Ike

[Cry Havoc]

Ike just continues to chug but he does not look to be strengthening. No eye has formed yet, and outflow to the west is non-existent.

Puzzling to say the least. He should be bombing out right now.

[spurs_fan_in_exile]

Hey, I might drive past Jekka's parents' place every day heading home from work. Gameplan right now is to stick it out. My guess is with the Rita evac being such a clusterfuck most people will.

Local media seems to be handling things a little more responsibly, advising people to only evacuate if they are in the zone. In 2005 the coverage basically went:
1) Interview with city official advising people to not panic and please only evacuate if they are being told to.
2) Cut back to the studio: "RUN MOTHERFUCKERS! OMG!!!1!!!11! And now, Tom with weather."
3) Tom: "RUN MOTHERFUCKERS!!!! OMG!!!!11!!!1!"

[spurs_fan_in_exile]

Mandatory evac now for all of Galveston Island. They aren't even going to open the shelters. You stick around, you're on your own. My office better close soon.

[MannyIsGod]

The barrier islands will be underwater Mandy. They don't help, they just get fucked up worse than anyone elese.

I don't think I'd leave unless it got a lot stronger. The surge is going to be a huge bitch, so I'd def leave if I was in a costal flood prone area. But taht should jjust be extreme south eastern Houston.

[ATRAIN]

Hey Manny how strong do you think this storm will be when it hits Austin?

[MannyIsGod]

I hope B2B didn't leave but he's not in this thread so he probably did. Corpus will get stormy weather but nothing worth evacuations.

[MannyIsGod]

Austin will probably get 50 mph winds or so and a lot of rain. Its not going to be that bad there.

[1369]

Any chance the impact of the trough will lessen and we see Ike track further to the west?

[ATRAIN]

Whats its most current projected path?

[JudynTX]

Whats its most current projected path?

Your co-workers house. :lol

[Shelly]

Mandatory evac now for all of Galveston Island. They aren't even going to open the shelters. You stick around, you're on your own. My office better close soon.

Good thing Chatty doesn't work with you still. She'd never shut up then!

[spurs_fan_in_exile]

Good thing Chatty doesn't work with you still. She'd never shut up then!

Yeah, she was blesseed with some amazing gene that made her an expert on whatever event was happening. And who knows how many hurricanes her decrepit old bones had lived through.

:bang And word just came down that we're open til five! Fuck!

[dougp]

The Wifey and I are going to tuff it out - we're near 610/59 on the Western portion of the city, so hopefully everything will be fine.

[jman3000]

it seems every time there is an estimation about where it will make landfall it shifts and throws them out the door.

i'd reckon it starts to make a more north by northwest trek and hit the eastern most outlying areas of the forecast cone.

[CubanMustGo]

Whats its most current projected path?

Pick yer poison ...


http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200809_model_zoom.gif

[CosmicCowboy]

This is a SCARY storm. It's packing 50% more energy than Katrina with a projected storm surge in the Houston/Galveston area of fifteen feet. It is shaping up to be the most powerful storm energy wise (not necessarily wind speed) in the last 40 years.

McMasters has a great read on Ike here:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1080&tstamp=200809

[CosmicCowboy]

The Wifey and I are going to tuff it out - we're near 610/59 on the Western portion of the city, so hopefully everything will be fine.

http://inlinethumb45.webshots.com/41964/2272834800055552357S600x600Q85.jpg

[easjer]

As SFIE said - we're not evacing this time. According to all reports, we should have classes cancelled, but we're here till 5. Well, the other suckers are here till 5, we're checking out early to round out our supplies.

We're still on the dirty side of the storm with high winds and rain expected, and it could still be a direct hit. Though, since it tends to continue shifting northward every new cycle, it may yet take the Rita path. In which case I will celebrate our good fortune with a day off.

But I'm a little freaked out over this storm right now, and would like to get home and to work on cleaning out the storage closet so we've got a place to shelter, just in case.

Edited to add - We are 59 and Beechnut, right by Channel 2. The surrounding streets might flood with tons of rain, but otherwise, the biggest danger is something through one of our 2 story windows. Can't do much about that though, so . . .

[CosmicCowboy]

http://i111.photobucket.com/albums/n126/rzabroky/HoustonAreaStormSurgePotentialSmall.jpg

[nsrammstein]

I'm traveling to San Antonio again this weekend, so I'll be drving down I-35 starting on Saturday morning. Do you all expect a lot of traffic?

[easjer]

You're probably all right heading south on 35.

[Ginofan]

As SFIE said - we're not evacing this time. According to all reports, we should have classes cancelled, but we're here till 5. Well, the other suckers are here till 5, we're checking out early to round out our supplies.

We're still on the dirty side of the storm with high winds and rain expected, and it could still be a direct hit. Though, since it tends to continue shifting northward every new cycle, it may yet take the Rita path. In which case I will celebrate our good fortune with a day off.

But I'm a little freaked out over this storm right now, and would like to get home and to work on cleaning out the storage closet so we've got a place to shelter, just in case.

Edited to add - We are 59 and Beechnut, right by Channel 2. The surrounding streets might flood with tons of rain, but otherwise, the biggest danger is something through one of our 2 story windows. Can't do much about that though, so . . .

"A Married Couple & a Hurricane" the return of Hurricam!

Just kidding...

seriously though, be safe!

[nsrammstein]

You're probably all right heading south on 35.

I was just asking because I saw a graph on the local TV station and it has Ike going literally down I-35

[CosmicCowboy]

I'm traveling to San Antonio again this weekend, so I'll be drving down I-35 starting on Saturday morning. Do you all expect a lot of traffic?

You should get great gas mileage since you will probably have a 60mph tailwind with driving rain.

[nsrammstein]

You should get great gas mileage since you will probably have a 60mph tailwind with driving rain.

hahahaha, but I must go my friend will be having surgery and I want to be by his side...I've known him since elementary

[spurs_fan_in_exile]

You should get great gas mileage since you will probably have a 60mph tailwind with driving rain.

Hell yeah! Strap a sail to the top of the car, put it in neutral, and let Mother Nature do the rest.

[Cry Havoc]

You're probably all right heading south on 35.

easjer, I don't know if I would be staying if I were you. I realize it's your choice, but I just read this article:

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html

It doesn't bode well for the entire Texas coast. This hurricane is a monster. If you calculate that he's moving ~10 mph at landfall, with hurricane force winds of 115 miles around, even if you don't take a dead hit from Ike, you're talking up to ~10+ hours of 74 mph winds (and over), and that's sustained. Gusts will be much higher. Also the torrential rain and tornadic possibilities make it a precarious situation, especially if he gains any core wind strength.

If you stay, please take every single precaution possible to make your home safe.

