*~* Trump Stock Market / Economy Crash Watch *~*

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreih5eeabdeth4z7h3uru2sov3tyd7sj46tuyxolzt6xh7 qwxe2kc4m

[Winehole23]

forum inflation hawks nowhere to be seen


The Federal Reserve’s favored gauge of inflation came in under estimates but still hit multiyear highs last month, showing a continued pinch on consumers and likely keeping America’s central bank on the monetary policy sidelines.


The Commerce Department on Thursday reported that the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 0.4% month-over-month in April, which was below Dow Jones-surveyed economists’ estimates for 0.5% PCE growth. The year-over-year rate of 3.8% was in line with estimates.
https://youngandtheinvested.com/april-2026-pce-inflation/

[Blake]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HJUmEnmWgAAojup?format=jpg&name=900x900

Yeah I've noticed the price going up and the quality going down

[Blake]

forum inflation hawks nowhere to be seen

https://youngandtheinvested.com/april-2026-pce-inflation/

TSA DOING BETTER THAN EVER

* from Korea

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreigruv5aoyra76hk2u4mgsdg7m6uuychhyr77cuc5hwbk z4fbwhd5i


“there have been 17 ‘sell signals’ since ’02, average loss for global stocks over 2-3 months is 2-3% (hit ratio of ~60%), with max drawdowns of 15-20%;”

[Winehole23]

regular folks tired of a rigged system



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreieljrbt4m4yzzzm3ueu3a4xgkrllthjq47ajrhvs2kb5 h6vkssym4https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/the-record-divide-between-corporate-profits-and-worker-pay-ea4c75bc

[Winehole23]

1Q GDP revised down to +1.6 from 2.0

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreibfscad7wr4qux3m32nmtamqyoah4pcoh5susu74pjb7 mxalp2k3a


“.. Even if the conflict were to be resolved today,” he said, effects would hit the food system “well into late summer and the fall,” or even 2027 ..

[Winehole23]

More people in the United States are going hungry now (https://www.npr.org/2025/11/24/nx-s1-5601111/heres-how-hunger-and-food-insecurity-affect-individuals-and-whole-societies) than did during the depths of the pandemic six years ago, according to a new survey from the New York Federal Reserve Bank.


The New York Fed periodically asks Americans if they're having to skip meals, rely on food donations, or receiving federal assistance to buy groceries.


Results from the most recent survey in February show higher levels of food insecurity now than during the summer of 2020, when the coronavirus pandemic triggered double-digit unemployment.

[velik_m]

The stock market just did something eerily similar to the dot-com bubble top in 2000

The S&P 500 closed at a record on the last trading day of May, but only a handful of stocks — focused mostly in the AI area — hit their own all-time highs.

This strange occurrence echoes what happened at the top of dot-com bubble 26 years ago.

On Friday, just 20 of the index members hit a record. Of those 20, just seven were not directly related to artificial intelligence.

Michael Hartnett at Bank of America pointed out in a note to end last week that it was just 20 stocks that hit new highs at the very top of the internet bubble in March 2000.

While the widely followed strategist said the “speculative price action” is likely not over yet, this occurrence is the latest sign that it is nearing. Hartnett believes central banks and rising interest rates will ultimately spell the end, giving clients a “post-bubble” road map.

...


https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/the-stock-market-just-did-something-eerily-similar-to-the-dotcom-bubble-top-in-2000.html

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreifjf75gdoaoffdvc5cgpane7jchzqszcmtcvzfuh6dwj aisrskbiy


GOLDMAN: “.. higher energy prices will continue to erode household spending power for the rest of the year, and we forecast only 0.9% real income growth in 2026 ..

“.. we expect consumer spending growth to decelerate to 1.3% for the remainder of the year, below .. our estimate of potential growth.”