*~* Trump Stock Market / Economy Crash Watch *~*

[ChumpDumper]

Did I say they would provide a surplus? I'm saying they are desperately needed to prevent the deficit from getting much bigger than would otherwise be the case.So your tariffs won't actually reduce the debt.:tu

[DMX7]

So your tariffs won't actually reduce the debt.:tu

The debt is high but the trajectory of it without tariffs is what concerns me most.

[ChumpDumper]

The debt is high but the trajectory of it without tariffs is what concerns me most.

Of course there is no other way to raise revenue.

[Blake]

Of course there is no other way to raise revenue.

Or reduce ridiculous spending.

Hey how is DOGE doing these days?

[TSA]

They don't understand the data or anything you're talking about. MSNBC told them tariffs are bad so that's what they believe. Blake didn't even understand that tariffs are a tax, meaning it generates desperately needed revenue for the government.You are correct they really don't understand the data.


stripping out volatile food and energy prices


Lol he never reads or comprehends the word walls he posts.


Volatile food and energy prices are ALWAYS stripped out for Core PCE.

ChumpDumper thought he had a gotcha and Blake jumped on his coattails and they both made absolute fools of themselves :lol

Blake doesn't understand anything when it comes to the economy all the while claiming to be a lol "real world finance guy". Blake and his experts have been warning of massive inflation coming since May of 2025 and he still refuses to admit he and his experts were dead wrong and the tariffs didn't cause massive inflation.

https://x.com/truflation/status/2013596034216403283

Blake keeps crying about how much better the economy was under Biden while under Trump inflation is steady and lower, wages are higher, GDP is higher, and the markets keep hitting all time highs.

Blake is retarded.

:bobo

[ChumpDumper]

:lol TSA thinks energy is just gasoline

No wonder that rube believes all those conspiracy theories.

Is your electric bill lower or higher on average the past year?

[Winehole23]

did they try shopping at a real grocery store?


"We had run almost 1,000 simulations, and between $3 and $4 is a fair number if you can have access to that food. I just saw new numbers that were run: a full day, meaning 3 full square meals and a snack, is about $15.64."

[TSA]

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2013596629379498306

[ChumpDumper]

After they started juicing the numbers, they can say growth will be 1000%.

[Blake]

https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2013596629379498306

Does that mean healthcare costs are coming down too? What about groceries?

[velik_m]

Danish pension fund to sell $100 million in Treasurys, citing ‘poor’ U.S. government finances

Danish pension operator AkademikerPension said it is exiting U.S. Treasurys because of finance concerns as Denmark spars with President Donald Trump over his threats to take over Greenland.

Anders Schelde, AkademikerPension’s investing chief, said the decision was driven by what it sees as “poor [U.S.] government finances” amid America’s debt crisis. But it also comes as tensions escalate between the U.S. and Denmark after Trump’s latest threats to tariff European countries if Greenland, an arctic territory of Denmark, isn’t sold to the U.S.

“It is not directly related to the ongoing rift between the [U.S.] and Europe, but of course that didn’t make it more difficult to take the decision,” Schelde said in a statement to CNBC.

The fund currently has a position of around $100 million in U.S. Treasurys, an AkademikerPension spokesperson confirmed to CNBC. The academics-focused fund plans to have exited that holding by the end of the month.

...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/20/akademikerpension-us-treasury-greenland-trump.html

[Winehole23]

if Europe delinks from the dollar and disinvests in the USA, the US free ride will start coming to end

fortunately for us, it can't do that quickly because so much of its wealth is denominated in the US dollar

pushing the rest of the world to start disinvesting from the US is a huge own goal, a colossal strategic error

[Winehole23]

Wikoff telling WEF that the world order made in the image of the USA after WWII and designed to benefit US currency and institutions -- that made the USA the richest and mightiest country human history has ever seen -- is a ripoff and a failure...

is pure brainrot and delusion

[Winehole23]

even for Karl Marx, the productive base of capitalism was a precondition of socialist revolution. Marx admired and praised capitalism for creating the preconditions of liberation from toil and oppression, as a real advance in freedom and human civilization -- which it is.

Witkoff and Trump are calling it a ripoff and trying to tear it down

[Th'Pusher]

Yeah, desperately. We've got $38.6 trillion in debt and much bigger deficits without them.

The ends don’t always justify the means. Tariffs are a pretty blunt instrument to increase revenue. A more targeted approach initiated by congress as dictated by the constitution would be the legal way to raise revenue.

[DMX7]

The ends don’t always justify the means. Tariffs are a pretty blunt instrument to increase revenue. A more targeted approach initiated by congress as dictated by the constitution would be the legal way to raise revenue.


Of course there is no other way to raise revenue.

The Congress is paralyzed. In the Congress, mega donors (very rich people) defeat attempts at higher income taxes, higher estate taxes and wealth taxes and the business lobbies defeat higher tariffs. Trump bypassed the lobbyist with executive action, which the Supreme Court could still partially strike down.

Tariffs at least promote domestic investments whereas higher income taxes often do the opposite.

[ChumpDumper]

The Congress is paralyzed. In the Congress, mega donors (very rich people) defeat attempts at higher income taxes, higher estate taxes and wealth taxes and the business lobbies defeat higher tariffs. Trump bypassed the lobbyist with executive action, which the Supreme Court could still partially strike down.

Tariffs at least promote domestic investments whereas higher income taxes often do the opposite.Domestic investment in what?

Manufacturing jobs were down another 70,000 last year.

[DMX7]

Domestic investment in what?

Manufacturing jobs were down another 70,000 last year.

In semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, autos, etc. It takes time to make investments but many have already been pledged so now they have to be implemented.

[ChumpDumper]

In semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, autos, etc. It takes time to make investments but many have already been pledged so now they have to be implemented.Foxconn announces $10 billion investment in Wisconsin and up to 13,000 jobs
(https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/2017/07/26/scott-walker-heads-d-c-trump-prepares-wisconsin-foxconn-announcement/512077001/)

[DMX7]

Foxconn announces $10 billion investment in Wisconsin and up to 13,000 jobs
(https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/2017/07/26/scott-walker-heads-d-c-trump-prepares-wisconsin-foxconn-announcement/512077001/)

Take a look at what TSMC has done in Arizona already and it's about to get much bigger.

[ChumpDumper]

Take a look at what TSMC has done in Arizona already and it's about to get much bigger.
How big is the Foxconn plant in Wisconsin now?

[Winehole23]

The ends don’t always justify the means. Tariffs are a pretty blunt instrument to increase revenue. A more targeted approach initiated by congress as dictated by the constitution would be the legal way to raise revenue.Taxation is an enumerated power of Congress and directly increases revenue. We could also get better at collecting the money, instead of chainsawing the IRS in the face of massive tax cuts like we're doing now.

[Winehole23]

Cutting government services then blowing all the money saved on tax cuts like Republicans did last year is fiscally dumb

[Th'Pusher]

The Congress is paralyzed. In the Congress, mega donors (very rich people) defeat attempts at higher income taxes, higher estate taxes and wealth taxes and the business lobbies defeat higher tariffs. Trump bypassed the lobbyist with executive action, which the Supreme Court could still partially strike down.

Tariffs at least promote domestic investments whereas higher income taxes often do the opposite.

What do you mean congress is paralyzed? DJT whipped congress into passing his big beautiful bill not 6 months ago…which increases the budget deficit btw. Why didn’t he just include his tariffs in that legislation?

[Blake]

Gotta love the continued mental gymnastics Trump tards go through to convince themselves that Trump does things with the best interest of the country in mind.

[Winehole23]

Trump is laying a big deuce on Davos right now

[Th'Pusher]

The Congress is paralyzed. In the Congress, mega donors (very rich people) defeat attempts at higher income taxes, higher estate taxes and wealth taxes and the business lobbies defeat higher tariffs. Trump bypassed the lobbyist with executive action, which the Supreme Court could still partially strike down.

Tariffs at least promote domestic investments whereas higher income taxes often do the opposite.

Honestly, congress literally didn’t have to do anything to increase revenue. Just not passing the BBB would have increased revenue as the 2018 Trump tax cuts. But he chose to extended the tax cuts and introduced tariffs (which may be unlawful).

If the goal is to reduce the deficit, How about laying out a reasonable policy plan to achieve that, build support for it with the American people, then pass it into law? The most significant durable thing Trump has done from a policy perspective is reduce revenues through tax cuts which increase the budget deficit and the national debt, unless you’re still working under the assumption that tax cuts pay for themselves :lol

[TSA]

Gotta love the continued mental gymnastics Trump tards go through to convince themselves that Trump does things with the best interest of the country in mind.

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2014033944799228303

https://x.com/truflation/status/2013962583271989747

:lol Blake Cramer :lol

[Blake]

Lol Antoni is an alt right honk.

Tsa will never say how his food bill and Healthcare costs have gone up

[TSA]

Lol Antoni is an alt right honk.Antoni has nothing to do with the Atlanta Fed's GDP forecast you fucking idiot.


Tsa will never say how his food bill and Healthcare costs have gone upBlake doesn't understand that food and healthcare aren't the only things used to calculate inflation. Blake doesn't understand the word offset. Blake didn't know there were two different inflation gauges. Blake isn't aware inflation is lower now then in 2024 when he didn't care about inflation and never talked about it.

Blake will never say how he's doing worse now in 2026 when inflation is lower, wages are higher, and markets keep hitting all time highs.

Blake is an idiot.

[Blake]

"..."To say the US has 'virtually no inflation' is factually incorrect and a classic Trump overstatement," Thomas Ryan, a North America economist at Capital Economics, wrote in an e-mail.

Core CPI — a measure that strips out energy and food prices, which can be volatile — "remains uncomfortably high for policymakers at 2.6%," Ryan wrote..."



"....Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, also told CNBC that inflation remains "uncomfortably high."

"Inflation is especially problematic for lower and middle-income Americans, given the high inflation for many staples such as groceries, electricity, apparel, furniture, childcare, and healthcare," Zandi wrote in an e-mail.

Ironically, Trump's tariff policy is putting upward pressure on inflation and preventing the U.S. policymakers from claiming victory, economists said...."

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/21/trump-inflation-defeated.html

Tsa will continue his bootlick text walls, claim these guys are morons and spike his own football with the devastating "Blake Cramer" tag.

Tard.

[TSA]

"..."To say the US has 'virtually no inflation' is factually incorrect and a classic Trump overstatement," Thomas Ryan, a North America economist at Capital Economics, wrote in an e-mail.

Core CPI — a measure that strips out energy and food prices, which can be volatile — "remains uncomfortably high for policymakers at 2.6%," Ryan wrote..."



"....Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's, also told CNBC that inflation remains "uncomfortably high."

"Inflation is especially problematic for lower and middle-income Americans, given the high inflation for many staples such as groceries, electricity, apparel, furniture, childcare, and healthcare," Zandi wrote in an e-mail.

Ironically, Trump's tariff policy is putting upward pressure on inflation and preventing the U.S. policymakers from claiming victory, economists said...."

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/21/trump-inflation-defeated.html

Tsa will continue his bootlick text walls, claim these guys are morons and spike his own football with the devastating "Blake Cramer" tag.

Tard.

You are such a fucking moron :lol

Did you even read the article you posted past the first paragraph where you thought you found your gotcha?

Let's look at some highlights from the rest of the article you linked and didn't read :lol

Mortgages

Mortgage rates, which typically follow the lead of long-term Treasury rates, are significantly lower than where they were a year ago, helped in part by Trump’s push to have Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy $200 billion in mortgage bonds. Just on Trump’s announcement of that plan, the average rate on the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage sank briefly below 6% earlier this month.

The average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is 6.21% as of Tuesday, according to Mortgage News Daily, down from over 7% in January 2025.

Rent

Rent payments have also been trending lower.

In December, the national rent index fell 0.8%, ending the year with five straight months of declines, according to real estate data site Apartment List’s monthly report.

While this is generally in line with how rents perform in the winter, it was the steepest winter decline since 2022, according to the report. Across the board, rents nationally were down 1.3% from a year earlier. The national median monthly rent now stands at $1,356.


Energy

A gallon of regular gasoline costs about $2.81, on average, as of Jan. 19, according to the Energy Information Administration.

That’s a nearly 10% decline from $3.11 per gallon on Jan. 20, 2025, the day Trump took office, according to EIA data.

Groceries

Grocery prices have risen a relatively muted 2.4% over the past year, according to CPI data.

Airfare

Airline fares declined more than 3% year over year in December, according to CPI data.


========================

Now let's take a look at Mark Zandi from Moody's

Mark Zandi in January 2026 with inflation at 2.7% steady to trending down ---"Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s, also told CNBC that inflation remains “uncomfortably high.”

Mark Zandi in January 2024 as inflation rose 0.3% monthly and 3.1% year-over-year "Inflation has fallen considerably since the peak back in the summer of 2022, and by the end of this year we should be back to the Federal Reserve’s inflation target, as measured by CPI, of 2.5%."
https://www.rmahq.org/journal-articles/2024/april-may-2024/the-economy-what-to-know-and-what-to-watch/?gmssopc=1

https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/05/31/inflation-looks-on-track-to-get-back-to-the-feds-target-by-end-of-year-says-moodys-mark-zandi.html

"In 2024, Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi
grew optimistic about U.S. inflation, believing it was moderating "gracefully" and would return to the Federal Reserve's target by year-end,"

:lol average inflation for 2024 was 2.95%

:lol Blake Cramer :lol

[Blake]

Oh look. A text wall.