From the article:


This "Integrated Kinetic Energy" was recently proposed by Dr. Mark Powell of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division as a better measure of the destructive power of a hurricane's storm surge than the usual Category 1-5 Saffir-Simpson scale. For example, Hurricane Katrina hit Mississippi as a strong Category 3 hurricane, yet its storm surge was more characteristic of a Category 5 storm. Dr. Powell came up with a new scale to rate potential storm surge damage based on IKE (not to be confused with Hurricane Ike!) The new scale ranges from 1-6. Katrina and Wilma at their peaks both earned a 5.1 on this scale (Figure 2). At 9:30am EDT this morning, Ike earned a 5.6 on this scale, the highest kinetic energy of any Atlantic storm in the past 40 years.

[easjer]

I appreciate the concern, CH, but we're not in a mandatory evac zone, and we made that mistake last time with Rita. We're not in danger from the storm surge on the SW side of town, and our area is only prone to flooding in water-logged rains. In fact, we've only had problems once in the two years in our house - and it wasn't our house/neighborhood that was the problem, our access home was blocked off.

I'll be honest, I'm worried. Our greatest threat is from winds, and we've got two-story windows and there isn't a damn thing we can do about it. We could have damage. But we ourselves will be relatively safe. We have water and food, and will be stopping on the way home to gather even more supplies to be safe. We have batteries, flashlights, radio, etc. car chargers for our cell phones and so on. We'll pick up a Texas roadmap for just in case, and if things get worse, we'll consider making a run for my mom's house in NB.

Car is gassed up, and when we get home tonight, we'll be cleaning out the storage closet under the stairs so we can shelter there - the safest part of our house, under the stairs and blocked off from any potential debris. SFIE will clear out the patio, and I'll be cleaning everything and putting as much away as possible.

We'll take all the precautions we can, but we feel like the most responsible thing to do now is shelter in place, because we aren't in danger of being flooded out. We know our house has made it through more than one hurricane, so we'll bank on that, and do what we can to be ready.

[MannyIsGod]

Honestly, I'd stay in Houston if I wasn't in a flood prone area. You have to factor my - as Melissa would put it - weather wood but at the same time I just don't think its going to be a huge storm wind wise. The winds aren't that strong to begin with, they're just WIDE. They aren't mixing to the surface very well either so I just don't see much of a reason for heading out if you're not going to flood or if you don't live in an unsturdy home.

I'd stay in a safe room and I'd have plenty of supplies - I'd def board my windows in that room at the least. Think of a spot you'd go in case of a tornado etc etc. This storm is giong to be very bad in Galveston but Houston Proper should come out of it relatively OK. Even Cat 1 storms leave a lot of wind damage in the form of downed limbs or trees and power limes, some roof damage and the like but they aren't usually something you'd evacuate for.

Keep in mind I'm a weather freak and if I had kids I'd leave just cause kids change everything.

[MannyIsGod]

Oh, I think the chances of the storm coming west are extremely low. The models have had a lot of info to digest and they've started to really zone in on the area between freeport and matagorda bay. Its huge so San Antonio likely sees 40-50 mph winds and some rain (I dno't even think it'll be much rain tbh) but as long as you don't plan a picnic for Saturday you'll be fine.

The windfields are huge huge huge right now but they do tend to have less of an effect over land because of the friction between the wind and land. We will also be on the weaker side of the storm with winds coming off of East TX and not the Gulf. Then again, we already have a shitload of moisture in the air right now (its EXTREMELY high) so it won't take much to set off rain. We might actually see more rain than I'm thinking but the fact taht we're on the weaker side of the stormfactors into it quite a bit.

Although there's a good chance for minimal TS force winds in San Antonio it wouldn't suprise me if we only got winds around 25-30mph in the end.

[ATRAIN]

What about west houston Katy area?

[Ginofan]

Oh, I think the chances of the storm coming west are extremely low. The models have had a lot of info to digest and they've started to really zone in on the area between freeport and matagorda bay. Its huge so San Antonio likely sees 40-50 mph winds and some rain (I dno't even think it'll be much rain tbh) but as long as you don't plan a picnic for Saturday you'll be fine.

The windfields are huge huge huge right now but they do tend to have less of an effect over land because of the friction between the wind and land. We will also be on the weaker side of the storm with winds coming off of East TX and not the Gulf. Then again, we already have a shitload of moisture in the air right now (its EXTREMELY high) so it won't take much to set off rain. We might actually see more rain than I'm thinking but the fact taht we're on the weaker side of the stormfactors into it quite a bit.

Although there's a good chance for minimal TS force winds in San Antonio it wouldn't suprise me if we only got winds around 25-30mph in the end.

So it's WEST of the Galveston/Houston area? I thought they were all focusing on a dead on Galveston hit...

[easjer]

What about west houston Katy area?

According to the news report I just saw - wind damage and rain. How much and severe depends on where the eye is. Less rain and rain bands if it makes landfall with the eye near Galveston, but higher winds. Lower winds but the potential for an extra 6+ inches of rain if the eye centers on Freeport.

There is a decent chance Ike comes over Ft. Bend County/West Harris County as a Cat 3.

[easjer]

So it's WEST of the Galveston/Houston area? I thought they were all focusing on a dead on Galveston hit...

From what I just saw, some models have it hitting Galveston or east of Galveston, which would be better for Houston/Galveston - the biggest rain damage, the potential for tornados, the highest storm surge will then hit Chambers county upwards.

If it hits near Freeport, it'll cause more damage to the Houston/Galveston area, because the rain bands and the storm surge will be heaviest on the right side of the storm.

[CubanMustGo]

Houston, we have a problem.

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200809_model_zoom.gif

[lebomb]

I bet IKE ends up in Louisiana.

[PM5K]

I bet IKE ends up in Louisiana.

I bet he ends up....







your ass....

[lebomb]

I bet he ends up....







your ass....

The only reason Im gonna let you slide is those tiggo bitties in your signature!!!!

:wow

[scott]

Jeff Masters says he thinks most likely probability is Cat 3 at landfall and HUUUUUUUUUGE.

Masters > Manny

[Trainwreck2100]

Fuck this storm not giving me rain

[easjer]

It's looking like more like Rita. I'm less worried now, because it looks like we're going to be in the eye or on the weak side of the storm. Not that I want to sit through a hurricane, but that's the place to be. It continues to move that direction.

[spurspf]

Just heard this a while ago. Not saying its right or that I agree with it but its just a joke people. so here:

FIMA San Antonio evacuation plan.

All whites take I-35 North.
All Mexicans take I-35 South.
All Blacks take 410.

[2centsworth]

best tracking website, so I've been told.

http://web.tampabay.rr.com/wolfy/

[CubanMustGo]

Just look at that sucker (from the link above):

http://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/goescolor/goeseast/hurricane2/color_med/latest.jpg

[dougp]

It's looking like more like Rita. I'm less worried now, because it looks like we're going to be in the eye or on the weak side of the storm. Not that I want to sit through a hurricane, but that's the place to be. It continues to move that direction.

