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10%
Hoping the Thunder think it is over and come out flat...
No, he got scared and blinked. He also thought his great coaching was the reason the team was playing so well and sacrificed his team's momentum. See 2006. I'm sure you were watching.
10%
Hoping the Thunder think it is over and come out flat...
you don't really think this is all on pop.
i know you don't. the spurs were playing in panic attack, and they're veterans.
a little calm will get them to game 7.
This reminds me alot of the Texas Rangers last year after game 6...this game was a death blow. As much as the media in DFW wanted to believe the Rangers could overcome that debacle, Rangers just didn't have the for ude to get past it. I see this Spurs team going out in the same fashion, bodies show up for the next game but the fire will be gone because they know they emptied the chamber tonight.
I agree with all of that except the thought that the Thunder can get cold at this point, especially at home. When you are playing with the level of confidence and belief they have right now everything falls, as we've seen the past 3 games.1Parker1 is back.
I agree with everything you said but it's still basketball. It isn't rocket science. A big part of the game is based on hitting jumpshot and there are a lot of variability in it. Spurs can easily get hot and Thunder get cold. Even if you think that only a miracle or a fluke will allow Spurs to win game 6, this miracle or fluke has a greater than 2% chance to happen. That's just the nature of the game.
Pray for a long cold snap! That's our only hope at this point.
The Spurs will win Game 6. 99% confident.
Agree with this.1Parker1 is back.
I agree with everything you said but it's still basketball. It isn't rocket science. A big part of the game is based on hitting jumpshot and there are a lot of variability in it. Spurs can easily get hot and Thunder get cold. Even if you think that only a miracle or a fluke will allow Spurs to win game 6, this miracle or fluke has a greater than 2% chance to happen. That's just the nature of the game.
The poise the Thunder has shown is shocking to me.
But it is basketball.
I'd say 20 percent.
I give us a 0 percent chance if Ginobili AND Duncan don't have monster games.
0.
They're role players are better.
It's that simple...
We would also need to hope they somehow miraculously go cold from the charity stripe because I see them getting to the line between 20-30 times in Game 6. They will be the aggressors with the blood in the water and the refs will reward it. Considering they are the best FT shooting team in the league, it is not realistic to believe it will happen.I agree with all of that except the thought that the Thunder can get cold at this point, especially at home. When you are playing with the level of confidence and belief they have right now everything falls, as we've seen the past 3 games.
Pray for a long cold snap! That's our only hope at this point.
No they can't, even the homeriest homers saw the backdoor sweep come after game 4.
Nobody was panicking in game three but Pop. He decided to try some when it was completely unnecessary and they ended up getting blown out. Playing their game gives them a chance. They haven't played their game in the last ten and a half quarters. It's simply not a coincidence.
Or the Spurs could go back to the team that fouled the least of anyone in the league. That might help.
Everyone besides SJAX and Manu and Duncan are scared
1% chance
Less than 10 turnovers, 40% chance.
12+ turnovers, 5%.
2 teams ... one will win ... of course the chances are 50%
you are too close to the team. i could see it happening.
and i don't present this with any disrespect. its been like watching a clock run down. the passing, the spacing, the poise.
its not over. some calm will seal the deal.
ZERO percent, for these reasons:
- Law of averages -- The Spurs are finally paying for that 20-game winning streak. Things have a way of evening out. A loss in game 6 will give the Spurs a playoff winning percentage almost identical to their regular season winning percentage. That's why some of the smarter people on Spurstalk were hoping for a loss or two in the earlier rounds to give the Spurs a better chance mathematically. You can't cheat math.
- History -- If memory serves, the Spurs are winless in the Duncan era in game 6 coming off a loss and down 3-2. In fact, the Spurs usually get their asses kicked in this situation.
- No more bench -- The experts who said a deep bench doesn't win an NBA championship are looking pretty smart right now. Bonner, Neal, Blair, Splitter, and worst of all, Green (even though he's a "starter.") They have totally been unable to handle the pressure. It's been painful to watch, and I expect them to be at their worst in Game 6, even they even get to play meaningful minutes.
- Offense lost its mojo -- Need I say more?
- Timmy Duncan is too tired -- The every-other-day schedule caught up to him. So much for "resting" him throughout the season. Didn't work.
I never thought it would be realistic to keep OKC off the line, they drive the lane way too much to expect the Spurs to keep up that level of foul free defense. Our frontline just isn't quick enough to rotate on help defense and stay in front of a driver without fouling this athletic group.
Since when? Their RP's are playing better is what you mean.
To be strict
0 confidence
1 hope somewhere inside me. But so deep deep that I barely recognize it
Logically, I know that's right.
But in reality, I just don't think it works that way. Even if the Spurs get hot and the Thunder get cold, they've made hard-charging runs in every game. Without fail. OKC shrugs aside any hot streak by the Spurs and comes roaring back within a couple minutes.
I guess if the Spurs build a fluke-ish 30 point lead they may hang on but I just don't see it. Maybe I'm being emo but I just can't see it.
As a coach you have to understand what exactly is stopping those hard-charging runs, and counter it. It's tough to really put a finger on it other than the obvious KD run.
I don't believe anyone was wrong about our bench. Our bench is incredibly deep, but they are all role players who depend on Parker and Ginobili to create for them.
Offense hasn't lost its "mojo." It has been shut down.
I think your last reason is the most important. With them taking Parker and our catch-and-shoot guys away, we desperately need Duncan to be a force. You can just see that he is worn down.
Since it wasn't happening until after Pop started ing with the rotation, I'm unsure how you could see it. Brooks inserted Sefolosha and Pop lost his marbles and started to scramble. It's the same thing that happened when AJ made Harris the starter instead of Griffin. Pop countered by using the rotation that he ran against Sacramento.
One thing the odds don't cover is will to win.
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