time for 5D chess guys
Jalen Johnson being out means there is now a stronger chance the hawks miss the playoffs. any thoughts of a cinderella run can be put to bed. this is a lost season for them.
with that being the case, tanking does them no good, as they dont own their pick. they also are projected to be above the cap. without cap space, without their first round pick, will be tough to make improvements.
their main incoming asset is a top 12 protected pick coming from sacto (huerter). as of right now, sacto's projected pick is #13. if sacramento trades fox, it makes it increasingly likely that the hawks will not get that pick this year either. therefore, the worst case scenario for ATL this year is for their season to go down the drain, winding up in the lottery, with the kings also trading fox and getting a better lotto pick, thereby not conveying to ATL
therefore, ATL trading Trae to SA, getting their picks back... allows them to completely bottom out this year and get their shot at Flagg, while also preventing Sacto from unloading Fox, and increasing the odds of them receiving the kings pick as well
the spurs entertain this publicly (or leak it to reporters via "sources"), and then we put Sacto in a position where they may have to lower their asking price for Fox, since the spurs now have options beyond simply waiting until 2026