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red firewall
NY Times/Sienna just released their final polls before the election:
PA - Biden +6
WI - Biden +11
AZ - Biden +6
FL - Biden +3
NY Times imo has been the best pollster at weighing for dumb uneducated MAGA s this cycle, so these are good numbers for Biden. I’m more and more confident he wins Wisconsin and Michigan by a wide enough margin where it’s called on election night and PA is the only state that could get decided in court.
Maybe Wisconsin 17 point lead wasnt such an outlier the other day after all.
11 points is stout. 6 points in Arizona is not bad either.
Holy I didn’t realize how big the sampling was for these polls either (1,800 LV in PA is a lot for a high quality pollster doing live phone calls). NY Times definitely put a lot of effort into make sure these polls were accurate.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/1...lection-433703
Gives DT about a 1/10 chance which is about right at this point.
This is the stuff.
yes.
Godspeed.
Because I called him out.
Again.
He can redirect his anger on someone who has the patience to entertain him.
And sorry No No, he is a flat out liar who refuses to back anything up with a link.
We can all play prognosticators with 2 choices, it’s not hard to call a coin flip. But when we have people who actually try to determine outcomes professionally, and give you their methods, they are more likely to be correct than someone who sits in isolation ruminating over YouTube videos and tweets.
Derp takes 2016 as his single event of experts getting a something wrong and then claims expertise because his wish came true. If the same people who are good at this make the same mistakes they made in the 2016 analysis, we have something interesting. I gave him an article that claimed this with their basic argument of the flaws in polling sample techniques. He blew this article off and gave zero back other than I read, I really do. And gives zero back.
He uses basic primal urge instincts and that’s fine, just admit it. Some people have jobs that depend on being correct when there are way more than 2 possible outcomes. And can smell this type of self proclaimed expertise from a mile off. He smells, no reeks, of grandiose self delusion.
I read that Hillary's +3M votes could be +8M for Joe
Further to El No No
I also read the section just to look for articles or the latest prognostications with a link. it’s very helpful when others do good work and find good articles and polls that can be looked up because I am not everywhere at once unlike the all knowing derptoid
Thanks for posting that it was fun.
That is an opinion. The only way you can present that as empirical, is if you can present objectively verifiable data to support your statement, by definition.
Link or STFU.
Over 3000 lawsuits BEFORE he became president.
This was a huge warning our president will try anything to satisfy HIS needy personality.
Even if the 43% nonsense were true (it's not), why would seniors care about premiums?
SMH. You learned jack from 2016.
Trannies are the stupidest people on the face of this planet.
Man, you woke up to a bad day news. Terrible polling data for you and Trump.
Stop being a phobe and accept who you are and want to be, btw.
You also woke up stupider.
I didn't call you a . You called yourself a .
once again proving you have the IQ of a potato
Been at it most of the morning. You’d be shocked how many volunteers are out canvassing here. There are people who flew in from California just to go door knocking in the Philly slums while it’s pouring outside. The campaign official I spoke to says that there are roughly ~2500 volunteers canvassing in the state this weekend.
Ill take that kind of enthusiasm over MAGA rally enthusiasm.
What is the reception? Ya'll not getting ran out with baseball bats? Are blacks interested in going out to vote?
It’s a mixed bag. I’m clearly knocking on the door of people who aren’t high propensity voters, but that tells me the Biden campaign actually has the data operation Shillary didn’t have. There’s a centralized platform you download as an app that allows you to walk up to each persons house and see the full history of every previous time the Biden campaign or other Democrat affiliated groups have tried to contact them, and you can skip over the house of people who already voted.
The fact Hillary’s campaign didn’t have this kind of operation 4 years ago was definitely a huge factor in her losing.
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