[TSA]

Oh look. A text wall.

IT’S YOUR OWN FUCKING ARTICLE :lmao :lmao :lmao

[ChumpDumper]

How's your energy bill these days?

[SnakeBoy]

IT’S YOUR OWN FUCKING ARTICLE :lmao :lmao :lmao

:lol

Idk why you or yoni bothers tbh

[Winehole23]

yet somehow, you turned up here again too

:lol

[Blake]

How's your energy bill these days?

He'll never answer. I don't know why I bother.

[SnakeBoy]

yet somehow, you turned up here again too

:lol

How many times do I have to tell you...Angry libs are funny

[ChumpDumper]

snacks is funny always showing up post TACO.

[DMX7]

If the goal is to reduce the deficit, How about laying out a reasonable policy plan to achieve that, build support for it with the American people, then pass it into law?

Yeah, I don't see raising taxes as a winning issue in the upcoming election. Most Americans (like Chumpdumper) don't even have a clue about the state of the country's fiscal health, so I'm not sure how much they even care about it.

[ChumpDumper]

Yeah, I don't see raising taxes as a winning issue in the upcoming election. Most Americans (like Chumpdumper) don't even have a clue about the state of the country's fiscal health, so I'm not sure how much they even care about it.

You don't care about the debt. You didn't say shit about Trump's tax cuts for the rich and huge deficit spending unless I brought it up.

[Winehole23]

How many times do I have to tell you...Angry libs are funnywell of course you would say that, you're a sadistic ghoul

[TSA]

https://x.com/shepmjs/status/2014343914686403058

https://x.com/RNCResearch/status/2014335010308755524

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2014339596272677011

:cry Bidenomics :cry

[Blake]

Yeah, I don't see raising taxes as a winning issue in the upcoming election. Most Americans (like Chumpdumper) don't even have a clue about the state of the country's fiscal health, so I'm not sure how much they even care about it.

You're right. Most Trump voting Americans like you think that companies are eating the tariffs and Trump is making the trade deficit right again. They're too stupid to know that we're the ones eating it. They also have no clue about the true state of the country's fiscal health because they're vegged out on Fox News 24/7 where Trump and America are doing great again.

[Blake]

https://x.com/shepmjs/status/2014343914686403058

https://x.com/RNCResearch/status/2014335010308755524

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2014339596272677011

:cry Bidenomics :cry

Lol alt right bootlicks

[TSA]

Lol alt right bootlicks

lol white flag

[Th'Pusher]

https://x.com/shepmjs/status/2014343914686403058

https://x.com/RNCResearch/status/2014335010308755524

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2014339596272677011

:cry Bidenomics :cry

The only metric that matters is the percentage of Americans that approve of Trump’s handling of the economy.

[TSA]

Honestly, congress literally didn’t have to do anything to increase revenue. Just not passing the BBB would have increased revenue as the 2018 Trump tax cuts. But he chose to extended the tax cuts and introduced tariffs (which may be unlawful).

If the goal is to reduce the deficit, How about laying out a reasonable policy plan to achieve that, build support for it with the American people, then pass it into law? The most significant durable thing Trump has done from a policy perspective is reduce revenues through tax cuts which increase the budget deficit and the national debt, unless you’re still working under the assumption that tax cuts pay for themselves :lol

https://x.com/alojoh/status/2014039462787883380

[Blake]

Rofl "good job white house"

Just another day of tsa flooding the thread with bootlick tweets

[TSA]

Rofl "good job white house"

Just another day of tsa flooding the thread with bootlick tweets

You’ve proven that you have poor reading comprehension and don’t understand how to read and interpret data so I thought a picture of a chart might be easier for you to comprehend.

:bobo

[Blake]

You’ve proven that you have poor reading comprehension and don’t understand how to read and interpret data so I thought a picture of a chart might be easier for you to comprehend.

:bobo

Your source material is alt right Trump love propaganda. I'm just skipping past your text walls of lies and going straight the inevitable 'lol tsa is wrong again'

[TSA]

Your source material is alt right Trump love propaganda. I'm just skipping past your text walls of lies and going straight the inevitable 'lol tsa is wrong again'

No one has been more consistently wrong in this thread than you :lmao

[Blake]

You tell yourself that while you're paying more for your electricity and groceries

[TSA]

You tell yourself that while you're paying more for your electricity and groceries

You are such a retarded fucking simpleton :lol.

I’m going to ask you some simple yes/no questions and let’s see if you realize how idiotic your ill conceived gotcha worked out for you. Are you ready Simple Jack?

Are electricity and groceries your only costs? Yes or no

Are all grocery items up? Yes or no

Do you understand supply/demand and how it relates to grocery costs? Yes or no

Do you understand what offsetting costs are? Yes or no

Are gas prices lower since Biden? Yes or no

Are mortgage rates down since Biden? Yes or no

Is housing rent down since Biden? Yes or no

Are wages up since Biden? Yes or no

Is inflation down since Biden? Yes or no

Is the stock market up since Biden? Yes or no

Is GDP up since Biden? Yes or no

Don’t be a pussy Blake. Answer every single yes/no question.

[Th'Pusher]

https://x.com/alojoh/status/2014039462787883380

The only metric that matters is the percentage of Americans that approve of Trump’s handling of the economy.

[Winehole23]

(popular sovereignty (https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/popular%20sovereignty) used to be grade-school civics)

[Winehole23]

now it's all about the whim of the tyrant and his scheming viziers Miller, Rubio and Vought

[DarrinS]

Did the markets crash? All my accounts are in the green.

[DarrinS]

.

[TSA]

The only metric that matters is the percentage of Americans that approve of Trump’s handling of the economy.

Unfortunately a large chunk of Americans are as clueless about the economy as Blake is and somehow think the economy in 2024 under Biden was better than the economy now even though Trump’s economy is better in almost every single metric. Idiots skew poll results when they’ve been brainwashed and fear mongered about inflation and a recession. Under Trump inflation has been lower, wages higher, and GDP is firing and on the rise. Had the MSM reported honestly on the state of the economy public sentiment would be quite different. The “experts” have finally had to admit they were wrong about inflation and a recession and can no longer hide how well GDP is tracking and projected to be. Look at the change in poll numbers as the media has finally been forced to admit the truth.

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2014504342770880747

He’ll be above water by November and that’s all that matters.

[TSA]

Did the markets crash? All my accounts are in the green.

Wonder if hater is still all cash like he claimed on Liberation Day :lmao

[Th'Pusher]

Unfortunately a large chunk of Americans are as clueless about the economy as Blake is and somehow think the economy in 2024 under Biden was better than the economy now even though Trump’s economy is better in almost every single metric. Idiots skew poll results when they’ve been brainwashed and fear mongered about inflation and a recession. Under Trump inflation has been lower, wages higher, and GDP is firing and on the rise. Had the MSM reported honestly on the state of the economy public sentiment would be quite different. The “experts” have finally had to admit they were wrong about inflation and a recession and can no longer hide how well GDP is tracking and projected to be. Look at the change in poll numbers as the media has finally been forced to admit the truth.

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2014504342770880747

He’ll be above water by November and that’s all that matters.

The only metric that matters is the percentage of Americans that approve of Trump’s handling of the economy.

[Winehole23]

Did the markets crash? All my accounts are in the green.I didn't predict it

the US economy is mighty, even Trump might not be powerful enough to break it, try though he may

[Winehole23]

the Trump utopia is the world where he extorts everyone with brute force and economic coercion

it won't work

[Winehole23]

lol DarrinS gazing at his navel and generalizing to everybody

[TSA]

The only metric that matters is the percentage of Americans that approve of Trump’s handling of the economy.

[Winehole23]

^^^ allergic to popular sovereignty

[TSA]

^^^ allergic to popular sovereignty

^^^allergic to actual stats and infected with permanent TDS

[TSA]

I didn't predict it


Does spamming Black Monday articles not count? :lol

[Winehole23]

^^^allergic to actual stats and infected with permanent TDSTrump is the worst ever

Y'all are not ready for the backlash

[TSA]

Trump is the worst ever

Y'all are not ready for the backlash

Worst ever on the economy? :lol

Give a breakdown on the current economy and compare it to Biden’s last year in office. Compare every single metric the economy is judged on. Don’t be a pussy. Back your claim up for once.

These are the TDS dipshits that skew polls that I’m talking about @Th’Pusher

[Winehole23]

lol grudge posting

keep talking about me, dumb bunny

[TSA]

lol grudge posting

keep talking about me, dumb bunny

I’m asking questions that pertain to your comments of course I’m talking about you stupid fuck.

Trump’s economy is being discussed and you commented that Trump is the worst ever. Give a breakdown on the current economy and compare it to Biden’s last year in office. Compare every single metric the economy is judged on. Don’t be a pussy. Back your claim up for once.

[Winehole23]

^^^ gobbledegook and purple prose, there's not even a question there

you're not very good at this

[Winehole23]

you just want to talk about me

how is that pertinent to current events?

:lol

[TSA]

you just want to talk about me

how is that pertinent to current events?

:lol

You’re tail spinning now with your back against the wall :lol

You were asked a question to your comment and are running as fast as you can in order to not answer it.

How is Trump’s economy pertinent to current events? You tell me you’re the one who claimed Trump is the worst ever in a thread about Trump’s economy. Put the wine down old man and stop dodging questions and embarrassing yourself. Or, man up and address your claim and try and back it up and embarrass yourself some now.

Trump’s economy is being discussed and you commented that Trump is the worst ever. Give a breakdown on the current economy and compare it to Biden’s last year in office. Compare every single metric the economy is judged on. Don’t be a pussy. Back your claim up for once.

[BadMotorscooter]

Wine Ho wont be able to answer....he searches articles and posts them...thats his big M.O. He runs when confronted with a debate proposition.

[Th'Pusher]

Worst ever on the economy? :lol

Give a breakdown on the current economy and compare it to Biden’s last year in office. Compare every single metric the economy is judged on. Don’t be a pussy. Back your claim up for once.

These are the TDS dipshits that skew polls that I’m talking about @Th’Pusher

Not that it matters but here you go…

Employment & Labor Market
Unemployment Rate: The average unemployment rate was 4.2% in 2025 compared with 4.0% in 2024—a 5% increase . By December 2025, it reached 4.4%.
Job Creation: Employers added an estimated 584,000 jobs in 2025, far below the 2 million added in 2024. This was the worst year for job growth since 2009 (excluding COVID).
Average Length of Unemployment: In 2025, the average length of unemployment was 23.1 weeks compared with 21.7 weeks in 2024—an increase of 6.4%
Long-term Unemployment: The number of long-term unemployed workers (those out of work for at least 27 weeks) rose by almost 400,000 people in 2025
Job Openings: The average share of job openings relative to existing jobs was 4.4% for the first 11 months of 2025, down 5.6% from the same period in 2024
Black Worker Unemployment: Black unemployment rose to 7.5% in December 2025, almost twice the rate for white workers at 3.8%

Economic Growth & Activity
Leading Economic Index (LEI): The LEI fell by 2.1% over the six months between March and September 2025, a faster rate of decline than its 1.3% contraction over the previous six-month period
Manufacturing Employment: Manufacturing employed 68,000 fewer people in December 2025 than in December 2024

Inflation & Prices
Overall Inflation: The Consumer Price Index increased 2.7% over the last 12 months through December 2025, compared to lower rates earlier in 2024.
Real Wage Growth: Inflation-adjusted average wages for production nonsupervisory workers in November 2025 were only 1.1% higher than a year earlier, down from a peak 12-month growth rate of 1.9% in April 2025

Federal Finances
Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Federal debt held by the public increased from 97.4% of GDP at the end of fiscal year 2024 to 99.8% at the end of fiscal year 2025
Net Interest on Debt: Interest on the debt totaled more than $1.2 trillion in FY2025, which is $100 billion more than in FY2024
Note: The federal budget deficit actually decreased slightly in absolute terms in FY2025 ($1.8 trillion vs $1.83 trillion in FY2024), though it remained elevated.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

[TSA]

Not that it matters but here you go…

Employment & Labor Market
Unemployment Rate: The average unemployment rate was 4.2% in 2025 compared with 4.0% in 2024—a 5% increase . By December 2025, it reached 4.4%.
Job Creation: Employers added an estimated 584,000 jobs in 2025, far below the 2 million added in 2024. This was the worst year for job growth since 2009 (excluding COVID).
Average Length of Unemployment: In 2025, the average length of unemployment was 23.1 weeks compared with 21.7 weeks in 2024—an increase of 6.4%
Long-term Unemployment: The number of long-term unemployed workers (those out of work for at least 27 weeks) rose by almost 400,000 people in 2025
Job Openings: The average share of job openings relative to existing jobs was 4.4% for the first 11 months of 2025, down 5.6% from the same period in 2024
Black Worker Unemployment: Black unemployment rose to 7.5% in December 2025, almost twice the rate for white workers at 3.8%

Economic Growth & Activity
Leading Economic Index (LEI): The LEI fell by 2.1% over the six months between March and September 2025, a faster rate of decline than its 1.3% contraction over the previous six-month period
Manufacturing Employment: Manufacturing employed 68,000 fewer people in December 2025 than in December 2024

Inflation & Prices
Overall Inflation: The Consumer Price Index increased 2.7% over the last 12 months through December 2025, compared to lower rates earlier in 2024.
Real Wage Growth: Inflation-adjusted average wages for production nonsupervisory workers in November 2025 were only 1.1% higher than a year earlier, down from a peak 12-month growth rate of 1.9% in April 2025

Federal Finances
Debt-to-GDP Ratio: Federal debt held by the public increased from 97.4% of GDP at the end of fiscal year 2024 to 99.8% at the end of fiscal year 2025
Net Interest on Debt: Interest on the debt totaled more than $1.2 trillion in FY2025, which is $100 billion more than in FY2024
Note: The federal budget deficit actually decreased slightly in absolute terms in FY2025 ($1.8 trillion vs $1.83 trillion in FY2024), though it remained elevated.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Why no link? Did ChatGPT spit this out for you?

