Donald G.W.B. Trump officially attacks Iran

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:ziwbaudmnvykh7umblyyjlc3/bafkreibaf5rdbyp7palv54dyev6bzwfozhfg7qre3t47juzlq gdqa556aa@jpeg

[velik_m]

https://x.com/DailyMail/status/2029232388232843399

[Winehole23]

The elder Khamenei was the top Shia cleric in the world, so this should have been more or less forseeable

[Winehole23]

economic ripples


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:xv2as7miy7ghje2htfynaqex/bafkreih5t7hl6kbohwhdsjh6c6iqhj2cspaxxe2egyjgirwxg uz3cu65ta@jpeg

[Winehole23]

Treasury manipulating the energy market to benefit Trump?

what could go wrong?



(say buddy, can you fill up your tank with an oil future?)


The U.S. Treasury Department is expected to announce measures ​as soon as Thursday aimed at combating rising energy (https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/) prices in the wake of the Iran conflict (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-tells-reuters-us-will-have-role-choosing-irans-next-leader-2026-03-05/), including potential action involving the #oil futures market, a senior White House official said.


The potential move would mark an unusual attempt by Washington to influence energy prices through financial markets rather than physical oil supplies, as officials race to blunt the political and economic impact of rising fuel costs.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-weighs-oil-futures-market-action-combat-rising-energy-prices-wh-official-2026-03-05/

[Winehole23]

U.S. military investigators believe it is likely that U.S. forces were responsible for an apparent strike on an Iranian girls' school that killed scores of children on Saturday but have not yet reached a final conclusion or completed ​their investigation, two U.S. officials told Reuters.


Reuters was unable to determine more details about the investigation, including what evidence #contributed to the tentative assessment, what type of munition was used, who was responsible or why the U.S. might have struck the school.https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-investigation-points-likely-us-responsibility-iran-school-strike-sources-say-2026-03-06/

[Ball Buster]

Nice vague article there. Noncommittal about who may have possibly bombed a girls school.

Subterfuge. It was Israel.

[velik_m]

Trump’s War

Iran retaliated with missile and drone bombardments against U.S. bases and allied territory, targeting military facilities across the Gulf, including Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. One Iranian drone killed six American service members at a U.S. command center in Kuwait. Asked whether Americans should be worried about retaliatory attacks at home, Trump acknowledges the possibility. “I guess,” he says. “But I think they’re worried about that all the time. We think about it all the time. We plan for it. But yeah, you know, we expect some things. Like I said, some people will die. When you go to war, some people will die."

Trump promised to end wars, not start them. Instead, he has deployed military force in increasingly dizzying ways. No other modern American leader has directed assaults in as many countries in such a short span of time. Since returning to office, Trump has authorized attacks in eight nations, three of which have never before been directly targeted by U.S. forces. In 2025 alone, he approved more individual airstrikes than his predecessor did over four years.

Trump has ordered a major campaign of airstrikes targeting Houthi-controlled areas in Yemen; authorized naval attacks on vessels from Venezuela suspected of drug trafficking; and signed off on the operation that seized that country’s authoritarian President, Nicolás Maduro, left more than a hundred dead, and placed the Venezuelan leader on trial in New York. Just days after the onslaught against Tehran, the U.S. took part in joint military operations in Ecuador, targeting “designated terrorist organizations.” His Administration has also fixed its sights on Cuba, where President Miguel Díaz-Canel has ramped up military exercises amid reports that Trump has asked advisers to devise plans to end the island’s six-decade communist rule.
...

The focus of diplomacy then shifted back to Iran’s nuclear program. Trump tapped two trusted envoys to pursue a deal: Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner, who had negotiated the Gaza deal and were leading the Administration’s efforts to broker a peace between Russia and Ukraine. Their mandate was straightforward, if ironic: to secure an agreement not unlike the Iranian nuclear accord forged by Obama, the very deal Trump had excoriated and withdrawn from during his first term.

Meanwhile, the Islamic Republic was violently suppressing antigovernment protests across the country. Trump saw an opening. He told the demonstrators that “help is on the way” and warned Tehran a military response was on the table—though took no action as Iranian authorities shut down the internet and slaughtered as many as 30,000 people. According to senior Administration officials, Trump thought pressure from the streets, combined with American threats, could force Iran to the negotiating table.

But Witkoff and Kushner’s attempts to forge a deal in Geneva went nowhere. When the envoys returned empty-handed, Trump concluded the Iranians were playing for time, using what one senior U.S. official described as “games, tricks, and stall tactics.” Iran refused to entertain negotiations over two issues that Western officials considered central: its ballistic-missile program and its support for regional proxy forces, including Hezbollah and Hamas.

...

rump made only a cursory effort to notify Congress before launching the attack, briefing a small circle of congressional leaders shortly before the operation was underway and leaving most lawmakers to learn of it after the fact. There had been little public debate beforehand about the possibility of war, including at his State of the Union address just days earlier. In the aftermath, some officials framed the strike as a necessary act of pre-emption against an imminent threat; others described it as a long-planned effort to cripple Iran’s military leadership and force a broader political reckoning in Tehran. Rubio’s statement—that Israel was preparing an attack of its own and that Washington moved first to weaken Iran before it could retaliate against American targets—was yet another rationale.

In his phone call with TIME, Trump described the mission as preventative. “America First is really about keeping America healthy and well, and not having other countries, you know, hit us,” he says. “There are occasions when you have no choice. This was an occasion.” The aim, he says, is to prevent Iran from having the capacity to endanger the U.S. “They can’t have a nuclear weapon. That’s number one, two, and three. Number four, no ballistic missiles,” he says. Another objective, Trump tells TIME, is installing “somebody that is rational and sane” to lead Iran.

Some experts say the U.S. may not be able to engineer a successor government more stable than the one it seeks to replace. “This is not a regime of individual leaders. It’s a regime of well-entrenched institutions that have a monopoly on #coercion,” says Suzanne Maloney, an Iran expert at the Brookings Institution. “Other than just a continuous process of assassination, I’m not entirely clear on how the President anticipates he’s going to be able to determine the next leader of Iran.”

Others argue that the danger may run deeper still: that the fall of the Islamic Republic could fracture Iran rather than reform it, unleashing internal power struggles, proxy conflicts, or even a civil war. The Trump Administration is betting on the possibility that Iran’s population might welcome outside pressure against the clerical regime. Iran is a young country—more than 40% of its population is under 30—and many of those citizens have lived their entire lives under sanctions, repression, and economic stagnation. Trump’s advisers believe that resentment toward the ruling establishment could produce change, particularly if a new government could quickly align with regional powers such as Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states that have grown closer to the U.S. and Israel in recent years.

...







https://time.com/7382697/trump-iran-war/

[Winehole23]

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[Winehole23]

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[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:xknwf4m33f2w7btedcui3o42/bafkreicwoxmtbkkpxlts3tjj5gv7r46hjqe4lhxtqsfslh2rh c25nlkoua@jpeg

[Spurs Homer]

it always goes back to russia and trump following russian and israeli orders;



https://youtu.be/ZmvR3QQ_Wo8?si=sTaEbxekbCDDpreH

[Winehole23]

"Unconditional surrender"

1. means it's a war
2. means the goal is regime change

[Winehole23]

https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/06/politics/russia-aiding-iran-targeting

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:j2kmiyhld5btzozgzwy3lc2m/bafkreidln47milcpchrm62hxdo5fo65gy4ne2sskn4mbzxqlu s44uqxo4u@jpeg

[Blake]

Anyone else thinks this may also be Trump doing anything he can to get off of the Epstein talks, even if it's crazy like bombing Iran

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:svawqo4jxobyyuqmixplvcux/bafkreidmigqjcnikge2mkzbn2nc3cfwb7vwu3p6hvuntly3vs jyiaxotga@jpeg

[Winehole23]

AXIOS: RUBIO TOLD ARAB FOREIGN MINISTERS THAT WASHINGTON'S GOAL IS NOT REGIME CHANGE AND THAT IT WANTS DIFFERENT PEOPLE TO RUN THE COUNTRY

[velik_m]

Indonesia suspends participation in Board of Peace following attack on Iran

Indonesia has announced the suspension of all discussions on the proposed Board of Peace, an initiative launched by US President Donald Trump, as military tensions rise in the Middle East.

Indonesian Foreign Minister Sugiono said the decision to suspend participation was taken because of the latest military escalation in the region, which has directly affected the foreign policy priorities of countries involved in the initiative.

He explained that international attention has now shifted to the consequences of the conflict with Iran. He added that Indonesia would hold intensive consultations with its partners in the Gulf region, as they are directly affected by the ongoing attacks and rising tensions.
...


https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20260306-indonesia-suspends-participation-in-board-of-peace-following-attack-on-iran/

[Spurs Homer]

Crazy cultists lil mike grinder lil johnson wants to impose his insanity on the insane Iranian cultists (different god/different insanity) - because - crazy cultists should kill other crazy cultists....i think?


https://youtu.be/GdZWYQUOpAE?si=U53_W2SZB2BGUvKv

[velik_m]

US grants waiver to allow India to buy Russian oil amid Iran war

The US has temporarily allowed India to buy Russian oil currently stuck at sea in an effort to keep global supplies flowing and temper further price increases.

The US treasury has issued a 30-day waiver allowing India to buy Russian oil, having previously imposed heavy sanctions related to the war in Ukraine.

“To enable oil to keep flowing into the global market, the treasury department is issuing a temporary 30-day waiver to allow Indian refiners to purchase Russian oil,” the treasury secretary, Scott Bessent, said in a statement posted to social media on Thursday. “This stopgap measure will alleviate pressure caused by Iran’s attempt to take global energy hostage.”

...



https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/05/us-waiver-india-russian-oil

[velik_m]

India allows Iranian warship to dock at Kochi, crew housed at naval facilities

India has allowed an Iranian warship to dock at the southern port of Kochi following a request from Tehran, and the vessel’s 183-member crew has been accommodated at naval facilities, government officials said on Friday, two days after an Iranian frigate was torpedoed and sunk by a US submarine near the coast of Sri Lanka.

IRIS Lavan, an amphibious warfare vessel, was in the region to participate in an International Fleet Review hosted by India last month. It docked at Kochi on Wednesday, the same day that the frigate IRIS Dena was sunk about 19 nautical miles off Sri Lanka’s coast, killing 87 sailors and dramatically widening the US-Iran conflict.

