*~* Trump Stock Market / Economy Crash Watch *~*

[DMX7]

The stock market is actually up for the year despite the craziness. It probably shouldn't be. I'm not complaining for now.

[Blake]

The stock market is actually up for the year despite the craziness. It probably shouldn't be. I'm not complaining for now.

It's the TACO method. It's not hard to figure out why it's been fluctuating so much this year and is currently up.

But the subtle Trump simping is duly noted.

[TSA]

It's the TACO method. It's not hard to figure out why it's been fluctuating so much this year and is currently up.

But the subtle Trump simping is duly noted.

Why is it up Blake Cramer? Hoping for some solid guidance from a real world financial guy.

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.


Not sure why I'm helping tsa find these easy Googles. I guess it's fun?

"But experts caution that Trump’s proposals, in particular, could reignite inflation.

His ideas include imposing sweeping tariffs on imports, deporting immigrant workers who work for low wages, and pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates.

'Put them all together, these levers are moving more in an inflationary direction,' Brian Riedl, a former Republican Senate aide, told The Wall Street Journal. 'I'm legitimately worried about inflation worsening in 2025.'..

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/consumer/article-14011179/economists-warn-inflation-spike-trump-spending-plans-election.html

Conservative expert, October 2024


Congratulations…this is like the 30th economist you’ve linked that is NOT warning of massive inflation.

Why do you keep embarrassing yourself by posting more and more economists that are not earning of massive inflation coming? :lol Like seriously what the fuck is wrong with you?


"Top conservative economists warn of huge inflation after election - ESPECIALLY if Trump wins"


Is literally the title of the article.

You're a strange, stupid dude. Gettin' off the tsa rodeo now. Hopefully some day you finally get that internet W you're desperately jonesing for


OMG you did it AGAIN :lmao :lmao :lmao

“iS LitTeRaLlY tHe tItLe oF tHe aRtIcLe”

Not a single economist warns of huge inflation in that article. Not a single economist warns of massive inflation in that article.

Thank you for proving you didn’t even read the article and that you just found a Daily Mail headline and rushed here to post it thinking you’ve finally salvaged a W only to make yourself look like stupid fucking idiot you are

“iS LitTeRaLlY tHe tItLe oF tHe aRtIcLe”

:lol stupid
:lol fucking
:lol idiot

Blake Cramer :rollin

[koriwhat]

Dumbfuck BlaKKKe :lol

[ChumpDumper]

Why is it up Blake Cramer? Hoping for some solid guidance from a real world financial guy.

:lol you have been documenting TACO the whole time. That's why it's up for now.

I want to know when the military tribunals prosecuting Democrats start. You predicted them in 2017 and I'm hoping for some solid guidance from a real world special knowledge guy.

[Blake]

:lol you have been documenting TACO the whole time. That's why it's up for now.

I want to know when the military tribunals prosecuting Democrats start. You predicted them in 2017 and I'm hoping for some solid guidance from a real world special knowledge guy.

:lol these guys still can't figure TACO out

[koriwhat]

:lol these guys still can't figure TACO out

Lol you faux intellectual. Talking shit on others when you created a thread wrapped around Elon with 0 facts to be found and nothing but assumptions when the guidelines were already in place for such an advisor. You're a fucking brain dead retard BlaKKKe.

[TSA]

"Top conservative economists warn of huge inflation after election - ESPECIALLY if Trump wins"


Is literally the title of the article.

You're a strange, stupid dude. Gettin' off the tsa rodeo now. Hopefully some day you finally get that internet W you're desperately jonesing for

Can you post the sentence from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election? I can't seem to find it in the article you linked :lmao

[TSA]

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1930616741685588473

[ChumpDumper]

So what does that mean for main street people getting their heath care eliminated?

Please explain.

[Blake]

Can you post the sentence from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election? I can't seem to find it in the article you linked :lmao

I know you can't. You're dumb.

[Blake]

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1930616741685588473

Also from that CNBC story that your simp idol left out in his tweet:

"'Deficit' implies something bad, but in this case the story is more nuanced. International trade has been good for the U.S. economy — importing more than we export has benefited Americans, by and large," said Elizabeth Renter, senior economist at consumer site NerdWallet. "So when the trade deficit shrinks we should be cautious of interpreting this as fully positive news."

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/05/trade-deficit-fell-by-a-record-amount-in-april-as-demand-dropped-for-imports.html

[ChumpDumper]

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/1930616741685588473

Just means we're done with the stockpiling that started in November.

1930728671980974165

https://x.com/JustinWolfers/status/1930728671980974165

[TSA]

I know you can't. You're dumb.

Which top conservative economist warned of huge inflation after the election? What was his name? Post the comment from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election.

[ChumpDumper]

No one predicted your TACO.

Not even your Q.

Now you have to declare your position on Elon's claim that Trump is a pedo.

This is your moment.

Seize it.

[velik_m]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2S7gWNxzlvE

[velik_m]

Is the US Dollar in Terminal Decline?

Approximately one week before Donald Trump stepped into office to commence his second term as US president, the US dollar began a prolonged downward trajectory, which saw it plummet from a roughly 2.5-year high in mid-January to lows three months later that were last seen in March 2022. The dollar’s performance in April was also its weakest for any month in 2.5 years, as the grim reality of the tariff regime implemented by the new US administration unleashed waves of fear and uncertainty across global markets.

It could have all been different, however, especially as the greenback was rising throughout much of last year’s final quarter, with Trump’s election victory spurring expectations that a pro-growth agenda from the incoming administration would trigger greater demand for dollar-denominated assets. Even his initial tariff proposals were largely seen as being bullish for the dollar, as higher prices—and, therefore, rising inflation—would likely induce more monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) through higher interest rates or, at least, slow the process of monetary easing. In turn, comparatively higher rates in the United States would boost global demand for dollars among investors seeking higher rates of return.

...

The reality of the current situation could hardly be more different, with global confidence in US markets having taken a dramatic hit this year as investors have looked elsewhere for stable returns. As such, the US Dollar Index (DXY)—which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of foreign currencies, including the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Canadian dollar, the Swiss franc and the Swedish krona—fell from around 110 on January 13 to a nadir of 98 on April 21. Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement on April 2, which saw sweeping tariffs announced for virtually all the US’ trading partners, has proven particularly disastrous for the strength of the dollar, with analysts suggesting that should the US continue to pursue its aggressive trade policy, further currency depreciation is in the offing.

The dollar’s decline may also be exacerbated by slowing US growth, with many now raising their expectations of an incoming recession, with the currency’s weakening since early April described as “quite shocking”. Rabobank’s head of foreign exchange strategy, Jane Foley, citing the pronounced sell-off of US stocks, US bonds and the dollar, told the BBC on April 23, “For several years, the market’s been buying this US growth story; the US stock market’s been outperforming other stock markets, and suddenly you had economists thinking tariffs would push the US into recession.”

Charles Schwab, meanwhile, has projected tariffs causing slowdowns in gross domestic product (GDP) growth and corporate earnings, whilst also acknowledging that recent data has suggested that the economy is already slowing due to constraints inflicted by tariffs. “The Federal Reserve’s latest Beige Book survey, released on April 24th, cited the word ‘tariffs’ 107 times as a concern for its regional banks. It indicated that only five of the regional banks saw an increase in activity, three said activity was unchanged, and four pointed to slowing activity,” the financial-services firm noted in an analysis published on April 28. “Given the prospects for slower growth, investors may be starting to look elsewhere for higher returns. That’s a problem for the U.S., because we run a large fiscal deficit that needs to be financed with foreign capital. The high level of uncertainty and continued volatility in policy could discourage capital inflows.”

...

JPMorgan Chase has echoed this sentiment, noting that while foreign investors were still pouring around $7 billion per week into US stocks through early March, those inflows have collapsed to zero during the two months since then, with two of those weeks experiencing the biggest weekly outflows on record. At the same time, JPMorgan added, European stocks were recently enjoying renewed interest, with inflows in seven of the ten weeks leading up to late April rivalling the strongest months over the last two years. “Bottom line: We don’t think investors need to overhaul their asset allocations, and the United States remains a valuable core holding,” the bank concluded. “But high uncertainty and the potential for a weaker dollar mean ignoring geographic imbalances carries a greater risk than it once did. In a shifting environment, purposeful portfolio positioning, including international assets and gold, is crucial.”



https://internationalbanker.com/brokerage/is-the-us-dollar-in-terminal-decline/

[TSA]

Where did all the stock market updates go? :lol

S&P flirting with all time highs and all the real world finance guys have gone silent :lol

[ChumpDumper]

TACO Don shut the fuck up about tariffs while trying to lay the groundwork for nationwide martial law.:tu

[Blake]

S&P flirting with all time highs and all the real world finance guys have gone silent :lol

Lol you STILL don't get TACO.

[TSA]

Lol you STILL don't get TACO.

I didn't think you'd come back to this thread after being so thoroughly embarrassed.

Since you're here...Which top conservative economist warned of huge inflation after the election? What was his name? Post the comment from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election.

Here is the the article you linked in case you need to reference it.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/consumer/article-14011179/economists-warn-inflation-spike-trump-spending-plans-election.html

[Blake]

I didn't think you'd come back to this thread after being so thoroughly embarrassed.

Since you're here...Which top conservative economist warned of huge inflation after the election? What was his name? Post the comment from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election.

Here is the the article you linked in case you need to reference it.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/consumer/article-14011179/economists-warn-inflation-spike-trump-spending-plans-election.html

Lol you STILL don't get what TACO means.

[TSA]

Lol you STILL don't get what TACO means.

Dodging questions about your own article now? lol what a pussy.

Which top conservative economist warned of huge inflation after the election? What was his name? Post the comment from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election.

Here is the the article you linked in case you need to reference it.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/consumer/article-14011179/economists-warn-inflation-spike-trump-spending-plans-election.html[/QUOTE]

It's literally the title of the article why are you having so much trouble posting it?

[TSA]

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1932120632546001098

[ChumpDumper]

Because TACO.

Trump doesn't even remember what tariffs he called for.

[Blake]

Dodging questions about your own article now? lol what a pussy.

Which top conservative economist warned of huge inflation after the election? What was his name? Post the comment from the top conservative economist from the article you linked warning of huge inflation after the election.

Here is the the article you linked in case you need to reference it.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/consumer/article-14011179/economists-warn-inflation-spike-trump-spending-plans-election.html

It's literally the title of the article why are you having so much trouble posting it?[/QUOTE]

Lol why are you trying to drudge this up again? Sorry, not falling for the tsa rodeo today.

[Blake]

Because TACO.

Trump doesn't even remember what tariffs he called for.

