Mavs, are very talented on paper but have by far the lowest point differnential of the true contending team and even taking into consideration that Dirk was out or recovering for 10 games that does not make up for the fact their point differntial is less than 4
Bottom line their point differential 0.394 www.nba.com does predict limited playoff success historically - Mavs are therefore the most likely top team to lose a first game series based on that fact, plus their history of choking certainly does not help them.

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