I'm gonna PM you guys my cell phone #, give me a call if you need any help afterwards. Hopefully we won't get anything bad in our area, I'm only a straight shot from beechnut and up newcastle to you guys.

Also, this shit better be clear on Monday, I have tickets to the Cowboys/Eagles game.

[phyzik]

cool image

[CosmicCowboy]

Dang

Models just updated. All the models are in general agreement and half the models have it hitting in EXACTLY the same spot which is EXACTLY the point where maximum storm surge would hit Galveston and Galveston Bay.

We We are talking a potential 25' surge in the back of Galveston Bay and 20' at Galveston's 17' sea wall. This could get VERY ugly.

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200809_model_zoom.gif

[ashbeeigh]

Fuck this storm not giving me rain

my thoughts exactly...this newest update is a load of crap. Both for the rain for us and for the people in Galveston. It's going to be horrible.

[CosmicCowboy]

Latest Statement from Galveston National weather Service:

All neighborhoods... and possibly entire coastal communities... will be inundated during high tide. Persons not heeding evacuation orders in single family one or two story homes will face certain death. Many residences of average construction directly on the coast will be destroyed. Widespread and devastating personal property damage is likely elsewhere. Vehicles left behind will likely be swept away. Numerous roads will be swamped... some may be washed away by the water. Entire flood prone coastal communities will be cutoff. Water levels may exceed 9 feet for more than a mile inland. Coastal residents in multi-story facilities risk being cutoff. Conditions will be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will exacerbate property damage... with massive destruction of homes... including those of block construction. Damage from beach erosion could take years to repair.

[CosmicCowboy]

DANG! NOAA just released a storm surge map for IKE. Check it out. Based on current projections they are calling for a TWENTY SEVEN FOOT SURGE in the back of Galveston Bay and 18-21 at Galveston!

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200809_surge.gif

[Heath Ledger]

Holy Shit Batman! This one has potential.

[MannyIsGod]

They're forcasting 25 foot storm surge? WTF? Thats nuts from a cat 2. I knew the surge would be higher than usual because of the large wind field but I didn't think it would be fucking Katrina surge.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

Fuck the people bitching about not getting rain.

* Galveston and Houston are going to take it up the ass.

* 1/3 of the nation's refining capacity sits right in the bullseye as of the latest update. Say hello to $6 gasoline.

[Heath Ledger]

Its predicted to land as a 3 and outside shot of being a 4.

[Ginofan]

This is the first time I've seen a prediction of over a 20ft surge...most of the talk has been about 20 max...that is crazy! So even with the seawall they are pretty much effed!

[Cry Havoc]

They're forcasting 25 foot storm surge? WTF? Thats nuts from a cat 2. I knew the surge would be higher than usual because of the large wind field but I didn't think it would be fucking Katrina surge.

As stated, Ike is now larger than Katrina was, with a wider wind field. This hurricane is going to be disaster for the Galveston area. I hope everyone living there leaves.

[Heath Ledger]

Fucking shit. This is gonna be entertaining. For the record i dont want anyone to get hurt.

[MannyIsGod]

As stated, Ike is now larger than Katrina was, with a wider wind field. This hurricane is going to be disaster for the Galveston area. I hope everyone living there leaves.


Katrina was also a lot stronger. A SHIT ton stronger.

I dunno - I'm very skeptical of any surge over 18ft high barring no further deepening of the storm.

[Cry Havoc]

Katrina was also a lot stronger. A SHIT ton stronger.

I dunno - I'm very skeptical of any surge over 18ft high barring no further deepening of the storm.

That may be, but wind speed isn't everything. Plus, Ike is still forecasted to strengthen at least to a Category 3.

Storm surge on Pensacola Beach, several hundred miles from Ike:

http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-83102?ref=feeds%2Fnewsiest

This storm is absolutely scary.

Also an unconfirmed report of a very high tide in Texas which is being attributed to the proximity of Ike.

[MannyIsGod]

yeah th swells from this storm are causing coastal flooding all over the gulf. I was expecing big surge, but not record surge. 27 feet would be the 2nd highest surge ever.

[CubanMustGo]

Katrina was also a lot stronger. A SHIT ton stronger.

I dunno - I'm very skeptical of any surge over 18ft high barring no further deepening of the storm.

Keep in mind that the continental shelf is very flat offshore a LONG ways which makes it easier for the storm to build up a surge.

This isn't the best map but gives an idea of the difference in the shelf offshore Houston and NoLa:

http://www.gulfbase.org/gulf/GomDepth.jpg

[Heath Ledger]

Thats why they pay the meteorologists the big bucks, Manny you are just a wannabe :0

[Ginofan]

Easjer, SFIE, & Enigma...you guys might want to check out this link. It's supposed to estimate what the winds will be in each zip code of Houston.

www.houstonhidefromthewind.org

[MannyIsGod]

K well we'll see about the surge, but I'm a betting man and If the O/U was at 20ft I'm taking the under :)

[SpursWoman]

Here's the latest local (San Antonio/Austin) statement from the NWC:


000
WTUS84 KEWX 112131
HLSEWX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
431 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
AND TOWARD THE UPPER TEXAS COAST...

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FOR FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS IKE MOVES INLAND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING SOMEWHERE ON
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST.

TXZ194-209-224-225-120345-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TI.A.0001.080913T0000Z-080913T2100Z/
LEE-FAYETTE-DE WITT-LAVACA-
431 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510
MILES...820 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT
400 MILES...645 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...LEE...
FAYETTE...DE WITT...AND LAVACA COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
WIND - 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS TO 60 TO 65 MPH...MINOR DAMAGE WILL
OCCUR TO MANY MOBILE HOMES. POORLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES MAY RECEIVE
SOME WALL DAMAGE AND PARTIAL ROOF REMOVAL. A FEW HOUSES MAY HAVE
MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOF SHINGLES AND SIDING. A FEW POOL CAGES AND
LANAI SCREENS WILL BE DAMAGED. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT ITEMS MAY
BECOME PROJECTILES...CAUSING ADDITIONAL DAMAGE. SOME ELECTRICAL
WIRES WILL BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
MOST NEWLY PLANTED TREES AND SHRUBS WILL BE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
SOME ROTTING SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED...AND ROTTEN LARGE
BRANCHES WILL SNAP. NUMEROUS SMALL TWIGS WILL SEPARATE FROM TREES.

...WINDS...
NORTH WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH FRIDAY EVENING WILL INCREASE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE BY MIDNIGHT WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 60 MPH...BECOMING
NORTHWEST 45 TO 55 MPH SATURDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 65 MPH.
WINDS WILL TAPER OFF SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS IKE MOVES FURTHER INLAND
AWAY FROM THE AREA.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY AS IKE MOVES INLAND.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE NO LATER THAN 10 PM CDT.