Lol he STILL doesn't get how TACO works

[TSA]

It's literally the title of the article why are you having so much trouble posting it?

Lol why are you trying to drudge this up again? Sorry, not falling for the tsa rodeo today.

If you don't want me to keep drudging it up and making fun of you than just admit you ran to spurstalk thinking you were finally going to be able to back your claim of "many economists warning of massive inflation" and you ended up linking an article based solely on the headline and you didn't actually read the article to realize the actual article made no such claims by economists. Admit your own goal and I'll stop drudging it up. Don't admit and I'll keep mocking your stupidity.

[Blake]

If you don't want me to keep drudging it up and making fun of you than just admit you ran to spurstalk thinking you were finally going to be able to back your claim of "many economists warning of massive inflation" and you ended up linking an article based solely on the headline and you didn't actually read the article to realize the actual article made no such claims by economists. Admit your own goal and I'll stop drudging it up. Don't admit and I'll keep mocking your stupidity.

I don't care if you keep bringing it up. I'm not wrong. I backed up my claim multiple times. It's your obsession to win the internets not mine.

[TSA]

I don't care if you keep bringing it up. I'm not wrong. I backed up my claim multiple times. It's your obsession to win the internets not mine.There is nothing for me to win here, I'm not the one who made the claim I've failed to back up for almost a month now. You are obsessed with not taking the L, and in doing so have only made yourself look stupider and stupider with each attempt instead of just saying, yeah, I fucked up.

And no one believes you don't care. If you didn't care you wouldn't still be trying and failing to prove your dumbass claim a month later.

You didn't back up your claim a single time...and you tried like 20 times :lmao

The only reason I keep bringing it up is because your ego won't allow you to just admit you talked out of your ass and there wasn't actually a single economist warning of massive inflation. You couldn't find a single one, even though your initial claim was many economists from both sides were warning of massive inflation. You finally thought you found one...a top conservative economist warning of huge inflation, and it says it right there in the headline of the article. This was it, you were finally going to get TSA. You ran to spurstalk as quickly as you could to post the link, because now, you finally got me. You were finally going to get that W, it is literally right there in the title. But alas it wasn't to be...the article you linked didn't have a single conservative economist warning of huge inflation despite the headline. You own goaled and shit all over yourself and proved you read nothing more past the headline. You are so dumb :lmao

[ChumpDumper]

:lol TSAnon still trying to act like he wasn't all in on Pizzagate and Q and claiming scoreboard.

Sorry dude, you're still up there with derp.

[Blake]

There is nothing for me to win here, I'm not the one who made the claim I've failed to back up for almost a month now. You are obsessed with not taking the L, and in doing so have only made yourself look stupider and stupider with each attempt instead of just saying, yeah, I fucked up.

And no one believes you don't care. If you didn't care you wouldn't still be trying and failing to prove your dumbass claim a month later.

You didn't back up your claim a single time...and you tried like 20 times :lmao

The only reason I keep bringing it up is because your ego won't allow you to just admit you talked out of your ass and there wasn't actually a single economist warning of massive inflation. You couldn't find a single one, even though your initial claim was many economists from both sides were warning of massive inflation. You finally thought you found one...a top conservative economist warning of huge inflation, and it says it right there in the headline of the article. This was it, you were finally going to get TSA. You ran to spurstalk as quickly as you could to post the link, because now, you finally got me. You were finally going to get that W, it is literally right there in the title. But alas it wasn't to be...the article you linked didn't have a single conservative economist warning of huge inflation despite the headline. You own goaled and shit all over yourself and proved you read nothing more past the headline. You are so dumb :lmao

I DON'T CARE ABOUT INTERNET VICTORIES BUT I'M GONNA POST ANOTHER TEXT WALL TALKING ABOUT IT

[koriwhat]

I DON'T CARE ABOUT INTERNET VICTORIES BUT I'M GONNA POST ANOTHER TEXT WALL TALKING ABOUT IT

All you do is dodge accountability while spewing your nonsense and then you pretend otherwise as if TSA is just trolling you endlessly. You truly are a cuckold aren't you bitch boy BlaKKKe? :lol

[koriwhat]

Who else has that dumb cunt Brooke, AKA CumDumpster, on ignore? I bet 90+% do tbh. What a worthless bitch she is.

[Blake]

:lol TSAnon still trying to act like he wasn't all in on Pizzagate and Q and claiming scoreboard.

Sorry dude, you're still up there with derp.

:lol and horse pills and other stupid shit

[TSA]

I DON'T CARE ABOUT INTERNET VICTORIES BUT I'M GONNA POST ANOTHER TEXT WALL TALKING ABOUT IT

I DON'T CARE ABOUT INTERNET VICTORIES BUT I'M GONNA POST 20+ ECONOMISTS THAT UTTERLY FAIL TO BACK UP MY CLAIM.

Stop making yourself look so stupid dude. Admit you fucked up, can't back your claim(s), and move on.

[Blake]

"...BENGALURU, June 10 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold for at least another couple of months, according to most economists polled by Reuters, as risks linger that inflation may resurge due to President Donald Trump's tariff policies...."

https://www.reuters.com/business/fed-keep-rates-hold-least-until-september-inflation-risks-linger-2025-06-10/

[Blake]

I DON'T CARE ABOUT INTERNET VICTORIES BUT I'M GONNA POST 20+ ECONOMISTS THAT UTTERLY FAIL TO BACK UP MY CLAIM.

Stop making yourself look so stupid dude. Admit you fucked up, can't back your claim(s), and move on.

:lol June 10th, still begging for the W.

[TSA]

:lol June 10th, still begging for the W.

There is nothing for me to win here, I'm not the one who made the claim I've failed to back up for almost a month now. I'm not the one who keeps posting random economists that don't back my claim up. Over and over I told you to just give up and stop making yourself look stupid yet here you still are, making yourself look stupid. I'm just here laughing at all your failed attempts. :lol

[ChumpDumper]

TSAnon wants people to stop making themselves look stupid.

[Blake]

There is nothing for me to win here, I'm not the one who made the claim I've failed to back up for almost a month now. I'm not the one who keeps posting random economists that don't back my claim up. Over and over I told you to just give up and stop making yourself look stupid yet here you still are, making yourself look stupid. I'm just here laughing at all your failed attempts. :lol

OVER AND OVER I'VE TOLD YOU TO GIVE ME THE W THAT I DON'T CARE ABOUT

[TSA]

OVER AND OVER I'VE TOLD YOU TO GIVE ME THE W THAT I DON'T CARE ABOUT

You're the one that has continued (and failed) to try and back your claim up for a month. If you didn't care and weren't completely butthurt you wouldn't keep posting links to all those articles. I didn't force you to post all those articles and when the article fail to once again back your claim I'm going to laugh at you and mock you for being so stupid.

OMG I just saw you changed the tag line under your username. I am living so rent free in your underdeveloped brain :lmao

[TSA]

The funniest part about all of this is that I've had you butthurt and tailspinning since relentlessly mocking you for simping the Ann Selzer poll. You've never recovered :lmao

[Blake]

TSAnon wants people to stop making themselves look stupid.

:lol

[TSA]

:lol

:lol phone a friend
:lol changing your tagline
:lol so butthurt

[ChumpDumper]

tbh Blake was right about Pizzagate

TSA? Not so much. Last thing he said about it was he thinks the child sex dungeon is under a different DC restaurant.

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.


https://x.com/DrJStrategy/status/1932787106792812742

:rollin

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.

May's numbers out...and again...beat expectations :rollin

https://x.com/TheStalwart/status/1932777380621271122

https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1932785089475178513

[TSA]

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1932779623869268002

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1932780473995988993

https://x.com/DrJStrategy/status/1932787106792812742

https://x.com/TheStalwart/status/1932777380621271122

https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1932785089475178513

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1932779623869268002

:rollin

[Blake]

Tsa STILL not understanding what TACO means and how it works.

[Blake]

"Inflation showed little change last month as President Trump's tariffs have so far not had a big effect on the prices that American shoppers pay."

https://www.npr.org/2025/06/11/nx-s1-5429597/inflation-tariffs-cpi-economy

It's as simple as that. Now go off on a text wall rant showing us all you still don't get it. Go.

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.


"Inflation showed little change last month as President Trump's tariffs have so far not had a big effect on the prices that American shoppers pay."


:rollin

[TSA]

https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1932800135370551376

:bobo

[Blake]

:rollin

So you think you got an internet win because we're in June and Inflation hasn't hit hard yet.

The only difference now between you and derp is that you don't have troll accounts to give yourself high fives and you haven't started your own forum.

[TSA]

So you think you got an internet win because we're in June and Inflation hasn't hit hard yet.

The only difference now between you and derp is that you don't have troll accounts to give yourself high fives and you haven't started your own forum.

Adding another Blake Cramer quote to the list :lol


Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.


Top conservative economists warn of huge inflation after election - ESPECIALLY if Trump wins


So you think you got an internet win because we're in June and Inflation hasn't hit hard yet.

"massive"

"huge"

"hit hard"

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1932780473995988993

I've got you so butthurt you changed your tagline :lmao

[Blake]

Adding another Blake Cramer quote to the list :lol







"massive"

"huge"

"hit hard"

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1932780473995988993

I've got you so butthurt you changed your tagline :lmao

Those are all synonymous. You're scraping for bottom barrel internet wins and you still come up empty.

[TSA]

Those are all synonymous. You're scraping for bottom barrel internet wins and you still come up empty.

You're just teeing these up for me now, do you have a humiliation kink? :lol

The only one coming up empty is you as you've tried for a month and have yet to produce a single economist warning of massive or huge inflation coming like you claimed "many from both sides were warning"

I will claim this internet win though...getting you so butthurt you changed your tagline :lmao

[Blake]

You're just teeing these up for me now, do you have a humiliation kink? :lol

The only one coming up empty is you as you've tried for a month and have yet to produce a single economist warning of massive or huge inflation coming like you claimed "many from both sides were warning"

I will claim this internet win though...getting you so butthurt you changed your tagline :lmao

I've absolutely posted the economists' warnings. You going full tsa rodeo mode over and over that I didn't doesn't erase those posts from this thread. Sorry.