On Thursday, Sri Lankan authorities allowed another Iranian warship — IRIS Booshehr — to take shelter in the country and accommodated its 208-member crew at a naval camp. IRIS Booshehr too had participated in India’s International Fleet Review and sought permission to enter a Sri Lankan port after experiencing engine problems.
...


https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/india-allows-iranian-warship-to-dock-at-kochi-crew-housed-at-naval-facilities-101772816133475.html

[Winehole23]

Nice vague article there. Noncommittal about who may have possibly bombed a girls school.

Subterfuge. It was Israel.according to US officials, we did it

[Winehole23]

Trump starts WW3 and suddenly it's the Department of Defense again



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:24nbxt4max6axcsgypepg4yk/bafkreier3h6jvguo7v3c6chpbke7wmursadzkdcsxarey6g6k wpxuekfxy@jpeg

[velik_m]

Iran's Guards challenges Trump to have US Navy escort oil tankers in Strait of Hormuz

March 6 (Reuters) - A spokesperson for Iran’s Revolutionary Guards challenged ​U.S. President Donald Trump to deploy U.S. #naval vessels to escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian state media reported on ​Friday.

The U.S. Navy could begin escorting oil ​tankers through the Strait of Hormuz ⁠if necessary, Trump said on Tuesday. The conflict ​in the Middle East has halted shipping and ​energy exports through the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Guards spokesperson Alimohammad Naini said: "Iran strongly welcomes the escort ​of oil tankers and that U.S. ​forces will be there for the crossing of the #Strait ⁠of Hormuz. And we are, by the way, awaiting their presence," according to state media
...



https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-guards-challenges-trump-have-us-navy-escort-oil-tankers-strait-hormuz-2026-03-06/

[velik_m]

Oil surges 35% this week for biggest gain in futures trading history dating back to 1983

U.S. crude oil on Friday posted its biggest weekly gain in futures trading history, as the escalating war in the Middle East has triggered a major disruption to global fuel supplies.

West Texas Intermediate futures surged 12.21%, or $9.89, to close at $90.90 per barrel. Global benchmark Brent rallied 8.52%, or $7.28, to settle at $92.69 per barrel.

U.S. crude soared 35.63% for the biggest weekly gain in the history of the futures contract dating back to 1983. Brent jumped about 28% for its biggest weekly gain since April 2020.

President Donald Trump on Friday demanded unconditional surrender from Iran, raising fears of a prolonged war that could wreak havoc on the global oil and gas market. The war has already brought traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route for energy supplies, to a near standstill.

Qatar’s energy minister, Saad al-Kaabi, told The Financial Times on Friday that crude prices could reach $150 per barrel in the coming weeks if oil tankers were unable to pass through the Strait.

This could “bring down the economies of the world,” Kaabi said.

...

Production cuts could approach 6 million bpd by the end of next week if the Strait is not open to traffic, Kaneva said. JPMorgan expects the United Arab Emirates to show supply constraints next week.

The average price for a gallon of regular gasoline jumped nearly 27 cents in the last week through Thursday to $3.25, according to data from U.S. travel organization AAA

The war between Iran and the U.S. entered its seventh day on Friday. In a press conference on Thursday, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the U.S. had “only just begun to fight.”

“Iran is hoping that we cannot sustain this, which is a really bad miscalculation,” he told reporters.



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/06/iran-us-war-oil-prices-brent-wti-barrel-futures.html

[velik_m]

Trump wants U.S. Navy to escort tankers through the Gulf. Why that plan may not work

...

“A key question will be whether there are enough Navy assets to both escort ships as well as continue operations against Iran,” Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, told clients in a Tuesday note.

Insurance isn’t really the issue for ship owners, Wright at Kpler said. Tankers are not moving because they are worried about their physical security, he said, and ship owners will need to a see a sustained period without attacks to venture through the Strait again.

The urgency to recover oil flows from the Gulf is high, Wright said. But “there needs to be some confidence that Iran’s ability to continue to wage war has diminished,” the analyst said.

Houthi militants in Yemen disrupted Red Sea traffic with missile attacks for more than a year, starting in late 2023. “They’re nothing compared to the sophistication of the Iranians, so it is a very different, threat,” Wright said.

U.S. naval escorts help at the margin but by themselves will not re-open the Strait, Rapidan Energy analysts said in a note on Wednesday. Instead, the U.S. needs to systematically degrade Iran’s military capabilities, which takes time, they said.

...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/06/trump-navy-strait-hormuz-iran-oil-tanker.html

[Winehole23]

Trump blocked a DHS/FBI terrorism alert because it would make his war more unpopular


Donald Trump (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/donald_trump/index.html)’s White House (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/white-house/index.html) is blocking top US intelligence agencies from warning law enforcement across the country about rising threats to the homeland tied to his war with Iran (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/iran/index.html), the Daily Mail can reveal.

The FBI (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/fbi/index.html), Homeland Security, and the National Counterterrorism Center were preparing to put out a joint intelligence statement on Friday to state and local authorities alerting them of a heightened threat due to the ongoing war in Iran, a senior DHS official said.


The bulletin, which was reviewed by the Daily Mail, details 'elevated threats by the government of Iran to US military and government personnel and facilities, Jewish and Israeli (https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/israel/index.html) institutions and their perceived supporters, and Iranian dissidents and other anti-regime activists in the United States.'


'Radicalized individuals with a variety of ideological backgrounds also may see this conflict or other geopolitical events as a justification for violence,' the report continues.


The five-page bulletin blocked by the White House provides specific details on how Iranian proxies may carry out attacks across the country. One section explains how local law enforcement can respond to this type of violence.


The official title is 'A Public Safety Awareness Report: Elevated threat in the United States during US-Iran conflict'.


Homeland Security broke protocol and gave the White House a heads-up about the nationwide bulletin hours before it was set to be released.


Top Trump officials ordered it placed on ‘hold’. The White House did not deny blocking the terror bulletin in a statement to the Daily Mail.

'The White House is coordinating closely with all government agencies to ensure information being disseminated is accurate, up to date, and has been properly vetted — even if that means taking additional time to review to ensure nothing is done in a vacuum,' said White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15622933/White-House-blocks-warning-rising-threat-linked-Iran-war.html

[Winehole23]

Anyone else thinks this may also be Trump doing anything he can to get off of the Epstein talks, even if it's crazy like bombing IranI think that's a side effect, the immediate effect of attacking Iran will be putting a lot of $$$ in the pockets of oil and gas companies -- if and when the Strait of Hormuz gets reopened

Wartime exigencies strengthen the hand of POTUS, that may be one motive

Trump probably thought in his deluded mind that attacking Iran would make him more popular at home -- which hasn't happened yet

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:4lx6nur5wstwoc4wtgj56kyu/bafkreifsl3v2i77cjsnkkuyxiuqsl5pb5dspa52jqotwwzaf3 llfqfviii

[Winehole23]

US Senator lobbies a foreign country to influence the US president to go to war



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:l3zb5xqyd7oycsq677dilqno/bafkreid2zhr4sgngykxxm3jdwttyz63jfscphmqhu7v24nwyg ky4ham7ue@jpeghttps://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/lindsey-graham-trump-iran-fa5f54f0

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreien5v4ypvrriv2j73qprwhlptpyll3pwwuw6nkapuwvr h442z4qpy@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:allhy465i2zhwavznx4vi4u7/bafkreigrbtyot2qauv6bzrcbqrp5lxqcmeupex5vbw7dpupje robsedriq@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreidrlew4z6ptu66nxfwcnv6veh5nnntgrhl5hkqb4bz2h dybq6lqne@jpeg

[Winehole23]

according to Bloomberg, jet fuel is 30% of the carriers's cost

QUOTE]https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:zzdjjltbk42t3t6sz6fmbmde/bafkreihf6pysf4hvxambc63vneazja7bsjiknuuj5icjss2qb 5vsdh7riq[/QUOTE]

[Winehole23]

James Noel-Beswick of Sparta Commodities told the BBC: "I think we're weeks away from maybe flight cancellations or delays due to lack of jet fuel, rather than months."

[Spurs Homer]

Operation: EPSTEIN FURY!


https://youtu.be/bmAeOfl6bcc?si=I94sH0WttcjBBjH-

[Winehole23]

is that a no on the UK aircraft carriers?



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:xhqatgxbldteh7tutqao4ojc/bafkreifbhifrxpmptgrp3abxmjfjehwrocnhhknakpsjylkln sz7cgob4i@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:nzcjpprq6fwcdnwpc45e3gsd/bafkreidd5qph62ajdyfjuujh34esbszw6dp4lttge4t7oqu4m dn6bbcfuy@jpeg

[Winehole23]

(new US buffer state nixed (http://hhttps://apnews.com/article/iran-israel-us-march-7-2026-d347fd6a03185f51d670bf4e7cbf5373) by Trump)

[Winehole23]

(former) OpenAI head of robotics


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:qqx7bauacsfwi7yufzfqio32/bafkreibsvv4a4z57kc7tncmwciih3kkl6u2yhwuhxf2cweewg jtwqpxv5m@jpeg

[Winehole23]

We want to seize all the oil from Iran. The long-term benefit is getting massive oil reserves out of the hands of terrorists.



Israel:

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:5hwy5afvfhonj6mrpcxm3rfy/bafkreiefytnsphrg5dx64zydq5nvk3s7dhwdgr2vyn5sy46ki 3t5yfwdtu@jpeg

[Blake]

is that a no on the UK aircraft carriers?

He loves Peace like that

[Blake]

Israel:

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:5hwy5afvfhonj6mrpcxm3rfy/bafkreiefytnsphrg5dx64zydq5nvk3s7dhwdgr2vyn5sy46ki 3t5yfwdtu@jpeg

We want their oil? Shocker!