I know there are so, so many people that are going to be devastated by this storm, and there is nothing wrong with my perspective of the whole scheme of things .... but it really makes me sad that my 2 poor little baby trees may not fare very well. We had 20-25 mph gusts not all that long ago and they just barely hung on. And they are the only one's we've got. *sniff, sniff* :depressed

[CubanMustGo]

K well we'll see about the surge, but I'm a betting man and If the O/U was at 20ft I'm taking the under :)

Lots of people in Galveston are right there with you.

[scott]

Jeff Masters wins again

[phyzik]

All I want to know is are they gonna cancel the Margarita Pour off or not?

Its been canceled for this weekend but its moving to either next weekend or the weekend after.

[phyzik]

here is video footage taken today from Pensacola, Fl ... several hundred miles away from Ike.

http://www.ireport.com/docs/DOC-83102?ref=feeds%2Fnewsiest

That BMW is fucked :lol

[1369]

K well we'll see about the surge, but I'm a betting man and If the O/U was at 20ft I'm taking the under :)

One scary model (ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/surge/Latest/i43_bp3.gif)

[AlamoSpursFan]

Fuck the people bitching about not getting rain.

* Galveston and Houston are going to take it up the ass.

* 1/3 of the nation's refining capacity sits right in the bullseye as of the latest update. Say hello to $6 gasoline.

Eat me, dickhead. I need rain.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml

[ShoogarBear]

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml

Hokey smokes. I've never seen anything like that written before.

[1369]

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml

That's insane. Hopefully all living on the water that are going to be washed out have left.

[phyzik]

"FACE CERTAIN DEATH"

no misunderstanding that right there, if your stupid enough to stay you deserve whats coming to you.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml

Glad they're putting it in black and white like that. We have clients down in Galveston, talked to one this afternoon on her way out, she told me some folks were staying behind saying it wouldn't be anything more than another Rita.

And she pointed out the surge was already lapping at the sea wall, and they had been told on the news about 4 foot of surge in Pensacola, 400 miles from the storm.

Sadly it sounds like Darwin's going to be awfully busy the next 48-72 hours.

[Trainwreck2100]

Fuck the people bitching about not getting rain.

* Galveston and Houston are going to take it up the ass.

* 1/3 of the nation's refining capacity sits right in the bullseye as of the latest update. Say hello to $6 gasoline.

So you say fuck the people bitching about rain, and then bitch about refining capacity

[easjer]

We're still staying put. Hoping that things work out for the best for us. We are stocked up and ready to go, just need to get the house in shape.

[RashoFan]

bum bum bummm...Certain Death!

[Jekka]

Holy shit, 68mph winds in my parents' zip code? That house sucks already, I'm going to call them again and tell them to head for the relatives in Tyler.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

So you say fuck the people bitching about rain, and then bitch about refining capacity

Rain in one location isn't even close to something that will impact the entirety of our economy nationally.

First and foremost it's frustrating to hear people are staying, because it's clear this storm means business.

But I was talking a step back from that and looking at the impact on the entire nation.

[baseline bum]

Damn, I hope for the best for Houston. I used to live on the Southside of Houston, and it flooded horribly anytime there was any kind of major rain.

[td4mvp21]

We're still staying put. Hoping that things work out for the best for us. We are stocked up and ready to go, just need to get the house in shape.

You don't live in Galveston right?

[2Blonde]

You don't live in Galveston right?

No, they live in Houston.



Easjer & SFIE,
Please leave because otherwise we are going to worry about you guys. Please be safe.

[Whisky Dog]

Anyone leaving Houston area should leave at about 2 or 3 am tonight to escape the log jam of cars leaving tomorrow.

[RashoFan]

No, they live in Houston.



Easjer & SFIE,
Please leave because otherwise we are going to worry about you guys. Please be safe.

+1
And the same goes for Enigma and his Wifey as well. Enigma, you still got relatives in SA,right?

[RashoFan]

:pctoss
My "boy" is in Beaumont staging for evacuations in the morning and he is stuck at staging without any grub. Too damn far for me to drive...Bam Bam needs food.

[KEDA]

ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/WTUS84-KHGX.shtml

gotdamn

I have NEVER seen anything like that before, thats really scary.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

I know it's redundant, but I want to echo the others. Get the fuck out. They are predicting 50 mph winds here in Dallas, over 200 miles from where this going to hit. If you're within 100 miles of the coast, get the hell out.

[Many PackYao]

I know it's redundant, but I want to echo the others. Get the fuck out. They are predicting 50 mph winds here in Dallas, over 200 miles from where this going to hit. If you're within 100 miles of the coast, get the hell out.Damn, the reports are getting scarier everytime I turn on the news.As an adult I've only experienced Rita, so if this the real deal as they say I guess I better make plans to leave.
I thought I would be ok because I live in the non evac zone.I live on the third floor of an apt too, so no telling how it will hold.:bang

[Ginofan]

I think they'll (Easjer, SFIE, & Enigma) will be alright IF they are prepared and NOT in a flood zone. The force of this hurricane is abnormally weaker than first predicted, it's just that it's a huge fucking storm and the windfield is super spreadout.

[Aggie Hoopsfan]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at4

From oil platforms in the area (north of where Ike is at):

95 knot winds (110 mph)

25 foot waves

[MannyIsGod]

Hokey smokes. I've never seen anything like that written before.


gotdamn

I have NEVER seen anything like that before, thats really scary.

Do you guys remember the Katrina discussion?


000
WWUS74 KLIX 281550
NPWLIX (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Advanced_Weather_Interactive_Processing_System) URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/National_Weather_Service) NEW ORLEANS (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/New_Orleans) LA (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Louisiana)
1011 AM CDT (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Central_Time_Zone) SUN AUG 28 (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/August_28) 2005 (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/2005) ...DEVASTATING DAMAGE EXPECTED... .HURRICANE KATRINA (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Hurricane_Katrina)...A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Tropical_cyclone) WITH UNPRECEDENTED
STRENGTH...RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Hurricane_Camille) OF 1969 (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/1969_Atlantic_hurricane_season). MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS...PERHAPS LONGER. AT
LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL
FAILURE. ALL GABLED (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Gable) ROOFS WILL FAIL...LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY
DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL.
PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD
FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE
BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE...INCLUDING SOME
WALL AND ROOF FAILURE. HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY...A
FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT. AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD...AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH
AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Sport_utility_vehicle)
VEHICLES (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Sport_utility_vehicle) AND LIGHT TRUCKS (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Light_truck) WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE
ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE
WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK. POWER OUTAGES (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Power_outage) WILL LAST FOR WEEKS...AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN
AND TRANSFORMERS (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Transformer) DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Water_supply) WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS. THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY
THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING...BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Defoliant). FEW
CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE
KILLED. AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Tropical_cyclone_warnings_and_watches#Inland_Hurri cane_Warning) IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE (http://www.powerset.com/explore/semhtml/Beaufort_scale)...OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE...ARE
CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET...DO NOT VENTURE
OUTSIDE!


