I don't think rebounding is unimportant. I know it's very important. However, I also know the strengths of this team. Shaq is a square peg to the Nash/Richardson/Barnes/Amare hole. Lopez fits better with that unit. If given time, he could really develop nicely running alongside Amare and Nash.
Since you like to break down statisics to a per-40 average, Dwight typically averages 15.5 per 40 minutes. Last night, vs. this inferior rebounding unit of Lopez and Amare, he was on pace to average just 12.5 per.
You really like to speak in absolutes where no absolute was a guarantee. Howard actually had a -15 differential on the evening and the Suns were up, despite his monstrous numbers to that point, when he left.
We are both right on a few things. You are correct that Shaq is the better option vs. bigger teams or when half-court offense would be of more benefit. I am correct in saying that if they choose to run, and wish to do so with the biggest lineup possible, then Lopez, not Shaq is the best fit.
However, your claims of Lopez's suckdom are grossly overstated. You completely dismiss a player who's been given very little time to prove himself this season, but has done well at times when he has been given the chance.
It may not be an easy learning process, and I'm not saying to play him 40 minutes a night, but in their running lineups, Lopez for 20 is better than Shaq for 20. he won't get in the way, he won't slow things down, he won't take shots... He'll play hard, he'll body-up, he'll tip rebounds to spark transition opportunites and he'll play good help defense.
Shaq coming off the bench would dominate just about every second unit in the League.
1. Nash, Richardson, Barnes, Amare, Lopez
- Maximizes transition skills and athleticism without giving up on defense and rebounding.
2. Nash, Barbosa, Richardson, Barnes, Amare
- Maxmizes transition skills and athleticism, but gives up defense and rebounding.
3. Nash, Richardson, Hill, Barnes, Amare
- Gets a lot out of their transition skills and athleticism, keeps a semblence of perimeter defense through Hill's smarts and Barnes and Richardson's athleticism, but is vulnerable on the boards, still
4. Nash, Richardson, Barnes, Amare, Shaq
- Limits the teams ability to maximize its transition skills. Does spread the floor for Shaq, better, though. Some defense, good rebounding.
5. Nash, Richardson, Hill, Amare, Shaq
- Limits the team's ability to maximize its transition skills, limits the ability to spread the floor. Slightly better defense and rebounding.
Those are the realistic starting lineup options. The two best are #1, #3 and #4... However, if you want to play to the greatest number of strengths, then it has to be #1.
It doesn't have to be for long stretches, but for roughly 8-to-10 minutes a half, I think it would be a great idea to get the most out of the transition potential.

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