[Winehole23]

maybe the strategy here is that a global energy shock will somehow give Trump even more leverage over other countries and his internal opponents

could turn out the opposite, though

[Winehole23]

Washington, DC


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ojwszrpcvhwuhl4nhwactd2y/bafkreidd44k7xhkdkazb7zvb2xhkymrwpl6jz7lded44gctug 4zrvysn4i

[Winehole23]

"dismantling the administrative state"

[Winehole23]

uncoachable


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ijn7lseerxnkh5vdf2qoc6t2/bafkreic3e76iyidijvehuzs3lehbl3hxhwmbmtnouost6gd5i gowwtvniu

[Winehole23]

dignified


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:5klap434eteydsxvdydtqkf2/bafkreig7vhwwwfrwzstfkhz2ylqp25uu55k4axw6awmkqcu4j molwbuuv4

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:ewwwkdaurqzrask2yjpuu3kn/bafkreia6d4pdjylod2xsr3jm2rlw5nzcxmuzkgkibtdy55jr6 ccs64m5om@jpeg

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:ewwwkdaurqzrask2yjpuu3kn/bafkreif6yiutthcpyzpugtn2wfps6pnl3xo7fxw66egujw4ns w2g2wzj3a@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:767ycrlfjmddxgnxsylkfbrd/bafkreiaac2k5d4hpumnmlganbdaf3kgidyipevj6qxa5v7ix6 qf3wnyg2m

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:cmvp2dfgs7qrfjo5n27limmf/bafkreia5him57sfcgmjm5cvfhzuyeo4kt36wqv5ynhzc7wjvt uwbsasnoy

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:cmvp2dfgs7qrfjo5n27limmf/bafkreiba37dmoovk5hqy7rhsyivzim2l525chklb2y7rm4lau b5xrnzxji

[Blake]

maybe the strategy here is that a global energy shock will somehow give Trump even more leverage over other countries and his internal opponents

could turn out the opposite, though

Lol "strategy". He's just throwing shit all over the place and seeing if anything sticks.

[Winehole23]

Lol "strategy". He's just throwing shit all over the place and seeing if anything sticks.a global energy shock was foreseeable by anyone with a middle school education, i don't think it can be ruled out that this was intentional

[Winehole23]

avoiding a global energy shock is one obvious reason US war with Iran was never pursued until last year

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:hbpefio3f5csc44msmbgioxz/bafkreigv42spiewrbqfvw64gjifjdmnk4w4htyuehq3lxgg7n aunasx2h4

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:pnqqzvrc4kh2dzp5ccjiskdz/bafkreiekjgmefln5nf4nei6z7dj5efzshqjrfya36ciiajzbl gbldebykm@jpeg

[Winehole23]

it's fascinating how most presidents don't have a button to lower prices, but donald john trump has created USS Enterprise levels of buttons for generating inflation

[Winehole23]

a global energy shock was foreseeable by anyone with a middle school education, i don't think it can be ruled out that this was intentionalone way to think of it is this

Trump tried and failed with tariffs, now war and its effects are his new regime of global financial coercion

[Winehole23]

put everyone in pain, then encourage them to seek favors

[Spurs Homer]

Well, this explains everything…kinda…almost….


https://youtu.be/-0A2sJHi92I?si=ksMKw5KTHMzkDCZJ

[velik_m]

They all said Hormuz closure would be brief. What if they were wrong?

...

The Red Sea crisis offers a recent example. A large majority of shipowners continued to avoid the Red Sea route until the Houthis declared it safe, and even then, most refrained from returning.

The US military’s attacks on the Houthis in March-May 2025 did nothing to bring commercial traffic back.

The US Navy “spends very little time at a strategic level understanding the pressures and demands of the commercial maritime economy”, said Joshua Tallis, adviser to the chief of naval operations at the Center for Naval Analyses, at the Hellenic American-Norwegian American Chambers of Commerce conference on February 10.

Regarding the Red Sea crisis, he said, “From a Navy standpoint, the sort of knee-jerk instinct was to say, ‘Well, we’re shooting down missiles, the odds on an individual ship getting hit are actually relatively low, so we’ve solved the problem, right?’ The US Navy doesn’t really have the domain expertise on the pressures from maritime insurance rates and war risk insurance.”

...

There are strong parallels between Red Sea crisis and the Strait of Hormuz closure in terms of the commercial realities that dictate transit behaviour.

But there is a crucial difference: the Red Sea is an “open” chokepoint; ships can go around it using the Cape of Good Hope.

Hormuz is a “closed” chokepoint. The crude, products, liquefied natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas inside the strait is effectively shut in. The exception is that some Saudi Arabian crude can be moved via pipeline to the Red Sea.

With every passing day, the closed nature of the Hormuz chokepoint increases the market disruption risk, because Middle East Gulf oil producers are running out of storage. When storage fills, they will have to shut down production, which will take time to restart.

Qatar fully shut down its LNG operations on Wednesday, representing around 20% of global LNG supply. According to Reuters, the country’s LNG operations would take two weeks to restart, and another two weeks to get back to full production.

Iraq, Opec’s second-largest producer, began shutting down some of its field operations earlier this week. Kuwait began reducing production on Friday.

...

Shipowners have argued in the past that a Strait of Hormuz closure would be brief because the world cannot handle the loss of that energy supply.

But the commercial reality is that an effective reopening will require a sufficient number of shipowners to be confident in the safety of their assets and their crew, conditions that did not seem imminent on Thursday.

In the near term, shipowners can avoid the risk altogether and still make enormous profits by sticking to safe loading ports in the Atlantic basin, where rates are benefiting indirectly from the war. This dynamic should push ballast tonnage away from the MEG market, where it would be stuck in a queue outside the strait.

This is already happening. Vortexa reported on Tuesday that tankers were diverting and seeking alternative employment.

...



https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1156532/They-all-said-Hormuz-closure-would-be-brief-What-if-they-were-wrong

[Winehole23]

the escalation of targeting desalinization plants portends civilizational ruin for the region, to say nothing of mass death from lack of water and brisk refugee flows across borders

really amazing that US/Israel has put this on the table



An Iranian drone attack caused material damage to a water desalination plant in Bahrain, the country’s Interior Ministry has said.

This comes a day after Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said the US attacked a freshwater desalination plant on Qeshm Island in southern Iran, setting a “precedent”.
There was no immediate comment from Iran following Bahrain’s statement.
The majority of Gulf countries largely depend on desalinated water for their inhabitants’ consumption.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/3/8/iran-live-israel-bombs-tehran-oil-depots-attacks-on-gulf-states-continue

[Winehole23]

dp

this site is so bricked

[Winehole23]

is it tyrannical to force people to wear masks?

~17 million people live in the metropolitan area of Tehran


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:vnpzk7bvjpv3l4kxqw2z4thg/bafkreicbzv5t2inkvyqayhitb2pjmtb4kylyt4gwmjyt7wceq 5qdjim43i@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gvda6fem6r7selm4gzjjww4a/bafkreihbgmjjg34awblvslpuknmmt2bg2w5jh2nqswysf4fgw x6d3k7m2y@jpeg

[Winehole23]

I guess the argument here would be that civilian infrastructure is dual purpose and as such is a legitimate military target, or that popular support for the Iranian regime will be undermined by destroying it

(Is there any legitimate military target in an illegal war of aggression?)

[Winehole23]

This is the Israeli playbook from Gaza (and Putin's in Ukraine for that matte (http://htps://bsky.app/profile/newmethos.bsky.social/post/3mgkjac56bk2s)r) and it is ultra-disturbing to see the US carry out repeated attacks on civilian infrastructure

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cnpe7qvcyjrhm6w7w7e4atur/bafkreicwn6lgd2rpxfqjyqe7whhvultzfsynw7lyup75qutoe 5j7xl6piy


BARTIROMO: Are you telling us you want the UAE and the Saudis to lash out and strike Iran right now?

LINDSEY GRAHAM Yeah. I want them to get in the fight.

[Winehole23]

If we get in a fight, I want to win it quick. I'm in Miami. You see this hat? 'Free Cuba.' Stay tuned. The liberation of Cuba is upon us. We're marching through the world. We're clearing out the bad guys. Cuba is next.

[Winehole23]

WH Comms Director


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:hf7ezrajxadu7v3tzcyij424/bafkreibxvn5ryvxwnlzrho3jlo4qtltiqr3ow2d6zu5acoy3b im2rtyqyy

[velik_m]

Explosion at US embassy in Oslo may have been terrorism, Norway police say

An overnight explosion at the US embassy in Oslo may have been an act of terrorism, Norway's police have said.

The embassy in the Norwegian capital sustained minor damage after the blast in the early hours of Sunday - but no-one was injured.

"One of the hypotheses is that it is an act of terrorism, but we are not completely locked into it," Frode Larsen, the head of police joint investigation and intelligence unit, told Norway's public broadcaster NRK.

Norwegian authorities say they are in contact with US diplomats, and an investigation into the incident is now under way. US diplomats have not commented.

...



https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c5yjegg892lo

[velik_m]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mP_rr859r8w

[Winehole23]

is that a "no" on supplemental war funding?



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:e7gbntp2tzobn7cfi37viei3/bafkreihvjppmyasyx5xrp2udbgz6krjtkhmmivxt746i4c3nz cmagcjbli@jpeg

[Winehole23]

Israel (http://axios.com/world/israel)'s strikes on 30 Iranian (https://www.axios.com/world/iran) fuel depots Saturday went far beyond what the U.S. (https://www.axios.com/2026/03/08/iran-ground-troops-special-forces-nuclear) expected when Israel notified it in advance, sparking the first significant disagreement between the allies since the war began eight days ago (https://www.axios.com/2026/02/28/iran-attack-trump-us-israel-strikes), according to a U.S. official, Israeli official and a source with knowledge.https://www.axios.com/2026/03/08/us-dismayed-israel-iran-fuel-strikes

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:5dxdkowsvyeqpjwc6r4xrzsz/bafkreidukv2spce52isgyopwi5r6tockfmdsqhhwtsst5nfsw bnbhwsgsa@jpeg

[Winehole23]

can the US not protect its personnel in Saudi Arabia?

war not over in a few days?


The State Dept. has ordered diplomats in Saudi Arabia to leave. It's the first mandatory ordered departure issued by the agency during the US-Israel war on Iran, and indicates US officials fear more violence. Iranian drones hit the embassy in Riyadh. Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/w...

[Winehole23]

.

[Winehole23]

Goldman Sachs predicted this would all be over by tomorrow morning


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:ch6btqzt2m6j5ago2qewaaa5/bafkreidpurnk3qthqyvycfotxol6n44ccqqr2a6jbygakf4lg hzbrijuum@jpeg

[Winehole23]

i estimate the chance of the national average reaching $4/gal in the next month is now 80%

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:j2kmiyhld5btzozgzwy3lc2m/bafkreidu34x7z5esfjxto7rwhn4zpgzwdpcjhx5gxd76jpao3 fa6e5gyoa@jpeg

[Winehole23]

The conflict in Iran is disrupting fertiliser production and exports in the Middle East, tightening global supplies and raising fears of higher food prices, industry executives and analysts have warned.

The Middle East is one of the world’s largest fertiliser producers, while the Strait of Hormuz is a crucial shipping route for exports. About 35 per cent of global urea exports pass through the waterway, according to CRU data. Urea is the most widely used nitrogen fertiliser, which in turn underpins around half of global food production.