Love how they compare CPI avg of all of 2025 to when rates happened to be lower in 2024 and not CPI avg of all of 2024, which was 2.95%. No mention of GDP either lol.

[TSA]

Unfortunately a large chunk of Americans are as clueless about the economy as Blake is and somehow think the economy in 2024 under Biden was better than the economy now even though Trump’s economy is better in almost every single metric. Idiots skew poll results when they’ve been brainwashed and fear mongered about inflation and a recession. Under Trump inflation has been lower, wages higher, and GDP is firing and on the rise. Had the MSM reported honestly on the state of the economy public sentiment would be quite different. The “experts” have finally had to admit they were wrong about inflation and a recession and can no longer hide how well GDP is tracking and projected to be. Look at the change in poll numbers as the media has finally been forced to admit the truth.

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2014504342770880747

He’ll be above water by November and that’s all that matters.

“This is very strong early validation of our model’s transitional “sentiment inflection” in Q4 2025–Q1 2026: the economic rebound (gas at $2.95/gal, rents falling, +1.2M jobs Nov 2025, goods deflation emerging) is starting to register with voters, narrowing the “affordability hole” from -21 (Apr 2025) to -9 now — and our model projects it flips positive by mid-2026 as the full relief wave hits (rebates, tax cuts, FDI factories, oil plunge).

The “slowly beginning to give positive rating” language is key: sentiment is lagging hard indicators (jobs, prices), but the trend is clearly upward — exactly the “hard vs. soft” dynamic Hassett keeps emphasizing. In a polarized environment, moving from -21 to -9 in 9 months (while Trump approval is still ~45%) is huge momentum for the incumbent party.”

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2014532890185408813

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:222rnvnta2lbl364bog2plxw/bafkreifewu7arvwakatiy3ha2v33yyj4yeks27j4fhmxz4zqx xw3vpwave@jpeg

[TSA]

Don’t be a pussy Blake. Answer every single yes/no question.


You tell yourself that while you're paying more for your electricity and groceries

I’m going to ask you some simple yes/no questions and let’s see if you realize how idiotic your ill conceived gotcha worked out for you. Are you ready Simple Jack?

Are electricity and groceries your only costs? Yes or no

Are all grocery items up? Yes or no

Do you understand supply/demand and how it relates to grocery costs? Yes or no

Do you understand what offsetting costs are? Yes or no

Are gas prices lower since Biden? Yes or no

Are mortgage rates down since Biden? Yes or no

Is housing rent down since Biden? Yes or no

Are wages up since Biden? Yes or no

Is inflation down since Biden? Yes or no

Is the stock market up since Biden? Yes or no

Is GDP up since Biden? Yes or no

[ChumpDumper]

:lmao TSA meltdown

[TSA]

Many economists from both sides are warning of massive inflation

Many of you may not know this, but we have multiple different metrics for US inflation:

1) Our custom US CPI index with custom categories and weights that differ from the BLS CPI, currently at 1.21% Y/Y.

2) Our US PCE index, where we apply the weights and categories of the BEA PCE indexes to our price data, currently at 1.46% Y/Y.

3) and a BLS CPI Comparison Index, where we take our price data and apply the BLS weights and categories. That last index is actually 0.51% Y/Y, right now, which is even lower than our custom US CPI index.

If you apply the BLS CPI methodology to millions of price data points that we collect daily, you get near-zero inflation.

https://x.com/truflation/status/2014745089529282803

:lol Blake Cramer :lol

[CosmicCowboy]

There is no denying that the perception of the economy depends on where you are in it. Economists are calling it a K shaped economy. Those with assets and savings that can benefit from rising equity in their homes and rising income from 401ks and stock market gains are doing quite well. Those that don't have those advantages aren't. There is no denying that the cost of living has increased dramatically and will continue to rise. I just got the health care quote for 2026 renewal for my employees (I pay 100% of the premium for them and their families) and the exact same insurance I had last year is 17% higher this year. It looks like the only thing that won't go up is oil (temporarily) because current supply exceeds demand. It's definitely not "drill baby drill".

[velik_m]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7y8qV4OTZgs

[TSA]

You tell yourself that while you're paying more for your electricity and groceries

US Consumer Sentiment Hits 5-Month Highs As Inflation Worries Fall To 1-Year Low

"American households are starting 2026 on firmer footing, with sentiment ticking up to its highest level in five months and inflation worries slipping to levels not seen since early 2025, just as food prices tumble across grocery aisles."

"According to Bank of America economist Sara Senatore, deflation is gaining traction across major agricultural commodities in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Notably, sugar prices fell 16.6% year over year, oil declined 11.1%, wheat dropped 10.9% and cheese slid 7.5%. Even milk, which had been more stable, saw a 1.9% year-over-year deflation.

Retail egg prices saw the steepest drop, plunging 26% in January after peaking at +108% year-over-year inflation in March 2025. Chicken breast prices declined 21% and wing prices collapsed 48% year over year."

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/economic-data/26/01/50102236/consumer-sentiment-university-of-michigan-january-2025-pmi-us-economy

:lol Blake Cramer :lol

[TSA]

Trump's Economy Is In Strong-Growth, Low-Inflation Mode

"The U.S. economy is entering 2026 with rare momentum: growth is accelerating, inflation remains contained and labor market stress is easing. That rare sweet spot, often described as a "Goldilocks" setup, is historically supportive of risk assets, from large-cap stocks tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) to smaller and mid-sized companies represented by iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM), handing President Donald Trump a symbolic win one year into his second term.
U.S. Economic Growth Is Running Hot — And Broad-Based

According to the final third-quarter reading from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. gross domestic product expanded at a 4.4% annualized rate, up from a prior estimate of 4.3% and well above the economy's long-term trend.

That marked an acceleration from 3.8% growth in the second quarter, already a strong showing by historical standards.

Importantly, the momentum doesn’t seem to stop here.

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimates the economy expanded at a 5.4% annualized pace in the fourth quarter — a level rarely seen outside of post-recession or post-pandemic rebounds.
Strong Growth — Without An Inflation Spike

Even more striking is what hasn't happened: inflation has not surged alongside growth.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.8% year over year in November, in line with economists’ expectations. On a monthly basis, prices increased 0.2%, matching October's pace and expectations.

Core PCE — which strips out food and energy and is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge — also came in at 2.8% as expected, reinforcing the view that price pressures remain contained.

The implication: productivity gains may be doing much of the heavy lifting, allowing the economy to grow faster without overheating.

Consumer fundamentals continue to improve. Personal spending rose 0.5% month over month in November, matching October's gain, while personal income increased 0.3%, marking the sixth consecutive monthly increase.

“Rising wealth has been playing in supporting consumer spending, particularly from older, wealthier households,” commented in an emailed note Michael Pearce, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics.

“Real consumer spending is on track to rise by close to 3% annualized in Q4, only slightly below the 3.5% pace in Q3 and well above our baseline forecast for a 2.1% gain,” he added.

On the labor market front, fears of widespread layoffs have eased as jobless claims have come in lower than expected in recent weeks.

"A wave of layoff announcements in the fall never translated into a significant increase in initial jobless claims… Continued claims are also trending lower, suggesting employers aren't pulling back further," said Nancy Vanden Houten, economist at Oxford Economics.

"Notifications by employers of pending layoffs were down sharply as of December after a jump in October," she added."

https://www.benzinga.com/markets/macro-economic-events/26/01/50075018/us-economy-2026-goldilocks-growth-low-inflation-markets

:lol Blake Cramer :lol

[Th'Pusher]

There is no denying that the perception of the economy depends on where you are in it. Economists are calling it a K shaped economy. Those with assets and savings that can benefit from rising equity in their homes and rising income from 401ks and stock market gains are doing quite well. Those that don't have those advantages aren't. There is no denying that the cost of living has increased dramatically and will continue to rise. I just got the health care quote for 2026 renewal for my employees (I pay 100% of the premium for them and their families) and the exact same insurance I had last year is 17% higher this year. It looks like the only thing that won't go up is oil (temporarily) because current supply exceeds demand. It's definitely not "drill baby drill".

This is correct. TSA can point to all the metrics that show a strong economy but it’s irrelevant…which is why I say the only metric that matters is how people perceive Trump’s handling of the economy. It’s not that people don’t understand or believe the metrics, it’s that the metrics TSA and fellow MAGAphones want to amplify, it’s that they’re not impacted by the metrics. Most Americans don’t have equity whereas tight labor markets are felt by most.

I hear you on the oil policy. I got a buddy who provides services to the oil companies in the Permian basin…massive trump supporter and he’d trade trump oil policy for Biden policy all day right about now. Our farmers are getting fucked too.

[CosmicCowboy]

Speaking of investing, I took my mag 7 profits off the table in the last week of 2025 and moved the cash to a Chinese tech ETF, a global robotics ETF, a Brazil ETF, and upped my ante in VRT. I'm temporarily out of crypto. I sold at 99, bought back in at 78 and sold again at 95. Looking hard at a South Korea ETF as well.

[CosmicCowboy]

Sadly missed Sandisk last year even though it made total sense in retrospect. Kind of afraid to jump on the bandwagon now.

[Blake]

You are such a retarded fucking simpleton :lol.

I’m going to ask you some simple yes/no questions and let’s see if you realize how idiotic your ill conceived gotcha worked out for you. Are you ready Simple Jack?

Are electricity and groceries your only costs? Yes or no

Are all grocery items up? Yes or no

Do you understand supply/demand and how it relates to grocery costs? Yes or no

Do you understand what offsetting costs are? Yes or no

Are gas prices lower since Biden? Yes or no

Are mortgage rates down since Biden? Yes or no

Is housing rent down since Biden? Yes or no

Are wages up since Biden? Yes or no

Is inflation down since Biden? Yes or no

Is the stock market up since Biden? Yes or no

Is GDP up since Biden? Yes or no

Don’t be a pussy Blake. Answer every single yes/no question.

Those are mostly false/ loaded questions. You're too stupid to know that means.

[TSA]

Those are mostly false/ loaded questions. You're too stupid to know that means.
You are such a fucking PUSSY :lmao

Here pussy, no excuses now.

Are gas prices lower since Biden? Yes or no

Are mortgage rates down since Biden? Yes or no

Is housing rent down since Biden? Yes or no

Are wages up since Biden? Yes or no

Is inflation down since Biden? Yes or no

Is the stock market up since Biden? Yes or no

Is GDP up since Biden? Yes or no

Don’t be a pussy Simple Blake. Answer every single yes/no question.

[Th'Pusher]

Dude. No one gives a fuck about your screeching and cherry picked stats. He’s a fucking horrible human and a really terrible president. Pay attention

[velik_m]

Amazon braces for another major round of layoffs, 14,000 jobs at risk

Amazon is expected to undergo another round of layoffs next week, according to an exclusive report from Reuters, in an effort to trim its workforce by approximately 30,000 employees.

This is considered the next round of layoffs that first occurred in October, two sources who asked not to be identified told Reuters. During the October round of layoffs, 14,000 employees were laid off. The second round, which can begin as early as Tuesday, is expected to affect roughly the same number of employees.

Included in the layoffs are jobs within the company’s Amazon Web Services, retail, Prime Video, and People Experience and Technology departments.
...


https://mynorthwest.com/local/amazon-layoffs-14000-jobs-at-risk/4192118

[Blake]

https://mynorthwest.com/local/amazon-layoffs-14000-jobs-at-risk/4192118

BUT WAGES HAVE GONE UP FOR THE ONES STILL WORKING THERE

[velik_m]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sr7OVWgqDIM

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreicxrh7isbt4jbyht4me6untqz7gxnxbcy2xdd4kvmozt burue4koy@jpeg

https://www.ft.com/content/8cbb2664-7795-4286-a795-99181df151fc

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreiaqw6b5iyp7m4jdeara5yrq3eumec5kolwmepy2q7pku r7w33tw6a@jpeg

[Blake]

"....NEW YORK (AP) — As layoffs pile up, workers are feeling increasingly anxious about the job market.