NWS guys usually know what they're talking about.

[MannyIsGod]

This storm is absolutely huge, but its also not very strong because its so broad. Wind reports are going to be low. A lot of the wind is over the ocean and its not mixing down there so its not going to do so over land. I dunno, I don't expect much wind wise out of this storm but the surge should be the story.

[CubanMustGo]

Hmm, the models have gotten confused again with a definite east-west split:

http://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at200809_model_zoom.gif

[MannyIsGod]

Only one that matters with that southern shift if the GFS. Should be interesting to watch though. I told you guys that the cone was very important with this storm and not the actual path and if the GFS verifies then thats definitely the case.

[MannyIsGod]

BTW if you go outside and look up you'll see Ike :lol

[Cry Havoc]

Ike's winds are up 5 mph. Showing signs of strengthening as per NHC. North-western quadrant now looks a little weaker but Ike appears to be forming an eye.

[Ginofan]

Isn't that shift West worse for Houson/Galveston?

[MannyIsGod]

Damn! The surf at Galveston already looks nuts!!

[RandomGuy]

This storm is absolutely huge, but its also not very strong because its so broad. Wind reports are going to be low. A lot of the wind is over the ocean and its not mixing down there so its not going to do so over land. I dunno, I don't expect much wind wise out of this storm but the surge should be the story.

GREAT GOOGLEY BOOGLEY!!

This thing has tropical storm

[RandomGuy]

This storm is absolutely huge, but its also not very strong because its so broad. Wind reports are going to be low. A lot of the wind is over the ocean and its not mixing down there so its not going to do so over land. I dunno, I don't expect much wind wise out of this storm but the surge should be the story.

GREAT GOOGLEY BOOGLEY!!

This thing has tropical storm force winds up to 550 miles wide. :wow

The thing practically takes up the entire Gulf of Mexico.

I think you are vastly underestimating the amount of damage.

[MannyIsGod]

Isn't that shift West worse for Houson/Galveston?

Its better. The track right now going SE>NW into Freeport is pretty much the worse possible track from my understanding.

[Ginofan]

Damn! The surf at Galveston already looks nuts!!

Do you have a link to a beachcam?

[MannyIsGod]

Nah I was just watching the news.

[Ginofan]

Ahh, I found the KHOU live broadcast. You're right it's looking nasty!

KHOU (http://www.khou.com/video/?nvid=178826&live=yes&noad=yes)

[Sense]

Shit I live in Lufkin.... apparently we might get power outage.

alot of people from Houston and Beaumont and Port Arthur came to Lufkin for some reason... the city is packed.

[SpursWoman]

BTW if you go outside and look up you'll see Ike :lol


There were some beautiful cloud formations when I left my house for work this morning ... and the sun was just starting to come up so the colors were beautiful, too. I wish I had a better camera than my phone ... I probably could have gotten some great pictures. :)

Too bad if felt all tropical outside to go with it. :lol

[Ginofan]

Already flooding in Galveston jeez louise!!

[MannyIsGod]

Coastal flooding happens a lot more than people realize. Its not that unusual. I mean fuck its right next to the ocean lol

[Ginofan]

Coastal flooding happens a lot more than people realize. Its not that unusual. I mean fuck its right next to the ocean lol

Oh I know, but it's not from the beach side, it's from the bay side. The surge is already creeping in.

[MannyIsGod]

Man, that whole island is going to go underwater. Will be nuts to see.

[Ginofan]

Man, that whole island is going to go underwater. Will be nuts to see.

That's what they are saying on the news. I doubt you'll even see treetops, rooftops, etc. Man that's some sad stuff.

[Cry Havoc]

http://abclocal.go.com/ktrk/feature?section=news/local&id=6102015

[Extra Stout]

Galveston won't even see the worst surge. That will go into the communities on the west side of Galveston Bay: Kemah, Seabrook, La Porte, Baytown.

[TheTruth]

That's what they are saying on the news. I doubt you'll even see treetops, rooftops, etc. Man that's some sad stuff.

Jesus, don't have any WORK to do? Who is this guy Ike you keep talking about? Do I know him?

[MoSpur]

Galveston is going to be gone after this storm is done. There is flooding already.

[Ginofan]

Jesus, don't have any WORK to do? Who is this guy Ike you keep talking about? Do I know him?

Shouldn't YOU be working?? I work for family, I get a pass....YOU DON'T.

[MannyIsGod]

http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html

[TheTruth]

Shouldn't YOU be working?? I work for family, I get a pass....YOU DON'T.

SHEYITT, HEB sent a Corporate Memo on WED letting us know that we didn't have to come in on Friday so that we would have time to prepare for the Hurricane. I wonder if store partners got that memo?

Why did I even come to work today?

[MannyIsGod]

Jesus, don't have any WORK to do? Who is this guy Ike you keep talking about? Do I know him?

:lmao

[Ginofan]

SHEYITT, HEB sent a Corporate Memo on WED letting us know that we didn't have to come in on Friday so that we would have time to prepare for the Hurricane. I wonder if store partners got that memo?

Why did I even come to work today?

To make that money, weddings are expensive!

[MannyIsGod]

Galveston won't even see the worst surge. That will go into the communities on the west side of Galveston Bay: Kemah, Seabrook, La Porte, Baytown.

Eh, I don't know about that.

[MannyIsGod]

Man, areas of Galveston already looking like NOLA.

[MannyIsGod]

Man, anyone staying on that island is out of their mind.

[remingtonbo2001]

Angel_Luv and I are headed towards Caldwell this evening.

[Trainwreck2100]

fuck you Ike

[MannyIsGod]

Angel_Luv and I are headed towards Caldwell this evening.

Thanks for sharing.

[remingtonbo2001]

Thanks for sharing.

Your welcome. :)

[TheTruth]

Angel_Luv and I are headed towards Caldwell this evening.

I just drank a Mountain Dew.

[Ginofan]

Angel_Luv and I are headed towards Caldwell this evening.

That doesn't seem too smart to me, unless you love driving in torrential rains and such.

[Trainwreck2100]

Angel_Luv and I are headed towards Caldwell this evening.

Me and Truthy just had Mountain Dews

[MannyIsGod]

I just drank a Mountain Dew.

I wish I had a mountain dew.

[Ginofan]

Mountain Dews are godawful nasty. Sickos.

[ORION]

Me and Truthy just had Mountain Dews

I'm about to go get a Monster because the soda machine is messed up and its only charging a dollar. I hate they way they taste but I'm half mexican so I enjoy a good deal

[Trainwreck2100]

Angel_Luv and I are headed towards Caldwell this evening.

Manny wants a Mountain Dew

[remingtonbo2001]

Me and Truthy just had Mountain Dews

Was it everything you anticipated?

[katyon6th]

Diet Mountain Dew is both tasty and refreshing.