The route also handles 45 per cent of global sulphur exports, a key ingredient used to produce phosphate fertilisers, as well as significant volumes of ammonia, a key ingredient for nitrogen fertilisers.

“We shouldn’t underestimate what this potentially could mean for global food production,” said Svein Tore Holsether, chief executive of Europe’s largest fertiliser group Yara.

He added that the focus on oil and gas was “overshadowing” the impact on the fertiliser industry. “If you’re not getting [fertiliser] into the field of the farmers, yields could go down by up to 50 per cent in the first harvest,” he said.

If the disruption continues, consumers could see higher prices for bread within six to 10 weeks, eggs within a few months and pork and broiler chicken within six months, estimates Raj Patel, food system expert at the Lyndon B. Johnson School of Public Affairs.https://www.ft.com/content/7efe2060-8112-47aa-ad33-628ed2eb80ed

[Winehole23]

one-day increases


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:gvda6fem6r7selm4gzjjww4a/bafkreifvbd5ir5pa3etd4vcivycbs3nqdbuo6lcqr4j2roixu omds5awfa@jpeg

[Winehole23]

we had relatively low energy costs a week ago

now we don't

[Ball Buster]

Israel had to have it's war with Iran, so the rest of the world can deal with higher gas prices. Even worse in Europe.

[Winehole23]

Trump apparently just a puppet of scheming ((Joos))

[Winehole23]

No agency for Teump and Republicans?

:lol

[Winehole23]

(Apparently, Trumpism can be revived, if only it can be purged of perfidious Jews)

[Ball Buster]

Trump apparently just a puppet of scheming ((Joos))

You said that, I didn't. Zionists is the term I would use.

You have over a hunder thousand posts on here. You can't be that naive.

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.reviewjournal.com%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2018%2F11%2F11405043_web1_Trum p-Medal-of-Freedom.jpg%3Fcrop%3D1&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=c939aa7fde137449da9b88b91c6fca0b2aa56b5d7d6e2a d38c39330765c177f8

[Winehole23]

Not at all, you're engaging the ZOG discourse I referenced wrt Tucker Carlson

Trump is moron who's easily persuaded and bought off. He sold his ass to Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE as well

Trump's mouth has written more checks than his ass can cash

[Winehole23]

Today we celebrate with the people and the Government of Kuwait as they complete a major step along the road to recovery. The extinguishing of the last of Kuwait's burning oil wells represents a remarkable achievement. In less than 9 months, a unique international coalition capped nearly 700 wells, reversing Saddam's cruel efforts to achieve with sabotage what he could not do with his military: The destruction of Iraq's peaceful neighbor and the fouling of an entire region in an act of mass ecological terrorism.https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/statement-press-secretary-fitzwater-the-extinguishing-the-last-kuwaits-burning-oil-wells

[Winehole23]

collateral damage

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:pnx2fjuannbdpy3337ggthpp/bafkreidvowscpofrjudmf342qnaupjnvr2tcn43hwabnij3pd vz63cypiu

[Winehole23]

Japan gets ~90% of its oil through the Strait of Hormuz and has only ~11 months of strategic reserves


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:chrnwu7dgtrbnqjboekecqrg/bafkreihryfh5hsbgsqlda3tltomuq4fiaccxs2ii64kohimpq 3ithodma4@jpeg

[Winehole23]

one-day increases


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:gvda6fem6r7selm4gzjjww4a/bafkreifvbd5ir5pa3etd4vcivycbs3nqdbuo6lcqr4j2roixu omds5awfa@jpegOil markets ripping

up 6-7% in the last 2-3 hours


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:nzcjpprq6fwcdnwpc45e3gsd/bafkreifg7vh5zad2uzvox77lcpjx6tjj5usb3sqbwrgrgtiks u3oiqvtvm@jpeg

[Ball Buster]

TIL. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE (zionist friendly countries) all have a pretty similar influence on the President as Israel does.

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fs.yimg.com%2Fny%2Fapi%2Fres%2F1.2 %2FhFdoMz7KJIggfirhrzcTug--%2FYXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTY0MA--%2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fap.org%2Fb b05d1a50a3c1f2200a7c38a0f384831&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=9a660539e4af649da25044fb0f895ed473cd437a3b969a e99e98c9ede9ede9ac

[Winehole23]

KSA, UAE and Qatar are Zionist Occupied Governments too?

I'll bet that comes as a surprise to them

:lol

[Winehole23]

might not be long until the USA sees price controls too


South Korea Set to Cap Fuel Prices, Says President Lee

[Winehole23]

Trump is self-immolating, tbh

[Winehole23]

lol

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:555c53zqgqs55yh6gvttf5uv/bafkreiesl3fansxoneuen7zbiikjdgihxe4cqbozzt36evm3r kkxhmj7wy@jpeg

[Winehole23]

now up ~30%


WTI CRUDE SURGES 30% INTRADAY, NOW AT $118.86/BBL

[Winehole23]

We're in uncharted territory- if WTI crude holds these gains tomorrow- the current rise of 29.9% or $27.16/bbl would be its largest single day price jump- in both percent and amount- ever. Ever. EVER.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:6jxq3666xfby3hl6qaz76fby/bafkreidwwdqe4if4nvhijbdskxd5fqgkchz5cmjvea5d2ipcc sv7rjd76u

[Winehole23]

might not be long until the USA sees price controls toolol

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:rp4rgamibrblojq7f7pgmuxc/bafkreiagfpno5h6ntnekkultusihbt4snah5s7ppx663gu3au g74bq2loi

[Winehole23]

Nixonian price controls are back?

[Blake]

TIL. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE (zionist friendly countries) all have a pretty similar influence on the President as Israel does.

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fs.yimg.com%2Fny%2Fapi%2Fres%2F1.2 %2FhFdoMz7KJIggfirhrzcTug--%2FYXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTY0MA--%2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fmedia.zenfs.com%2Fen%2Fap.org%2Fb b05d1a50a3c1f2200a7c38a0f384831&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=9a660539e4af649da25044fb0f895ed473cd437a3b969a e99e98c9ede9ede9ac

Did you vote for Trump?

[Winehole23]

nontrivially, one main division between right wingers is which Jews they want to eliminate first

[Ball Buster]

Eh, not really. We're tired of our foreign policy being controlled by a foreign country. Makes sense when you think about it.

[Ball Buster]

Did you vote for Trump?

I am unregisterd and I do not vote.

Before you retort with.. "Than you have no right to speak!" bs,

I don't vote because we do not live in an actual democracy. Princeton University did a study 12 years ago. They found the US is no longer an actual democracy.

When Politicians say "Democracy is on the line!", it's actually a load of gaslighting bs. Our duopoly is controlled by the same Zionist donors.

Doesn't matter who you vote for, you get John McCain.

[BadMotorscooter]

Did you vote for Trump?

Democrats always trying to shame voters over Trump....:lol....so fuckin salty. But anyone who voted for Harris, Biden, Hillary, Obama....should be held to task as well because its equally as pathetic....

[ChumpDumper]

Democrats always trying to shame voters over Trump....:lol....so fuckin salty. But anyone who voted for Harris, Biden, Hillary, Obama....should be held to task as well because its equally as pathetic....None of them started this stupid war.

He's the worst president in US history and you got duped by the most obvious conman ever to run for office.

[Ball Buster]

"Autopsy" finds Kamala Harris' silence on Gaza genocide cost her votes. The refusal to condemn Israel's genocide of Palestinians resulted in a "net-negative" of voters support.

https://truthout.org/articles/dnc-autopsy-finds-kamala-harriss-silence-on-gaza-genocide-cost-her-votes/

All she had to do was agree to stop funding genocide, but she refused, and lost.

[Blake]

lol

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:rp4rgamibrblojq7f7pgmuxc/bafkreiagfpno5h6ntnekkultusihbt4snah5s7ppx663gu3au g74bq2loi

FREE MARKET EXECUTIVE DECISION! NOTHING SOCIALISTIC TO SEE HERE!

[Blake]

Democrats always trying to shame voters over Trump....:lol....so fuckin salty. But anyone who voted for Harris, Biden, Hillary, Obama....should be held to task as well because its equally as pathetic....

"BOTH SIDES BAD!!!"

bull shit. We're sailing in uncharted waters into just how pathetic, sensitive, corrupt and stupid this felon administration is. Keep blaming Biden, Israel and anyone but Trump for all of these fucked up messes he's dragging us into, both domestic and foreign.

I would have voted for a crash test dummy over Trump.

[Blake]

https://truthout.org/articles/dnc-autopsy-finds-kamala-harriss-silence-on-gaza-genocide-cost-her-votes/

All she had to do was agree to stop funding genocide, but she refused, and lost.

All Trump had to do was not attack Iran. Keep blaming Kamala though.

[Blake]

I am unregisterd and I do not vote.

Before you retort with.. "Than you have no right to speak!" bs,

I don't vote because we do not live in an actual democracy. Princeton University did a study 12 years ago. They found the US is no longer an actual democracy.

When Politicians say "Democracy is on the line!", it's actually a load of gaslighting bs. Our duopoly is controlled by the same Zionist donors.

Doesn't matter who you vote for, you get John McCain.

We didn't get McCain. We got Obama.

And we got Trump. Thanks for doing nothing all to prevent that, dumbass.

[Winehole23]

Eh, not really. We're tired of our foreign policy being controlled by a foreign country. Makes sense when you think about it.it would make sense were it true, but it's not

this decision is on Trump, if he went along with Bibi instead of saying no, that was a choice

[Blake]

Evangelicals have a hard on for Israel too, so if someone wants to say Trump is a wimp that caters to his huge voting base, I'll accept that too. Either way it's Trump that did this.

[Winehole23]

back to Friday morning levels

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gftip5r3dmyojn5lat333pp5/bafkreicujedd74tmdfrhgx2utpffh7py6k5ipv7vhzmnfphmy y2yc7fwfq

[Winehole23]

:lol

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:buy3qvqcj3o76leo6ap7pn2p/bafkreieu3v7lz2k53cwwqhdkvqfjksf4h2nf2qlzmvydelfp2 wxmkk52na

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:25j5r47em2gmbiypflegz6bk/bafkreiccquva6p4sxj3mw6fw7kdr53ozbfuve64x54pdjvadh olaj2vvu4@jpeg

[Ghazi]

ALLAHU AKBAR, ALLAHU AKBAR, ALLAHU AKBAR, KHAMENEI RAHBAR… MARG bar ZEDE WILAYATE FAQIH, MARG BAR AMREEKA, MARG BAR ENGILIS, MARG BAR MUNAFEQIN… MARG BAR ISRAEL

[Winehole23]

U.S. Central Command, meanwhile, is asking the Pentagon to send more military intelligence officers to its headquarters in Tampa, Florida, to support operations against Iran for at least 100 days but likely through September, according to a notification obtained by POLITICO.
It’s the first known call for additional intelligence personnel for the Iran war by the administration, and a sign the Pentagon is already allocating funding for operations that may stretch long beyond President Donald Trump’s initial four-week timeline for the conflict.