[TSA]

The Post reports today that the IRS’ internal projections estimate that the DOGE-driven disruptions to the IRS since the inauguration are on track to have reduced tax receipts by more than $500 billion by April 15th. This, to be clear, is not a final tally. It’s not April 15th yet. It’s a projection based on historical data, the number of people who’ve filed, paid owed amounts of tax, etc. It’s worth taking a moment to put this number into some context in case half a trillion dollars doesn’t do it for you. Non-defense discretionary spending is the cost to fund the U.S. government once you take out mandatory spending (mostly Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid) and the cost of the U.S. military. For 2023 that number was $917 billion. So that’s most of the stuff we think of as the government, apart from those payment programs and the military. In other words, in about eight weeks DOGE managed to lose the U.S. government — more or less light on fire — more than half of what goes to all non-defense discretionary spending.
https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/irs-predicts-doge-lost-half-a-trillion-dollars-for-the-usaYou'd think with sheer number of all the predictions you spam at least one of them would finally stick

https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1932818280177152211

[Blake]

Lol Bessent

[TSA]

I've absolutely posted the economists' warnings. You going full tsa rodeo mode over and over that I didn't doesn't erase those posts from this thread. Sorry.Why do you keep doing this to yourself? :lmao

Sure, you posted some economists warning that inflation might happen. That wasn't your claim though retard.


Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.

I told you to post the many economists from both sides and you couldn't find anyone backing your claim. You then moved the goalpost...


What if I post a single economist since you can't find a single one?

You've been trying for a month now and still haven't found a single economist warning of "massive" or "huge" inflation. You recently thought you had one because the Daily Mail headline you read said conservative economist warns of huge inflation but not a single conservative economist in the article warned of huge inflation. You never made it past the headline and read the article. I read every single one of your links. Every single one said inflation might happen, not a single one of them warned of "massive" or "huge" inflation coming.

Take your L and move on bro I'm seriously embarrassed for you and I'm starting to feel bad making fun of you so much but you just won't drop it :lol

[TSA]

https://x.com/Geiger_Capital/status/1932846760377872575

[TSA]

I've got you so butthurt you changed your tagline :lmao

Good job advertising to the board that I live rent free in your head :lmao

[ChumpDumper]

:lol Blake is making TSAnon quote himself

[velik_m]

U.S. budget deficit hit $316 billion in May, with annual shortfall up 14% from a year ago

The U.S. government drifted further into red ink in May, with a burgeoning debt and deficit issue getting worse, the Treasury Department reported Wednesday.

After running a short-lived surplus in April thanks to tax season receipts, the deficit totaled just more than $316 billion for the month, taking the year-to-date total to $1.36 trillion.

The annual tally was 14% higher than a year ago, though the May 2025 total was 9% less than the May 2024 shortfall.

Surging financing costs were again a major contributor to fiscal issues, with interest on the $36.2 trillion debt topping $92 billion. Interest expenses on net exceeded all other outlays except for Medicare and Social Security. Debt financing is expected to run above $1.2 trillion for this fiscal year, totaling $776 billion through the first eight months of the fiscal year.
...



https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/11/us-budget-deficit-hit-316-billion-in-may-with-annual-shortfall-up-14percent-from-a-year-ago.html

[Blake]

Why do you keep doing this to yourself? :lmao

Sure, you posted some economists warning that inflation might happen. That wasn't your claim though retard.



I told you to post the many economists from both sides and you couldn't find anyone backing your claim. You then moved the goalpost...



You've been trying for a month now and still haven't found a single economist warning of "massive" or "huge" inflation. You recently thought you had one because the Daily Mail headline you read said conservative economist warns of huge inflation but not a single conservative economist in the article warned of huge inflation. You never made it past the headline and read the article. I read every single one of your links. Every single one said inflation might happen, not a single one of them warned of "massive" or "huge" inflation coming.

Take your L and move on bro I'm seriously embarrassed for you and I'm starting to feel bad making fun of you so much but you just won't drop it :lol

Do you even know the definition of the word "warning"?

Sorry there's still no internet W for you here to satisfy your craving.

[TSA]

Do you even know the definition of the word "warning"?

Sorry there's still no internet W for you here to satisfy your craving."warning" was never in dispute, are you really this dumb? Serious question.


Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.


Top conservative economists warn of huge inflation after election - ESPECIALLY if Trump wins

Do you even know the definition of the word "massive" or "huge"? None of the 20+ economists you posted "warned" of "massive" or "huge" inflation coming.

Stop embarrassing yourself you fucking idiot. :lol

[TSA]

This is Reck level stupidity on display now holy shit.

[Blake]

:lol q anon pizza comet kid telling me I need to be embarrassed

[TSA]

:lol q anon pizza comet kid telling me I need to be embarrassedBlake getting taken to the woodshed by "q anon pizza comet kid" :lmao


Do you even know the definition of the word "warning"?

Sorry there's still no internet W for you here to satisfy your craving.

"warning" was never in dispute, you really are this dumb.


Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.


Top conservative economists warn of huge inflation after election - ESPECIALLY if Trump wins

Do you even know the definition of the word "massive" or "huge"? None of the 20+ economists you posted "warned" of "massive" or "huge" inflation coming.

:lol getting embarrassed by "q anon pizza comet kid"

[ChumpDumper]

This is really the only w he thinks he's had in years.

[Blake]

This is really the only w he thinks he's had in years.

Man he was pretty sure about the horse pills though

[TSA]

Man he was pretty sure about the horse pills though

I'm as sure I wasn't pimping Ivermectin as I'm sure you never produced a single economist warning of massive or huge information.

You're a fucking idiot, again.

[Blake]

I'm as sure I wasn't pimping Ivermectin as I'm sure you never produced a single economist warning of massive or huge information.

You're a fucking idiot, again.

Oh maybe it was hydroxychloroquine that your Q masters told you to pimp. That's it, isn't it.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:t6ubj2wlhc34awzcymh3qpur/bafkreidueyq6qxtw522bz46ftxax2t3uxxec7hn3rchjykefr 6pw56dl2y@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreihbror7cfmu4bok2epiw2tb6vmjuz67pzqnpfysivdbf hvxkwrdpe@jpeg

[Blake]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:t6ubj2wlhc34awzcymh3qpur/bafkreidueyq6qxtw522bz46ftxax2t3uxxec7hn3rchjykefr 6pw56dl2y@jpeg

Well sorry to all the little girls out there that can't get that 5th doll they wanted. Tough shit.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:pnx2fjuannbdpy3337ggthpp/bafkreidsowez4g7xetdzuv5yjawjyk35h6k46fwmuxacdljhi ca6fdye6m@jpeg


Residential construction data not great (https://bsky.app/profile/peark.es/post/3lrv3wl3mks2a). Starts down 10% MoM versus a ~1% drop expected, permits (better indicator) down 2% MoM versus flat expected. Lowest permits print since 2020 and we're clearly in a retrenchment cycle here, which tends to work pretty well as a recession indicator.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:hqp4sby2esq5iaz54ddid2gj/bafkreie4rlukzlmvzg6mor33bk7kzx3xtbabp3augrsa5oqvs tebi7v7su@jpeg

[DMX7]

Tomorrow should be interesting.

[TSA]

Tomorrow should be interesting.

All indices up and crude down lol.

[Winehole23]

PANTHEON: “.. the output price index of the [S&P] manufacturing survey increased to 64.5 in June, from 63.6 in May. That’s consistent with CPI core goods inflation shooting up to about 4.5% soon, from 0.3% in May ..”
https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreifzwble5fv7j5cpk73zzkicdizzlin7w77rswi4eri2h 7k6rfsc2e@jpeg

[Winehole23]

does Trump know what the Department of Energy does?

seems doubtful


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:nzcjpprq6fwcdnwpc45e3gsd/bafkreiby3yr6daybv4qbpaxeav5jekjwyibo2wwxvwfkm2az5 k4ajeq25i@jpeg

[Winehole23]

lol the begging

[Winehole23]

:lmao


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:4h5i777qrlks2ew6nqtw4qy7/bafkreibvkjwvzdr4ot4lo4alv5wlxrrluh4jikpfdrexqmlnw bvvyq4jhm@jpeg

[TSA]

Lol "one time bump"

What does that even mean?

“Should inflation pressures remain contained, I would support lowering the policy rate as soon as our next meeting in order to bring it closer to its neutral setting and to sustain a healthy labor market.”

Bowman had been very focused on inflation risks through last year. She says she sees tariffs as likely to present a “small and one-off increase” in prices because she expects increased economic slack this year.

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-trump-tariffs-trade-war-06-23-2025/card/fed-s-bowman-says-she-could-support-a-july-interest-rate-cut-gdCMqnH9zJKe

:lol Blake Cramer

[Blake]

“Should inflation pressures remain contained, I would support lowering the policy rate as soon as our next meeting in order to bring it closer to its neutral setting and to sustain a healthy labor market.”

Bowman had been very focused on inflation risks through last year. She says she sees tariffs as likely to present a “small and one-off increase” in prices because she expects increased economic slack this year.

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-trump-tariffs-trade-war-06-23-2025/card/fed-s-bowman-says-she-could-support-a-july-interest-rate-cut-gdCMqnH9zJKe

:lol Blake Cramer

Lol "should inflation pressures remain contained"

The hedging

[Winehole23]

wow


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:q5wqr7zofdqyqwoki4cby36x/bafkreif4i43o742oxkapt6hs7pr4aib5uhg7hbo36p7qc2ceu 262h6nf24@jpeg

[TSA]

Lol "should inflation pressures remain contained"

The hedgingOf course the point of my post went right over your head.

Have you found a single economist yet warning of massive or huge inflation? You've had over a month now :rollin

[Blake]

Of course the point of my post went right over your head.

Have you found a single economist yet warning of massive or huge inflation? You've had over a month now :rollin

You can take your internet win over dictionary meanings. You good now?

[Winehole23]

more than vibes, perhaps


JPMORGAN: “Indicators of labor market momentum have shown signs of softening. Today’s June Conference Board survey... makes it increasingly likely that the unemployment rate will rise to 4.3% in next week’s report.”


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:nyjm4ylfid2a7mjm6varxuiq/bafkreicojwfbd5q7sojiigrxjfkfxyycrappxkfdhhfii7tmp rgq2wiraa@jpeg

[Winehole23]

Trump's insane tariffs have increased the pucker factor


US consumer confidence unexpectedly dropped in June, falling from 98.4 in May to 93.0, according to new data from the Conference Board.


Economists had expected the index to tick up to almost 100, suggesting growing unease among Americans over the economy, labor market, and their personal finances, with tariffs being the top concern.


June’s retreat in confidence was shared by consumers across age and income groups, as well as political affiliations, with the biggest decline among Republicans (https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence), the survey showed.


“In this kind of environment, it’s not surprising that consumers are hesitant to make big purchases,” one economist said. “This is an ‘abundance of caution economy (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-24/us-consumer-confidence-retreats-on-broad-economic-concerns?srnd=homepage-americas).’”
https://www.semafor.com/article/06/24/2025/us-consumer-confidence-unexpectedly-falls-in-june

[Winehole23]

new home sales down


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:pnx2fjuannbdpy3337ggthpp/bafkreihmhpexhgzemf2z2wyplbhh2pduwafxtklypk7mtoxd7 taqfx7tja@jpeg

[TSA]

You can take your internet win over dictionary meanings. You good now?