[MannyIsGod]

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SATRAPID/anim16ir.html

Ike is getting its shit together. We'll see how much it can do before landfall. I don't think this will be a 3 at landfall but we'll see.

You can also see the trough thats going to turn the storm coming into West Texas.

[Ginofan]

Seriously WHAT THE FUCK are these people still doing on Galveston Island? They are so STOOPID!

[MannyIsGod]

I'm about to go get a Monster because the soda machine is messed up and its only charging a dollar. I hate they way they taste but I'm half mexican so I enjoy a good deal

I can only drink Amps and Vitamin Energy Citrus because I hate the way almost all other energy drinks taste.

[MannyIsGod]

Diet Mountain Dew is both tasty and refreshing.

Oh snap a Katy sighting. Apparently Mt Dew brings Filipinos out of the wood work.

[MannyIsGod]

Seriously WHAT THE FUCK are these people still doing on Galveston Island? They are so STOOPID!

I just hope they don't have kids. If you want to be stupid and stay on a fucking island during a hurricane be my guest. I just don't want you to breed.

[MannyIsGod]

a neat picture from the ISS
http://www.n-tv.de/img/1022727_src_pathB.8Haw.jpg

[SpursWoman]

The blue Mountain Dews were pretty good. Kind of sweet, though.

[MannyIsGod]

BTW I slept about 14 hours so I'm fucking recharged and ready to post about this storm all day.

:lol

[MannyIsGod]

The blue Mountain Dews were pretty good. Kind of sweet, though.

I've never tried the blue ones. Just something not right about Blue Mt. Dew.

[remingtonbo2001]

Ike is getting its shit together.

It's the Mountain Dew.

[katyon6th]

Oh snap a Katy sighting. Apparently Mt Dew brings Filipinos out of the wood work.


I'm bored. We're connected to our servers in Corpus and they turned them off.

Thanks a fucking lot, Ike.

[MannyIsGod]

Katy do you work downtown?

[ORION]

I can only drink Amps and Vitamin Energy Citrus because I hate the way almost all other energy drinks taste.

Amps taste the best but I got to the soda machine and the other damn mexicans cleaned it out !

[katyon6th]

Medical Center

[ORION]

Katy is kind of like a pimp

[katyon6th]

Starbucks new energy drinks are yummy. I really enjoy the vanilla flavor.

[Ginofan]

I'm bored. We're connected to our servers in Corpus and they turned them off.

Thanks a fucking lot, Ike.

They should send you home early with pay then!

[katyon6th]

I'm a matchmaker, Orion.

[Trainwreck2100]

The Halo 3 mountain Dew was awesome

[katyon6th]

They should send you home early with pay then!

Fuck, I'm salary. I'll be out of here soon.

I want to go swimming.

[ORION]

I'm a matchmaker, Orion.

No, you're a slave trader

[MannyIsGod]

I hear the swimming is great in Galveston.

[Trainwreck2100]

I swim twice a week, in about 20 years I'll five a body like Michael Phelps

[SpursWoman]

I hear the swimming is great in Galveston.

And you can do it in the comfort of your own home!

[MannyIsGod]

And you can do it in the comfort of your own home!

LOL

rimshot

[CubanMustGo]

10AM advisory: still 105 MPH.

[Ginofan]

That seawall is fucked.

[spurs_2108]

Is there any live footage from Corpus Christi? Any news stations filming like they are in Galveston?

[MannyIsGod]

BTW lost in all the Ike hoopla is the front we're going to get (the one thats moving Ike off). Temps next week should be fucking awessssssssssome.

[ATRAIN]

Katy is kind of like a pimp

Katy is a pimp

[ATRAIN]

Fucking Ike has already fucked up my weekend. I only got 2 hours of sleep waiting for my sister and her family that were escaping from Clear Lake.

[JudynTX]

http://www.cnn.com/video/live/live.html?stream=stream3

I can't believe I actually see people (not law enforcement) driving back and forth. :wow

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Absolutely, totally unrelated, but I just turned on the TV to go check CNN or MSNBC and "The View" is on with John McCain. It's really fucking weird that he's getting some harder questions here than in other places.

Back to Ike.

[ATRAIN]

Absolutely, totally unrelated, but I just turned on the TV to go check CNN or MSNBC and "The View" is on with John McCain. It's really fucking weird that he's getting some harder questions here than in other places.

Back to Ike.

LMAO you watch the view!!!

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

LMAO you watch the view!!!

Windows Media Center keeps it on the same channel you were last watching. Last show I watched live was KSAT 12 News @ Noon yesterday. You do the math.

And plus, when I turn it on and see the man who just might be President, I don't change the channel so quick.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

And I've previously stated my position on Elizabeth Hasselbeck's hotness despite her batshit-craziness.

[Trainwreck2100]

Windows Media Center keeps it on the same channel you were last watching. Last show I watched live was KSAT 12 News @ Noon yesterday. You do the math.

And plus, when I turn it on and see the man who just might be President, I don't change the channel so quick.

What do you do when you turn on the tv and the man that IS president is on.

[ATRAIN]

And I've previously stated my position on Elizabeth Hasselbeck's hotness despite her batshit-craziness.

LOL its ok man if you like the view I won't judge you. Yes your right Hasselbeck is a hot ho, I thought so when she was on survivor.

[deadratsam]

Is there any live footage from Corpus Christi? Any news stations filming like they are in Galveston?

http://www.earthcam.com/usa/texas/corpuschristi/

I think that has different views, of which there are at least: 1 downtown, 1 "harbor view" that shows the bayfront.

Edit: there are several harbor views.

[FromWayDowntown]

Can't read the whole thread, but I hope that those who were able to get out of the Houston area did so safely and that those who decided to ride this sucker out will stay safe!

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

What do you do when you turn on the tv and the man that IS president is on.

Same.

It's usually followed by, "What did he say?"

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

LOL its ok man if you like the view I won't judge you. Yes your right Hasselbeck is a hot ho, I thought so when she was on survivor.

It's OK, man, if you have sexual fantasies involving four male ST posters. I won't judge you. :lol

[Ginofan]

Anyone have an idea as to when we would start to see some breezes?

[Cry Havoc]

Explosion of convection in Ike's eastern center of rotation may actually prevent him from forming an eye. Never-the-less, the damage he does to Galveston will be nothing short of total.

Manny, you still taking the under on the 20' surge? Cause I'll take the over if it's not too late. =P

[ATRAIN]

It's OK, man, if you have sexual fantasies involving four male ST posters. I won't judge you. :lol

LOL whatever man I was just saying what everyone was thinking. Your just happy because you were involved.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Anyone have an idea as to when we would start to see some breezes?

Lemme go check.

[ATRAIN]

Fucking Ike!!

Hey Manny what was this cool front you were speaking of?

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Nothing yet.

[Cry Havoc]

Can't read the whole thread, but I hope that those who were able to get out of the Houston area did so safely and that those who decided to ride this sucker out will stay safe!

