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GSW is incentivized to keep SAS out of the 5 seed. Kerr is acutely aware of the implications
Oh alright I see what you're saying. If it's just us and Memphis in a tie, they'd get the tiebreaker. If it's a 3-way tie with Houston as well, then the Spurs would get it.
Anyways, fwiw, here's ESPN's latest BPI matchup projections:
Shows our most likely matchup being LAC at 29.4%, followed by Dallas at 26.9%, and Portland at 21.3%. I'd prefer the latter two scenarios personally.
GSW is incentivized to keep SAS out of the 5 seed. Kerr is acutely aware of the implications
Memphis can lose once more + Spurs win out and Spurs still win division le IF Houston makes it a three way tie (would entail Houston not losing other than to Spurs), which Spurs win based on three-way H2H.
Houston have SA, NO, @ Cha (b2b), UTA. NO will be going balls to the walls as their playoff life depends on it, so imagine that to be a tossup. Charlotte will probably be eliminated by then, but B2B are never a gimme on the road. Utah is 19-9 since February 7th but doesn't have incentive to win that last game as losses would help them fall behind the bevy of teams in the East that will miss out on playoffs and potentially increase draft position by a few spots.
Memphis has a brutal @ Uta, @ Lac, @ Gs, IND (with Indiana potentially fighting for its life on the last day of the season).
Spurs also have to deal with New Orleans and the last game's compe iveness will depend on if OKC flounders or flourishes. NO still controls its own destiny but no room for error right now. Hopefully the Phoenix game is a walkover as they were just eliminated.
A little more to it than that.
Correct. Meant to say 3, 4 or 5 if we win out. I just think it's going to be tough to win out. But hey, I've been wrong about the Spurs the last three years so I'm happy to be wrong!
2 or 3 seed would be great.
hater is so cute, tbh..
Anyways, Memphis could easily lose all 3 of their road games IMO, including the Jazz game, depending if Snyder does the Spurs a favor(he has been playing Hayward less minutes lately, unfortunately)..I also imagine Kerr will consider avoiding the Spurs in the 4-5, along with the Warriors wanting to stay sharp(Thompson has been struggling as of late, for example) and Curry still going for the MVP, thus they will play seriously vs. the Grizz IMO..
Best-case, realistic scenarios: 2 vs. Dallas, 5 vs. Portland
Worst-case, realistic scenarios: 6 vs. the Clippers
It's all moot if the Spurs lose Friday, probably..despite what many here have said, home court for at least a round is imperative IMO..
We shouldn’t try to win out! Because if we beat Phoenix, that means the Clips own the conference tie breaker. Memphis will move a head of Houston. Then if Portland loses any of their games, Dallas will move down, causing Portland to move to Seattle. But the worst thing is losing to the Pelicans. This will put OkC in the lottery giving them 3 unprotected first round picks from Philadelphia.
FWIW, my head hurts. Just gonna see how the chips fall and take solace in the fact that the Spurs are playing ridiculous ball at the right time.
To simplify,
Spurs need to win out and Memphis loses one more game.
In this scenario, it doesn't matter what Houston, LA does. Spurs gets 2nd seed.
I always hate playing Dallas. Would love to play Memphis or Portland in the first round.
SA would mop Dallas in 4. True.... Dallas is a whole lot more talented than last years squad but their chemistry is ing horrible. They will get bounced by whoever they play, even Houston.
dallas has Rondo, Dirk, Ellis, Aminu.
Not only do they have multiple players to exploit on the defensive end, you also have tons of players to hide your poor defender...
ing horrible that they have players like Aminu,Charlie V, and Richard Jefferson in their rotation, good lord.
RC should be candidate for COTY.
Villaneuva, Jefferson, Aminu, Rondo, a dirk that can't move anymore, Amare..
And they might still reach the 50 wins mark.
A 2 way tie between MEM and SA will go to MEM. So either HOU has to win out after losing to us to make it a 3 way tie, OR MEM has to lose 2 and HOU can do whatever.
Assuming Spurs beat Hou and NOR, MEM has won the div with 9-7 and no more div games. Spurs can get tie 9-7 div but lose div with worse conf record.
Spurs would win tie breaker with HOU, and get into the upper bracket as only non-div winner, giving spurs HCA in 1st, 2nd rounds, but no HCA in WCF vs GSW
to get HCA in NBAF, it would have to be vs Cavs (55W if they win their last 4, vs spurs 56W). that NYN loss is looming HUGE!
Last edited by boutons_deux; 04-10-2015 at 05:30 AM.
Not to make everyone's head hurt, but what would be the scenarios IF we lost to Houston today but won the remaining of the games? What would have to happen to get a 3 or 5 seed?
one of houston or memphis losing all their games..assuming memphis wins today
and LA losing two of three.
SA will be 6 for sure if they lose one more game...
Lose one more game, and Spurs are pretty much stuck at 6th seed. The best Spurs can do is to swap Spurs' 6th for HOU's current 3rd seed.
Got it, if LAC win out, they would get the 3 seed correct?
anything to face memphis round 1. it would be the closest thing to a first round bye
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