"dictionary meanings"

:rollin

[Blake]

You don't even know what you're trying to win here

[TSA]

You don't even know what you're trying to win here

I told you from the start there was nothing for me to "win" as it wasn't my claim to begin with. This was your claim and I've just been laughing at you flailing around trying to find anything to back it. So, after over a month, are you finally admitting that your claim was total bullshit and that many economists from both sides were never warning of massive or huge inflation?

[Blake]

I told you from the start there was nothing for me to "win" as it wasn't my claim to begin with. This was your claim and I've just been laughing at you flailing around trying to find anything to back it. So, after over a month, are you finally admitting that your claim was total bullshit and that many economists from both sides were never warning of massive or huge inflation?

There are plenty of warnings of inflation. You're getting your e- panties twisted over the adjectives. You're weird.

[TSA]

There are plenty of warnings of inflation. You're getting your e- panties twisted over the adjectives. You're weird.

"they are just meaningless adjectives"

:lol you are so fucking pathetic

[Blake]

"These adjectives mean everything to my message board win/ loss record"

You're a massively weird dude.

[TSA]

You just can't help yourself and keep coming back to humiliate yourself :rollin

[Blake]

You just can't help yourself and keep coming back to humiliate yourself :rollin

MOAR INTERNET WINS!

[TSA]

:lmao tailspinning :lmao

[TSA]

https://x.com/alx/status/1938596445776646507

https://en.meming.world/images/en/9/91/Oof_Size_Large.jpg

[velik_m]

https://x.com/alx/status/1938596445776646507

https://en.meming.world/images/en/9/91/Oof_Size_Large.jpg

https://ycharts.com/indices/%5ESPXEUR

[Blake]

MOAR INTERNET WINS!

[DMX7]

https://x.com/alx/status/1938596445776646507

I was definitely a buyer on weakness but didn't think it would run up this fast. Loving it.

[Winehole23]

tough jobs report


Private sector hiring shrunk dramatically last month in a worrying sign for the the US economy.

Private payrolls shed 33,000 jobs in June when analysts had conversely expected them to add 100,000, according to the latest ADP figures.

The worrying data suggests the US economy could be a lot less resilient than investors have been hoping.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes turned negative in pre-market trading following the release of the report on Wednesday morning.

'Though layoffs continue to be rare, a hesitancy to hire and a reluctance to replace departing workers led to job losses last month,' Nela Richardson, ADP's chief economist said in a statement.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/shock-job-report-shows-worst-employment-decline-in-years-sending-markets-into-the-negative/ar-AA1HPsBt

[Blake]

I was definitely a buyer on weakness but didn't think it would run up this fast. Loving it.

If what Trump says is true about Vietnam tariffs, which is probably the cause of the markets rising, you'll be paying back the money you're making now a little later this year at the cash register.

Unless you're that idiot that believes the suppliers will eat the tariffs and not pass them on to the consumer.

[DMX7]

If what Trump says is true about Vietnam tariffs, which is probably the cause of the markets rising, you'll be paying back the money you're making now a little later this year at the cash register.

Unless you're that idiot that believes the suppliers will eat the tariffs and not pass them on to the consumer.

The CPI data doesn't support your argument that the consumers are paying all the tariffs, so far consumers are paying a small fraction of them. I'm perfectly OK with that.

Also, this Vietnam trade deal supposedly secures US exporters tariff free access to Vietnam which is good for our exporters. Do you think that's bad for US exporters?

[Blake]

The CPI data doesn't support your argument that the consumers are paying all the tariffs, so far consumers are paying a small fraction of them. I'm perfectly OK with that.

Also, this Vietnam trade deal supposedly secures US exporters tariff free access to Vietnam which is good for our exporters. Do you think that's bad for US exporters?

Lol "so far".

History says consumers eat the tariffs.

I honestly don't give a shit about our exports to Vietnam. Why should I? I don't export anything to Vietnam. Do you?

[DMX7]

Lol "so far".

History says consumers eat the tariffs.

I honestly don't give a shit about our exports to Vietnam. Why should I? I don't export anything to Vietnam. Do you?

lol "History". You know we've had a 25% tariffs on US imports of trucks, but we've haven't been paying crazy high prices for trucks, have we?

That's because companies have a choice to dodge the tariffs by building their products in the US. That's what Toyota did when they built a Tundra plant in San Antonio. That plant probably doesn't exist without the tariffs.


I honestly don't give a shit about our exports to Vietnam. Why should I? I don't export anything to Vietnam. Do you?

I invest in companies that export to all the countries we're trying to strike deals with so I'm for it. Plus it's good for American businesses if they can export more products. I guess I can understand why you don't care about that. I do.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:atnbskbs2ceelndcdyst5plm/bafkreicotzafr6y5lndietrrgabevdsbpcdysezqn72txtf5a pd2dh6nwq@jpeg

[ChumpDumper]

The CPI data doesn't support your argument that the consumers are paying all the tariffsRube.

[Winehole23]

Trump's immigration dragnet will likely depress economic growth, according to pointy-headed commies at the American Enterprise Institute



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:2vtbmhmrwzbqcfv4we4uxzzt/bafkreigqskcl3wwub66ahkktakx6acjc5t76x5fbwdrxyih43 [email protected]/research-products/report/immigration-policy-and-its-macroeconomic-effects-in-the-second-trump-administration/

[TSA]

tough jobs report

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/shock-job-report-shows-worst-employment-decline-in-years-sending-markets-into-the-negative/ar-AA1HPsBtHiring Defied Expectations in June, With 147,000 New Jobs

U.S. job growth continued at a steady pace last month, surprising economists who had predicted a slowdown in hiring amid uncertainty over trade and fiscal policy.

The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, the Labor Department reported Thursday, above the gain of 110,000 jobs economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected.

The unemployment rate, which is based on a separate survey of U.S. households, fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.

Revisions showed that hiring was stronger in prior months than previously thought. The number of jobs added in April and May was a combined 16,000 higher than prior estimates.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/hiring-defied-expectations-in-june-with-147-000-new-jobs/ar-AA1HTO95?ocid=winp2fptaskbarent&cvid=23d397cbd21447b1b6cd7999b6cc6d33&ei=9

:lol winehole

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:7qqkq2zdwq4j5jingukgtuky/bafkreievupnmnob5pv4v5dfl75aolnqyhpimnfd6cqorxwlay wgvhuj7eu@jpeg

[GAustex]

Hiring Defied Expectations in June, With 147,000 New Jobs

U.S. job growth continued at a steady pace last month, surprising economists who had predicted a slowdown in hiring amid uncertainty over trade and fiscal policy.

The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, the Labor Department reported Thursday, above the gain of 110,000 jobs economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected.

The unemployment rate, which is based on a separate survey of U.S. households, fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.

Revisions showed that hiring was stronger in prior months than previously thought. The number of jobs added in April and May was a combined 16,000 higher than prior estimates.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/hiring-defied-expectations-in-june-with-147-000-new-jobs/ar-AA1HTO95?ocid=winp2fptaskbarent&cvid=23d397cbd21447b1b6cd7999b6cc6d33&ei=9

:lol winehole

lol asshole23

[ChumpDumper]

Hiring Defied Expectations in June, With 147,000 New Jobs

U.S. job growth continued at a steady pace last month, surprising economists who had predicted a slowdown in hiring amid uncertainty over trade and fiscal policy.

The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, the Labor Department reported Thursday, above the gain of 110,000 jobs economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected.

The unemployment rate, which is based on a separate survey of U.S. households, fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.

Revisions showed that hiring was stronger in prior months than previously thought. The number of jobs added in April and May was a combined 16,000 higher than prior estimates.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/hiring-defied-expectations-in-june-with-147-000-new-jobs/ar-AA1HTO95?ocid=winp2fptaskbarent&cvid=23d397cbd21447b1b6cd7999b6cc6d33&ei=9

:lol winehole
TSA really excited by the increase in government jobs.

Private sector actually down 33,000 jobs.

[velik_m]

Hiring Defied Expectations in June, With 147,000 New Jobs

U.S. job growth continued at a steady pace last month, surprising economists who had predicted a slowdown in hiring amid uncertainty over trade and fiscal policy.

The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, the Labor Department reported Thursday, above the gain of 110,000 jobs economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected.

The unemployment rate, which is based on a separate survey of U.S. households, fell to 4.1% from 4.2%.

Revisions showed that hiring was stronger in prior months than previously thought. The number of jobs added in April and May was a combined 16,000 higher than prior estimates.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/hiring-defied-expectations-in-june-with-147-000-new-jobs/ar-AA1HTO95?ocid=winp2fptaskbarent&cvid=23d397cbd21447b1b6cd7999b6cc6d33&ei=9

:lol winehole



...
Federal-government layoffs were a modest drag on payrolls, with federal-government employment declining by 7,000 in June. But overall government employment rose by 73,000, because states and localities continued to add jobs.

Private-sector employers added just 74,000 jobs in June, down from 137,000 in May. That was also the lowest number since October 2024, after hurricanes Helene and Milton put thousands of people out of work.

More than half of the month’s gains came from state and local governments, which added a combined 80,000 jobs.

“The headline number exaggerates the underlying trend of job growth,” said Henry McVey, head of global macro and asset allocation at KKR. While overall job growth looked strong, it was heavily concentrated in a handful of sectors and driven in part by state and local government hiring.

One area of concern: Manufacturing employment fell for the second straight month. “The underlying data tells you that we’re having a manufacturing recession,” he said.

President Trump has said that his tariffs will make America richer and bring back manufacturing jobs.

The jobs report is a sign that manufacturers are holding off on hiring because of uncertainty over tariffs, said Sung Won Sohn, a professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University.

...

[Winehole23]

3.5 more years of up-is-downism

[TSA]

ST Dems trying to nitpick ANOTHER positive jobs report when they didn't say a word when Biden had downward revisions in 11 of 12 months and total downward revision of 818,000 jobs Mar 2023 - Mar 2024 :rollin

[SnakeBoy]

:lol winehole

:lol Poor fella just can't get anything to go his way

[ChumpDumper]

ST Dems trying to nitpick ANOTHER positive jobs report when they didn't say a word when Biden had downward revisions in 11 of 12 months and total downward revision of 818,000 jobs Mar 2023 - Mar 2024 :rollin

If dependence on government jobs is what you wanted, congratulations.

I thought you were pimping manufacturing with all your support of tariffs. Turns out you don't give a shit about manufacturing jobs at all.

My bad.