The rush to add people and resources to support efforts that are often organized well in advance of U.S. military action highlights how the Trump team had not fully anticipated the wide fallout of the war it launched alongside Israel on Saturday.


“What we’ve seen is a completely ad hoc operation where it appeared that nobody actually understood or believed that military action was imminent,” said Gerald Feierstein, a former senior U.S. diplomat who dealt with the Middle East. “It seems like they woke up on Saturday morning and decided that they were going to start a war.”https://www.politico.com/news/2026/03/04/evacuation-middle-east-iran-war-00812898

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:gvda6fem6r7selm4gzjjww4a/bafkreielfxjy7xevwoj6k4gogm5iwhl4hthftw42tgjndu6ro vwro7f4tm@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:gvnnsnxmmmbqnduybhxpc25o/bafkreibqkkfzvcbsfy5y3axqbvpz44m2w2qibc44t4gtpvnf4 uibowhc2i@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:hasmlkp434wa5oogffhlldyl/bafkreien7x2vrh3qgb6gxlvzxj7anhuwnb5k664jfecwk4hku 5z32el344@jpeg

[Ball Buster]

it would make sense were it true, but it's not

this decision is on Trump, if he went along with Bibi instead of saying no, that was a choice


Trump tells Israeli media that he will not end the war on Iran without Israeli consent

He also boasts that “we’ve destroyed a country that wanted to destroy Israel”


So the US President proudly admits he’s authorized destroying a country of 90 million for Israel

https://x.com/maxblumenthal/status/2030826677928865834?s=61&t=CQfvV293J518QWnxG7pQDg

[Winehole23]

Reading that as Trump telling the truth exposes your gullibility, tbh

[Winehole23]

amazing how well this has held up as a template


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:lj6ig676f4k5voewlkm5q3eg/bafkreicgkuafknkjsb5wqli775ivf56bobd5lm4mnrpebrn6d usb7t5tmm@jpeg

[Ball Buster]

gullibility


The UAE and Qatar have a similar influence on US foreign policy a Israel. This is all on Trump.]

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.ft.com%2Fv3%2Fimage%2Fraw% 2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fpr oduction%2F4b30f283-110e-4c38-8474-6f4011e7aa02.jpg%3Fsource%3Dnext-article%26fit%3Dscale-down%26quality%3Dhighest%26width%3D700%26dpr%3D1&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=5ac36d1cbe9bf271f81c2034464fb25410899514238bea 51b0571494c4c5215e

[Blake]

amazing how well this has held up as a template


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:lj6ig676f4k5voewlkm5q3eg/bafkreicgkuafknkjsb5wqli775ivf56bobd5lm4mnrpebrn6d usb7t5tmm@jpeg

- blame democrats for the problem after the "something really bad happens" pay

[Winehole23]

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.ft.com%2Fv3%2Fimage%2Fraw% 2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fpr oduction%2F4b30f283-110e-4c38-8474-6f4011e7aa02.jpg%3Fsource%3Dnext-article%26fit%3Dscale-down%26quality%3Dhighest%26width%3D700%26dpr%3D1&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=5ac36d1cbe9bf271f81c2034464fb25410899514238bea 51b0571494c4c5215eWitkoff and Kushner are Trump's personal advisors, they're not government officials

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:l4w23uvtok7risxtvwmvwzpu/bafkreiam32icbkfjdjitv7obllnst77geebrpad6imhtvhhhr j63mvm72e@jpeg

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:3jzc7ng2to3jq3isbpni5tzb/bafkreierqcpdwnqphtuq4hfdskf2oqdmecokpahyawgnfibfx lulqwghse@jpeg

[Blake]

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fimages.ft.com%2Fv3%2Fimage%2Fraw% 2Fhttps%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fpr oduction%2F4b30f283-110e-4c38-8474-6f4011e7aa02.jpg%3Fsource%3Dnext-article%26fit%3Dscale-down%26quality%3Dhighest%26width%3D700%26dpr%3D1&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=5ac36d1cbe9bf271f81c2034464fb25410899514238bea 51b0571494c4c5215e

Not sure what your point is. Is Israel using Trump as a puppet?

[Blake]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:3jzc7ng2to3jq3isbpni5tzb/bafkreierqcpdwnqphtuq4hfdskf2oqdmecokpahyawgnfibfx lulqwghse@jpeg

"OBLITERATED!!"

[Ball Buster]

Not sure what your point is. Is Israel using Trump as a puppet?

:lol

Not sure, eh?

Well, we’re at war with Israel’s neighbors again. Maybe Israel should fight their own wars and stop getting US servicemen killed.

[Ball Buster]

Jared Kushner is an Israeli citizen, btw. He’s the guy who plans on developing luxury apartments on the graves of dead Palestinians.

https://x.com/pamphletsy/status/2031257221771014180?s=61&t=CQfvV293J518QWnxG7pQDg

[Ball Buster]

Let that slowly sink in.

POTUS, a.k.a. Neo-Caligula, displaying trademark cowardice, is saying that he bombed Iran because of "counsel" from Dumb and Dumber Kushner/Witcoff and the push-up clown Secretary of Forever Wars.


Now he's desperate for an off-ramp.


Iran: NO.

https://x.com/realpepeescobar/status/2031322342304141572?s=61&t=CQfvV293J518QWnxG7pQDg

[Winehole23]

Jared Kushner is an Israeli citizen, btw. He’s the guy who plans on developing luxury apartments on the graves of dead Palestinians.

https://x.com/pamphletsy/status/2031257221771014180?s=61&t=CQfvV293J518QWnxG7pQDglol the dual loyalty trope

Kushner is Trump's son in law, too

[Winehole23]

Not sure what your point is. Is Israel using Trump as a puppet?they seldom say what they mean, what they or don't say is typically a fig leaf for what they mean

meant more to hide than reveal

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:2amnkge5a6hplfwyesmxqkfl/bafkreibq6jkmveqg3yo4a3tthmbpzfaj2n5hywekfopbsknan bzyhrmtvm

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreihiaevsl5rmwkxjlhsbmj2mlsl3y4zi73nfglk2brsu3 azlhx4cpq@jpeg

[Blake]

:lol

Not sure, eh?

Well, we’re at war with Israel’s neighbors again. Maybe Israel should fight their own wars and stop getting US servicemen killed.

So you're saying Israel controls Trump? Say it so we can all clearly understand that's what you're saying.

[Ball Buster]

So you're saying Israel controls Trump? Say it so we can all clearly understand that's what you're saying.


So you're saying Israel controls Trump? Say it so we can all clearly understand that's what you're saying.

i’m saying in the year 2026, it’s incredibly stupid to not know that Israel is in control of our United States foreign policy. they have been for some time.

that’s not a trope, anyone who says that is would be a Zionist.

is Trump in the Epstein files? What was the point of the Epstein operation? Was the Mossad behind Epstein?

Like, how TF do you not think Israel controls Trump? Many news agencies are reporting on this.

this is what happens when you get your news from Jake Tapper.

[Blake]

i’m saying in the year 2026, it’s incredibly stupid to not know that Israel is in control of our United States foreign policy. they have been for some time.

that’s not a trope, anyone who says that is would be a Zionist.

is Trump in the Epstein files? What was the point of the Epstein operation? Was the Mossad behind Epstein?

Like, how TF do you not think Israel controls Trump? Many news agencies are reporting on this.

this is what happens when you get your news from Jake Tapper.

That's fine to say Israel controls Trump and he's a pussy.

But you're trying to say Israel has controlled the US for a long time including Biden and I guess Obama.
Neither of those guys attacked Iran though. Trump did. This is Trump. You playing the "both sides equally bad" card is retarded.

[ChumpDumper]

i’m saying in the year 2026, it’s incredibly stupid to not know that Israel is in control of our United States foreign policy. they have been for some time.

that’s not a trope, anyone who says that is would be a Zionist.

is Trump in the Epstein files? What was the point of the Epstein operation? Was the Mossad behind Epstein?

Like, how TF do you not think Israel controls Trump? Many news agencies are reporting on this.

this is what happens when you get your news from Jake Tapper.

From where do you get your news?

Post five links for us.

[Spurs Homer]

March 8 - netan-nazi is in charge...
March 9 - trumps other boss putin - orders trump to say war is complete (while putin gives iran info to kill americans)
so - putin is back in charge...

March 10? lets see what orders trump is following today?


https://youtu.be/Mr-beRPB3gY?si=HG8HL_r43DZwmo3s

[Blake]

From where do you get your news?

Post five links for us.

Lol the "many news agencies are reporting on this" line sounds so Trumpian.

[Winehole23]

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fa57.foxnews.com%2Fstatic.foxnews. com%2Ffoxnews.com%2Fcontent%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F07% 2F1200%2F675%2Frand-paul-.jpg%3Fve%3D1%26tl%3D1&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=1df251968da595cd62586cec919013f7cdad1e42f9ffc7 74740f8f5a8029864b


Rand Paul: "As far as reasons for the war, there have been many different ones floated, but none have been very convincing... we were told their nuclear weapons were obliterated, and now we're told their nuclear weapons are just moments away from being a bomb. I don't think the arguments are valid."

[Winehole23]

i’m saying in the year 2026, it’s incredibly stupid to not know that Israel is in control of our United States foreign policy. they have been for some time.

that’s not a trope, anyone who says that is would be a Zionist.

is Trump in the Epstein files? What was the point of the Epstein operation? Was the Mossad behind Epstein?

Like, how TF do you not think Israel controls Trump? Many news agencies are reporting on this.

this is what happens when you get your news from Jake Tapper.The bolded would come as a surprise to me, I guess you're not too familiar with the trend of my posting here on Israel

Israel does not control Trump, that's just silly

Trump being easily persuaded and having personal financial interests at stake is not the same as being hypnotized by Bibi

[Winehole23]

"Iran laying naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz" seems to be the current furore

[Winehole23]

https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/10/politics/iran-begins-laying-mines-in-strait-of-hormuz

[velik_m]

Russia told Trump it has not shared intelligence with Iran during war, Witkoff says

Russian leaders in a call with President Donald Trump on Monday denied allegations that they are sharing intelligence with Iran during the war, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff said.

