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  1. #101
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
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    i don't think the public should forget or forgive the loan, but it will probably go the way of oil subsidies.

  2. #102
    I play pretty, no? TeyshaBlue's Avatar
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    According to GM's own IPO filing about only about 1/4 of the cars they build are getting built in North America these days. That 1/4 includes Canada and Mexico.

    By next year GM will be building cars in China and importing them into the U.S.

    So who's manufacturing base are we really supporting?
    Don't confuse "building" with "assembling". Where do you think those parts come from? *hint* It aint Mexico or China.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...051303382.html

  3. #103
    I play pretty, no? TeyshaBlue's Avatar
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    I have concluded that the US will never get back any substantial portion of the 50 billion they put into GM. Will they EVER get ANY back? Probably some token repayments that will be heavily publicized. Eventually other things will take front and center priority and the public will just forget about the GM loans.
    I think the Fed is reportedly going to get something like 16 billion back when it reduces it's stake from 61 to 49% or there abouts.

    That's a pretty good initial payment.

  4. #104
    Scrumtrulescent
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    I have concluded that the US will never get back any substantial portion of the 50 billion they put into GM. Will they EVER get ANY back? Probably some token repayments that will be heavily publicized. Eventually other things will take front and center priority and the public will just forget about the GM loans.
    They'll get back something. 60% of GM's stock will be worth something. It's just not going to be worth anything close to $50 billion.

    Of course another concern is that GM's S-1 filing for their IPO is also saying that they're carrying $26 billion worth of unfunded pension obligations so the US taxpayer may not be done giving money to GM just quite yet.

  5. #105
    Scrumtrulescent
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    Don't confuse "building" with "assembling". Where do you think those parts come from? *hint* It aint Mexico or China.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...051303382.html
    I'm just using GM's own numbers.

    I think the Fed is reportedly going to get something like 16 billion back when it reduces it's stake from 61 to 49% or there abouts.

    That's a pretty good initial payment.
    Can't see it. 12% of GM being worth $16B would mean that the company as a whole would have a market cap of $133B. GM's all-time high for market cap is in the low $50's.

  6. #106
    No darkness Cry Havoc's Avatar
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    Not that hard to turn a profit when the government comes along, gives you a boatload of cash and tells everyone you owe money to to piss off.
    You really think it's that simple to suddenly turn the largest company on the planet into a full 180? They were losing something like $3,000,000 an hour at one point.
    Last edited by Cry Havoc; 08-20-2010 at 12:35 PM.

  7. #107
    Believe.
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    Everyone hopes for GM's success. Whether they pay back the funds or not is not the point. With the taxpayer fitting the bill the government's responsibility was to the taxpayer and putting together a reorganization package that gave GM the best opportunity for success. I find it hard to believe that catering to the same group that was largely responsible for the company's demise is putting the taxpayers interest first.

    The bigger issue for the bondholders is the precedent set by the government. If the investors of the world now have to worry about the U.S. government stepping in and changing the rules of bankruptcy law fewer investors will invest in bonds. This will then make it more difficult for companies and municipalities to raise capital.

  8. #108
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    The bigger issue for the bondholders is the precedent set by the government. If the investors of the world now have to worry about the U.S. government stepping in and changing the rules of bankruptcy law fewer investors will invest in bonds. This will then make it more difficult for companies and municipalities to raise capital.
    We have a winner.

  9. #109
    i hunt fenced animals clambake's Avatar
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    we all understand that cowboy. but the critical timing was a hit this country couldn't absorb.

  10. #110
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    The order of liquidation is secured lien holders, bondholders and then stock holders. Where do union members fit in? The only claim they would have would be for unpaid earned wages. Those claims didn't exist.
    Are you sure there is no other claim union members would have other than unpaid earned wages?

  11. #111
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Are you sure there is no other claim union members would have other than unpaid earned wages?
    The big union claim was unsecured pension obligations.