In the U.S., economists have said that businesses are largely at a “no-hire, no fire” standstill, leading many to limit new work, if not pause openings entirely amid economic uncertainty. Hiring has stagnated overall — with the country adding a meager 50,000 jobs last month, down from a revised figure of 56,000 in November...."

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/layoffs-piling-heightening-worker-anxiety-172050036.html

[CosmicCowboy]

You will see a lot more layoffs as AI is adapted. It's going to eliminate a shitload of white collar jobs.

[SnakeBoy]

.

[ChumpDumper]

Sentiment in this thread vacillates from AI is nothing more than a glorified search engine and AI is so powerful it's going to take all the jobs


How are you personally using it aside from making dank memes?

[SnakeBoy]

wrong thread

[Blake]

.....The CBO released a report yesterday detailing that, for the first third of FY26 (which began in October), the U.S. government operated at a deficit, and so borrowed $696 billion. That included $94 billion in January alone, and works out to an average of $43.5 billion for each of the 16 weeks of the four months since.

While America’s government spending outweighs its revenue generation, its finances are also negatively compounded by the interest payments needed to maintain its debt. Total national debt now sits at more than $38.5 trillion. U.S. GDP is about $31 trillion, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis......"

https://fortune.com/2026/02/10/government-borrowing-cbo-report-deicit-lending-interest/


I think more tariffs is the answer here.

[SnakeBoy]

Moar spending is the Democrats answer

Stop pretending you care about the debt

[ChumpDumper]

Moar spending is the Democrats answer

Stop pretending you care about the debt

Do you care about the debt?

Yes or no.

[Blake]

Moar spending is the Democrats answer

Stop pretending you care about the debt

Trump pretends like he cares about the debt. Moar spending on stupid shit and higher costs of living is all on him. And you love that big fat orange idiot.


President Trump’s plan doesn’t just grow the economy, it actually reduces the debt burden on future generations — something the D.C. establishment hasn’t done in decades.

While Joe Biden supersized the national debt, President Trump is supersizing hardworking Americans’ pay checks and restoring fiscal sanity, helping solve our debt crisis for the long run. To accomplish the President’s historic economic agenda, we cannot let the Trump tax cuts expire and we must build on their success with the One Big Beautiful Bill...

https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/06/the-one-big-beautiful-bill-slashes-deficits-national-debt-while-unleashing-economic-growth/

[Millennial_Messiah]

AI fucking up jobs, bitcoin and crypto at bear market rock bottom lows, Donald Dump sure fucking up the economy, the only people that made it out materially okay were loathsome old boomer gold bugs and silver bugs (though silver is trending down).

[velik_m]

US debt projected to reach $64 trillion in a decade, nonpartisan group says

The United States' national debt is set to balloon to $64 trillion over the next 10 years, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said on Wednesday, citing a jump in annual deficits that owes in part to tax cuts enacted by President Donald Trump.

The federal deficit -- the annual gap between government spending and revenue -- is expected to rise from $1.9 trillion in fiscal year 2026 to $3.1 trillion in 2036, the CBO found in its 164-page report. Forecasted revenue losses caused by Trump’s signature tax cut will more than offset $3 trillion in funds to be generated by newly imposed tariffs, the CBO said.

The CBO also projected an increase in debt held by U.S. bondholders. Debt held by the public is expected to rise from 101% of GDP in 2026 to 120% in 2036, putting it well above the previous record of 106% in 1946, the CBO said.

The U.S. has run up more than $37 trillion in debt, federal data shows. In 2023, the CBO said the federal debt would grow by another $20 trillion by the end of 2033. That assessment arrived before Trump's spending measure, which is set to add trillions more to the debt, according to the CBO.
...



https://abcnews.com/Business/us-debt-projected-reach-64-trillion-decade-csays/story?id=130067492

[TSA]

Many economists from both sides are warning of massive inflation

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2022307296479511028

"Despite the 'hot' whisper numbers (and 4 previous Januarys in a row of upside surprises), headline consumer price inflation came in cooler than expected in January (+0.2% MoM vs +0.3% expected). That pulled the headline CPI down dramatically from +2.7% to +2.4% - near the lowest in 4 years...

Core CPI printed +0.3% MoM (in line with expectations), lowering the YoY change in core prices to +2.5% - the lowest since March 2021...

On the other side of the ledger, January saw real average weekly earnings rise 1.9% YoY - its highest since March 2021..."

:lol Blake Cramer :lol

[velik_m]

U.S. Farm Bankruptcies Increased 46% in 2025

...

https://www.agriculture.com/thmb/hfmu1xg1pwISYe_0CmsP_NHtXxw=/750x0/filters:no_upscale():max_bytes(150000):strip_icc()/Farm-Bankruptcies-2b4b66ed1fde427caf09b34fbfcdca7a.png

“Deep losses across commodities common in these two regions have compounded after years of declining receipts and rising expenses. For example, rice farmers are expected to lose over $200 per acre in loss, even after supplemental assistance. The nation’s leading rice-producing state, Arkansas, leads the U.S. in Chapter 12 filings in 2025 with 33 filings, more than double 2024 and the most in the state in the 21st century,” Ayoub reported. “Georgia follows with 27 filings, up 145% from 2024, reflecting both losses per acre in principal row crops and limited support for high-cost specialty crop production. Other Southeast states with double-digit bankruptcies include Texas and Louisiana, with 12 each, and Florida with a 200% increase from 2024 to 16 filings.”

...



https://www.agriculture.com/partners-u-s-farm-bankruptcies-increased-46-in-2025-11903416

[velik_m]

Americans With Higher Incomes Are Starting to Fall Behind on Payments

...
The average client seeking help from credit-counseling agencies across the country now makes about $70,000 a year, with unsecured debt levels approaching $35,000, or half their annual income, according to the NFCC. Before the pandemic, the typical client enrolled in counseling made about $40,000 a year and carried $10,000 in unsecured debt, or roughly 25% of their annual income.

Clients have rising debt-to-income levels and more are falling behind on payment plans. Those colliding factors pushed NFCC’s gauge of financial stress to its highest level since the nonprofit group began tracking consumer health in 2018.

NFCC expects that its financial stress forecast—which weighs payment trends from consumers already in counseling against broader economic indicators—will climb in the current quarter.

“We are seeing a disturbing shift from discretionary debt to survival debt,” said Mike Croxson, chief executive of the NFCC.

The increasing number of missed payments by existing counseling clients is particularly concerning, Croxson said, because those borrowers are already on structured repayment plans, with fixed monthly payments based on budgets designed to be manageable.
...



https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/americans-with-higher-incomes-are-starting-to-fall-behind-on-payments-472d3a24

[Blake]

Coffee just jumped up again. Was paying about $18 for the 40oz Starbucks espresso whole beans in the middle of last year, went up a few bucks from the retard tariffs, now is at $25.

Yeah, there are droughts etc but the tariffs that he ended up TACOing out on didn't help. The prices stayed up.

Fucking idiots.

[SnakeBoy]

muh coffee

[Blake]

muh coffee

Snakes will never admit to what he eats, drinks or buys because he knows he's paying more and this could have easily been avoided.

Even then, he'll say he's okay with it though because he laughs at other people suffering.

[TSA]

Snakes will never admit to what he eats, drinks or buys because he knows he's paying more and this could have easily been avoided.

Even then, he'll say he's okay with it though because he laughs at other people suffering.Inflation at its lowest point in 4 years, real average wages rise at highest YoY in 4 years and Blake is here whining about muh coffee. Blake will never admit he's doing better in his Daddy's economy.

[ChumpDumper]

TSA shut the fuck up about jobs number revisions.:lol

Let me give you a hint why Trump is unpopular. He raised prices AGAIN and they are staying high.

See you in the Epstein files thread, rube.:lmao

[Blake]

Inflation at its lowest point in 4 years, real average wages rise at highest YoY in 4 years and Blake is here whining about muh coffee. Blake will never admit he's doing better in his Daddy's economy.

Inflation is higher than it has to be. No, I'm not doing better net gains than I was in 2024. You'll never say exactly how you think you're doing better in your step daddy's economy. You're an idiot.

[Blake]

TSA shut the fuck up about jobs number revisions.:lol

Let me give you a hint why Trump is unpopular. He raised prices AGAIN and they are staying high.

See you in the Epstein files thread, rube.:lmao

He'll keep hammering the same talking points his podcast supervisors tell him to until he just can't any more and has to return to Korea.

[Winehole23]

tariffs are inflationary and so is unreliability

that said, barring any completely foreseeable mercurial shocks to the global economy or the outbreak of war with Iran, the consensus inflation outlook is low

[Blake]

tariffs are inflationary and so is unreliability

that said, barring any completely foreseeable mercurial shocks to the global economy or the outbreak of war with Iran, the consensus inflation outlook is low

Still needlessly higher than it should be. We're just indirectly paying new taxes to pay for Noem's new private jet.

[ChumpDumper]

Hmm. Commie rag, right?

2023631032700879301

https://x.com/WSJ/status/2023631032700879301

[Winehole23]

oh there's a feud between Trump and Murdochlandia

[ChumpDumper]

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/2014033944799228303

Any updates, TSA?

[velik_m]

Fourth-quarter U.S. GDP up just 1.4%, badly missing estimate; inflation firms at 3%

U.S. growth slowed more than expected near the end of 2025 as the government shutdown impacted spending and investment, while a key inflation metric showed high prices are still a factor for the economy, according to data released Friday.

Gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of just 1.4%, according to the Commerce Department, well below the Dow Jones estimate for a 2.5% gain.

Consumer spending increased at a slower pace for the period while government spending tumbled sharply in a quarter marked by the record-length shutdown. The department estimated that the shutdown subtracted about 1 percentage point from growth, though it added that the exact impacts “cannot be quantified.”

For the full year in 2025, the U.S. economy grew at a 2.2% pace, down from the 2.8% increase in 2024.

...


https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/20/pce-inflation-december-2025.html

[CosmicCowboy]

Dang... got lucky. I took a lot of profits off the table before New Years on Mag 7 tech stocks when I realized there was gona be a lot of questions about ultimate payoff on the massive capx they were all throwing at AI. They have been sucking wind since then. Went international on a South Korea ETF, a Brazil ETF, a Global Robotics ETF, and a China tech ETF. They all have been kicking ass to start the year but with the Supreme Court gift today they are all screaming up today. still got some US stuff, a gold miner, VRT which as blown up 150% since I got in. I have taken my share of losses on early bets over the years but am liking where I am now.

[TSA]

Fourth-quarter U.S. GDP up just 1.4%, badly missing estimate; inflation firms at 3%

U.S. growth slowed more than expected near the end of 2025 as the government shutdown impacted spending and investment, while a key inflation metric showed high prices are still a factor for the economy, according to data released Friday.

Gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of just 1.4%, according to the Commerce Department, well below the Dow Jones estimate for a 2.5% gain.

Consumer spending increased at a slower pace for the period while government spending tumbled sharply in a quarter marked by the record-length shutdown. The department estimated that the shutdown subtracted about 1 percentage point from growth, though it added that the exact impacts “cannot be quantified.”

For the full year in 2025, the U.S. economy grew at a 2.2% pace, down from the 2.8% increase in 2024.



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/20/pce-inflation-december-2025.html


https://x.com/dlacalle_IA/status/2024855301229293931

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2024859417234010500

[Winehole23]

US Olympic freestyle skier Hunter Hess qualifies 5th in halfpipe



https://cdn.prod.www.spiegel.de/images/4eb7c4e1-3674-4990-b194-9ec8fd26ae61_w960_r1.5_fpx56_fpy34.jpg

“I had a week that was pretty challenging,” he said. “Luckily, my family was there to support me and help me get through it. There was a lot of noise and I've never been subject to that kind of criticism. Skiing has saved my life time and time again and it seems to have done so again."

He said, "There's been a lot of hate out there. All those people are super entitled to their opinion, and I respect it."

Ultimately, though, he said he had no second thoughts about what he said in that fateful Feb. 6 news conference. The message, he insisted, was really a message of support.

\I stand with what I said. I love the United States of America. I cannot reiterate that enough. It means the absolute world to me to be able to represent Team USA here. I worked so, so hard to get here. I stick with what I said.”https://www.spiegel.de/panorama/leute/olympia-freestyle-skier-hess-zieht-ins-finale-ein-und-zeigt-was-er-von-trumps-loser-kritik-haelt-a-353347bc-2e08-4862-98d2-775bea18806f
https://www.nbcnewyork.com/olympics/2026-milan-cortina/hunter-hess-responds-trump-loser-comment-after-qualifying-halfpipe-freeski/6465665/

[ChumpDumper]

https://x.com/dlacalle_IA/status/2024855301229293931

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2024859417234010500

:lol one month ago you said the Q4 GDP was going to be 5.4% -- no exceptions, no qualifications.

It's just another thing you are wrong about, dude.

Why do you keep trying to impress us with gaslighting?

[Blake]

"President Trump hates the United States’ trade deficit. Indeed, he is so concerned about the “economic and national security risks” the deficit creates that he imposed a tariff regime that raised geopolitical tensions across the globe.

The only problem is that his tariffs don’t appear to be rebalancing the huge volume of goods and services the U.S. imports, versus its declining exports.