[TSA]

:lol Poor fella just can't get anything to go his way:lol like clockwork

He rushed to ST to post the numbers from the absolutely useless ADP report claiming 33,000 private sector jobs lost when in reality private sector gained 74,000. Poor fella thought he finally got one.

[ChumpDumper]

Government jobs good.

We understand.

[velik_m]

Jane Street barred from Indian markets as regulator freezes $566 million over Nifty 50 manipulation claims

...
Jane Street allegedly used various strategies to artificially influence India’s benchmark Nifty 50 index — which tracks the country’s top 50 companies — and profit from significantly larger positions in index options.

According to SEBI’s 105-page interim order, Jane Street would aggressively buy large amounts of stocks and futures that are part of the BANKNIFTY index, which tracks the performance of India’s banking sector, early in the trading day. The quantitative trading firm would then place large bets that the index would decline later in the day.

Jane Street would then sell off the positions it had bought earlier, dragging the index lower and making their earlier bets in the options market far more profitable.

While Jane Street would incur some losses, SEBI contended that it was part of a “deliberate strategy to manipulate indices to the advantage of the trading and positions,” and the losses were offset by the firm’s much larger and profitable options trade.

While these actions were not a breach of any regulation, SEBI said that the “intensity and sheer scale” of their intervention, and the rapid reversal of their trades “without any plausible economic rationale, other than the concurrent activity in and impact on their positions in the BANKNIFTY index options markets,” was manipulative.

SEBI noted that repeated instances of manipulative trading continued on the broader Nifty50 benchmark even after an “explicit advisory” was issued to the firm in February 2025 by the National Stock Exchange of India.

...


https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/04/indian-regulator-bars-us-trading-firm-jane-street-from-accessing-securities-market.html

[Blake]

If dependence on government jobs is what you wanted, congratulations.

I thought you were pimping manufacturing with all your support of tariffs. Turns out you don't give a shit about manufacturing jobs at all.

My bad.

Oof

[Blake]

lol "History". You know we've had a 25% tariffs on US imports of trucks, but we've haven't been paying crazy high prices for trucks, have we?

That's because companies have a choice to dodge the tariffs by building their products in the US. That's what Toyota did when they built a Tundra plant in San Antonio. That plant probably doesn't exist without the tariffs.



I invest in companies that export to all the countries we're trying to strike deals with so I'm for it. Plus it's good for American businesses if they can export more products. I guess I can understand why you don't care about that. I do.

American businesses increasing their business is great unless it comes at the cost of the American consumer. Which it will. You're a closet Trump tard, I see why you don't care about consumers.

[Winehole23]

Mish is a Trumper


July 3, 2025: The Rise in Continued Unemployment Claims Shows Difficulty in Finding a Job (https://mishtalk.com/economics/the-rise-in-continued-unemployment-claims-shows-difficulty-in-finding-a-job/)

If you lose a job, it is increasingly difficult to find one.
The jobs picture is quite muddled. But claims data provides the best take.
Unlike small BLS samples with meager response rates of 42 percent on top of that, people file claims quickly when they lose a job. And continued claims are soaring
https://mishtalk.com/economics/kiss-goodbye-to-the-chance-of-a-fed-interest-rate-cut-in-july/

[DMX7]

It's time for a new political party. We all know this.

[BadMotorscooter]

It's time for a new political party. We all know this.

what will this new political party stand for? Abortion...pro life? open borders?....illegals kicked out? gays? non gays? this party will never take off. Its democrats vs republicans. All the rest like the green party is just fodder for the undecided.

[TSA]

Unless you're that idiot that believes the suppliers will eat the tariffs and not pass them on to the consumer.

The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), after decomposing the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price
Index into imported and domestic components, found that the prices of imported goods have not only
fallen this year, but also declined faster than overall goods prices since February. These findings contradict
claims that tariffs or tariff-fears would lead to an acceleration of inflation.

More commonly referred to as PCE or PCEPI, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index is an
inflation gauge watched closely by policymakers and financial markets. Overall goods prices in the PCE
index have increased by 0.4 percent from December 2024 through May 2025, which corresponds to a 1
percent annualized rate. Meanwhile, the imported component of PCE goods prices fell by 0.1 percent from
December 2024 through May 2025. CEA’s directional findings using this method of analyzing the PCE are
consistent across core goods (excluding food and energy), durables (which last for at least three years),
and nondurables. The import contribution to inflation includes both the direct impact of imported final
goods for consumption and indirect effects of imported intermediate inputs.

Similar analysis for the widely used Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows that imported goods have deflated
0.8 percent while overall goods prices have remained constant. There are a number of differences between
PCE and CPI inflation, including scope of products included and weighting methodologies, so finding a
similar pattern for CPI highlights the robustness of the results.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Imported-Goods-Have-Been-Getting-Cheaper-Relative-to-Domestically-Produced-Goods.pdf

:lol Blake Cramer

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.

https://x.com/truflation/status/1942258739886878874

:rollin

[Blake]

The Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), after decomposing the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price
Index into imported and domestic components, found that the prices of imported goods have not only
fallen this year, but also declined faster than overall goods prices since February. These findings contradict
claims that tariffs or tariff-fears would lead to an acceleration of inflation.

More commonly referred to as PCE or PCEPI, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index is an
inflation gauge watched closely by policymakers and financial markets. Overall goods prices in the PCE
index have increased by 0.4 percent from December 2024 through May 2025, which corresponds to a 1
percent annualized rate. Meanwhile, the imported component of PCE goods prices fell by 0.1 percent from
December 2024 through May 2025. CEA’s directional findings using this method of analyzing the PCE are
consistent across core goods (excluding food and energy), durables (which last for at least three years),
and nondurables. The import contribution to inflation includes both the direct impact of imported final
goods for consumption and indirect effects of imported intermediate inputs.

Similar analysis for the widely used Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows that imported goods have deflated
0.8 percent while overall goods prices have remained constant. There are a number of differences between
PCE and CPI inflation, including scope of products included and weighting methodologies, so finding a
similar pattern for CPI highlights the robustness of the results.

https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Imported-Goods-Have-Been-Getting-Cheaper-Relative-to-Domestically-Produced-Goods.pdf

:lol Blake Cramer

Lol you believe the white house.

[Blake]

https://x.com/truflation/status/1942258739886878874

:rollin

"Many economists and trade experts worry the damage from the trade war has not been canceled; it just hasn’t arrived yet. They fear that overdoing tariffs and prolonging the uncertainty will only make matters worse.

“No one should be lulled into complacency,” Douglas Holtz-Eakin, president of center-right think tank American Action Forum, told CNN in a phone interview. “There is no way you can avoid these price pressures. The tariffs are real. It will show up. The only question is how fast and where. That story has yet to play out.”

https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/08/business/trump-tariffs-market-inflation-jobs

Smh Trump tards. RIF.

[Winehole23]

Jack and the Beanstalk Republicans have assimilated the fairytale and criticize reality for the difference

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.

https://x.com/BrianBrenberg/status/1942605566758564058

:rollin

[Blake]

https://x.com/BrianBrenberg/status/1942605566758564058

:rollin

Oh a survey!

[ChumpDumper]

https://x.com/BrianBrenberg/status/1942605566758564058

:rollin

They believe in TACO.

Can you blame them?

[TSA]

Oh a survey!

You are so fucking stupid :rollin

“The conventional story, which is dominant in central banks around the world, rests on two key premises. First, that inflation expectations… are an important determinant of realized inflation…. The second key premise is that central bank behavior and possibly central bank communications can influence inflation expectations and through them macroeconomic outcomes…. If inflation expectations are well-anchored in the sense that they don’t respond very much to short-term movements in realized inflation and other variables, then policymakers can respond more aggressively to recessionary demand shocks and less aggressively to inflationary supply shocks, leading to better dual mandate outcomes.”

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-are-inflation-expectations-why-do-they-matter/

TLDR

[TSA]

Many economists on both sides today are warning of massive inflation coming.

https://x.com/truflation/status/1942931511256478093

Still waiting for you to find a single economist warning of MASSIVE inflation :lol

[Winehole23]

US Chamber of Commerce and the Consumer Technology Ass'n file amicus brief against Trump's tariffs



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:bbp2b224lro3bfnzcqwwnkfo/bafkreihj7anpzzlnqmbbwkq5d56zlgbfj5l76un7fmialuzkh fck2qkqg4@jpeghttps://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cafc.23105/gov.uscourts.cafc.23105.108.0.pdf

[TSA]

US Chamber of Commerce and the Consumer Technology Ass'n file amicus brief against Trump's tariffs


https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cafc.23105/gov.uscourts.cafc.23105.108.0.pdf

LOL

[ChumpDumper]

.

[Blake]

You are so fucking stupid :rollin

“The conventional story, which is dominant in central banks around the world, rests on two key premises. First, that inflation expectations… are an important determinant of realized inflation…. The second key premise is that central bank behavior and possibly central bank communications can influence inflation expectations and through them macroeconomic outcomes…. If inflation expectations are well-anchored in the sense that they don’t respond very much to short-term movements in realized inflation and other variables, then policymakers can respond more aggressively to recessionary demand shocks and less aggressively to inflationary supply shocks, leading to better dual mandate outcomes.”

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-are-inflation-expectations-why-do-they-matter/

TLDR

What's your point with this? In your own words if you have the ability.

[Blake]

https://x.com/truflation/status/1942931511256478093

Still waiting for you to find a single economist warning of MASSIVE inflation :lol

MUH DICTIONARY INTERNET VICTORY!

[TSA]

What's your point with this? In your own words if you have the ability.

You could have just read the link and not asked another idiotic question that makes you look even stupider, you idiot :lol

Inflation expectations, the survey you laughed at, are extremely important to the Federal Reserve.

[TSA]

MUH DICTIONARY INTERNET VICTORY!

THE WORDS I USE ON A FORUM WHEN MAKING CLAIMS HAVE NO MEANING!

[Blake]

You could have just read the link and not asked another idiotic question that makes you look even stupider, you idiot :lol

Inflation expectations, the survey you laughed at, are extremely important to the Federal Reserve.

Lol tsa never understands what he retweets.

[Blake]

THE WORDS I USE ON A FORUM WHEN MAKING CLAIMS HAVE NO MEANING!

WGAF ABOUT THE SUBJECT. THE ADJECTIVE VICTORY IS MINE!!!

[TSA]

Why do you keep coming back to get embarrassed further? Do you have a humiliation kink?

[ChumpDumper]

The GDP shrank in Q1. One would hope inflation would go down as well. It's entirely possible the powers that be have made a new TACO based model for their forecasts.

[Blake]

Why do you keep coming back to get embarrassed further? Do you have a humiliation kink?