It’s okay, FWD. We know you’re busy wanking to the “most intelligent” thread. Carry on with that. ;)

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Fucking Ike!!

Hey Manny what was this cool front you were speaking of?

http://www.ksat.com/forecast/index.html

Browne said we'd have a small cool front about Tuesday... should drop temps about 10 degrees.

[SpursWoman]

Anyone have an idea as to when we would start to see some breezes?


Around 6 or 7 was what I read yesterday ... but I haven't looked since.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

This talk of wind reminded me about Manny's biking-in-the-storm story. :lol

[ATRAIN]

http://www.ksat.com/forecast/index.html

Browne said we'd have a small cool front about Tuesday... should drop temps about 10 degrees.

Fucking sweet although it does fuck up my nightly swim. Lows in the 60's!! As long as it doesnt go below 60 im good.

[Ginofan]

Around 6 or 7 was what I read yesterday ... but I haven't looked since.

Thanks, I hadn't read anything on it. Yeah, I can see directly out my window here and it's pretty still, nothing out of the norm.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Thanks, I hadn't read anything on it. Yeah, I can see directly out my window here and it's pretty still, nothing out of the norm.

It's humid as all hell, though.

[ORION]

Fucking sweet although it does fuck up my nightly swim. Lows in the 60's!! As long as it doesnt go below 60 im good.

are you practicing in case they deport you ?

[Trainwreck2100]

are you practicing in case they deport you ?

he could just hide in an 18 wheeler like you did

[ATRAIN]

are you practicing in case they deport you ?


he could just hide in an 18 wheeler like you did

:lmao

[boutons_]

http://www.physorg.com/images/news-logo.gif

With Ike, size matters for killer storm surge
http://www.physorg.com/newman/gfx/news/withikesizem.jpg

Dawson Voris, 9, of Corpus Christi, Texas, walks through storm surge water from Hurricane Ike as the water pushes over the Padre Balli Park beach in Padre Island, Texas, and into the parking lot Thursday, Sept. 11, 2008. (AP Photo/Corpus Christi Caller-Times,Todd Yates)

(AP) -- Hurricane Ike's gargantuan size - not its strength - will likely push an extra large storm surge inland in a region already prone to it, experts said Thursday.

Ike's giant girth means more water piling up on Texas and Louisiana coastal areas for a longer time, topped with bigger waves. So storm surge - the prime killer in hurricanes - will be far worse than a typical storm of Ike's strength, the National Hurricane Center said.

And because coastal waters in Texas and Louisiana are so shallow, storm surge is usually larger there than in other regions, according to storm experts. A 1900 hurricane following a similar track to Ike inundated Galveston Island, killing at least 8,000 people - America's deadliest storm.

"It's a good recipe for surge," said Benton McGee, supervisory hydrologist at the U.S. Geological Survey's storm surge center in Ruston, La. "We're already seeing water being piled up in the Gulf. On top of that you're going to have water forced into the bays along the coast."

The National Hurricane Center is forecasting a 20-foot surge - a rapid rising of water inundating areas and moving inland - for a large swath of Texas and the Louisiana coasts. Above that, the center predicts "large and dangerous battering waves." Waves could be 50 feet tall, said hurricane center spokesman and meteorologist Dennis Feltgen.

Some computer models have waves topping out at 70 feet, but the waves usually break well before hitting shore, so the maximum usually doesn't get quite that high.

"It's going to do tremendous damage over a large area even if its doesn't strengthen anymore," predicted former hurricane center director Max Mayfield.

That's directly due to Ike's size. Experts are trying to figure out when they've seen a storm this wide. Ike's tropical storm force winds stretch for 510 miles, and weather radar from Galveston to Key West can see its outer bands. That's about 70 percent larger than an average hurricane.

"Because of the very large expanse of hurricane force winds, Ike will create a storm surge well in excess of what would normally be associated with a storm of its intensity," the National Hurricane Center warned late Thursday afternoon.

Areas that have a hurricane warning - Morgan City, La., to Baffin Bay, Texas - can expect storm surges up to 20 feet. Areas with a tropical storm warning - Baffin Bay to Port Mansfield, Texas, and Morgan City to the Mississippi-Alabama border - can expect five to seven feet of storm surge, Feltgen said.

The size and relatively slow speed means more water keeps building, pushing inland for hours after Ike hits the coast, McGee said.

Geography doesn't help either. Experts say the Texas coast ranks second, behind Louisiana, as the worst region for storm surge in the United States. That's because the water there is shallower than in most other regions. The energy from a hurricane needs a way to escape. Deeper water can absorb more of it, dissipating the surge, but along the Texas coastline, the water has nowhere to go but up on shore, McGee said. Think of the Gulf of Mexico as a shallow bathtub with a big-time disturbance in it, Mayfield said.

Storm surges reached 16 feet during 2005's Hurricane Rita, which hit just east of Galveston, McGee said. Because the worst surge is always just east of the eye of the hurricane, the Galveston-Houston area was spared the worst of the damage.

Houston is buffered by Galveston Island - which sits in the way of the surge - and the bay system, but still is likely to get a rush of high water as the bay, rivers and canals fill up, McGee said. And water that rushes into Galveston Bay may not be able to get out after the storm, he said.

The U.S. Geological Survey on Thursday sent five teams to the Texas and Louisiana coast installing 80 storm surge devices to measure the flood to come, McGee said.

© 2008 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.


This news is brought to you by PhysOrg.com


http://www.physorg.com/printnews.php?newsid=140411444

[ORION]

he could just hide in an 18 wheeler like you did

There is nothing about me that looks mexican so I'm not worried.
I can't even grow a beard :depressed

[ATRAIN]

There is nothing about me that looks mexican so I'm not worried.
I can't even grow a beard :depressed

didnt you say you were half mexican? fucking mutt!!

[Buddy Holly]

Anyone else shocked at how similar 2008 is with 2005.

Big hurricane hit's New Orleans area.

Followed by...

Big hurricane hits Houston area.

[TheTruth]

LOL whatever man I was just saying what everyone was thinking. Your just happy because you were involved.

I'm glad that you know what everyone else was thinking.

I didn't know you had fantasies about 4 male posters. That's kind of gay.

[batman2883]

Truthy Shouldnt We Be Posting In The Quattro Like What Happened During Katrina?

[ATRAIN]

I'm glad that you know what everyone else was thinking.

I didn't know you had fantasies about 4 male posters. That's kind of gay.

Yeah I can read minds just like you. You don't even know what Blaze is talking about so shut your mouth.

[Trainwreck2100]

There is nothing about me that looks mexican so I'm not worried.
I can't even grow a beard :depressed

i don't look mexican either, i could walk across the border with a bomb strapped to my back and la migra will focus on the family of four in their suburban headed back to the valley after some afternoon shopping.