The goods and services deficit for the U.S. was $70.3 billion in December, up $17.3 billion from $53 billion in November, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), released yesterday...."

https://fortune.com/2026/02/20/trump-tariffs-trade-deficit-china-decoupling-exports-imports/

He's a fucking moron. You bootlicks that hang on his every word are bigger morons.

[velik_m]

U.S. payrolls unexpectedly fell by 92,000 in February; unemployment rate rises to 4.4%

The U.S. economy lost jobs in February, a month marred by severe winter weather and a strike at a major health-care provider, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.

Nonfarm payrolls fell by 92,000 for the month, compared with the estimate for 50,000 and below the downwardly revised January total of 126,000. February marked the third time in the past five months that payrolls declined, following a sharp revision showing a drop of 17,000 in December.

At the same time, the unemployment rate edged higher to 4.4% as jobs declined across key areas. A broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time positions for economic reasons moved lower, to 7.9% or 0.2 percentage point below the January level.

...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/06/february-2026-jobs-report.html

[Spurs Homer]

Republicans...
take power
crash the economy
start wars
commit crimes
loot the treasury

water is wet

[velik_m]

https://x.com/JosephPolitano/status/2029916364664611242

[Winehole23]

wrong direction

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:4kshoaytrzhgsziro6ywozul/bafkreih6ijwjkss7ol6ua46d4bkue5o3lv7nk64ljzqywcrd6 pbe7kn74i@jpeg

[ChumpDumper]

TSA needs to explain how all this is actually good news.

[velik_m]

BlackRock $26 Billion Private Credit Fund Limits Withdrawals

BlackRock Inc. curbed withdrawals from one of its biggest private credit funds after client requests for redemptions spiked, the latest sign of investor anxiety about the $1.8 trillion private credit industry.

The firm’s $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund, one of the largest non-traded business development companies, said in a statement Friday that shareholders requested 9.3% of their shares, but management decided to cap the repurchases at 5%. While the total value of shares would have been about $1.2 billion, according to Bloomberg calculations, investors will get back about $620 million that the fund held at year-end.

It’s the clearest instance of gating withdrawals among major private credit funds since late last year, when investors grew increasingly skittish about the asset class after high-profile collapses raised concerns about lending standards. Many firms had thus far opted to meet the higher redemption requests or looked to repay investors by other means.
...



https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-06/blackrock-s-26-billion-private-credit-fund-limits-withdrawals


Oracle and OpenAI End Plans to Expand Flagship Data Center

Oracle Corp. and OpenAI have scrapped plans to expand a flagship artificial intelligence data center in Texas after negotiations dragged over financing and OpenAI’s changing needs.

The collapsed talks created an opening for Meta Platforms Inc. to step in and consider leasing the planned expansion site in Abilene, Texas, from developer Crusoe, according to people familiar with the matter. Nvidia Corp., the leading AI chipmaker, helped facilitate Meta’s discussions with the developer, said the people, who asked not to be identified because the talks are private.

The shifting plans underscore the complexity of building out AI data centers, which are expected to cost in the tens of billions of dollars and require cooperation from a wide swath of partners.

The campus being developed by Crusoe in Abilene is part of the highly publicized Stargate project, which was announced last year at the White House with President Donald Trump. While the 1,000-acre site continues to be built, and several parts are up and running, Oracle and OpenAI elected not to go forward with tentative plans to lease a large expansion, the people said.

...


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-06/oracle-and-openai-end-plans-to-expand-flagship-data-center

[velik_m]

Nearly 1,000 workers laid off at SK Battery plant in Georgia as companies cancel EVs and Trump Admin eliminates auto company incentives

Battery company SK Battery America Inc. laid off nearly 1,000 workers at a manufacturing plant northeast of Atlanta on Friday amid automakers’ changing electrification plans and uncertain consumer demand for EVs.

The company said Friday marked the last working day for 958 plant employees, according to a Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification, or WARN, notice filed by human resources chief Chuck Moore. Impacted workers will be paid through May 6.

SK opened the $2.6 billion battery plant in Commerce, Georgia, in January 2022. It notably supplied the Ford F-150 Lightning electric pickup truck. Ford announced plans to cancel the fully electric version of the truck in December.

The news comes as the U.S. electric vehicle market is at a standstill amid the Trump administration steering federal support away from electrification in favor of more lax automotive emissions policies and a broader agenda supporting the oil and gas industries.
...


https://fortune.com/2026/03/06/sk-battery-america-laid-off-nearly-1000-workers-georgia-electric-vehicles/

[ChumpDumper]

“This is very strong early validation of our model’s transitional “sentiment inflection” in Q4 2025–Q1 2026: the economic rebound (gas at $2.95/gal, rents falling, +1.2M jobs Nov 2025, goods deflation emerging) is starting to register with voters, narrowing the “affordability hole” from -21 (Apr 2025) to -9 now — and our model projects it flips positive by mid-2026 as the full relief wave hits (rebates, tax cuts, FDI factories, oil plunge).

The “slowly beginning to give positive rating” language is key: sentiment is lagging hard indicators (jobs, prices), but the trend is clearly upward — exactly the “hard vs. soft” dynamic Hassett keeps emphasizing. In a polarized environment, moving from -21 to -9 in 9 months (while Trump approval is still ~45%) is huge momentum for the incumbent party.”

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2014532890185408813

Any updates, TSA?

Or are you just about historical ship locations now?

[Blake]

Any updates, TSA?

Or are you just about historical ship locations now?

The mental gymnastics getting harder and harder to perform even for the staunchest of Trump lovers

[ChumpDumper]

The mental gymnastics getting harder and harder to perform even for the staunchest of Trump lovers

:lol It's just another thing he shut the fuck up about when he realized he was wrong.
















































Again.

lol

[velik_m]

Qatar helium shutdown puts chip supply chain on a two-week clock — SK hynix forced to diversify after 30% of global supply removed from the market

QatarEnergy has not restarted helium production at its Ras Laffan complex — one of the largest concentrations of helium production infrastructure globally — nine days after Iranian drone strikes forced the facility offline. The ensuing disruption to supply has sparked concerns for South Korea's chip industry, Nikkei reports.

The facility went offline on March 2 following drone strikes, removing approximately 30% of global helium supply from the market. QatarEnergy declared force majeure on existing contracts on March 4, freeing it from supply obligations to customers, and industry outlet Gasworld reported on March 7 that no imminent restart is planned.

Helium consultant Phil Kornbluth, speaking at a Gasworld webinar on March 4, said that if the outage extends beyond roughly two weeks, industrial gas distributors could be forced to relocate cryogenic equipment and revalidate supplier relationships, a process that could stretch over months regardless of when Qatari output resumes.

South Korea is among the most exposed countries, which, according to the Korea International Trade Association, imported 64.7% of its helium from Qatar in 2025. The country relies heavily on helium imports to cool silicon wafers during fabrication and is understood to have no viable substitute.

...



https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/qatar-helium-shutdown-puts-chip-supply-chain-on-a-two-week-clock

[velik_m]

Fourth-quarter GDP revised down to just 0.7% growth; January core inflation was 3.1%

Economic growth was much slower than expected in the final three months of 2025 while core inflation rose to start 2026, the Commerce Department reported Friday.

Gross domestic product, a measure of all the goods and services produced across the sprawling U.S. economy, rose at a seasonally and inflation-adjusted annual rate of just 0.7% in the fourth quarter, according to the department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The first revision of the GDP reading was a sharp step down from the previous estimate of 1.4% and well below the Dow Jones consensus forecast for 1.5%. It also marked a considerable slowdown from the 4.4% gain in the prior period, hampered by a record-long government shutdown that saw government spending tumble 16.7%.

For the full year, GDP posted a 2.1% increase, or one-tenth of a percentage point lower than the previous reading. In 2024, the economy rose at a 2.8% pace.

...

The inflation data “tells us that the inflation picture wasn’t looking good even before the Middle East crisis,” said Sonu Varghese, chief macro strategist for the Carson Group. “An already large headache for the Federal Reserve is going to turn into an even larger one, and it’s likely the Fed will not cut rates in 2026 and may even start talking about rate hikes later this year.”

Personal income and spending in January both increased 0.4%, against respective estimates for 0.5% and 0.3%. The personal saving rate jumped half a percentage point to 4.5%.

Within the GDP report, a proxy for demand known as private sales to private domestic purchasers increased just 1.9% in Q4, revised down by half a percentage point and a full point lower than the prior quarter.

...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/13/fourth-quarter-gdp-revised-down-to-just-0point7percent-growth-january-core-inflation-was-3point1percent.html

[Winehole23]

2nd worst returns since 1995

2026 similar to last year in that respect -- US underperforms the world


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreih66hvv3uusyjphylcax52adbrsnojje2fzh4sspahna 2mrgtuaiq

[Blake]

:lol It's just another thing he shut the fuck up about when he realized he was wrong.
















































Again.

lol

"Hello from Korea!"

[velik_m]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gWLuTxn2fMI

[Winehole23]

credibility and legitimacy aren't wokist slogans, losing them has real world consequences



https://www.politico.com/dims4/default/resize/630/quality/90/format/webp?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2Fbb%2F e5%2F7d9638114b8bbf672b59b8c0bd7c%2Fchina-section-01.png


https://www.politico.com/dims4/default/resize/630/quality/90/format/webp?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2F76%2F 53%2F487876ef4c2b93d01f5c1f3ec9d4%2Fchina-section-03.png


https://www.politico.com/dims4/default/resize/630/quality/90/format/webp?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2Fd1%2F fe%2F1f87e044406bade9afaf1e73a0d0%2Fchina-section-04.png


https://www.politico.com/dims4/default/resize/630/quality/90/format/webp?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2Fc4%2F 4f%2F94438cc245abbce040ea19a90dfc%2Fchina-section-05.pnghttps://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/15/trump-china-europe-closer-ties-00823457

[Winehole23]

Trump is making this country poorer, less influential and weaker on the international stage

[velik_m]

SEC Prepares Proposal to Eliminate Quarterly Reporting Requirement

The Securities and Exchange Commission is preparing a proposal to eliminate the requirement to report earnings quarterly and instead give companies the option to share results twice a year, according to people familiar with the matter.

...



https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/sec-prepares-proposal-to-eliminate-quarterly-reporting-requirement-1d700bbb

[Winehole23]

sounds like a boon to waste, fraud and abuse

[velik_m]

Wholesale prices rose 0.7% in February, much more than expected and up 3.4% annually

...

The surge in PPI came due in large part to a 0.5% increase in services costs, something the Fed would not welcome. Policymakers have attributed much of the recent run-up in inflation to tariffs, which would not show up as much on the services end. Portfolio management fees, a key driver for services costs within the PPI measurement, were up 1% in February. Similarly, prices for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice and related services accelerated 4.2%.

Goods prices rose 1.1% on the month.

Food prices rose 2.4% while energy was up 2.3%. Within food, the index for fresh and dry vegetables soared 48.9%.

The report suggests that pipeline inflation pressures remain persistent, particularly on the services side, complicating the Fed’s path as it weighs how long to keep interest rates elevated.

The report comes with inflation worries accelerating amid the fighting in the Middle East. The U.S. and Israel continue to strike at targets in Iran, causing energy prices to surge. Oil has been trading around $100 a barrel, up more than 70% year to date as the conflict has proceeded.

...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/18/ppi-inflation-february-2026.html

[Winehole23]

https://th.bing.com/th/id/OIP.kymes8AFMIgdGNlLli-j_QHaE8?w=260&h=180&c=7&r=0&o=7&dpr=1.5&pid=1.7&rm=3

Powell: "The thing a good number of people on the committee are concerned about is very very low level of job creation. If you adjust the trend job creation over the past 6 months for what we think is overstatement due to overcounting, effectively there is 0 net job creation in the private sector"

[Winehole23]

trump make credit money cost more too



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:4kshoaytrzhgsziro6ywozul/bafkreiaysoenalvs57k3jfgpz2jd5c7u4rwffnjw6utlwriz2 s7b6pyjca

[ChumpDumper]

That's what snacks wants.

[velik_m]

Oracle slashes 30,000 jobs with a cold 6 a.m. email

It was not a phone call. It was not a meeting. For thousands of Oracle employees across the globe, Tuesday morning began with a single email landing in their inboxes just after 6 a.m. EST — and by the time they finished reading it, their careers at one of the world’s largest technology companies were over.

Oracle has launched what analysts believe could be the most extensive layoff in the company’s history, with estimates suggesting the cuts will affect between 20,000 and 30,000 employees — roughly 18% of its global workforce of approximately 162,000 people. Workers in the United States, India, and other regions all reported receiving the same termination notice at nearly the same hour, sent under the name “Oracle Leadership.”

There was no heads-up from human resources, no conversation with a direct manager, and no advance notice of any kind. Just an email.

...


https://rollingout.com/2026/03/31/oracle-slashes-30000-jobs-with-a-cold-6/

[Blake]

That's what snacks wants.

HE DOESN'T HAVE A MORTGAGE SO HE DOESN'T CARE

[Blake]

Tsa will never visit this topic again

[ChumpDumper]

This gem came up with the Iran search term:

I’ll spell it out explicitly one last time.

Everyone thinks Trump wants balanced trade. He does not.

He wants to force allies to stop trading with China. Completely. Zero inbound supply.