"...The decline of inflation owes in part to a flood of imports ahead of the levies, which allowed companies to stockpile non-tariffed goods and sell them with little change in price, analysts told ABC News. A drop in oil prices, they added, helped put downward pressure on a range of costs.

Still, some accelerated price increases will likely take hold as companies sell through warehoused products and additional tariff proposals emerge, analysts said, but the outcome remains uncertain amid Trump’s fluctuating policy...."

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/prices-changed-trump-experts-explain/story?id=123565179

This isn't difficult at all to figure out unless you're stupid or just don't want to try.

[TSA]

"...The decline of inflation owes in part to a flood of imports ahead of the levies, which allowed companies to stockpile non-tariffed goods and sell them with little change in price, analysts told ABC News. A drop in oil prices, they added, helped put downward pressure on a range of costs.

Still, some accelerated price increases will likely take hold as companies sell through warehoused products and additional tariff proposals emerge, analysts said, but the outcome remains uncertain amid Trump’s fluctuating policy...."

https://abcnews.go.com/Business/prices-changed-trump-experts-explain/story?id=123565179

This isn't difficult at all to figure out unless you're stupid or just don't want to try.

What does this have to do with you not knowing how Fed survey's on inflation expectations determine Fed actions?

What does this have to do with you claiming many economists were warning about massive inflation coming?

Why do you keep posting in this thread showing how much you actually don't know shit about?

[Blake]

What does this have to do with you not knowing how Fed survey's on inflation expectations determine Fed actions?

What does this have to do with you claiming many economists were warning about massive inflation coming?

Why do you keep posting in this thread showing how much you actually don't know shit about?

You'll never explain your retweets in your own words. Never.

[TSA]

You'll never explain your retweets in your own words. Never.
Explained it right after you asked.


Inflation expectations, the survey you laughed at, are extremely important to the Federal Reserve.

So again...

What does this have to do with you not knowing how Fed survey's on inflation expectations determine Fed actions?

What does this have to do with you claiming many economists were warning about massive inflation coming?

Why do you keep posting in this thread showing how much you actually don't know shit about?

[Blake]

Lol who's talking here about the Fed's actions?

You finally try to speak in your own words and you're just mumbling about nothing.

[TSA]

Lol who's talking here about the Fed's actions?

You finally try to speak in your own words and you're just mumbling about nothing.



https://x.com/BrianBrenberg/status/1942605566758564058

:rollin


Oh a survey!

The Federal Reserve (Fed) relies on inflation expectation surveys because these expectations can significantly influence actual inflation and economic behavior. If people anticipate high inflation, they may demand higher wages, and businesses may raise prices, leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy. The Fed uses surveys to gauge these expectations and manage them, aiming to keep inflation stable and promote economic growth.
Here's why these surveys are crucial:

Impact on Actual Inflation:

Businesses and consumers base decisions on their inflation expectations. If businesses expect prices to rise, they'll likely increase prices, and if workers expect inflation, they'll push for higher wages, which can then lead to actual price increases.
Monetary Policy Tool:

The Fed uses surveys to understand how people perceive inflation and adjust its monetary policy accordingly. If expectations are well-anchored (meaning they remain stable around the Fed's 2% target), the Fed can respond more effectively to economic shocks.
Understanding Consumer Behavior:

The Survey of Consumer Expectations provides insights into how consumers think about spending, borrowing, and their overall financial outlook. This information helps the Fed understand how households are reacting to current economic conditions and how they might behave in the future.

Assessing Credibility:

The Fed's credibility is linked to its ability to manage inflation expectations. If people believe the Fed can keep inflation under control, their expectations will be more stable, and the Fed's policies will be more effective.


Oh a survey!

:lol humiliation kink

[Blake]

Oh a text wall of no opinion on anything! No way!

[TSA]

Today Blake learned Fed inflation expectation surveys are crucial to actual inflation and Fed monetary policy. Blake won't be mocking Fed inflation expectations surveys anymore. Good job Blake.

[Blake]

Today Blake learned Fed inflation expectation surveys are crucial to actual inflation and Fed monetary policy. Blake won't be mocking Fed inflation expectations surveys anymore. Good job Blake.

Lol consumer surveys. You still have no clue what you're retweeting. You never do.

[TSA]

Lol consumer surveys. You still have no clue what you're retweeting. You never do.

Apparently Blake is too dumb to learn even when being spoonfed information. Blake is back to mocking Fed inflation expectations surveys and making an idiot of himself again. Let's give Blake one simple sentence to see if he mocks the Fed inflation survey again.

The Federal Reserve relies on inflation expectation surveys because these expectations can significantly influence actual inflation and economic behavior.

[Blake]

Apparently Blake is too dumb to learn even when being spoonfed information. Blake is back to mocking Fed inflation expectations surveys and making an idiot of himself again. Let's give Blake one simple sentence to see if he mocks the Fed inflation survey again.

The Federal Reserve relies on inflation expectation surveys because these expectations can significantly influence actual inflation and economic behavior.

Thanks Mr wizard. Why is this relevant to anything at all? Are you going to ever give an actual thesis or just post rando text walls?

[TSA]

Thanks Mr wizard. Why is this relevant to anything at all? Are you going to ever give an actual thesis or just post rando text walls?

Jesus Christ you really are just plain dumb.

[velik_m]

The GOP blew past debt warnings. The markets have noticed.

...
“If one of the goals was to calm the bond market down, I wouldn’t take much comfort from the past couple of days,” said economist Ed Yardeni, who coined the term “bond vigilantes” to describe investors who undertook massive selloffs of bonds to protest Fed policies in the 1980s.

“The act is not designed as a deficit reduction act. It’s designed as, ‘Let’s cross our fingers and hope that lower taxes boost economic growth again fast enough to bring in revenues,’” he added.

“Growth” was the word repeatedly invoked by President Donald Trump and his allies on Capitol Hill, who relied on rosy economic projections developed inside the White House to argue that the bill’s tax cuts would essentially pay for themselves.

Outside observers saw an entirely different kind of growth: Independent forecasters — including the nonpartisan in-house scorekeepers at the Congressional Budget Office — predicted the added debt created by the bill would increase federal borrowing costs, swamping any economic gains reaped through the tax cuts.

It’s a version of the “debt spiral” that many fiscal doomsayers have warned the U.S. might be entering after spending decades as the world’s safest investment. Lawmakers heard those calls loud and clear at various points recently.

...

Members were already spooked by the spike in Treasury yields after Trump rolled out his sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs in April. Dalio told them that an even steeper selloff could occur if they didn’t get the nation’s fiscal house in order. The concern seemed to be confirmed when yields for 20 and 30-year Treasuries closed out above 5 percent the day that the House passed the sweeping legislation.

Still, the GOP did not end up heeding Dalio’s warning, and last week he said on X that he now expects sizable increases of government debt relative to GDP. That, in turn, would lead to “unimaginable” tax increases or spending cuts — or, perhaps more likely, inflationary money-printing.

He said that “big, painful disruptions will likely occur” if lawmakers can’t bring the deficit down to 3 percent of GDP.

...

Some in the House GOP are hoping that they’ll have a chance to enact additional spending cuts in further party-line bills this year as well as through the appropriations process. Many conservatives said they were reassured by 11th-hour conversations they had with White House budget chief Russ Vought before the final vote.

“You’re going to see a lot of fiscal restraint to add to this growth picture,” said Rep. Andy Barr (R-Ky.), a House Financial Services Committee member. “So growth, fiscal restraint — that will ultimately send the virtuous signal to the bond market.”

Barr said he also supports updating leverage requirements for banks to encourage them to purchase more Treasuries, which could help bring yields down.

As for Democrats, Rep. Ro Khanna of California laid out a progressive debt reduction plan in June that would cut the deficit by $12 trillion through reforms to defense contracting, a crackdown on “corporate profiteering” in Medicare and tax hikes for billionaires and companies.

...


https://www.politico.com/news/2025/07/09/wall-street-debt-warnings-megabill-00443084

[Blake]

Jesus Christ you really are just plain dumb.

Tsa doesn't know what a thesis is or how to post one. All he knows is how to alt right retweet text wall and be wrong time after time after time.

[Blake]

"......To Trump’s point, recent economic data seems to support the case for rate cuts, considering inflation has stayed flat since the central bank began to cut rates last year, according to the Fed’s preferred measure, but Fed policymakers and most major economists warn Trump’s tariffs will likely cause a significant boost to consumer prices in coming months..."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2025/07/09/most-fed-officials-expect-2025-rate-cuts-despite-tariff-inflation-concerns-minutes-show/

[Blake]

It's seriously not hard to figure out that it's these tariff policies that will mostly be the determining factor in upcoming inflation. If you can't see that, you're basically a moron.

[Spurs Homer]

Only a fuckin idiot would believe the doctored jobs report from the trump criminal regime…

but this is how authoritarianism works…

next: trump throws out the next distraction….says the regime will take over cities because “we know how to keep law and order and we spoke to the mayor of dc and its going well….we may take over nyc too!”

the media will take the bait and the cult will begin cheering…

then another crime
another distraction
another constitutional travesty
distraction
crimes
distraction
cheering from the cult

[TSA]

"......To Trump’s point, recent economic data seems to support the case for rate cuts, considering inflation has stayed flat since the central bank began to cut rates last year, according to the Fed’s preferred measure, but Fed policymakers and most major economists warn Trump’s tariffs will likely cause a significant boost to consumer prices in coming months..."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2025/07/09/most-fed-officials-expect-2025-rate-cuts-despite-tariff-inflation-concerns-minutes-show/

"Median forecasts from the central bank’s June meeting indicate Fed staff expect inflation to climb from 2.7% to 3.1% by December."

https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2025/07/09/most-fed-officials-expect-2025-rate-cuts-despite-tariff-inflation-concerns-minutes-show/

:lol "MASSIVE"
:lol "HUGE"

[Blake]

"Significant"

[TSA]

"Significant"

:lol thinking a 3% price increase is "significant"
:lol wage growth still outpacing 3%
:lol adjectives good now
:lol real world finance guy

[koriwhat]

Only a fuckin idiot would believe the doctored jobs report from the trump criminal regime…

but this is how authoritarianism works…

next: trump throws out the next distraction….says the regime will take over cities because “we know how to keep law and order and we spoke to the mayor of dc and its going well….we may take over nyc too!”

the media will take the bait and the cult will begin cheering…

then another crime
another distraction
another constitutional travesty
distraction
crimes
distraction
cheering from the cult

:lmao

I really wish asylums were plentiful again for mentally ill retards like yourself, SH. You deserve a padded room of your own and a healthy concoction of meds. You're probably already on a healthy concoction of meds already though.

[Blake]

:lol thinking a 3% price increase is "significant"
:lol wage growth still outpacing 3%
:lol adjectives good now
:lol real world finance guy

"Median" is what you're trying to say I claimed to say?