“So, you know, we can take them at their word,” Witkoff told CNBC’s “Money Movers” during an interview on Tuesday. “Let’s hope that they’re not sharing.”

Trump spoke with Russian leader Vladimir Putin on Monday.

Witkoff was asked during his interview if he thought Russia was sharing intelligence with Iran about the location of U.S. military assets, and, if so, why the Trump administration would waive sanctions that had barred Indian refiners from buying Russian oil.

“Well, I’m not an intel officer, so I can’t tell you,” Witkoff replied.

“I can tell you that yesterday, on the call with the president, the Russians said they have not been sharing,” Witkoff said. “That’s what they said.”
...



https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/10/iran-war-trump-russia-intelligence-witkoff.html

[Winehole23]

https://www.the-independent.com/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-iran-strait-hormuz-mines-b2935920.html

[Winehole23]

yikes if accurate

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:eivqo2tskdfn4dbrm3dv2mku/bafkreibklcujokplgs5vg337cejnql4vehx6vxebp5bp4bvcr 2smvusat4

[Winehole23]

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/10/iran-war-trump-russia-intelligence-witkoff.htmlWitkoff is in way over his head and let's say it out loud, he acts and talks approximately like a Russian agent would

[Winehole23]

surely CENTCOM has plans for demining the Strait of Hormuz, it has been studying contingencies like this since 1983

right?

[ChumpDumper]

surely CENTCOM has plans for demining the Strait of Hormuz, it has been studying contingencies like this since 1983

right?Well, they had a plan....

2031460764545081729

https://x.com/mercoglianos/status/2031460764545081729

[Blake]

This is worse than anything "McHale's Navy" writers could ever dream up.

[Ball Buster]

From where do you get your news?

Post five links for us.

Sure,

https://x.com/sahouraxo

https://x.com/5149jamesli

https://x.com/JeffreyASachs

https://x.com/samhusseini

https://x.com/ggreenwald

https://x.com/_whitneywebb

https://x.com/SabbySabs2

https://x.com/aaronjmate

https://x.com/SocialistMMA

https://x.com/MaxBlumenthal

https://rumble.com/c/DueDissidence

https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom/videos

I'd love to hear some of your recommendations.

[Ball Buster]

That's fine to say Israel controls Trump and he's a pussy.

But you're trying to say Israel has controlled the US for a long time including Biden and I guess Obama.
Neither of those guys attacked Iran though. Trump did. This is Trump. You playing the "both sides equally bad" card is retarded.

Attacking Iran is unacceptable.


Biden financing and arming Israel (with Germany and th UK) for it's collective punishment genocide of thousands of Palestinians.. is unfortunate :(

Obama drone bombing the most innocent civilians in history makes him a bad-ass. :lol

Dem's virtue signaling and being unbothered when Dems commit genocide :lol
https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/AA-20250120-36803295-36803280-THE_DESTRUCTION_INFLICTED_BY_THE_ISRAELI_ARMY_ON_J ABALIA-1737358355.jpg?fit=1170%2C658&quality=80

[Ball Buster]

Israel was only trying to blackmail Trump, cuz he's a pussy! But that was it though.. hurr durr :lol

[BadMotorscooter]

Why do democrats hate America and love Iran men so much?

[Ball Buster]

Why do democrats hate America and love Iran men so much?

Why are you a stooge for Israel? America first.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreifhw23n2ziv24exnpobln25akhocungwrqur6oilb5ai az57eum3i

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:2amnkge5a6hplfwyesmxqkfl/bafkreifebna6ixz5ko2j3cngitj3hdxv3rcm3oquaswcwlvme bwsggbdfi

[Blake]

Why do democrats hate America and love Iran men so much?

Why do you love American servicemen and women dying for a needless cause?

[Blake]

Israel was only trying to blackmail Trump, cuz he's a pussy! But that was it though.. hurr durr :lol

Huh? Nobody knows what you're getting at. Do you?

Why do you Trump tards have such problems getting your claims across?

[Blake]

Sure,

https://x.com/sahouraxo

https://x.com/5149jamesli

https://x.com/JeffreyASachs

https://x.com/samhusseini

https://x.com/ggreenwald

https://x.com/_whitneywebb

https://x.com/SabbySabs2

https://x.com/aaronjmate

https://x.com/SocialistMMA

https://x.com/MaxBlumenthal

https://rumble.com/c/DueDissidence

https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom/videos

I'd love to hear some of your recommendations.

Lol personal Twitter feeds and YouTubes.

How about actual news outlets or do conspiracy hacks like you only trust rando edgelord tweets?

[Winehole23]

also, banks


The IRGC-affiliated Tasnim news agency released a list of offices and infrastructure run by top US companies with Israeli links whose technology has been used for military applications, describing them as “Iran’s new targets”, said Al Jazeera’s Maziar Motamedi, reporting from Tehran.


“As the scope of the regional war expands to infrastructure war, the scope of Iran’s legitimate targets expands,” the agency said.


The companies include Google, Microsoft, Palantir, IBM, Nvidia and Oracle, and the listed offices and infrastructure for cloud-based services are located in multiple Israeli cities, as well as in some Gulf countries, said Motamedi.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/3/11/iran-declares-us-israeli-economic-banking-interests-in-region-as-targets

[Ball Buster]

hacks

You're an idiot.

[Ball Buster]

Huh? Nobody knows what you're getting at. Do you?

Why do you Trump tards have such problems getting your claims across?

You said that Trump was the only US pres to be under Israeli influence. Which is a completely dumb thing to say.

[Blake]

You said that Trump was the only US pres to be under Israeli influence. Which is a completely dumb thing to say.

No I didn't.

[Blake]

You're an idiot.

Lol nerve touched

[Winehole23]

Existential for big parts of Asia


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:cmvp2dfgs7qrfjo5n27limmf/bafkreiakyyv54une5sq75b6h3qbmugazhdxes76fisrnfgom3 6rdk3tkf4

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:2vtbmhmrwzbqcfv4we4uxzzt/bafkreieqrazozy5zsn4inyhdqoi4m75plzv64vsmn2xmjv5nx pq4mbdet4

[Ball Buster]

Lol nerve touched

That's nice list of truth tellers. You're retarded.

I refuse all independent news sources. :lol

Enjoy your CBS news, whatever shit you like to watch. :bobo

[Winehole23]

Iran didn't blow up a girl's school, according to US officials speaking to the NYT


Officers at U.S. Central Command created the target coordinates for the strike using outdated data provided by the Defense Intelligence Agency, people briefed on the investigation saidhttps://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/11/us/politics/iran-school-missile-strike.html

[ChumpDumper]

Sure,

https://x.com/sahouraxo

https://x.com/5149jamesli

https://x.com/JeffreyASachs

https://x.com/samhusseini

https://x.com/ggreenwald

https://x.com/_whitneywebb

https://x.com/SabbySabs2

https://x.com/aaronjmate

https://x.com/SocialistMMA

https://x.com/MaxBlumenthal

https://rumble.com/c/DueDissidence

https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom/videos

I'd love to hear some of your recommendations.

I asked what your news sources are. I didn't ask for your pill dispensaries.

[velik_m]

Iran sends millions of oil barrels to China through Strait of Hormuz even as war chokes the waterway

Iran has continued to send large amounts of crude oil via the Strait of Hormuz to China even as the war between U.S.-Israel and Iran has jeopardized broader supplies through the critical waterway.

Iran has sent at least 11.7 million barrels of crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz since the war began on Feb. 28, all of which were headed to China, Samir Madani, co-founder of TankerTrackers.com, told CNBC on Tuesday.

The firm monitors vessel movements with satellite imagery, allowing it to capture vessels that would otherwise go undetected if their tracking systems are switched off. Many vessels have "gone dark" after Tehran threatened to attack any vessel attempting to pass through the waterway.

Shipping intelligence data provider Kpler estimates around 12 million barrels of crude oil to have passed through the strait since the war started. "Given that China has been the primary buyer of Iranian crude in recent years, a significant share of these barrels could ultimately head there," said Nhway Khin Soe, crude analyst at Kpler, adding that confirming the final destination for these vessels had become increasingly challenging.
...



https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/03/11/iran-ships-oil-china-strait-hormuz-closure-.html

[Winehole23]

Truth is the first casualty


An Iranian drone attack in Kuwait that killed six U.S. service members (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/names-us-service-members-killed-iran-war-kuwait/) in the early hours of the war with Iran was more severe than has previously been revealed, with dozens suffering injuries including brain trauma, shrapnel wounds and burns, multiple sources told CBS News. At least one required the amputation of a limb.


Sources described a grim and chaotic scene in the aftermath of the strike on a tactical operations center (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-strike-kuwait-officials-question-fortifications/) at the Shuaiba port outside Kuwait City (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-appeared-to-surveil-center-where-u-s-forces-were-killed-in-kuwait-army-memo-says/) on March 1. Smoke quickly filled the building, making it difficult to rescue those inside.


More than 30 military members remained in hospitals Tuesday night with battle injuries from the Kuwait attack — one at Brooke Army Medical Center in San Antonio, 12 at Walter Reed Medical Center in suburban Washington, D.C., and about 25 at Landstuhl Regional Medical Center in Germany, sources said.


Of those, about 20 arrived on a C-17 military transport aircraft at Landstuhl on Tuesday with injuries the military designated as "urgent" and requiring evacuation, including traumatic brain injuries, memory loss and concussions, three of the sources said.


More than 100 medical personnel were sent to Landstuhl to assist, one of the sources said.


Defense Department officials initially didn't specify how many had been hurt in the Kuwait attack, but said on March 1 that five were seriously wounded and "several others sustained minor shrapnel injuries and concussions."
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/strike-in-kuwait-that-killed-6-us-service-member-more-severe/

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:zijtoixjr3msu66tnthvstb7/bafkreibjb6hd7xa6eddan4qcyiwal6f3njjbsgypilba2oynp eycivtbhm

[Blake]

Truth is the first casualty

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/strike-in-kuwait-that-killed-6-us-service-member-more-severe/

Why do Trump tards love death and destruction so much?

[Ball Buster]

I asked what your news sources are. I didn't ask for your pill dispensaries.

middle East expert Max Blumenthal, Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kwiatkowski, professor, John Mearsheimer, Professor Jeffrey Sacks, CIA analyst Ray McGovern, CIA analyst Larry Johnson, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, CIA analyst Phil Geraldi, journalist, Pepe, Escobar, professor, Mohammed, Morandi… Are just some of the independent news sources that I cited.

if you are going to arbitrarily say those new sources are pill dispensaries because they don’t appear on a major news networks, then you’re exposing your own ignorance.

well, if it’s not on NBC news, then it can’t be trusted,

how about point out something any of the links I posted lied or said something inaccurate.

