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Yeah, proving you wrong really burns.
And why not?
Until you define how exactly a make or a miss influences the next event, you can't conceivably use continuous probability.
Yeah, proving you wrong really burns.
Because these are people and not coins flipping. The anxiety caused by missing a shot with time running out can influence future shots.
Do you understand NOW?
Final nail in the coffin (I hope you've gotten used to me doing this, just like the Spurs have drove the nail into the Suns' coffin countless times).
From an article that calculates the odds of a 35 point comeback:
https://harvardsportsanalysis.wordpr...en-down-by-35/The Sacramento Kings came back to win on Monday night (Dec 21), when down by 35 points against the Bulls in Chicago with 20 minutes and 50 seconds (20:50) left. When two even NBA teams play the chance that the trailing team would win from that situation is about one in 24,000. Let’s take an in-depth look at the calculation…
The theory used for this calculation is based on independence
But you can't define that. And your original graphic didn't even consider that.
The only way to define it would be too see what Manu Ginobili's shooting percentage is when he's at the line with an NBA championship on the line up 4 with 28 seconds left. There's no useful sample size to draw from, so we have to use his playoff FT percentage. These events have to considered in a "vacuum."
Do YOU understand NOW.
Last edited by midnightpulp; 06-23-2016 at 10:39 AM.
Neither did your "numbers crunching". Im glad youre starting to learn some stuff, but you really shouldnt be making statements about your "numbers crunching" when its clear to anyone whos taken this stuff you dont have the slightest clue what youre talking about.
I have every clue what I'm talking about. What did you think the phrase "I'm only considering events in a vacuum" meant in my OP?
You nor I have any idea how pressure affects those players, nor do we have any data to use to examine the probable outcome of a 22 year old 2nd year player making both FTs with an NBA le on the line, since it's a totally unique event. So we have to treat the players like coins.
You can apologize now for being a reactionary Massive Dumb .
this thread officially signals the off-season. WGAF? They were both horrible choke jobs on the biggest stage in basketball. Both chokes were a total team effort.
However, in defense of the spurs, I'll say that they acquitted themselves well enough in game 7 of that series. It took a fluke shooting performance by Battier and LeBron to win. Plus, they got their revenge the following year in emphatic fashion. Remains to be seen what the warriors do...
They were selling your .
However, in defense of the spurs, I'll say that they acquitted themselves well enough in game 7 of that series. It took a fluke shooting performance by Battier and LeBron to win. Plus, they got their revenge the following year in emphatic fashion. Remains to be seen what the warriors do...
You bought Jordan's wholesale and rushed the floor when he rung.
They were selling your .
Nobody cares...well, except maybe some Miami fans in Africa
Since when does Discrete Math cover probabillity & statistics? That's like saying: "I took American Lit, trust my American History knowledge."
Nuh uh. It was 2.73869849621 percent.
Then you won't mind:::
They were selling your .
You cannot be accused of selling any playoff gear in the past 4 years.
Or, stringing our ropes.
You bought Jordan's wholesale and rushed the floor when he rung.
They were selling your .
True dat.
My Comrade...
They were selling your .
Or putting one in the case.
They should have strung the ropes in LA, then all the Laker fans would have tripped over them while rushing the court for Jordan's championship.
Same thing in Florida in '13. You still ain't explained that.
Unlike you fellows we've never had to surrender one.
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