So what odds do you give the Spurs to win the series?

[Raven]

tiago splitter 25min
diaw 20
duncan 33
danny green 40
kawhi 40
parker 35
cojo 15
manu 20 (depending on who is hot manu and parker's minutes should vary)

if that's the rotation then i call it around 100% chance to win, of course that won't be the case.

[crc21209]

I guess it's only fitting that the Spurs play in a huge Game 5 with the series tied 2-2. It's been the trend for the past 10 years or so, both good and bad.

2003- Spurs vs. Lakers in SA, Conf Semis. The missed Horry 3. Spurs went on to win the game and series in 6.

2004- Spurs vs. Lakers in SA, Conf. Semis. .4 shot. Spurs lost this game and the series in 6.

2005

Spurs vs. Sonics in SA, Conf. Semis. After leading series 2-0, the Spurs lost the next 2 and came back for a pivotal Game 5. Spurs went on to win this game led by a monster game from Manu, and won the series in 6.

Spurs vs. Pistons in DET. NBA Finals. Horry drills game winning 3 pointer. Spurs win this game and the series in 7.

2007 Spurs vs. Suns in PHX. Conf. Semis. The game after the Horry hipcheck on Nash. Spurs went down early by 16 points in the game only to rally in the 2nd half and win the game, and go on to win the series in 6.

2011- Spurs vs. Thunder in SA. WCF. We all remember this one, Spurs lead series 2-0, come back tied 2-2. Harden drills stepback 3 pointer to basically seal the win for the Thunder, Spurs lose game and series in 6.

2012- Spurs vs. Heat in SA. NBA Finals. After exchanging wins in the first 4 games, Good Manu finally made an appearance and helped the Spurs win this game to take a 3-2 series lead. Spurs lost series in 7.

[rascal]

10 % Only if there is a key injury will the Spurs win.

OK City has clearly proven to be better in this matchup when healthy.

[hsxvvd]

Called fairly 65%

But that's not going to happen.

Durant v. LeBron sells too many t-shirts and shoes.

[rascal]

60-65%. Not based off the past 2 games, but because it's 2-2, which makes it a 50-50 tossup series. However, I give the Spurs the extra 10-15% because of homecourt advantage. The Thunder still need to win one in SA. And for those who are saying they won the 2 regular season games in SA with Ibaka, guess what? Regular season means now. Kawhi missed both games at home against the Thunder. One due to a dental procedure and the other time he left early when he broke his hand..

HCA is no advantage when one team is clearly better than the other team in this matchup.

[AaronY]

20% maybe just on the chance okc gets another injury. Theyd probably be going to their finals for the third year in a row if Westbrook played in the playoffs last year

[Uriel]

60% for the series. I think we actually have a great shot at winning Game 5. Keep in mind:

1. Ibaka's injury is only going to get worse the more he plays on it.
2. Brooks expended his starters' energy by leaving them on the floor, while our starters rested the whole 4th while picking up anger and frustration from the loss.
3. Reggie Jackson may not even play Game 5. Or if he does, his impact will be severely limited.

[baseline bum]

Stop being a ...Spurs are winning this in 6.

Did you think this was going to be a sweep before the series started? If not would you rather the Spurs lose these games any other way?

2-12 now against the Thunder with Ibaka son. Before the series started I expected OKC in six until det was out for the playoffs.

[mudyez]

I'd give them 50% right now.

OKC has the momentum but SA still has homecourt and room to improve.

[baseline bum]

60% for the series. I think we actually have a great shot at winning Game 5. Keep in mind:

1. Ibaka's injury is only going to get worse the more he plays on it.

What injury? looks pretty damn healthy.

[spurspokesman]

Vegas will have spurs as slight favorites. They know what they are talking about. So 55%

[tmtcsc]

The way the Spurs lost those two games was extremely disappointing. The silver lining (not moral victory) is that the 3rd team came in & reminded the starters to JUST FRIGGIN COMPETE. I admit, the starters looked rattled, frustrated and defeated. I think a return home and the limited minutes Pop played the starters will do wonders for Game 5.

