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More rigged polls.
http://flickr.com/photos/christianre...64307604/show/
Pretty awesome slideshow.
More rigged polls.
So wait, is Obama a Muslim or Sikh sleeper agent?
Reminds me of C&C.
As lame as that sign is, it probably will be factually true in four years . . .
Obama's gonna start wearing head dresses and put "" around his middle name?
Maybe he'll start losing his hair. And with those ears, he can't pull off the bald look.
God damn Manny!
Are you the Obama ground game we've been hearing so much about?
More taxes yeah, but the other 3 - especially abortions - are extremely iffy. I don't see the amount of abortions going up because of Obama. If he gets his sex ed way then they'll certainly go down as will teenage pregnancy rates in general.
Same sex marriages are going to go up with or without Obama in office. It is fundamentally uncons utional to prevent them and the barriers are being torn down every day. I think they'll go up, but I think they'll go up if McCain is in office as well.
People also don't need to be afraid about gun regulation. Thats so 90s and its really off the national radar with a ton of over issues being far more in the spotlight. The right still likes to trot it out to rile up their base but what was the last major national gun legislation passed?
Taxes are goign to go up though. There's no denying that.
I'm part of itGod damn Manny!
Are you the Obama ground game we've been hearing so much about?There are tons of people doing this though. I'm going to NM with a bunch of people from the SA office and local volunteers. I'm going to MI to visit Jess but we're both heading into OH to do some volunteering where there are already a bunch of local and national volunteers. I'm also working my local precient.
Obama has a huge network of offices in each and every state and even if your state is not a battleground there are resources in place to put you to work in a battleground state if you're willing to donate some time or put your money to work to get someone to a battleground state. I sat and watched on Saturday as a woman walked in and handed one of the local cochairs a check to finance a charter bus to take people to NM this weekend. People are really really fired up and although my experience with the 2004 campaign left me extremely jaded my experiences with this campaign have been the exact opposite.
I urge everyone to get out there and volunteer or donate in some form. This is something you're going to look back on and be glad you had ownership in.
Oh, I also want to say that while I'm generally very optimistic about the results on Nov 5, I also know that races historically tighten before election day and its important to keep the pressure on.
Its easy to see the poll figures and to simply write everything off as an Obama win but you have to remember what got Obama to this point to begin with. The ground game advantage is sevrely tilted in favor of Obama but in order for it to stay that way people have to not let up.
Are you going to be around when you make it to Mr Senator MannyIsGod?
And will you remember your old pals at SpursTalk when you have to hand out those cushy government jobs?
Obama now leads by 8 pts in MO...... Unfreakinbelievable.... McCain had better pull something out of his ass on Wed......
http://politicalwire.com/archives/20..._missouri.html
I'm getting ready to call this race over. McCain still has a puncher's chance....we'll see how he does in the 3rd debate.
If the polls stay where they are heading into the election it's going to be an Obama landslide.
President Barack HUSSEIN Obama....get used to it.
his middle name is Hussein?
like the ex dictator of Iraq?
that scares me less.
I'm ready to about call this a wrap. Unless McCain scores a huge, decisive victory in the last debate, Obama has far too much momentum right now. It says a lot when the dyed in the wool red states are doing more than just going neutral, but actually shifting over to Obama.
McCain should have played this entire election defensively. He should have opened his mouth as little as possible, shown at least a semblance of respect for his opponent, and taken a lot more care to not personally contradict himself. His advisers made ridiculous claims attempting to credit him for inventing the Blackberry, his entire campaign was predicated on attacking Obama rather than explaining why he was a good candidate, and he took a huge gamble with his nomination for VP. Shock value might work in politics... but it won't persist for 2 solid months unless there is a lot of substance backing it up.
Really though, I think the biggest mistake was the same one Hillary made. They both drastically, incomprehensibly underestimated Obama because of the fact that he is a relative newcomer to D.C. The real irony here, however, is that McCain and Hillary both fancied themselves as "real" people who would stand up to Washington from the position of the everyman. They tried to untangle themselves as much as possible from the corruption in WASHINGTON (bleeeeh for edits). At the exact same time, they were assailing Obama -- not because of his policies or his ability -- but because of that very same distance from Washington that they were themselves trying to establish.
I'm not sure the average voter is smart enough to consciously make this distinction. But I think it might reach them on some level. Obama is an underdog and a newcomer, and he's eloquent. You could not draw up a candidate who represents a more distant break from Bush, regardless of the actual policies. Every time McCain and Ms. Clinton ripped Obama, it almost felt like they were defending Bush somehow. It also made them look arrogant and haughty... yet another 8 year itch that this country has grown to loathe.
Last edited by Cry Havoc; 10-13-2008 at 05:27 PM.
damn that corruption in Hollywood!
damn it to !
And HUSSEIN raised $66M in September.
He will blow that in causing McNasty to crash his campaign.
My guess is there isn't a lot of Repug/RNC enthusiasm for pouring $Ms down McNasty's rat hole. They also need to spend to try to keep the Dems from getting 60 in the Senate, and huge lead in the House, their "down ticket" concerns.
ahahahahahaha
I suck.I don't even know how I typed that.
Yet another in a series of great posts on FiveThirtyEight.com dealing with the Bradley Effect and its existance or lack thereof.With that said, the evidence is pretty strong that the Bradley Effect in fact used to exist in the 1980s and probably through some point in the 1990s. In this Pew Research article you will find several examples of it, spanning the window from Harold Washington in 1983 to Carol Moseley Braun in 1992.
The evidence is perhaps equally strong, however, that the Bradley Effect does not exist any longer. As can be seen in the Hopkins paper for Harvard University that I have referenced many times, at some point during the mid 1990s the Bradley Effect seems to be disappeared.
(A brief aside: This is not to suggest that there was no relationship between race an errors in polling during the Democratic primaries. There is clear evidence that Barack Obama overperformed his polls in states with a large number of African-American voters, a.k.a a Reverse Bradley Effect. There is not any statistically compelling evidence however that Obama routinely underperformed his polls in states with a large number of white voters).
What what.
I see New York is still in play...
What what.
Damn I didn't think that ND would be in play for Obama. Might be an outlier though.
I'd say they will go up compared to if Palin and co. go to Washington.
True but I'd say they'll go up more with Obama versus McCain. McCain might try to win some points with the Religious Right at some point.
True but comparatively speaking it's no contest.
Serious question ... is there anything that can happen before the election to make you switch your vote from Obama to McCain? And what do you think the percent chance of that happening is?
TIA.
I really don't see abortions going up under Obama. I see them going down. I mean maybe in the short term they'll go up but they'd go up regardless of who is in office based on the sex ed policies we're seeing now.
We've seen an explosion of teenage pregnancy once again after years of decline and I fully attribute that to the current abstinence only sex ed they teach. Its such foolish crap.
There's nothing they can do directly from DC to stop abortions from happening, but sex ed has indirect results that are clearly visible and we've all seen what effect the current policies in that regard have had on abortion and unwanted pregnancies in general.
You know barring some huge scandal breaking out or Obama doing the exorcist head turn on national TV that I'm not going to change my mind.
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