[MannyIsGod]

http://www.ksat.com/forecast/index.html

Browne said we'd have a small cool front about Tuesday... should drop temps about 10 degrees.

Joe I'm about to head downtown on my bike.

Do you have the link to that story?

The biking in the storm story that is.

[TheTruth]

Yeah I can read minds just like you. You don't even know what Blaze is talking about so shut your mouth.

Oh shit guys, a TOUGH GUY!! LOLOLOLOLOL!!!

Hey Blaze, I'm sorry I didn't know what you were talking about.

[ORION]

didnt you say you were half mexican? fucking mutt!!

yeah but it doesn't mean I have to look it. Its in my soul ....you wouldn't understand ! Don't talk to me !!! I hate you !

[batman2883]

Hey Jason If This Rain Is Nice Tomorrow Im Thinking About Having A Party Bbq With A Slip And Slide You Down?

[ORION]

Truthy Shouldnt We Be Posting In The Quattro Like What Happened During Katrina?

shut up you faglord !

[batman2883]

shut up you faglord !

I FIND THAT COMMENT RATHER SHALLOW AND PODANTIC

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Joe I'm about to head downtown on my bike.

Do you have the link to that story?

The biking in the storm story that is.

http://spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?p=89523&highlight=bike#post89523

[ORION]

Hey Jason If This Rain Is Nice Tomorrow Im Thinking About Having A Party Bbq With A Slip And Slide You Down?

but is your mom ok with us using one of her folds to slide on

[mrsmaalox]

Yeah I can read minds just like you. You don't even know what Blaze is talking about so shut your mouth.

I know what he's talking about and it was definitely just you :D

[ATRAIN]

Oh shit guys, a TOUGH GUY!! LOLOLOLOLOL!!!

Hey Blaze, I'm sorry I didn't know what you were talking about.

I dont know what your obsession is with me lately but if your trying to get on the list, its not working.

[ATRAIN]

yeah but it doesn't mean I have to look it. Its in my soul ....you wouldn't understand ! Don't talk to me !!! I hate you !

but its after 11

[batman2883]

Ang Ganda Ng Panahon, No?

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Hey Blaze, I'm sorry I didn't know what you were talking about.

Be glad... it was pretty damn scary to learn he thought that.

[ATRAIN]

I know what he's talking about and it was definitely just you :D

LOL considering it goes against me yeah you would say that.

[ATRAIN]

Be glad... it was pretty damn scary to learn he thought that.

LOL hey I was just trying to help Manny and Paki along with you and viva to express your feelings for each other and if it meant man love so be it.

[baseline bum]

Holy fuck, the whole island was underwater when they showed a shot from the air.

[ATRAIN]

Where is surfside beach? Damn place is already underwater because of the surge.

[Ginofan]

Hey all you quattro queers can just had on over there. This is a HURRICANE thread, let's keep it that way.

[JudynTX]

Holy fuck, the whole island was underwater when they showed a shot from the air.

They have already shut off water and it's already contaminated. CNN reports.

[batman2883]

magkuwentuhan tayo!!!!

[batman2883]

Hey all you quattro queers can just had on over there. This is a HURRICANE thread, let's keep it that way.

fag

[batman2883]

fag

im sorry i didnt mean that

[mrsmaalox]

LOL considering it goes against me yeah you would say that.

No, I just witnessed that entire exchange and you were the only one who said anything about Paki/Manny and Blaze/Viva banging and the logistics of such!!!

[ATRAIN]

Hey manny once it hits landfall is it going to continue to turn? They were saying Dallas was going to get hit pretty hard.

[MannyIsGod]

http://spurstalk.com/forums/showthread.php?p=89523&highlight=bike#post89523

:lmao I love that I spun it to where I won in the Manny v God battle.

[batman2883]

Hey Katy!!!

[MannyIsGod]

I just noticed B2B hasnt' been on. Guess he left Corpus. He's probably pissed. :lol

[ATRAIN]

I just noticed B2B hasnt' been on. Guess he left Corpus. He's probably pissed. :lol

LOL you know he is going to give you shit when he gets back. At least he wont have to work at a gas station now.

[MannyIsGod]

:lmao

I told him to wait. He kept saying no no I'm leaving at 6am.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Hey all you quattro queers can just had on over there. This is a HURRICANE thread, let's keep it that way.

Aw, come on, how often do I get to talk to the Vincents (and future ones)?

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

:lmao I love that I spun it to where I won in the Manny v God battle.

He's probably going to poison your next CFS.

[Sense]

Hitting Dallas hard? lol

[batman2883]

I Miss The Vincents More Than Ive Missed Anyone Else

[ATRAIN]

:lmao

I told him to wait. He kept saying no no I'm leaving at 6am.

LOL where was he going San Antonio to see his father in law?

[ATRAIN]

Hitting Dallas hard? lol

LOL thats what my know it all coworker said. Then again he said a week ago this was going to Florida.

[Sense]

LOL thats what my know it all coworker said. Then again he said a week ago this was going to Florida.

All Dallas is getting is rain...

[Ginofan]

Aw, come on, how often do I get to talk to the Vincents (and future ones)?

I don't give a shit. Take your "omg i haven't seen u in 4 eva" happy-fag reunion else where...like the Quattro or an Ashbeigh thread.

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

I don't give a shit. Take your "omg i haven't seen u in 4 eva" happy-fag reunion else where...like the Quattro or an Ashbeigh thread.

Screw you, whitey.

[ashbeeigh]

I don't give a shit. Take your "omg i haven't seen u in 4 eva" happy-fag reunion else where...like the Quattro or an Ashbeigh thread.

:wtf whatever dude.

[Ginofan]

Screw you, whitey.

White is right!!!:lol

[batman2883]

:lol:lol:lol:lol:lol
I don't give a shit. Take your "omg i haven't seen u in 4 eva" happy-fag reunion else where...like the Quattro or an Ashbeigh thread.

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA AH AH AHA A A HAH A A HA

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

White is right!!!:lol

Why you gotta always hold the brown man down?






































I'm pretty sure Truth would like to be on top once in a while.

[Ginofan]

Why you gotta always hold the brown man down?

Brown??? I think you're a couple shades lighter there asian sensation

[Sense]

Racism thread!

[Johnny_Blaze_47]

Brown??? I think you're a couple shades lighter there asian sensation

Real quick. When I was at the UNITY conference in July and was preparing to go hang out with some friends of my close friend and roomie, it somehow came up that I get mistaken for Asian a lot.

So about 30 minutes later, we're hanging out with my friend's friend and their friends (all three of the other friends are Asian), and within five minutes, one of them asks me.

My boy just about fell out of his chair laughing his ass off.

[Cry Havoc]

That huge burst of convection to the East of the COC is now beginning to wrap up circularly. Ike seems to be developing an intense core at the moment. If the convection wraps all the way around, I see no reason why he won’t intensify to a category 3 storm. Ike looked very unhealthy this morning but he seems to be restructuring.