You really struggle with reading.

[TSA]

"Median" is what you're trying to say I claimed to say?

You really struggle with reading.

Fed policymakers and most major economists warn Trump’s tariffs will likely cause a significant boost of...3% :rollin

[Blake]

Fed policymakers and most major economists warn Trump’s tariffs will likely cause a significant boost of...3% :rollin

Nope. That's not what was said. No wonder all you do here is just retweet text walls. You try to hide how stupid you are.

[TSA]

Nope. That's not what was said. No wonder all you do here is just retweet text walls. You try to hide how stupid you are.
"Fed policymakers and most major economists warn Trump’s tariffs will likely cause a significant boost to consumer prices in coming months. Median forecasts from the central bank’s June meeting indicate Fed staff expect inflation to climb from 2.7% to 3.1% by December."

"massive"
"huge"
"significant"

You don't even try to hide how stupid you are :rollin

[Blake]

"Median forecasts"

You're an idiot. I'll let you play with yourself the rest of the day.

[Blake]

"....CNN
—
Layoffs may not be mounting, but it’s getting harder to find a job in a labor market where hiring is “anemic” as tariff-driven economic uncertainty has put a chill on some employers.

New data released Thursday showed that initial claims for unemployment benefits — considered a proxy for layoffs — fell last week. However, the number of recurring claims made by people who already have filed for unemployment rose to their highest level since November 2021...."

https://www.cnn.com/2025/07/10/economy/us-weekly-jobless-claims

Not to worry much desired factory jobs to make Hasbro toys coming soon

[Winehole23]

totes normal econ discourse



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreify373dvh6ttfys7mh2pfwc55u6bfevmrp6nqajbo56f jocvromqq@jpeg

[velik_m]

63 U.S. Corporate Bankruptcies In June Set Up 2025 For Highest Pace Since 2010

The fast pace of monthly US corporate bankruptcies extended into June and put 2025 on track to be one of the busiest years for filings in more than a decade.

S&P Global Market Intelligence recorded 63 new bankruptcy filings from certain public and private companies in June, down from a revised count of 64 in May. The data includes companies with public debt and assets or liabilities of at least $2 million or private companies with assets or liabilities of at least $10 million at the time of filing.

Still, 371 bankruptcy filings have been recorded throughout 2025, the highest total for the first half of the year since 2010.

Corporate liquidity has largely worsened in 2025 as debt levels for many companies have risen and the US Federal Reserve is poised to hold benchmark interest rates at their current level through the summer. Consumer spending, meanwhile, is straining under the weight of a cooling job market, inflation still above monetary policymakers' targets and the Trump administration's tariffs.

...

https://www.capitaliq.spglobal.com/Articles/430705280.png


https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/articles/2025/7/63-us-corporate-bankruptcies-in-june-set-up-2025-for-highest-pace-since-2010-91441423

[Winehole23]

* fastens seat belt*


U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in an interview on Bloomberg Surveillance on Tuesday, said that a "formal process" is already starting to identify a potential successor to Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

"There are a lot of great candidates, and we’ll see how rapidly it progresses," Bessent said.
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-treasury-secretary-bessent-says-formal-process-powell-successor-has-started-2025-07-15/

[TSA]

https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1945847564676301213

welp

[Blake]

https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1945847564676301213

welp

How much are you betting on it?

[Blake]

"...Businesses across the economy are passing increased input costs from tariffs along to consumers in the form of higher prices, the Federal Reserve’s latest anecdotal survey of domestic economic conditions — commonly referred to as the “beige book” — found.

Higher costs from tariffs were reported by businesses in all of the Fed’s 12 regional districts, and many made the choice to raise prices as a result...."

https://thehill.com/business/5406292-businesses-tariff-costs-consumers/

Why are you idiots cheering for higher prices and a weak dollar?

[koriwhat]

"...Businesses across the economy are passing increased input costs from tariffs along to consumers in the form of higher prices, the Federal Reserve’s latest anecdotal survey of domestic economic conditions — commonly referred to as the “beige book” — found.

Higher costs from tariffs were reported by businesses in all of the Fed’s 12 regional districts, and many made the choice to raise prices as a result...."

https://thehill.com/business/5406292-businesses-tariff-costs-consumers/

Why are you idiots cheering for higher prices and a weak dollar?

I'm cheering for a better USA where "men" like you won't have a say on any matter. You and your opinions are worthless.

[Blake]

Ago
koriwhat
LMAO

This message is hidden because koriwhat is on your ignore list.
View Post
Remove user from ignore list

Aww.

[Blake]

"...“I don’t know if we're going to make it past July because of the tariffs,” said Jeff Logan, 54, who runs a tattoo supply business near Philadelphia with his wife...."

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-tariffs-small-business-stocks-b2730518.html

Yikes

[velik_m]

"...“I don’t know if we're going to make it past July because of the tariffs,” said Jeff Logan, 54, who runs a tattoo supply business near Philadelphia with his wife...."

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-tariffs-small-business-stocks-b2730518.html

Yikes

Small businesses going under just means more market share for big corporations. Stock market going up! Trump promised he will become so rich...

[DMX7]

This is market is so red hot. We've got to be due for a pull back here eventually.

[BadMotorscooter]

Where is this stock market crash that all you democrats predicted?

[ChumpDumper]

Where is this stock market crash that all you democrats predicted?

Who predicted a crash in July?

Links please.

Answer like a man.

[Winehole23]

Trump turning the US into a sh!thole will have negative economic consequences


While Canadian visitors represent the sharpest drop, the broader outlook for international tourism is equally bleak. The U.S. faces a projected 9% decline in overall international arrivals this year, translating into an $8.5 billion loss in visitor spending. This is a stark reversal from earlier forecasts predicting a $16.3 billion boost, with the potential total loss now estimated at $29 billion, according to Tourism Economics’ 2025 forecast.htps://theintellectualistofficial.substack.com/p/us-tourism-suffers-as-canadian-visits

[TSA]

https://x.com/SecScottBessent/status/1947640910134534646

:bobo

[Blake]

Lol Trump bootlicks. Keep swallowing the shit they're feeding you, plebe.

[Blake]

"The average American family will pay about $2,500 more this year because of tariffs. But unlike inflation, your wages won't rise to compensate. That's because tariffs work differently than inflation.

Tariffs cause an increase in the price of goods, both imported and their domestic competitors. But that price increase is not technically inflation—it’s worse. Here is what is actually happening.....

....The consumer price index — the main measure of inflation — rose 0.3% in the latest reading. That's modest, but it came as the Federal Reserve was successfully reducing inflation. Prices have stopped falling and are rising again.

These higher prices are solely due to Trump tariffs. They are poised to worsen substantially as the stockpile of pre-tariff goods are sold by retailers or put onto cars, RVs and other American-made products. The cost of goods sold later this summer, and until tariffs are eliminated, will continue to rise....

....The price increases due to tariffs are not technically inflation. Economists have a name for rising prices during a weak economy: stagflation. It's what made the 1970s so miserable...."

Michael J. Hicks is the director of the Center for Business and Economic Research and the George and Frances Ball distinguished professor of economics in the Miller College of Business at Ball State University.

https://www.courierpress.com/story/opinion/2025/07/22/opinion-hicks-its-stagflation-not-inflation/85302335007/

[TSA]

"The average American family will pay about $2,500 more this year because of tariffs. But unlike inflation, your wages won't rise to compensate. That's because tariffs work differently than inflation.

Tariffs cause an increase in the price of goods, both imported and their domestic competitors. But that price increase is not technically inflation—it’s worse. Here is what is actually happening.....

....The consumer price index — the main measure of inflation — rose 0.3% in the latest reading. That's modest, but it came as the Federal Reserve was successfully reducing inflation. Prices have stopped falling and are rising again.

These higher prices are solely due to Trump tariffs. They are poised to worsen substantially as the stockpile of pre-tariff goods are sold by retailers or put onto cars, RVs and other American-made products. The cost of goods sold later this summer, and until tariffs are eliminated, will continue to rise....

....The price increases due to tariffs are not technically inflation. Economists have a name for rising prices during a weak economy: stagflation. It's what made the 1970s so miserable...."

Michael J. Hicks is the director of the Center for Business and Economic Research and the George and Frances Ball distinguished professor of economics in the Miller College of Business at Ball State University.

https://www.courierpress.com/story/opinion/2025/07/22/opinion-hicks-its-stagflation-not-inflation/85302335007/

:lol muh professor

Wages have outpaced inflation since Trump's been in office you fucking retard :lol

For almost 3 years of Biden's term inflation outpaced wages. Did you complain once? yes or no.

[ChumpDumper]

I don't remember TSA's complaining about his wages during the Biden administration.

[Blake]

I don't remember TSA's complaining about his wages during the Biden administration.

I think I recall him complaining about his cost of living which is why he voted non-Kamala. Apparently his cost of living is suddenly great thanks to these tariffs.

[Blake]

:lol muh professor

Wages have outpaced inflation since Trump's been in office you fucking retard :lol

For almost 3 years of Biden's term inflation outpaced wages. Did you complain once? yes or no.

Nope.

[TSA]

Nope.

You didn't cry when inflation outpaced wages under Biden. Were you even aware inflation was outpacing wages under Biden?

You constantly cry while wages outpace inflation under Trump. Were you even aware wages have been outpacing inflation under Trump?

[ChumpDumper]

My income blasted off under Biden. Absolutely outpaced inflation but I can't attribute that to a president.

[Blake]

You didn't cry when inflation outpaced wages under Biden. Were you even aware inflation was outpacing wages under Biden?

You constantly cry while wages outpace inflation under Trump. Were you even aware wages have been outpacing inflation under Trump?

No, no crying because we were still recovering from Covid.

Wages started outpacing inflation again at the beginning of 2023.

Make sure you're still here when inflation outpaces wages and it's all due to these retarded tariffs and deportation.

[TSA]

No, no crying because we were still recovering from Covid.

Wages started outpacing inflation again at the beginning of 2023.

Make sure you're still here when inflation outpaces wages and it's all due to these retarded tariffs and deportation.

You didn't answer either question. Try again.

Were you even aware inflation was outpacing wages under Biden?

Were you even aware wages have been outpacing inflation under Trump?

[Blake]

You didn't answer either question. Try again.

Were you even aware inflation was outpacing wages under Biden?

Were you even aware wages have been outpacing inflation under Trump?

Yes to both answers, you stupid shit. I gave you the reasons why there was no crying. What the fuck is wrong with your reading skills?

[TSA]

Yes to both answers, you stupid shit. I gave you the reasons why there was no crying. What the fuck is wrong with your reading skills?
You hadn’t answered either question and I didn’t ask you for the reasons why you were or weren’t crying. No need to get so wound up tough guy.

