It’s not that they don’t draft them as seniors, it’s that they DID’T draft them earlier. The longer they stay in school, especially in a big program with visibility, the more chances there are to see their flaws. The ones who ARE selected in the first round, Dame, McCollum, White, are from mid majors, or have a weird path/story. Four year seniors from big programs tend to drop into the second round, like Donkey, Brogdon. Their remaining upside is seen as limited in a league where every GM wants to hit a home run. Your athletic peak is at 27, and Brogdon will be past that by the time he’s a UFA. He was 24 as a rookie.

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