Because it’s not just because of American jobs. It’s a proactive move to slow down Chinas industrial rise.

Everything is downstream of this. Reserve currency status. The ability to address fiscal debt.

It’s a crazy risk because China has a vote.

It’s a crazy risk because you are forcing Europe to commit seppeku because they have very little leverage or say in the matter.

It’s a crazy risk because Xi might bomb the fabs in Taiwan and the world doesn’t get AGI.

It’s a crazy risk because China knows how financialized we are and will dump bonds and equities to drive anger towards trump.

But it also has benefits if it works.

If your allies can’t trade with China there is no near peer competitor to worry about.

That has a ton of benefits. Just look at what happened after WW2/USSR collapse when American was the last man standing.

Hegemony.

Trumps advisors like Miran believe that you can coerce your allies to pay for your security umbrella in the form of buying longer dated treasuries.

This removes the overhangs of the debt load while allowing you to pump markets in time for midterms.

If Mexico can’t import from China then you solved the fentanyl crisis because they won’t have precursors.

More importantly by establishing a tolerance for risk the level of fear you can instill in cartels is an order of magnitude higher.

“Shit if they risked WW3 they won’t think twice about droning Sinaloa. “

This same “logic” applies to the Middle East.

Now I will repeat for the 100x that this is not advocacy.

I’m only telling you guys what the people in power believe. And I’m telling you that what happens next if I’m right will come down to how Xi wants to fight.

He can go gloves off or glove on. There are real constraints as I have outlined in prior tweets.

But there is a plan and therefore the tolerance for market pain is way way higher than you think.

Because first you need Europe to be willing to commit economic seppuku. And they won’t want to (rightly). So Trump will crush them economically until they cry uncle. And then they still won’t want to and he’s going to threaten to defang NATO. And then they still won’t want to and he will withdraw swap lines.

Or a lot more likely, he will do it all very forcefully and all at once to maximize leverage.

Now you’ll rightly ask… why wasn’t this messaged better? Why have midwits like Lutnik on the team?

Because you are attempting to execute a reckless gambit where the big variables are not what the tariffs rates are. Or if you tariff penguins. Or if the person sounds dumb on TV. Non of that matters.

What matters is - will Japan capitulate quickly and agree to buy a large amount of treasuries? Will Saudi capitulate quickly with your B2 bombers waiting in Diego Garcia to bomb Iran? Will China invade Taiwan?

Many of you think everyone around Trump is retarded. I get it. You hate the guy and everything he stands for. But I will say this until I’m blue in the face. Bessant, and even Miran, have higher IQs than most if not all of you. They thought through the second order effects. Believe me. If I, a dumb TMT L/S bro thought this far ahead, they certainly did too. Which means they warned Trump how risky this was and how deeply irrational it is if you planned to eventually cut a deal with China. Therefore you have to assume Trump heard the risks and said “fuck it we ball” anyways.

Economic Blitzkrieg. That’s what we’re seeing. And it’s only the start.

https://x.com/TMTLongShort/status/1909491586641047713

Trumps tolerance for market pain is a lot higher than you think.

Because there is a plan.

It might not be a good plan. But it is a complex plan that anticipated a crash.

Not because they want a crash.

Not because they are dumb enough to think equities down -50% is good for the yield curve.

Because the only way to coerce a full global decoupling from China is to play max hardball and move quickly.

Because the first counter-attack was always going to be financial - because China correctly understands the West is over-financialized - and most people in Washington know China thinks that because Xi has been saying it loudly and proudly for years.

So sequencing matters.

Bessant is being rushed to Japan & likely Saudi next to attempt to stabilize the yield curve. That is priority number one.

Priority number two? Game theory.

Ensure you provide sufficient incentive for the first big pieces to flip your way.

Coerce Japan to agree to put up massive tariffs not just on China imports. But also on imports from countries who in-turn trade with China.

Establish a pattern for network effects where if you’re left out of the new sphere you lose out not just on trade with the U.S. but also on trade with the early adopters of the new accords.

Again economic coercion alone will be insufficient to cause the desired cascade. Which is why Rubio and Hegseth will be heavily involved and why starting with Japan makes sense.

Japan is terrified of what a China-led sphere would entail.

Again, not saying it’s a good plan. But more pain has been anticipated and has been embraced.

Economic Blitzkrieg. Position accordingly.

https://x.com/TMTLongShort/status/1909944559037018332

How did you position yourself, TSA?

[Blake]

The mental gymnastics involved in that text wall are staggering.

[Blake]

WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. wholesale prices surged last month as the Iran war drove up the cost of energy.

The Labor Department reported Tuesday that its producer price index — which measures inflation before it hits consumers — rose 0.5% from February and 4% from March 2025. The year-over-year gains was the biggest in more than three years. Energy prices surged 8.5% from February.

https://apnews.com/article/inflation-oil-gasoline-inflation-trump-6990c9ca0e19553b40c13af11b9c575b

Trump did that.

[TSA]

The mental gymnastics involved in that text wall are staggering.

It's embarrassing that you two are still here everyday on this dead forum letting me live rent free in your heads :rollin

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2043895598416347179

[Blake]

It's embarrassing that you two are still here everyday on this dead forum letting me live rent free in your heads :rollin

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2043895598416347179

Here you are with this month's rent check.

[ChumpDumper]

It's embarrassing that you two are still here everyday on this dead forum letting me live rent free in your heads :rollin

https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2043895598416347179
That was the plan?

Yes or no.

[ChumpDumper]

China’s exports to the U.S. fell 26.5% year-on-year in March, widening from a 11% drop in January and February, while those to the European Union and Southeast Asia rose 8.6% and 6.9%, respectively.

https://apnews.com/article/china-trade-energy-exports-imports-2230f72863b20a902c6ad1373e688d33

They don't look like they're decoupling tbh.

[Blake]

That was the plan?

Yes or no.

4D Mahjong

[SnakeBoy]

2044451272057672166

[Blake]

2044451272057672166

Wow. That plus the $100 tip that Trump gave her, the door dash Grandma can finally retire. And pay for her husband's surgeries.

[ChumpDumper]

2044451272057672166

Which experts?

[Winehole23]

the market hasn't priced in the supply shock yet, still running on hopium

[velik_m]

Allbirds shares jump over 400% on plans to pivot to AI from sneakers

...
Allbirds also plans to rebrand itself as "NewBird AI" and, over time, shift focus to offering cloud computing ​capacity and AI services, though it did not provide additional details on ​its new strategy.
The overhaul comes amid robust investor enthusiasm ⁠for AI-related stocks and the data-centre infrastructure that supports it, hoping to ​benefit from the hundreds of billions of corporate investment pouring into the ​technology.

"It looks like an attempt to capitalize on the AI movement. I don't see how Allbirds brings anything to the table beyond name recognition," said Bruce Winder, ​an independent retail consultant.

Allbirds has been shutting most of its brick-and-mortar ​stores over the last few months owing to muted demand and switch to online #partnerships. ⁠Last month, Allbirds said it had sold its brand and footwear assets to American Exchange Group for $39 million.
...



https://www.reuters.com/business/allbirds-shares-jump-over-400-plans-pivot-ai-sneakers-2026-04-15/

[TSA]

Tsa will never visit this topic again

S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise, hit fresh record highs: Live updates

"The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose to new heights on Thursday, adding to their strong gains this week on optimism for a possible resolution to the Iran war.

The broad market index last traded up 0.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 51 points, or 0.1%. This week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have risen more than 3% and more than 5%, respectively, while the Dow has advanced more than 1%."

"The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both hit key milestones on Wednesday, with the former closing above 7,000 for the first time and the latter seeing its first close above 24,000. That also marked the Nasdaq’s 11th consecutive day of gains — its longest win streak since Nov. 8, 2021."

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/15/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

:lmao Blake Cramer :lmao

[Blake]

S&P 500 and Nasdaq rise, hit fresh record highs: Live updates

"The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose to new heights on Thursday, adding to their strong gains this week on optimism for a possible resolution to the Iran war.

The broad market index last traded up 0.1%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq gained 0.3%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 51 points, or 0.1%. This week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have risen more than 3% and more than 5%, respectively, while the Dow has advanced more than 1%."

"The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both hit key milestones on Wednesday, with the former closing above 7,000 for the first time and the latter seeing its first close above 24,000. That also marked the Nasdaq’s 11th consecutive day of gains — its longest win streak since Nov. 8, 2021."

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/15/stock-market-today-live-updates.html

:lmao Blake Cramer :lmao

Did you sell or are you holding out for the next inevitable drop in this ridiculous roller coaster?

And how much are you paying in gas? Are you doing better on a daily basis than you were a year ago?

You're a tool, tbh. You'll completely shut up now and just post more text walls from people like that frog guy.

[ChumpDumper]

The fact that people like TSAnon think everything will be fine even if full peace is achieved today is just precious.

And he never spoke about Epstein again.

[ChumpDumper]

And he sure as fuck never said he supported Trump's following Bibi into war with Iran.

[TSA]

Tsa will never visit this topic again

https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/2045110472546898274

https://x.com/JesseCohenInv/status/2045073935608234282

:lmao Blake Cramer :lmao

[TSA]

https://x.com/dlacalle_IA/status/2045020928573112362

[Blake]

You'll never talk about how much extra this administration is costing you on a daily basis. You're actually cheering the fact you're paying extra for everything for no fucking reason.

[Blake]

https://x.com/dlacalle_IA/status/2045020928573112362

How are gas prices in your area. Today. Not 2 months from now when/ if it finally goes down.

[velik_m]

Texas Restaurants Are Forcing a Reckoning Over Immigrant Labor

...
“I think this, right now, is worse than the pandemic,” he said.

About 50 percent of Texas restaurants reported that they were not profitable last year, up from 38 percent in 2024, according to the Texas Restaurant Association.

Some of that has been a consequence of the Trump administration’s crackdown on immigration: In Texas, where by some estimates nearly 10 percent of the work force is undocumented — compared with about 4.5 percent of the U.S. work force — restaurant owners have said that the crackdown has created a chilling effect among their workers, regardless of their immigration status.

Now as they feel the strain, the Texas Restaurant Association and business leaders across the country have started a coalition, called Seat the Table, demanding that Congress and the White House create work permits for “long-term, law-abiding immigrants playing critical roles from farms to restaurants.”

Across the country, roughly 42 percent of restaurant operators said they were not profitable last year, according to the National Restaurant Association, a slight uptick from 2024 as food and labor costs have steadily increased for years.
...

Mr. Lash, co-founder of Farm to Table, said he understood why Republicans “would be a bit fearful” to take a stand on work permits, given the perspective that the country should keep more jobs for U.S. citizens.

“But let’s be realistic, it’s not as if immigrant labor is coming in and literally getting American citizens fired and kicked off of farms,” Mr. Lash said. “They’re working jobs that people either American citizens don’t want or can’t perform. People don’t understand how physically demanding these jobs are.”

Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, a Republican, did not respond to a request for comment about whether he would support calls for work permits. Senator John Cornyn of Texas, also a Republican, declined to comment.

...



https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/17/us/texas-restaurants-immigration-work-permits.html

[TSA]

Tsa will never visit this topic again

Stock market today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records as market rally resumes

US stocks rose to fresh record highs on Wednesday after Trump extended the US ceasefire with Iran and as investors fielded a rush of earnings leading up to Tesla’s (TSLA) results.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the indexes higher, jumping 1.6% to close at a new high. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose more than 1% to also hit a fresh record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained around 0.7% following a losing day for Wall Street stocks.

:lmao Blake Cramer :lmao

[ChumpDumper]

Stock market today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records as market rally resumes

US stocks rose to fresh record highs on Wednesday after Trump extended the US ceasefire with Iran and as investors fielded a rush of earnings leading up to Tesla’s (TSLA) results.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the indexes higher, jumping 1.6% to close at a new high. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose more than 1% to also hit a fresh record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained around 0.7% following a losing day for Wall Street stocks.

:lmao Blake Cramer :lmao
Oh look, Trump gooses the market while nothing actually happens.

On Friday.

Right before the markets close.

Again.

Have you sensed a pattern here at all, TSA?

Serious question.

[Blake]

Stock market today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh records as market rally resumes

US stocks rose to fresh record highs on Wednesday after Trump extended the US ceasefire with Iran and as investors fielded a rush of earnings leading up to Tesla’s (TSLA) results.

The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the indexes higher, jumping 1.6% to close at a new high. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose more than 1% to also hit a fresh record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained around 0.7% following a losing day for Wall Street stocks.

:lmao Blake Cramer :lmao

Coward.

[Blake]

Oh look, Trump gooses the market while nothing actually happens.

On Friday.

Right before the markets close.

Again.

Have you sensed a pattern here at all, TSA?

Serious question.

There's a lot of serious questions he's avoiding. He's in full clown mode.

[ChumpDumper]

Oh look, turns out it was all bullshit to goose the markets before they closed.

Again.

2048076814669496548

https://x.com/atrupar/status/2048076814669496548

Looking forward to Trump's saying a deal has been struck Monday morning right before the markets open.

Again.

[Winehole23]

one week ago

you can't get whiplash if you don't have a spine


Oh look, turns out it was all bullshit to goose the markets before they closed.

