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  1. #1276
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Still got almost half the month left and expecting all this rain to lead to some crazy high heat index days the first time we get a strong heat dome over us. Same way in 2023 after a normally rainy spring we had days in late June pushing heat index of nearly 120 at the airport and multiple days of 124 in New Braunfels for instance. Weather Channel seems to be projecting a normal summer for once for us though. Right on the border of slightly above and slightly below average temps. So hopefully that means lots of 97s in August instead of 103s.

    that also points to a dangerous hurricane season imo, if all of Florida and the Gulf Coast is that much below normal that means it's much wetter and likely a lot of that is accounted for by tropical storm and hurricane activity. The subtropical jet typically lifts at some point in June so that's not a factor.

    IMO that forecast is a very 2021-ish pattern. The worst of the above average heat and drought is concentrated in the west and northwest. San Antonio near average and above average rainfall/lower temps for the Southeast, less rain in the Northeast, about average temps/rain in the upper Midwest and above average US-landfalling hurricane season.

    Maybe Seattle won't get to 100+ this time around, but, ya never know

  2. #1277
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    I mean shoot, Fairbanks Alaska is getting hit with 85+ degree heat these next seven days (and not even cool overnight lows, albeit though there's only about two hours of night this time of year there).... Phoenix is in the 110s, typical for middle to late June, and here in Michigan we're expecting 90s late this weekend into next week for a few days, I might leave for a few days

  3. #1278
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    that also points to a dangerous hurricane season imo, if all of Florida and the Gulf Coast is that much below normal that means it's much wetter and likely a lot of that is accounted for by tropical storm and hurricane activity. The subtropical jet typically lifts at some point in June so that's not a factor.

    IMO that forecast is a very 2021-ish pattern. The worst of the above average heat and drought is concentrated in the west and northwest. San Antonio near average and above average rainfall/lower temps for the Southeast, less rain in the Northeast, about average temps/rain in the upper Midwest and above average US-landfalling hurricane season.

    Maybe Seattle won't get to 100+ this time around, but, ya never know
    Nah 2021 would be like 87-92 in July, no way we're getting that.

  4. #1279
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Nah 2021 would be like 87-92 in July, no way we're getting that.
    2021 had 12 precip days in July without even an organized tropical storm or hurricane landfall which was rare. 2007 was the coldest July ever but pretty much a one trick pony with Tropical Storm Erin stalling over us for over a week, flooding high schools and turning low lying areas into lakes.

    https://world-weather.info/forecast/...nio/july-2024/

    Actually Last July was not too terrible either. The average high last July was only 90 compared to 88 in 2021 and even lower in 2007.

  5. #1280
    Veteran GAustex's Avatar
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    July 4 and the temp ain’t even getting into the 80s

  6. #1281
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    We're also having historic flooding just NW of town tbh.

  7. #1282
    Veteran GAustex's Avatar
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    Unfortunately the lakes just east and associated water supply need it

  8. #1283
    Veteran GAustex's Avatar
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    Canyon and Travis are thirsty and getting a drink

  9. #1284
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    Canyon and Travis are thirsty and getting a drink
    People died.

    You're happy.

  10. #1285
    Veteran GAustex's Avatar
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    That’s low even for you

  11. #1286
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    That’s low even for you
    That's you.

  12. #1287
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    We're also having historic flooding just NW of town tbh.
    Ugh sounds like 20+ kids camping up on the river are unaccounted for. I never was into camping until my mid 20s but my brother would camp all over that area a lot when he was young. Really hope they're ok.

  13. #1288
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    Ugh sounds like 20+ kids camping up on the river are unaccounted for. I never was into camping until my mid 20s but my brother would camp all over that area a lot when he was young. Really hope they're ok.
    , last I heard it was just two.

  14. #1289
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    , last I heard it was just two.
    23 girls missing from a summer camp called Camp Mystic.

  15. #1290
    Erryday I'm Hustlin' Robz4000's Avatar
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    23 girls missing from a summer camp called Camp Mystic.
    Damn. Not one for thoughts and prayers but I'll be praying tbh.

  16. #1291
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    this is very 2021 ish, honestly post- el nino even behavior, baseline bum

    1998, 2002, 2007 come to mind

    very mild/wet summer

  17. #1292
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Ugh sounds like 20+ kids camping up on the river are unaccounted for. I never was into camping until my mid 20s but my brother would camp all over that area a lot when he was young. Really hope they're ok.
    I'm into camping but not in summer during insect season with hot sultry temps. Crisp fall and early spring type camping stuff up north absolutely. Or down south in the winter.