:lol. Thinking network news is truthful. That’s why you boneheads cling to Russia gate.

[Blake]

Even Joe Rogan giving up on this retard on chief


..Influential podcaster Joe Rogan this week questioned President Donald Trump's decision to strike Iran, saying that some supporters of the president feel "betrayed" by the war....

..."I mean, this is why a lot of people feel betrayed, right? He ran on 'no more wars', 'end these stupid, senseless wars', and then we have one that we can’t even really clearly define why we did it," the podcaster, who hosted Trump on his program two years ago and endorsed him on the eve of the 2024 election, added....

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/joe-rogan-says-many-trump-supporters-feel-betrayed-iran-war-rcna262930

I hope he feels stupid on top of feeling betrayed. He should.

[Blake]

middle East expert Max Blumenthal, Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kwiatkowski, professor, John Mearsheimer, Professor Jeffrey Sacks, CIA analyst Ray McGovern, CIA analyst Larry Johnson, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, CIA analyst Phil Geraldi, journalist, Pepe, Escobar, professor, Mohammed, Morandi… Are just some of the independent news sources that I cited.

if you are going to arbitrarily say those new sources are pill dispensaries because they don’t appear on a major news networks, then you’re exposing your own ignorance.

well, if it’s not on NBC news, then it can’t be trusted,

how about point out something any of the links I posted lied or said something inaccurate.

:lol. Thinking network news is truthful. That’s why you boneheads cling to Russia gate.

Is this tsa trying to hide behind a different user name?

I bet you were clinging hard to pizza gate huh.

[ChumpDumper]

middle East expert Max Blumenthal, Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kwiatkowski, professor, John Mearsheimer, Professor Jeffrey Sacks, CIA analyst Ray McGovern, CIA analyst Larry Johnson, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, CIA analyst Phil Geraldi, journalist, Pepe, Escobar, professor, Mohammed, Morandi… Are just some of the independent news sources that I cited.

if you are going to arbitrarily say those new sources are pill dispensaries because they don’t appear on a major news networks, then you’re exposing your own ignorance.

well, if it’s not on NBC news, then it can’t be trusted,

how about point out something any of the links I posted lied or said something inaccurate.

:lol. Thinking network news is truthful. That’s why you boneheads cling to Russia gate.
They aren't news sources.

They are commentary twits.

"Pepe, Escobar"

lol

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:pnx2fjuannbdpy3337ggthpp/bafkreiblo6rs56hdtncxg2xdeiyhny7b3a4urpcygxumc3osh 45dozvhye

[Winehole23]

charlie foxtrot logistics


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:pnx2fjuannbdpy3337ggthpp/bafkreihnj2b56nobhad75islxppvmmxi4r3vlpcdudq7beow7 7fv6q6qbq
https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:pnx2fjuannbdpy3337ggthpp/bafkreieqppye7av4cooyyb4viccbbqnqau5ajy7tcipjwv3gz seuxagkei

[Winehole23]

Commander in Chief just throwing shit on the wall


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:hbpefio3f5csc44msmbgioxz/bafkreickgw22oyahnvj73licsjbftrgqrkavlmfjyp5ycntql sj4eqlgwm

[Ball Buster]

They aren't news sources.

They are commentary twits.

"Pepe, Escobar"

lol

That dude does great reporting. He has very good sources, he's smart, and he's a real good guy.

You don't know who any of these people are.. because you're a complete normie, :lol

I guess if I sourced something from Bari Weiss that would be acceptable.

[Ball Buster]

If the news doesn't come from this guy, than it's fake news :cry
https://www.startpage.com/av/proxy-image?piurl=https%3A%2F%2Fpeople.com%2Fthmb%2FVi2t g1AE8dUjXdmou5WxnC2F430%3D%2F750x0%2Ffilters%3Ano_ upscale%28%29%3Amax_bytes%28150000%29%3Astrip_icc% 28%29%3Afocal%28794x409%3A796x411%29%2FUkraine-correspondent-Richard-Engel-08-022123-e2b1c91d3eb348a3a3019c4e8e771300.jpg&sp=1773249408Tec152f04febf65f869af457049fe66315e72 f2a8eb3f9b0b2a885444167e0439

[Blake]

That dude does great reporting. He has very good sources, he's smart, and he's a real good guy.

You don't know who any of these people are.. because you're a complete normie, :lol

I guess if I sourced something from Bari Weiss that would be acceptable.

Escobar was a covid treatment nut that touted stuff like chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine before it was proven effective..... which it still has not.

You're a gullible edge lord :lol

[Ball Buster]

Escobar was a covid treatment nut that touted stuff like chloroquine/hydroxychloroquine before it was proven effective..... which it still has not.

You're a gullible edge lord :lol

Great, lets see a link for that.

[Winehole23]

Why do Trump tards love death and destruction so much?they also cover it up and deflect, because death and destruction are very unpopular

[Blake]

Great, lets see a link for that.

"....There hasn’t yet appeared the smoking gun that proves the Macron system not only is incompetent to deal with Covid-19 but also is dragging the process so Big Pharma can come up with a miracle vaccine, fast. But the pattern to discourage chloroquine is more than laid out above – in parallel to the demonization of Raoult...."

https://www.unz.com/pescobar/why-france-is-hiding-a-cheap-and-tested-virus-cure/

This isn't a legitimate news piece. It's a conspiracy accusation based on roadside science. It's terrible, just like the horse pill shit. And all of you Trump tards fell for it because you love your edgy alt news X Files sources

[Winehole23]

middle East expert Max Blumenthal, Lieutenant Colonel Karen Kwiatkowski, professor, John Mearsheimer, Professor Jeffrey Sacks, CIA analyst Ray McGovern, CIA analyst Larry Johnson, Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson, CIA analyst Phil Geraldi, journalist, Pepe, Escobar, professor, Mohammed, Morandi… Are just some of the independent news sources that I cited.

if you are going to arbitrarily say those new sources are pill dispensaries because they don’t appear on a major news networks, then you’re exposing your own ignorance.

well, if it’s not on NBC news, then it can’t be trusted,

how about point out something any of the links I posted lied or said something inaccurate.

:lol. Thinking network news is truthful. That’s why you boneheads cling to Russia gate.Sorry, who's clinging to Russia gate beside Spurs Homer? Not sure who you're talking about.

I'm familiar with most of the names you cited, I have reposted many of them here over the years. Putting Max Blumenthal first gives me some idea where you're coming from in this thread.

Alternative news sources are great, but one would think the same skepticism applies as corporate news.

[Winehole23]

Alternative news has angles and interests too.

Unless you can figure out what those are, you can be led by the nose by alternative sources just as easily as mainstream ones.

[Ball Buster]

"....There hasn’t yet appeared the smoking gun that proves the Macron system not only is incompetent to deal with Covid-19 but also is dragging the process so Big Pharma can come up with a miracle vaccine, fast. But the pattern to discourage chloroquine is more than laid out above – in parallel to the demonization of Raoult...."

https://www.unz.com/pescobar/why-france-is-hiding-a-cheap-and-tested-virus-cure/

This isn't a legitimate news piece. It's a conspiracy accusation based on roadside science. It's terrible, just like the horse pill shit. And all of you Trump tards fell for it because you love your edgy alt news X Files sources

So one journalist out of the many I mentioned, had an opinion six years ago about Covid that you disagreed with.

Therefore all my news sources are hacks. And I'm an edgelord.

Weaksauce.

[Winehole23]

That dude does great reporting. He has very good sources, he's smart, and he's a real good guy.

You don't know who any of these people are.. because you're a complete normie, :lol

I guess if I sourced something from Bari Weiss that would be acceptable.you're none too familiar with the Bari Weiss discourse in this forum, it seems

[Ball Buster]

Sorry, who's clinging to Russia gate beside Spurs Homer? Not sure who you're talking about.

I'm familiar with most of the names you cited, I have reposted many of them here over the years. Putting Max Blumenthal first gives me some idea where you're coming from in this thread.

Alternative news sources are great, but one would think the same skepticism applies as corporate news.

One thing is for sure, there is very little money in truth telling. Very hard to monetize.

Blumenthal is an excellent journalist and truth teller as is his wife.

[Winehole23]

So one journalist out of the many I mentioned, had an opinion six years ago about Covid that you disagreed with.

Therefore all my news sources are hacks. And I'm an edgelord.

Weaksauce.The Whitney Webb articles on Epstein are essential background but at the end of the day the dots aren't even connected, just highly patterned. If you think there's something conclusive there that's overreading imho.

[Blake]

Alternative news has angles and interests too.

Unless you can figure out what those are, you can be led by the nose by alternative sources just as easily as mainstream ones.

The difference usually is in the verification of the sources

[Blake]

So one journalist out of the many I mentioned, had an opinion six years ago about Covid that you disagreed with.

Therefore all my news sources are hacks. And I'm an edgelord.

Weaksauce.

Lol "that I disagreed with". He was flat out wrong because he jumped to conclusions.

I didn't say all your news sources are hacks but if you're only just following edgy alt right Twitter feeds and YouTube vids with movie music in the background, sooner or later you'll fall for conspiracy garbage.

...Just like with how you're claiming Israel controls the United States military decision making but you have nothing to back it up with except your edge lord conspiracy Twitter feeds. It's pretty funny, tbh.

[Blake]

One thing is for sure, there is very little money in truth telling. Very hard to monetize.

Blumenthal is an excellent journalist and truth teller as is his wife.

Nope, sorry.... this isn't truth telling:

2029958614845169933

[Ball Buster]

The Whitney Webb articles on Epstein are essential background but at the end of the day the dots aren't even connected, just highly patterned. If you think there's something conclusive there that's overreading imho.

Could you think of someone who's reporting on Epstein is any better? I couldn't. Patterned dots, she's pretty clear about Lex Wexner funding, etc... She does great work.

[Winehole23]

One thing is for sure, there is very little money in truth telling. Very hard to monetize.

Blumenthal is an excellent journalist and truth teller as is his wife.like, which truths?

[Ball Buster]

Lol "that I disagreed with". He was flat out wrong because he jumped to conclusions.

I didn't say all your news sources are hacks but if you're only just following edgy alt right Twitter feeds and YouTube vids with movie music in the background, sooner or later you'll fall for conspiracy garbage.