Again.

2048076814669496548

https://x.com/atrupar/status/2048076814669496548

Looking forward to Trump's saying a deal has been struck Monday morning right before the markets open.

Again.

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:svawqo4jxobyyuqmixplvcux/bafkreica7xkqf6h4we7xe5t7ssmwd47zcltaril4ziihqmyyz 4rphdfpyq

[ChumpDumper]

This is all going to end up with a worse JCPOA redux and fucking idiots are going to declare victory.

[Winehole23]

This is all going to end up with a worse JCPOA redux and fucking idiots are going to declare victory....until the grass needs to get mowed again; an unwritten ceasefire deal is an inherently unstable scenario, but maybe close to the best we can get right now

the Gazafication of Lebanon has merely been paused, in Iran it would seem to be fully intended

[Winehole23]

https://th.bing.com/th/id/OIP.JvnzkWWvivYdiDSfeES_UQHaEK?w=311&h=180&c=7&r=0&o=7&dpr=1.5&pid=1.7&rm=3

[ChumpDumper]

...until the grass needs to get mowed again; an unwritten ceasefire deal is an inherently unstable scenario, but maybe close to the best we can get right now

the Gazafication of Lebanon is has merely been paused, in Iran it would seem to be fully intended

Has any international agreement in Trump2 been put in writing?

[Winehole23]

Has any international agreement in Trump2 been put in writing?good question, not sure

the advantage of not writing it down is that any deal can be whatever Trump says it is, the drawback is that deals don't stay done

[Winehole23]

(just pfa, i would guess not written down deals outnumber deals with a negotiated text, just look at IEEPA tariff "deals")

[Winehole23]

in passing, being non-agreement capable tends to reduce US influence to countries that can be directly corrupted and coerced

[Winehole23]

like Eswatini, e.g.

[velik_m]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZwpZBo9awbc

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:y3cfhqre6iuilnhwp23fgl2v/bafkreicnt735mnjh77lmdc2avw3htgct3p3vbu4w5ma7ve5ju 32bwnbwam

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:y3cfhqre6iuilnhwp23fgl2v/bafkreid22z5e2tg7ijyfckmiswbu7ubcl6com6uwu2vk2gisa l54uw3ana

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreidvswvio4spgiomjejee7xxnnjfistxzeig75j2kmrql hfwwzfhgy

[Winehole23]

I'm old enough to remember how well telling people "the economy is just fine, there's something wrong with your head" worked for Joe and Kamala in 2024



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qxudeqrdbv6676vzjssrhllo/bafkreihw566tbkokj3uh3svjuaxrbtlhsz427fwxd6uxox5me 5zl625mpi

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreihdhyugg4voleotkley6irr7jdy6yxyf2qmrxxlif226 xtohw7hhy

[Blake]

I'm old enough to remember how well telling people "the economy is just fine, there's something wrong with your head" worked for Joe and Kamala in 2024



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qxudeqrdbv6676vzjssrhllo/bafkreihw566tbkokj3uh3svjuaxrbtlhsz427fwxd6uxox5me 5zl625mpi

Pretty impressive to beat Trump's covid year.

[Winehole23]

Trump is in trouble if 70% of Americans have TDS

2050273797400617243

[Winehole23]

2050515195210940570

[Winehole23]

Iran bracing for the resumption of hostilities



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:4usmserhjqkvhldgedfjb3jw/bafkreiflxy6zr5fehrdang5mqjoidwnywtn32eh4gsl2nbcgo fwrcfhb7e

[Winehole23]

cliff edge


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:3w75iygkvtcrqvu4x4ux2hzv/bafkreiefca3sg6nv6f3tenfn4rjk6kaveegol4mr65gwlxjac ad47t7yxq

[Winehole23]

we are in phase 3


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:3w75iygkvtcrqvu4x4ux2hzv/bafkreieohwq6ie3gkyiea4tfmtbtf4qjukjeqbiu3x4tmc54h kb6p3kuxe

[Winehole23]

From the start of June, JP Morgan says, oil stockpiles will be under "operational stress" and will reach an "operational floor" by the end of June.

�� www.ft.com/content/b26b... (https://www.ft.com/content/b26ba4ce-4324-4ea9-926d-caf036f20832?syn-25a6b1a6=1)
�� oilprice.com/Energy/Energ... (https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-US-Iran-Deal-The-Deadline-and-The-200-Per-Barrel-of-Oil-Question.html)
�� finance.yahoo.com/sectors/ener... (https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/energy/articles/oil-could-spike-372-per-013104414.html)
�� fortune.com/2026/04/24/o... (https://fortune.com/2026/04/24/oil-market-forecast-disaster-crude-prices-strait-of-hormuz-opens-now-us-iran-war/)

[Blake]

YEAH BUT THE STOCK MARKET! TDS!!!!

[Winehole23]

the stock market will keep dancing until the music stops

reality can't be suspended forever, eventually the shortage of physical goods will bite and energy prices will inflate to destroy demand

whenever that happens, market correction and rampant goods inflation won't be far behind

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:uv6lmei3m2f4yp67tmveysqo/bafkreia5jqbq7zn5bjmydnzeucbecbdandb3lqswnvmjit7yo wl7hpa7eu

[Winehole23]

there must be a lot of Republicans who have TDS too


Trump’s approval rating on the economy dropped to 30% in April from 38% in a March AP-NORC poll (https://apnorc.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/March-W2-2026-Topline.pdf).

[TSA]

What the U.S. Trade Data Say About Trump's Reindustrialization

For decades, Washington measured economic success by how much America could consume, borrow, import, and outsource. Wall Street got cheap goods. Multinationals got cheap labor. China got our factories. American workers got pink slips, hollowed-out towns, and lectures from economists who never missed a paycheck.

President Trump is reversing that model. As the latest trade data indicates, he is replacing the economy of managed decline with an economy of production, investment, energy dominance, and industrial strength.

In March, exports of goods and services hit $320.9 billion, the highest level ever recorded. Goods exports alone reached $213.5 billion, also an all-time high.

Energy tells the same story. The U.S. posted a $9.4 billion petroleum surplus in March — the largest monthly petroleum surplus in American history.

That is not just an economic statistic. It is geopolitical leverage. Every additional barrel, molecule, and refined product America sells abroad reduces dependence on hostile regimes, strengthens our allies, and puts cash in the pockets of American workers instead of petro-dictators.

Then there is the most important number in the whole report: capital goods.

Capital goods excluding automobiles now account for roughly 40% of all U.S. goods imports in the first quarter — the highest share on record.

The usual suspects will try to spin imports as weakness. But these are not cheap trinkets stacked on Walmart shelves. These are machines, tools, components, industrial equipment, electrical systems, and production inputs — the bones and sinews of a manufacturing comeback.

This is how reindustrialization begins. Not with academic white papers. Not with Davos slogans. Not with climate-bank giveaways to politically connected firms. It begins when private capital sees the signal from Washington and starts putting real money behind real production.

That signal is now clear. Deregulation is back. Tax incentives for investment are back. Tariffs are defending American producers. Enforcement is tightening against cheaters, smugglers, and transshippers. Energy dominance is returning. The government is no longer at war with the very people who build, drill, weld, refine, machine, fabricate, and manufacture.

The country-by-country numbers reinforce the point. The improvement with the European Union alone is more than $80 billion. Switzerland improves by nearly $70 billion. China improves by more than $37 billion. The United Kingdom, Canada, Hong Kong, Australia, Singapore, India, South Africa, Japan, Brazil, and Mexico likewise all show improvement since Liberation Day.

That is why tariffs matter. That is why enforcement matters. That is why domestic investment matters. And that is why the March trade numbers matter.

The Biden-Harris model was borrow, regulate, import, subsidize, and surrender. The Trump model is produce, invest, export, enforce, and win.

The March trade report shows that model taking hold. Trumpnomics is rebuilding the industrial base the globalists sold off, one factory floor, one export order, one capital investment, and one hard-nosed trade enforcement action at a time.

https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2026/05/05/what_the_us_trade_data_says_about_trumps_reindustr ialization_1180893.html

[Blake]

Overall, we rate RealClearMarkets Right-Center Biased based on story selection that moderately favors the Right. We also rate them Mostly Factual rather than High due to utilizing sources with mixed records with facts.

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/realclearmarkets-bias/

Lol tsa's shit filled text walls. These morons are still trying to claim that Trump's tariffs are a win for all of us.

Soo desperate to win this thread he's sinking in :lol

[TSA]

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/realclearmarkets-bias/

Lol tsa's shit filled text walls. These morons are still trying to claim that Trump's tariffs are a win for all of us.

Soo desperate to win this thread he's sinking in :lol

You're stuck in a dead end job as an Uber Eats driver and only care about gas prices and base your entire view of the economy on one single price point while refusing and/or being to stupid to see and/or acknowledge all of the positive development's that are shaping up under Trump that will benefit the US long after he is out of office.

Fact check the article I posted pussy. All numbers pulled directly from the March trade report.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-march-2026

[Blake]

You're stuck in a dead end job as an Uber Eats driver and only care about gas prices and base your entire view of the economy on one single price point while refusing and/or being to stupid to see and/or acknowledge all of the positive development's that are shaping up under Trump that will benefit the US long after he is out of office.

Fact check the article I posted pussy. All numbers pulled directly from the March trade report.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-march-2026

Morons like you desperate for internet wins always fall for the cherry picked data that supports these Trump tard articles.

Gas prices being high affects more than me getting around town. It affects everything, moron.

Here you go, you stupid bootlick: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/27/business/diesel-prices-inflation-consumer-prices.html

[Blake]

Or you can plainly lay out how Trump and his tariffs are helping Americans get the healthcare they need, roofs over their heads and food on their tables. In your own words.

You'll fold now as usual.

[ChumpDumper]

What the U.S. Trade Data Say About Trump's Reindustrialization

For decades, Washington measured economic success by how much America could consume, borrow, import, and outsource. Wall Street got cheap goods. Multinationals got cheap labor. China got our factories. American workers got pink slips, hollowed-out towns, and lectures from economists who never missed a paycheck.

President Trump is reversing that model. As the latest trade data indicates, he is replacing the economy of managed decline with an economy of production, investment, energy dominance, and industrial strength.

In March, exports of goods and services hit $320.9 billion, the highest level ever recorded. Goods exports alone reached $213.5 billion, also an all-time high.

Energy tells the same story. The U.S. posted a $9.4 billion petroleum surplus in March — the largest monthly petroleum surplus in American history.

That is not just an economic statistic. It is geopolitical leverage. Every additional barrel, molecule, and refined product America sells abroad reduces dependence on hostile regimes, strengthens our allies, and puts cash in the pockets of American workers instead of petro-dictators.

Then there is the most important number in the whole report: capital goods.

Capital goods excluding automobiles now account for roughly 40% of all U.S. goods imports in the first quarter — the highest share on record.

The usual suspects will try to spin imports as weakness. But these are not cheap trinkets stacked on Walmart shelves. These are machines, tools, components, industrial equipment, electrical systems, and production inputs — the bones and sinews of a manufacturing comeback.

This is how reindustrialization begins. Not with academic white papers. Not with Davos slogans. Not with climate-bank giveaways to politically connected firms. It begins when private capital sees the signal from Washington and starts putting real money behind real production.

That signal is now clear. Deregulation is back. Tax incentives for investment are back. Tariffs are defending American producers. Enforcement is tightening against cheaters, smugglers, and transshippers. Energy dominance is returning. The government is no longer at war with the very people who build, drill, weld, refine, machine, fabricate, and manufacture.

The country-by-country numbers reinforce the point. The improvement with the European Union alone is more than $80 billion. Switzerland improves by nearly $70 billion. China improves by more than $37 billion. The United Kingdom, Canada, Hong Kong, Australia, Singapore, India, South Africa, Japan, Brazil, and Mexico likewise all show improvement since Liberation Day.

That is why tariffs matter. That is why enforcement matters. That is why domestic investment matters. And that is why the March trade numbers matter.

The Biden-Harris model was borrow, regulate, import, subsidize, and surrender. The Trump model is produce, invest, export, enforce, and win.

The March trade report shows that model taking hold. Trumpnomics is rebuilding the industrial base the globalists sold off, one factory floor, one export order, one capital investment, and one hard-nosed trade enforcement action at a time.

https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2026/05/05/what_the_us_trade_data_says_about_trumps_reindustr ialization_1180893.html

You shut the fuck up about Iran.

lol

[TSA]

Or you can plainly lay out how Trump and his tariffs are helping Americans get the healthcare they need, roofs over their heads and food on their tables. In your own words.

You'll fold now as usual.

Are you purposely building a strawman or are you just too stupid to realize it? :lol

I’ll humor it. Wages have been outpacing inflation. Rent at lowest levels in years. Home sale soaring. Food prices rose at same rate as Biden’s last year in office (which you never once complained about)

[TSA]

Morons like you desperate for internet wins always fall for the cherry picked data that supports these Trump tard articles.

Gas prices being high affects more than me getting around town. It affects everything, moron.