  12. #112
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    By agreeing to reduce GM's health care liabilities by 11 Billion the UAW got 17.5% of the new GM.

    To contrast that, the Bondholders gave up 27 billion of debt and got a measly 10% of new GM.

    Not exactly equitable was it?

  13. #113
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    The big union claim was unsecured pension obligations.
    And they made a sizable concession that they approved, just as majority of the bondholders approved their concessions.

    If the parties agreed to this in an attempt to avoid a traditional bankruptcy, why are you acting like they were forced to do it?

    [cue "Because the government is powerful" and could have made it worse canard]

  14. #114
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    By agreeing to reduce GM's health care liabilities by 11 Billion the UAW got 17.5% of the new GM.

    To contrast that, the Bondholders gave up 27 billion of debt and got a measly 10% of new GM.

    Not exactly equitable was it?
    If the bondholders thought they were being treated so terribly, they shouldn't have agreed to the terms.

    They agreed to the terms.

  15. #115
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    And they made a sizable concession that they approved, just as majority of the bondholders approved their concessions.

    If the parties agreed to this in an attempt to avoid a traditional bankruptcy, why are you acting like they were forced to do it?

    [cue "Because the government is powerful" and could have made it worse canard]
    exactly. Thats how extortion works.

  16. #116
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    exactly. Thats how extortion works.
    But they could have just gone into bankruptcy.

    They agreed not to.

  17. #117
    Believe.
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    Are you sure there is no other claim union members would have other than unpaid earned wages?
    Yes. Pension plans are defined benefit plans watched over by ERISA. ERISA ensures that plans are funded properly on an annual basis. If a company goes out of business the plan assets are administered by a third party. The participants then typically take the lump sum and move it to an IRA.

  18. #118
    e^(i*pi) + 1 = 0 MannyIsGod's Avatar
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    Yes, I have considered it. Your case for how important it is to hold taxpayers liable for private business losses is very compelling.
    The taxpayer was going to be on the hook with or without the bailout. This is something people don't seem to understand:

    People who lose their jobs in recessions are a severe burden upon a society financially.


    Unemployment benefits, loss of tax revenue, domino economic effects are all something to be considered (among other factors) when determining how much money the taxpayer was going to lose in either scenario.

  19. #119
    Believe.
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    They agreed not to because of the money promised by our government. With that money came the power to influence and structure the deal around benefitting the unions. If we as the taxpayer don't own GM's bonds and are not part of the union wouldn't we want to structure the deal to give GM the best opportunity to resume profitability as quickly as possible. As I mentioned before I find it hard to believe that putting the union first in line considering the role the union played in the companies downfall was the best strategy for us as taxpayers.

  20. #120
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    They agreed not to because of the money promised by our government. With that money came the power to influence and structure the deal around benefitting the unions. If we as the taxpayer don't own GM's bonds and are not part of the union wouldn't we want to structure the deal to give GM the best opportunity to resume profitability as quickly as possible. As I mentioned before I find it hard to believe that putting the union first in line considering the role the union played in the companies downfall was the best strategy for us as taxpayers.
    So the bondholders benefited from the taxpayers as well.

    OK.

    If all we are doing is shaking our fists at unions, there is no need to cloak it in something else.

  21. #121
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    Why do you guys keep saying it was an all or nothing? What if GM had been purchased in bankruptcy by someone like Toyota? The successful product lines/factories would remain open and the workers would still be employed.

  22. #122
    Alleged Michigander ChumpDumper's Avatar
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    They all agreed not to go into bankruptcy.

  23. #123
    Mr. John Wayne CosmicCowboy's Avatar
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    They all agreed not to go into bankruptcy.
    With the government gun to their heads. Sure, they agreed. At that point it wouldn't have been rational not to.

  24. #124
    dangerous floater Winehole23's Avatar
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    What gun?

  25. #125
    Believe.
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    I'm shaking my fist at the government who is spending my tax dollars. The unions did what every other interested party tried to do which is get all they could. The unions won out because there members vote with the libs.

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