Since you claim to have known wages have been outpacing inflation for Trump’s entire term are you just preemptively crying here every day hoping that one day one of the shitty economists predictions you cling to finally pans out?

[TSA]

And if you knew wages have been outpacing inflation for Trump’s entire term why did you post that article from muh professor of Ball State? Or did you not read that article either and just run here to post it because a single sentence in it confirmed what you believe?

You follow some of the dumbest economists I’ve ever seen.

[SnakeBoy]

You hadn’t answered either question and I didn’t ask you for the reasons why you were or weren’t crying. No need to get so wound up tough guy.

Since you claim to have known wages have been outpacing inflation for Trump’s entire term are you just preemptively crying here every day hoping that one day one of the shitty economists predictions you cling to finally pans out?

They're just hoping anything bad happens so they can say that's what you get for not loving Kamala the way they loved her.

[ChumpDumper]

They're just hoping anything bad happens so they can say that's what you get for not loving Kamala the way they loved her.

Why are you hiding the Epstein files?

[Winehole23]

MAGAland throwing everything on the wall but the Epstein files -- totally derailed by the furore and spiraling

[ChumpDumper]

Sirhan Sirhan is still alive. Why not have Jr. interview him on Fox-- er, X-- um, mypillow.com?

[Winehole23]

“We hit $1.99 a gallon today in 5 different states.”

[Blake]

And if you knew wages have been outpacing inflation for Trump’s entire term why did you post that article from muh professor of Ball State? Or did you not read that article either and just run here to post it because a single sentence in it confirmed what you believe?

You follow some of the dumbest economists I’ve ever seen.

He's talking about futures. You follow Trump. You believe in pizza. You're a fucking retard.

[Blake]

They're just hoping anything bad happens so they can say that's what you get for not loving Kamala the way they loved her.

No I'm perfectly fine with Trump if he goes full TACO. But those of us tuning in to anything other than fox News and alt right podcasts can see the long term effects these tariffs will have.

Nobody cares about internet wins more than you Trump tards.

[ChumpDumper]

They're just hoping anything bad happens so they can say that's what you get for not loving Kamala the way they loved her.

Is Kamala in Trump's Epstein files?

[DMX7]

Deal with Japan secured.

[Winehole23]

Deal with Japan secured.where's the text of the deal?

[DMX7]

where's the text of the deal?

details coming out very soon

[Winehole23]

details coming out very soonabout 2 weeks?

[Winehole23]

if Trump changes the deal in a social media post, is it still a secured deal?

[Winehole23]

Trump's tariff otaku routine is totally illegal and his pretext is bullshit -- trade deficits aren't a national emergency

It's just Trump stealing the power of the US Congress for himself

[Dod01]

Gas where I'm at has basically remained within the same fluctuations as it did under Biden. Under Biden, give or take, at it's high within his term, I think it hit around $3 something-ish (highest under Biden I remember was around $3.20-ish), and then VERY quickly would go back under $2.90-ish. It then would get as low as $2.20-$2.30ish. It basically never stayed over $3 *very long* throughout the duration of the Biden Admin. Again, basically the same fluctuations it's doing right now.

Then Trump has been mentioning zero inflation, which of course is also absolute horseshit. Essentially as a whole, groceries absolutely have not gone down. I know because I shop for them, go figure. It's almost like we can see these things for ourselves at the stores. I also personally purchased 3 Made In Japan guitars (it's just a hobby), that hadn't seen a price increase once during Biden's term, but I purchased them after hearing about the possible tarrifs by Trump, and lo an behold, this brand of guitar saw their first fairly significant price increase in years, again due to the tariffs on Japan. I got lucky purchasing them before the tariffs.

Trump is again lying through his teeth. But Trump knows his base so well, that even though most of them don't see in the flesh many of his claims, he knows they will simply STILL fucking believe him. This is really Trump's biggest strength that he possesses. It's what he used to get elected, etc. If you want to call it that, he's basically a "genius" in this area. Knowing that 99.9999% of his base, will believe 99.9999% of what he says, that is. Knowing what to say and exactly who to say it to. He had a gameplan from day 1 to do this, and very rarely deviated from it. He'll twist and turn and modify where need be, but for the most part, he's stuck to the gameplan. He fully understands the type of people that eat his shit right up.

[SnakeBoy]

Is Kamala in Trump's Epstein files?

What's your conspiracy theory?

Be specific

[ChumpDumper]

What's your conspiracy theory?

Be specific
The Republicans shut down Congress so they wouldn't have to vote on releasing the files again.

That's a specific fact.

Trump is all over his Epstein files.

Also a specific fact.

It's not a theory anymore. You and Trump are terrified of his Epstein files.

[Winehole23]

Trump is lying his ass off about 50 things because he's scared his full relationship with Epstein will be revealed

That's not a theory either, these guys palled around

[Blake]

Deal with Japan secured.


details coming out very soon


about 2 weeks?

:lol

[TSA]

He's talking about futures. You follow Trump. You believe in pizza. You're a fucking retard.

muh professor guarantees wages will not continue to outpace inflation because...just trust him bro he has a long title making him sound distinguished. :lol Ball State

Did you even read the article you posted? That lol opinion piece was absolute garbage. Did you even realize the lol opinion piece you posted is saying tariffs aren't inflationary? Have you now moved past "massive" and "huge" inflation coming and pivoted to stagflation?

[TSA]

Trump is lying his ass off about 50 things because he's scared his full relationship with Epstein will be revealed

That's not a theory either, these guys palled around

:lol his "full relationship" that the Biden administration somehow didn't use against him for 4 years

[Blake]

muh professor guarantees wages will not continue to outpace inflation because...just trust him bro he has a long title making him sound distinguished. :lol Ball State

Did you even read the article you posted? That lol opinion piece was absolute garbage. Did you even realize the lol opinion piece you posted is saying tariffs aren't inflationary? Have you now moved past "massive" and "huge" inflation coming and pivoted to stagflation?

Of course you think an economics professor's opinion is garbage. You think Trump is a genius. Nothing new here.

[Blake]

:lol his "full relationship" that the Biden administration somehow didn't use against him for 4 years

:lol the Podcasters must be repeating this failed point over and over for you to keep repeating it over and over.

[TSA]

Of course you think an economics professor's opinion is garbage. You think Trump is a genius. Nothing new here.

:lol muh Ball State professor

Unlike you I actually read the article, and yes, it's garbage. Everything you link to is garbage and none of it pans out.

Did you even realize the article you posted said tariffs don't cause inflation? yes or no.

So have you now pivoted from "massive" and "huge" inflation to stagflation? yes or no.

[TSA]

:lol the Podcasters must be repeating this failed point over and over for you to keep repeating it over and over.

I'll keep repeating it over and over because of how retarded you have to be to think that details of his "full relationship" wouldn't have leaked and been used against him when Biden was in office.

[ChumpDumper]

TSA believed a United Airlines 737 was Air Force One and that Q was just hanging outside it in an SUV taking fun lil pictures.

[Winehole23]

TSA is very gullible

People who prize being right over understanding shit usually are, living in unreality takes a heavy cognitive toll. Fragile egos standing on weak bullshit have difficulty seeing the bullshit and coping with contrary facts

[TSA]

TSA is very gullible

People who prize being right over understanding shit usually are, living in unreality takes a heavy cognitive toll. Fragile egos standing on weak bullshit have difficulty seeing the bullshit and coping with contrary facts

:lol I don't think you could project any harder

[ChumpDumper]

TSA did spend several years claiming special knowledge given to him indirectly through anonymous blogs and twitter accounts from people like a grocery manager at a Publix supermarket. He then claimed to get special knowledge directly from President Trump through coded messages interpreted by anonymous 4chan and twitter accounts.

In his heart of hearts, he likely still believes all of it is real -- he just hasn't cracked the code correctly.

[Winehole23]

GM getting creamed by tariff otaku

https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AA1JdDpz.img?w=590&h=337&m=6


"General Motors shares T-boned by tariffs-the stock is diving several percentage points here, seven plus percent, after the auto giant reported a 32% slump in quarterly profits due to a $1.1 billion hit from the tariffs, (https://www.the-express.com/entertainment/tv/178312/fox-news-host-forces-republican) which GM says will actually worsen in the current quarter. (https://www.the-express.com/entertainment/tv/178312/fox-news-host-forces-republican)"

[ChumpDumper]

Patriotic haircut.

Shareholders will understand.

[Blake]

GM getting creamed by tariff otaku

https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/AA1JdDpz.img?w=590&h=337&m=6

Are we gonna bail them out again? Because capitalism!

[TSA]

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1948508576609096115
Winehole23 I think there is going to be an opening on the Dems social media team, keep your eyes peeled on LinkedIn for that volunteer job you're looking to start :rollin

[Blake]

https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1948508576609096115
Winehole23 I think there is going to be an opening on the Dems social media team, keep your eyes peeled on LinkedIn for that volunteer job you're looking to start :rollin

Where did Covid start

[TSA]

Where did Covid start

When was the ARP and the IRA signed is the proper question.

[Blake]

When was the ARP and the IRA signed is the proper question.

Not it's not. My question stands

[Winehole23]

TSA pointedly ignoring COVID supply chain disruption

Biden getting elected didn't suddenly fix that

[ChumpDumper]

Lower prices on day one!

[Winehole23]

Trump wrecking public capacity crapifies the previously high-quality economic data businesses depend on to make plans

Trump would rather have bad data. Good data might tend to contradict his own propaganda.


* REUTERS POLL -- NEARLY 90% ECONOMISTS, 89 OF 100, SAY THEY ARE CONCERNED ABOUT THE QUALITY OF OFFICIAL U.S. ECONOMIC DATA, INCLUDING 41 SAYING VERY CONCERNED

[Blake]

Trump wrecking public capacity crapifies the previously high-quality economic data businesses depend on to make plans

Trump would rather have bad data. Good data might tend to contradict his own propaganda.

TSA: YOUR ECONOMISTS ARE GARBAGE. HAVE YOU EVER BEEN INVOLVED IN A HUGE DEAL? IF YOU REALLY HAD, YOU'D KNOW TRUMP IS PLAYING INFINITY-D CHESS

[TSA]

TSA: YOUR ECONOMISTS ARE GARBAGE. HAVE YOU EVER BEEN INVOLVED IN A HUGE DEAL? IF YOU REALLY HAD, YOU'D KNOW TRUMP IS PLAYING INFINITY-D CHESS

OH NO THE ECONOMISTS WHO HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY WRONG WITH GOOD DATA ARE WORRIED THEY'LL CONTINUE TO BE WRONG WITH BAD DATA