

MSNBC is probably more optimistic about CA27 and CA45 than I am. I don’t think the Dems have the numbers there.

i promise that unless Boebert’s district flips with military ballots the only path is sweeping AZ01, AZ06, CA22 and CA41.

[Will Hunting]

MSNBC is probably more optimistic about CA27 and CA45 than I am. I don’t think the Dems have the numbers there.

i promise that unless Boebert’s district flips with military ballots the only path is sweeping AZ01, AZ06, CA22 and CA41.

And I should note that I think this has about a 3% chance of happening.

the GOP is gonna have a house majority, it’s just going to be tiny and ungovernable.

[Winehole23]

I'm confident it won't happen.

it may not be long until the partisan SCOTUS majority proclaims a right to life that removes abortion from bring decided by states. if it does so, will you still say they're right on the law?

[Will Hunting]

it may not be long until the partisan SCOTUS majority proclaims a right to life that removes abortion from bring decided by states. if it does so, will you still say they're right on the law?

If that happens there's no question he'd say "look I'm pro-choice but those judges are smarter than you so I agree with their ruling!" but I don't think fetal personhood has much of a chance at happening. The cons utional law argument for it relies on such an incoherent reading of the 14th amendment.

[Winehole23]

If that happens there's no question he'd say "look I'm pro-choice but those judges are smarter than you so I agree with their ruling!" but I don't think fetal personhood has much of a chance at happening. The cons utional law argument for it relies on such an incoherent reading of the 14th amendment.

The current Calvinball majority is arguing that the 14th Amendment is color blind. It seems they're bound neither by coherence nor their avowed originalism. Sure looks like they're working backward from the desired political result on abortion so far.

[Splits]

MSNBC is probably more optimistic about CA27 and CA45 than I am. I don’t think the Dems have the numbers there.

i promise that unless Boebert’s district flips with military ballots the only path is sweeping AZ01, AZ06, CA22 and CA41.

gotcha, thx.

Wasserman's take:

[Will Hunting]

gotcha, thx.

Wasserman's take:

Yeah I guess CA13 is also a seat they need to win, I just think it's pretty likely that they will.

[Winehole23]

gullible Republicans are cash cows to people like Kari Lake and Donald Trump

https://x.com/Acyn/status/1851079971898605873