I definitely think the Spurs will win this series but it won't happen unless they get up, wipe themselves clean and get mad.

[smaka]

Winner of game 5 wins the series. Since Spurs play at home, I'd say there is a 60% chance of winning.

[EVAY]

50-50. Anybody can take it now. Game 5 winner wins the series.

This.

[EVAY]

If we don't start rebounding, the odds are 0.

[Cowboys_Wear_Spurs]

Like I said from the out set, Game 5 will decide this series, and the Spurs should win tomorrow. Pop needs to call Alley-oop plays off the baseline, Spurs could have had like 10 last night.

Everytime Ibaka cheats, Duncan or Splitter cut to the basket and Parker or whoever, just heaves it to them for the easy basket. Also, backpick Ibaka when he roams the high paint with a Spurs guard (Manu/Beli), and have Duncan/Diaw/Splitter cut to underneath the basket for an easy basket as they will get switch onto Lamb, Fisher or whoever.

Dude, I was just watching the game last night and seeing all the flaws OKC had on defense and the Spurs weren't exploiting any of them. I hope Pop watches the film and see how easy it would be to exploit the OKC D.

[313]

tiago splitter 25min
diaw 20
duncan 33
danny green 40
kawhi 40
parker 35
cojo 15
manu 20 (depending on who is hot manu and parker's minutes should vary)

if that's the rotation then i call it around 100% chance to win, of course that won't be the case.

Needs some Baynes but I agree on everything else

[313]

Like I said from the out set, Game 5 will decide this series, and the Spurs should win tomorrow. Pop needs to call Alley-oop plays off the baseline, Spurs could have had like 10 last night.

Everytime Ibaka cheats, Duncan or Splitter cut to the basket and Parker or whoever, just heaves it to them for the easy basket. Also, backpick Ibaka when he roams the high paint with a Spurs guard (Manu/Beli), and have Duncan/Diaw/Splitter cut to underneath the basket for an easy basket as they will get switch onto Lamb, Fisher or whoever.

Dude, I was just watching the game last night and seeing all the flaws OKC had on defense and the Spurs weren't exploiting any of them. I hope Pop watches the film and see how easy it would be to exploit the OKC D.

[will_spurs]

If Brothers refs game 5 or game 7 then 0%.
If Brothers refs game 6 then 50%.

[hitmantb]

Spurs is the streakiest team in the NBA by far. See Spurs vs Mavs series.

This is because if the opponent can break down the Spurs system, they win. If they can not they can get blown out in a hurry. Spurs system at home feeding off the crowd is much harder to break down.

I would say it is 50%/50% at this point, and energy level more than anything else decides the series. Spurs was very passive/flat after the three days break, they can still recover from this although IF both teams play at peak level, Thunder is simply the most talented team in the NBA. Spurs need to play at 100% vs Thunder's 80% to win.

[urunobili]

30%

[superbigtime]

If they lose game 5 it's over. And I think they only have a 20-30% chance to win that game. They got no momentum and the team is obviously very frustrated. And probably feeling the pressure. I'm expecting SA turnovers and OKC fast break points.

[Cowboys_Wear_Spurs]

If they lose game 5 it's over. And I think they only have a 20-30% chance to win that game. They got no momentum and the team is obviously very frustrated. And probably feeling the pressure. I'm expecting SA turnovers and OKC fast break points.

This is what most said in the Dallas series. SPURS ARE AT HOME and they won't have to deal with the crowd. Spurs will be pumped for this game. Spurs have an 80% chance of winning this game. They will be treating this game like a game 7, its do or die and they will be going all out.

[Strategic]

For my money Spurs are still favored, but less than 2 to 1 odds. Vegas odds may be just the opposite.

[DMC]

The Spurs are bad for NBA business. The fact they got this far is an embarrassment to the league despite all the praise heaped upon them by others around the league and media. When the All NBA selections are released, and no Spurs are on it, it will be interesting to see the conspiracy theories regarding this series. What happens if you get a team in the Finals that doesn't have a single selection on the All NBA team? Does it invalidate the process? I don't think so, but maybe they do and don't want SA to embarrass them.

Talk amongst yourselves.