******* Official All-Inclusive 2024 Election Night Thread *******

[Leetonidas]

I mean, it's not 2022 levels of tank, but we didn't expect it to fall back under 70k after re-reaching its ATH a week ago and rate cuts on the way this Thursday.

Bernstein has been consistent about a Harris victory crashing BTC down to 30-40k or worse (though still recovering reasonably quickly and eventually reaching $100k and up by late summer 2025), mostly driven by profit takers from the 2022/2023 bear market and likely increased crypto regulations under a Harris regime, but that's not in line with previous election cycle times regardless of if the Dems or GOP won the White House. However, this is the first election year that crypto has really been a politically divisive issue. Bernstein is also saying a surge to 80-90k if Trump is called the winner is likely, mostly driven by FOMO buying.

"We?" Crypto is volatile and unpredictable by nature so predictions mean jack honestly. anyone telling you otherwise is selling hopium. Bitcoin's history speaks for itself though, regardless of how it is performing at any given point it will continue to increase in value over time. so whoever wins the presidency is irrelevant to that in the long run

[FrostKing]

Canada elected Trudeau, so there is hope for Kamala

[UNT Eagles 2016]

"We?" Crypto is volatile and unpredictable by nature so predictions mean jack honestly. anyone telling you otherwise is selling hopium. Bitcoin's history speaks for itself though, regardless of how it is performing at any given point it will continue to increase in value over time. so whoever wins the presidency is irrelevant to that in the long run

Correct, but I already knew that.

My point is that Kamala winning would be likely to present a buy-the-dip opportunity in the short run.

because if you bought BTC at many points of 2021 and you're holding/hodling it, you're 3+ years in and sitting on zero profit right now to date. But, continue hodling, because historically the year after election year is the big bull year.

if you whaled BTC in 2020 or even spring 2022 through fall 2023, congrats you're rich

[UNT Eagles 2016]

I've met the same amount of dogecoin users.

nobody hodles it silly, they take the short term gain and go.

[UNT Eagles 2016]

TSA Will Hunting

Popular Vote:

Trump/Vance: 77,414,976 (49.1%)
Harris/Walz: 77,013,854 (48.6%)
Stein/Others: 1,592,797 (2.3%)

Congressional National Popular Vote: R + 1.9 %

[florige]

TSA Will Hunting

Popular Vote:

Trump/Vance: 77,414,976 (49.1%)
Harris/Walz: 77,013,854 (48.6%)
Stein/Others: 1,592,797 (2.3%)

Congressional National Popular Vote: R + 1.9 %

MAGA’s would march in Washington on Nov 6th if this is the outcome . Trump probably calls for civil war honestly

[Blake]

nobody hodles it silly, they take the short term gain and go.

Crypto in a nuts

[Leetonidas]

Trump winning the popular vote is pure uncut hopium

[UNT Eagles 2016]

MAGA’s would march in Washington on Nov 6th if this is the outcome . Trump probably calls for civil war honestly

Yup!!!!!!!

I picked the funniest but still reasonably realistic scenario. Couldn't go as far as to having Kari Lake win, despite polling looking better for her and split ticketing being overrated, if anything because she's pretty much tied to Trump at the hip, so it would be funny to watch her and Trump both revolt and claim fraud while the more even-keeled conservative candidates actually win their elections because they're not running on the "news is fake and the elections are rigged".

Trump winning the popular vote is pure uncut hopium

RCP has the popular vote tied, fwiw. CA, NY, IL, TX, FL are all voting to the right of 2020. It's very possible.

[ElNono]

RCP has the popular vote tied, fwiw. CA, NY, IL, TX, FL are all voting to the right of 2020. It's very possible.

It really isn't. If he didn't win it in 2016, when he was a relative unknown, then it's just not happening.

I actually wouldn't be surprised at all if the popular vote has a larger margin for (D) this time around. That doesn't mean he can't win the presidency.

[ElNono]

Good luck tomorrow to both red and blue cheerleaders, tbh... we probably won't know the result until wednesday/thursday anyways, after all the vote dumps and Soros cheating...

[hater]

John and I will sleep great at night

Most here... Not so much...


Cheers

[LkrFan]

Abbot bent the knee to Kamala (who can withold FEMA and Federal funding from Texas - the same way Rump did with Puerto Rico - and has threatened to do the same thing with California)

Good job farmers

[z0sa]

^ Yeah, Texas acts big and tough but we get massive payouts from the feds every single year and have no leverage with which to deny basically anything the feds want to do with our state within federal regulation.

[ElNono]

^ Yeah, Texas acts big and tough but we get massive payouts from the feds every single year and have no leverage with which to deny basically anything the feds want to do with our state within federal regulation.

Hilarious, since Texas is the epitome of big, bad government...

[TSA]

It really isn't. If he didn't win it in 2016, when he was a relative unknown, then it's just not happening.

I actually wouldn't be surprised at all if the popular vote has a larger margin for (D) this time around. That doesn't mean he can't win the presidency.

Add this to your other terrible takes in this thread

Sorry, but as things stand, Trump isn't winning PA, IMVHO, that's pure wishcasting. He won in '16 when he was a complete unknown, but 2020 is a far better indicator. I actually suspect he'll lose by a wider margin this time around.

I give Dennison a 3% chance of winning PA. NV is not in play either, IMHO. He's just a bad candidate.

[TSA]

Sorry, but as things stand, Trump isn't winning PA, IMVHO, that's pure wishcasting. He won in '16 when he was a complete unknown, but 2020 is a far better indicator. I actually suspect he'll lose by a wider margin this time around.

oof

[Leetonidas]

oof

Isn't this just mail in ballots? Gee, I wonder why mail in ballots were cast in higher frequency in 2020 vs 2024...

[Ef-man]

A good omen: Bernard Marcus (95), cofounder of The Home Depot and billionaire Republican megadonor, has died

[florige]

Isn't this just mail in ballots? Gee, I wonder why mail in ballots were cast in higher frequency in 2020 vs 2024...

2020 was a once in a lifetime event. Basing numbers off of the 2020 election this early is fools gold.

[TSA]

2020 was a once in a lifetime event. Basing numbers off of the 2020 election this early is fools gold.

Pretending that Democrats didn't dominate early voting/mail in ballots before 2020 is pure copium.

[ElNono]

Add this to your other terrible takes in this thread

I didn't have to catch a flight to golf in South Korea after 2020... I stand by my takes, always have, right or wrong.

oof

Trump won that state in 2016 by less than 50000 votes... not sure how twice that is somehow minor now.

Also, 2020 saw the pandemic and much larger vote by mail. I guess you need to get your copium anywhere you can.

Good luck tonight, tbh

[Leetonidas]

Pretending that Democrats didn't dominate early voting/mail in ballots before 2020 is pure copium.

No one said that though? The tweet you shared is about mail in ballots only. You acting like the smaller lead of mail in ballots in 2024 vs 2020 and trying to draw conclusions from it is pure copium. There isn't a pandemic this time around so not as many people are voting by mail. Not hard to figure out the discrepancy

[ElNono]

Pretending that Democrats didn't dominate early voting/mail in ballots before 2020 is pure copium.

Why don't you mention you can thank Trump for that?

[Leetonidas]

We also don't know how many of those Republicans voted for Kamala. I guarantee its a higher number that Dems voting for Trump