Yeah, I don't think Aldridge makes it, even if his play steadily improves and the Spurs' record remains gaudy.
Projected starters: Griffin, Durant, Bryant, Westbrook, Curry
Projected reserves (locks): Leonard, Green, Paul, Harden, Davis, Thompson
Final spot will go to one of: Nowitzki, Cousins, Gasol, Aldridge
Thompson shouldn't be a lock, both because he started slow and because he's nothing more than an (elite) glorified role player, but the consensus will foolishly be that they deserve three for their gaudy record.
Nowitzki is a beloved figure, Carlisle is head of the coaches association and will inevitably campaign for him and they're seen as a surprise team.
Cousins is a despised figure, but he's also the best of the four and they should hang on the fringes of the playoff race because of how shallow the conference is.
Gasol also started slow and is neck and neck with Thompson as the most overrated player in the league, but he's beloved all the same and they could easily have the best record of the three.
Aldridge hasn't been the Spurs' second best player, but that doesn't matter; this is about perception. He'll need their record to stay gaudy to have an outside chance.

Thanks for setting me straight... I was only seeing part of the picture!
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I hope LMA goes beast mode like he did back in 2011 when he got snubbed. I'm also hoping Tony doesn't make it so he can keep playing w/ a chip on his shoulder instead of reverting into a content fat pig.