    Right now the only places to go camping are the Redwoods CA (Eureka/Crescent City), the interior high rockies if you're into elevation and mountains, or Nunavut.

  18. #1293
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    , last I heard it was just two.
    Yikes

    Also my mom has said KENS 5 has said CPS has already recorded the most summer time power outages since 2007, not ironically the rainiest summer on record

    If the heat doesn't get ya, the rain will

  19. #1294
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    this is very 2021 ish, honestly post- el nino even behavior, baseline bum

    1998, 2002, 2007 come to mind

    very mild/wet summer
    It's weird because it started blazing hot in early May. I was glad to get my new AC's installed right before we had that 103 day. Then June has been really cool. Ten day forecast from here looks great with low to mid 90s and then Friday 98 not so great but a of a lot better than the 102-104 we had seemingly every July day in 2022 and 2023. Still expect it to get really ugly when the first long lasting heat dome gets here since there is so much water in the ground to be evaporated like when we were having Kolkata level dewpoints in late June 2023 after a decently wet spring. This current weather pattern has been great for San Antonio (I know not so great for Kerrville sadly).

  20. #1295
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    I'm into camping but not in summer during insect season with hot sultry temps. Crisp fall and early spring type camping stuff up north absolutely. Or down south in the winter.

    Right now the only places to go camping are the Redwoods CA (Eureka/Crescent City), the interior high rockies if you're into elevation and mountains, or Nunavut.
    Last time I was in Yosemite it was 100 degrees at 4000 feet on the valley floor from a really ugly heat wave that came in but when I got up to the Tuolumne Meadows backpackers camp at 8500 feet it felt amazing and morning temps were high 20s. Though early July is a little early for high country Yosemite IMO. No snow melting nor dangerous crossings by now unless it's coming off a pretty heavy snow year but absolute mosquito . I like August and September best for hiking in the mountains.

  21. #1296
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    It's weird because it started blazing hot in early May. I was glad to get my new AC's installed right before we had that 103 day. Then June has been really cool. Ten day forecast from here looks great with low to mid 90s and then Friday 98 not so great but a of a lot better than the 102-104 we had seemingly every July day in 2022 and 2023. Still expect it to get really ugly when the first long lasting heat dome gets here since there is so much water in the ground to be evaporated like when we were having Kolkata level dewpoints in late June 2023 after a decently wet spring. This current weather pattern has been great for San Antonio (I know not so great for Kerrville sadly).
    yeah, 2022 (like 2011) was mainly a dry heat due to a dry, hot spring, 2023 was just...yeah, Kolkata, one step below Dubai.

    But in 2021, we never really got that long lasting heat dome until mid September, so it's not a certainly that it will even happen. Potentially the tropical weather in the east Pacific and Gulf of Mexico can keep the heat domes weak and displaced to the west.

  22. #1297
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    Last time I was in Yosemite it was 100 degrees at 4000 feet on the valley floor from a really ugly heat wave that came in but when I got up to the Tuolumne Meadows backpackers camp at 8500 feet it felt amazing and morning temps were high 20s. Though early July is a little early for high country Yosemite IMO. No snow melting nor dangerous crossings by now unless it's coming off a pretty heavy snow year but absolute mosquito . I like August and September best for hiking in the mountains.
    love that, morning temps high 20s/low 30s but warm and sunny highs, your windshield might be cloudy and frosty in the morning but by 8:30am it's good to go.

    I can't sleep outside if it's 60+ at night tbh. Inside I can tolerate up to 68 because indoors is less humidity.

  23. #1298
    Andrew Dufresmed Millennial_Messiah's Avatar
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    It's very very humid this time of year and will only get worse between now and early September. Drove through a ton of fog in Ohio and Michigan last night. And the deer don't seem to mind the fog. They hate rain of any kind but don't seem to be bothered by fog. The moon being fairly bright did help on the drive.

  24. #1299
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    Crazy vid from Centerpoint. From nothing to topping the bridge in 37 minutes.


  25. #1300
    俺はまんこが大好きなんだよ baseline bum's Avatar
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    Finally starting to feel like summer. Definitely humid for this time of year, not that I'd trade the nearly two nice months we had for normal July humidity.

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