Here you go, you stupid bootlick: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/27/business/diesel-prices-inflation-consumer-prices.html

Cherry picked data?!?! It’s the fucking trade report put out by the BEA that tracks, wait for it…imports and exports. Nothing is cherry picked you fucking moron the data is the data. You are so fucking dumb I’m not sure why I even bother dropping in once every few weeks as you just get dumber and dumber. Are the all time stock market highs I keep posting also cherry picked? :lol that’s how fucking dumb your argument is you fucking simpleton.

And right after I get done saying your entire view on the economy is based around gas prices you prove me wrong by, wait for it…posting an article about gas prices :lmao

[Blake]

Cherry picked data?!?! It’s the fucking trade report put out by the BEA that tracks, wait for it…imports and exports. Nothing is cherry picked you fucking moron the data is the data. You are so fucking dumb I’m not sure why I even bother dropping in once every few weeks as you just get dumber and dumber. Are the all time stock market highs I keep posting also cherry picked? :lol that’s how fucking dumb your argument is you fucking simpleton.

And right after I get done saying your entire view on the economy is based around gas prices you prove me wrong by, wait for it…posting an article about gas prices :lmao

Your real clear article is all cherry picked. You're an idiot.

[Blake]

Are you purposely building a strawman or are you just too stupid to realize it? :lol

I’ll humor it. Wages have been outpacing inflation. Rent at lowest levels in years. Home sale soaring. Food prices rose at same rate as Biden’s last year in office (which you never once complained about)

See, you're leaving out a lot of shit like foreclosures and unemployment rates. You're a stupid cherry picking lemming.

[Blake]

You shut the fuck up about Iran.

lol

OBLITERATED!*

[Blake]

2051287923073368175

https://x.com/Markzandi/status/2051287923073368175?s=20

[TSA]

See, you're leaving out a lot of shit like foreclosures and unemployment rates. You're a stupid cherry picking lemming.

Leaving out a lot? :rollin We’re at full employment and jobless claims just hit a 5 decade low. The labor market is fine and the Fed agrees and isn’t cutting rates. I humored your strawman and addressed what you brought up and now you want to continue to build on your strawman while simultaneously moving the goalposts? :rollin

[TSA]

2051287923073368175

https://x.com/Markzandi/status/2051287923073368175?s=20

:lol crying about cherry picking and then posting this graph as if these two data points are indicative of the economy as a whole. Not surprising you’d latch on to a partisan economist like Zandi. Like you he didn’t cry about inflation when Biden was in office. We are still far under Biden’s average inflation rate for his entire term. Back when Biden was in office and inflation was just over 3% Zandi was not only calling for the Fed to cut rates but also questioning why they even had a 2% target and why their target wasn’t higher.

You always link to the shittiest and most obvious partisan hack economists :lol

[TSA]

Your real clear article is all cherry picked. You're an idiot.

:lol too stupid to understand trade report data

[ChumpDumper]

Full employment?

lol

[Blake]

:lol crying about cherry picking and then posting this graph as if these two data points are indicative of the economy as a whole. Not surprising you’d latch on to a partisan economist like Zandi. Like you he didn’t cry about inflation when Biden was in office. We are still far under Biden’s average inflation rate for his entire term. Back when Biden was in office and inflation was just over 3% Zandi was not only calling for the Fed to cut rates but also questioning why they even had a 2% target and why their target wasn’t higher.

You always link to the shittiest and most obvious partisan hack economists :lol

I posted that just to watch you cry "partisan hack".

Lol gullible tool.

[TSA]

I posted that just to watch you cry "partisan hack".

Lol gullible tool.

Not even your circlejerk crew believes that :rollin

[Blake]

Not even your circlejerk crew believes that :rollin

Don't care who believes what about that.

But for you: do you believe you're not a partisan retweeting hack? Yes or no.

[velik_m]

Whirlpool says Iran war causing ‘recession-level industry decline.’ The shares are down 12%

Whirlpool shares tumbled Thursday after the iconic appliance maker warned that the Iran war triggered a severe downturn, underscoring how sharply higher fuel prices and collapsing consumer confidence are beginning to weigh on big-ticket purchases.

“War in Iran resulted in recession-level industry decline in the U.S. as consumer confidence collapsed in late February and March,” the company said in its earnings filing.

The comments marked one of the starkest corporate warnings yet about the economic fallout from the conflict and contrasted with more resilient spending trends recently highlighted by companies tied to travel and services.

Shares of Whirlpool, a maker of washers, dryers, dishwashers and other home appliances, dropped 12% in morning trading.
...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/07/whirlpool-says-iran-war-causing-recession-level-industry-decline-the-shares-are-down-20percent.html

[ChumpDumper]

What the U.S. Trade Data Say About Trump's Reindustrialization

For decades, Washington measured economic success by how much America could consume, borrow, import, and outsource. Wall Street got cheap goods. Multinationals got cheap labor. China got our factories. American workers got pink slips, hollowed-out towns, and lectures from economists who never missed a paycheck.

President Trump is reversing that model. As the latest trade data indicates, he is replacing the economy of managed decline with an economy of production, investment, energy dominance, and industrial strength.

In March, exports of goods and services hit $320.9 billion, the highest level ever recorded. Goods exports alone reached $213.5 billion, also an all-time high.

Energy tells the same story. The U.S. posted a $9.4 billion petroleum surplus in March — the largest monthly petroleum surplus in American history.

That is not just an economic statistic. It is geopolitical leverage. Every additional barrel, molecule, and refined product America sells abroad reduces dependence on hostile regimes, strengthens our allies, and puts cash in the pockets of American workers instead of petro-dictators.

Then there is the most important number in the whole report: capital goods.

Capital goods excluding automobiles now account for roughly 40% of all U.S. goods imports in the first quarter — the highest share on record.

The usual suspects will try to spin imports as weakness. But these are not cheap trinkets stacked on Walmart shelves. These are machines, tools, components, industrial equipment, electrical systems, and production inputs — the bones and sinews of a manufacturing comeback.

This is how reindustrialization begins. Not with academic white papers. Not with Davos slogans. Not with climate-bank giveaways to politically connected firms. It begins when private capital sees the signal from Washington and starts putting real money behind real production.

That signal is now clear. Deregulation is back. Tax incentives for investment are back. Tariffs are defending American producers. Enforcement is tightening against cheaters, smugglers, and transshippers. Energy dominance is returning. The government is no longer at war with the very people who build, drill, weld, refine, machine, fabricate, and manufacture.

The country-by-country numbers reinforce the point. The improvement with the European Union alone is more than $80 billion. Switzerland improves by nearly $70 billion. China improves by more than $37 billion. The United Kingdom, Canada, Hong Kong, Australia, Singapore, India, South Africa, Japan, Brazil, and Mexico likewise all show improvement since Liberation Day.

That is why tariffs matter. That is why enforcement matters. That is why domestic investment matters. And that is why the March trade numbers matter.

The Biden-Harris model was borrow, regulate, import, subsidize, and surrender. The Trump model is produce, invest, export, enforce, and win.

The March trade report shows that model taking hold. Trumpnomics is rebuilding the industrial base the globalists sold off, one factory floor, one export order, one capital investment, and one hard-nosed trade enforcement action at a time.

https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2026/05/05/what_the_us_trade_data_says_about_trumps_reindustr ialization_1180893.html

Trump’s 50% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum increased Whirlpool’s costs by $300 million last year. The company also paid more for appliance components that are only made overseas.

https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/19/business/whirlpool-tariffs-trump

Tariffs work!

Hard nosed!

[Blake]

Trump’s 50% tariffs on imported steel and aluminum increased Whirlpool’s costs by $300 million last year. The company also paid more for appliance components that are only made overseas.

https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/19/business/whirlpool-tariffs-trump

Tariffs work!

Hard nosed!

PARTISAN HACKONOMICS

[Winehole23]

the 2026 vibecession isn't totally imaginary

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:rbffgd2zo6r7rmnklo2nlyy5/bafkreicloe2bghsrevybhpzpkok3we6oe2azs4jnedpp7euqd u5alliouy

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:rbffgd2zo6r7rmnklo2nlyy5/bafkreiejtzypppl5mtrpbl66yeq63fu7yihqopfjw4vaaixww gyagmdzb4

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:rbffgd2zo6r7rmnklo2nlyy5/bafkreictiiqlear4d5qidrfqbbdr32u6n6mfgaouhst23wdth 427nwhura

[Winehole23]

not recessionary, but not a booming jobs economy either


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreih4ju7ysmkettp4byz4mfyrr3spgz5skw4bpzakgtlaz iszvrv2ri

[Winehole23]

telling people the wonks know better about the economy didn't work for Biden/Harris in 2024 and it isn't working now


HASSETT: 'RIP-ROARING' JOBS MARKET

[Winehole23]

I don't buy barrels of oil for my car, do you?


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:e7gbntp2tzobn7cfi37viei3/bafkreihnzzlb4xxytm3i3ye5vooaccf7nbd4byjotdevdotol xnlkz4rgy

[ChumpDumper]

I don't buy barrels of oil for my car, do you?


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:e7gbntp2tzobn7cfi37viei3/bafkreihnzzlb4xxytm3i3ye5vooaccf7nbd4byjotdevdotol xnlkz4rgy

Oil was ~$78 when Biden left office.

All Trump can do is lie.

[Blake]

Oil was ~$78 when Biden left office.

All Trump can do is lie.

They still believe him. It's insane.

[Winehole23]

affordability


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreifwujpm57ww3hligolt3li6dlodcsnesnwh2gg7v5d6f pazun2zqm

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreibg2ftclmwqew5hu4ectudgfyoqvg2b4yzlpn6hdtpgt 57tivqtqa

[Blake]

Here's the inflation breakdown for April 2026 — in one chart

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/12/inflation-breakdown-for-april-2026-cpi-chart.html

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:wovvsa3c7xieerny5plpo6z2/bafkreibwkllww52svhy7fo7amzyo4bubrhmtp6yie3ru5tayn y5ezkv2vm

[velik_m]

Wholesale inflation jumps 6% in April on annual basis, biggest increase since 2022

Wholesale prices in April posted their highest annual increase in more than three years, signaling more nettlesome inflation as pipeline costs intensify.

The producer price index rose a seasonally adjusted 1.4% for the month, much higher than the 0.5% Dow Jones consensus forecast and the upwardly revised 0.7% March increase, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. This was the largest monthly gain since March 2022.

On an annual basis, the index was up 6%, the biggest increase since December 2022.
...

While much of the inflation move has been attributed to the war and President Donald Trump’s tariffs that were introduced a year ago, the PPI data shows the price pressures were broad-based.

The services index accelerated 1.2%, the biggest monthly gain since March 2022. Two-thirds of the move was attributed to a 2.7% rise in trade services, a sign that tariff costs could be starting to have a larger impact on prices. The move also was buttressed by a 3.5% jump in margins for machinery and equipment wholesaling.

“Inflation is sticky and accelerating. The core reading confirms a deeper structural trend, especially in services,” said David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation. “The Hormuz crisis is aggravating the problem, but this goes way beyond oil.”

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell following the release while Treasury yields were mildly positive.

...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/13/ppi-inflation-report-april-2026-.html

[Blake]

Where's tsa with a mental gymnastic rebuttal

[velik_m]

30-year Treasury yield tops 5.1%, highest in nearly a year

U.S. Treasury yields spiked on Friday following a week of messy inflation data and as traders looked to price interest rate policy under new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.

The yield on the 30-year bond jumped nearly 11 basis points to yield 5.121%, the highest since May 22, 2025, and nearing the highest since October 2023.

he yield on the 10-year Treasury note — the main benchmark for U.S. borrowing — surged nearly 14 basis points to 4.595%.

Meanwhile, the 2-year Treasury note yield, which tends to react in line with short-term Fed rate decisions, was close to 9 basis points higher at 4.079%.

One basis point equals 0.01%, and yields and prices move inversely to each another.
...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/15/treasury-yields-surge-as-inflation-data-points-to-tricky-rates-path.html

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreifxnthmfbc5by6ckuwdgdknmi73kmw6i3yz47hyqr45g z7sojdduu

[velik_m]

Consumer sentiment hits fresh record low in May as Iran war fuels inflation worries

Consumer sentiment has tumbled to a fresh record low in May as fears of higher prices grow due to the U.S.-Iran war and elevated oil prices, the University of Michigan’s Surveys of Consumers said Friday.

The index of consumer sentiment fell to 44.8 from a preliminary reading of 48.2. It’s also well below the 49.8 level seen at the end of April.

“Consumer sentiment fell for the third straight month as supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to boost gasoline prices. Sentiment is now just below the previous historical trough seen in June 2022,” Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said in a statement. “Critically, consumers appear worried that inflation will increase and proliferate beyond fuel prices, even in the long run.”
...


https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/22/consumer-sentiment-hits-fresh-record-low-in-may-as-iran-war-fuels-inflation-worries.html

[Blake]

If this was true you'd be able to easily refute my arguments instead of having to disingenuously edit my quotes to cut the context out.

I'm still waiting for you to provide a single economist warning of massive inflation. Chop chop.

Tsa chop chopped it to Korea

[Winehole23]

worst since 2022

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreictxgiux3xmsmcx3t2qhzcqdj5q4tltrbpg6hkzdlm5z o26n5c4hq

[Winehole23]

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HJUmEnmWgAAojup?format=jpg&name=900x900