...Just like with how you're claiming Israel controls the United States military decision making but you have nothing to back it up with except your edge lord conspiracy Twitter feeds. It's pretty funny, tbh.

Chump, could you educate this dude? I know you know what's going on. He's completely lost.

[Winehole23]

Could you think of someone who's reporting on Epstein is any better? I couldn't. Patterned dots, she's pretty clear about Lex Wexner funding, etc... She does great work.I think they were very good articles. I have no doubt they persuaded people who saw their own pattern of thinking reflected and were glad for the confirmation. Connecting the dots.

For all I know, Epstein really was a Mossad honeypot operation.

But even if we stipulate that as given, I don't see how we get to therefore, "Israel controls all US presidents," or even "Israel controls Donald Trump"

[Ball Buster]

like, which truths?

War crimes against civilian populations. Collective punishment against children in Palestine. Reporting that goes against the Ukraine war narratives. Stuff that goes unreported on mainstream news.

You probably know we haven't seen truthful reporting about wars on the news since Vietnam.

[Ball Buster]

I think they were very good articles. I have no doubt they persuaded people who saw their own pattern of thinking reflected and were glad for the confirmation. Connecting the dots.

For all I know, Epstein really was a Mossad honeypot operation.

But even if we stipulate that as given, I don't see how we get to therefore, "Israel controls all US presidents," or even "Israel controls Donald Trump"

What about the fact that most of the US wars in the last decades have been against Israel's neighbors?

[Ball Buster]

Was the Mossad honey-pot operation to not control high ranking US politicians?

[Winehole23]

War crimes against civilian populations. Collective punishment against children in Palestine. Reporting that goes against the Ukraine war narratives. Stuff that goes unreported on mainstream news.

You probably know we haven't seen truthful reporting about wars on the news since Vietnam.Because of Vietnam, the movement of the mainstream press is far less free than it used to be in war zones.

Wrt to the bolded, what's Blumenthal's basic take on the Russia/Ukraine War?

Is he still a pro-Russia guy?

[Winehole23]

Was the Mossad honey-pot operation to not control high ranking US politicians?I have no idea, I'm not the Mossad

I doubt Trump is too worried about being punished for anything disclosed about him re: Jeffrey Epstein. A great volume of derogatory Epstein-related information about Trump has already been made public and nothing has happened to him yet.

Even if an incriminating video were released, he'd just call it fake and go on about his day.

[Winehole23]

What about the fact that most of the US wars in the last decades have been against Israel's neighbors?Yeah, Afghanistan and Africa don't really fit, do they?

I think the geostrategic gloss is more elegant, the US technical base relies heavily on oil and gas. Israel was propped up by the US as a strategic counterweight to oil producing countries after 1973.

[Ball Buster]

Because of Vietnam, the movement of the mainstream press is far less free than it used to be in war zones.

Wrt to the bolded, what's Blumenthal's basic take on the Russia/Ukraine War?

Is he still a pro-Russia guy?

He understands the neo-con agenda of trying to weaken Russia with a proxy war. All while forcing Europe to buy the US' LnG. He reported Victoria Newlands involvement with the coop of the dem elected leader in 2016. And the breaching of the Minsk agreements by Ukraine. The terrible influence of Boris Johnson persuading Zelelnsky to move forward with the war instead of signing a peace agreement, etc.

Never reported on "official news" sources

[Winehole23]

sidebar: according to Michael Hudson, the petrodollar has basically funded the last 50 years of US military adventures owing to the balance of payments in favor of the US

https://michael-hudson.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/superimperialism.pdf

[Ball Buster]

Yeah, Afghanistan and Africa don't really fit, do they?

I think the geostrategic gloss is more elegant, the US technical base relies heavily on oil and gas. Israel was propped up by the US as a strategic counterweight to oil producing countries after 1973.

So Israel is being propped up by the United States, to help it, steal more oil, essentially. Could be part of it

[Winehole23]

He understands the neo-con agenda of trying to weaken Russia with a proxy war. All while forcing Europe to buy the US' LnG. He reported Victoria Newlands involvement with the coop of the dem elected leader in 2016. And the breaching of the Minsk agreements by Ukraine. The terrible influence of Boris Johnson persuading Zelelnsky to move forward with the war instead of signing a peace agreement, etc.

Never reported on "official news" sourcesHmm, you'd have to read all the sources to say so it seems.

I tend to doubt Max Blumenthal went uncovered in the MSM (a quick check of his wiki confirms), or that Blumenthal himself does not rely on the primary reporting of other news organizations -- pretty much all media outlets do.

[Winehole23]

So Israel is being propped up by the United States, to help it, steal more oil, essentially. Could be part of itnot sure if Israel is still the top recipient of US defense aid with the war in Ukraine going on, but it's probably right up there

what do you think is going on?

[Ball Buster]

Hmm, you'd have to read all the sources to say so it seems.

I tend to doubt Max Blumenthal went uncovered in the MSM (a quick check of his wiki confirms), or that Blumenthal himself does not rely on the primary reporting of other news organizations -- pretty much all media outlets do.

He grew up in DC, he know's how the town works. I'm a fan of him and Aaron Mate's reporting, aggregating, whatever it is.

[Ball Buster]

not sure if Israel is still the top recipient of US defense aid with the war in Ukraine going on, but it's probably right up there

what do you think is going on?

I think every president has “handlers”. I think Trump is the worst president in history. Yes, but he also is being influenced by his handlers, Steven Wicoff, Howard Lutnick. They work For Netanyahu.

Netanyahu, who said recently he’s been planning this war for 40 years. His larger plan is the greater Israel project which is a land takeover of Syria, Iraq, Jordan, Palestine, Iran, etc. etc. To build a larger Israel.

[Ball Buster]

Israel needs all of it's neighbors to be vassal states in order to complete it's agenda.

[Winehole23]

He grew up in DC, he know's how the town works. I'm a fan of him and Aaron Mate's reporting, aggregating, whatever it is.Blumenthal and Mate do advocacy journalism, they pick good guys and bad guys, and you kind of know where they're driving the van before you get there.

There's nothing wrong with taking sides or thinking you already know the truth and advocating for it, but for some people, that isn't journalism. When you defend Assad and Putin in public, you're gonna take a few lumps.

I personally find Blumenthal over the top annoying. Maybe some people would call him passionate. The problem that I have with him and Mate both is that they both seem to be motivated by prior commitments to shade things in their favor -- I don't find them super-credible, but I'll sometime read them when they pop up.

[Winehole23]

Israel needs all of it's neighbors to be vassal states in order to complete it's agenda.Greater Israel isn't gonna happen. If you think irredentist war is bad now, just wait.

[Winehole23]

I think every president has “handlers”. I think Trump is the worst president in history. Yes, but he also is being influenced by his handlers, Steven Wicoff, Howard Lutnick. They work For Netanyahu. I think the better case is that Rubio/Miller/Vought and Susie Wiles are Trump's handlers.

I tend to doubt Lutnick has much sway as Commerce Secretary. One gets a sense that Witkoff, Trump's personal envoy, seems to be minding the president's personal stakes in US foreign policy -- whether it be in Russia, Israel or the Persian Gulf. It doesn't seem Witkoff has very much power to tell Trump what to do either.

[Ball Buster]

I think the better case is that Rubio/Miller/Vought and Susie Wiles are Trump's handlers.

I tend to doubt Lutnick has much sway as Commerce Secretary. One gets a sense that Witkoff, Trump's personal envoy, seems to be minding the president's personal stakes in US foreign policy -- whether it be in Russia, Israel or the Persian Gulf. It doesn't seem Witkoff has very much power to tell Trump what to do either.

Marco Rubio is a pro war Christian Zionist. Susie Wiles worked on Netanyahu‘s reelection campaign. it’s all still kind of in the family there.

[Ball Buster]

Blumenthal and Mate do advocacy journalism, they pick good guys and bad guys, and you kind of know where they're driving the van before you get there.

There's nothing wrong with taking sides or thinking you already know the truth and advocating for it, but for some people, that isn't journalism. When you defend Assad and Putin in public, you're gonna take a few lumps.

I personally find Blumenthal over the top annoying. Maybe some people would call him passionate. The problem that I have with him and Mate both is that they both seem to be motivated by prior commitments to shade things in their favor -- I don't find them super-credible, but I'll sometime read them when they pop up.

What’s your take on Norman Finkelstein?

[ChumpDumper]

That dude does great reporting. He has very good sources, he's smart, and he's a real good guy.

You don't know who any of these people are.. because you're a complete normie, :lol

I guess if I sourced something from Bari Weiss that would be acceptable.

Ah, there it is -- the special knowledge gambit.

So who is Pepe, Escobar, professor and who are his sources?

[Ball Buster]

Ah, there it is -- the special knowledge gambit.

So who is Pepe, Escobar, professor and who are his sources?

:cry Italian journalists can't be taken seriously. Their names are funny!

What/Who should I be reading Chump?

[ChumpDumper]

:cry Italian journalists can't be taken seriously. Their names are funny!
First things first:

Is his name actually Pepe Escobar?

If not, what is it?

[Winehole23]

What’s your take on Norman Finkelstein?sorry, had to refresh my memory the name Norman Finkelstein is familiar to me, the man isn't.

I don't have a handy opinion about Norman Finkelstein.

[Ball Buster]

First things first:

Is his name actually Pepe Escobar?

If not, what is it?

Here's a recent youtube video with Judge Napalitano.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GoB8_DOl20

[Ball Buster]

is this the mondoweiss guy?

Political scientist, lost family in the holocaust. Staunchly anti- Zionist. Often debates Zionists like Alan Dershowitz. Very outspoken and knowledgable. I think a brave and good person.


https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fupload.wikimedia.org%2Fwikipedia% 2Fcommons%2F1%2F13%2FNorman_finkelstein_suffolk_(c ropped).jpg&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=ba8f6c7db88ec4f86946a5623876c656db135869661889 0c1fd0396a3ab9543e

[ChumpDumper]

Here's a recent youtube video with Judge Napalitano.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GoB8_DOl20

I didn't ask for a video that calls him Pepe Escobar.

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:u4o26nximjdtgooqshfz45zr/bafkreicwc4yd3vrx4ifao65je47xwyetprkgece4dhnzkx57c lwzcnvahi

[Blake]

I didn't ask for a video that calls him Pepe Escobar.

Kinda awkward he's asking you to explain it to me and you're still asking him to explain himself.

[Winehole23]

The Middle East accounted for around 24% of ​global sulphur production (https://pubs.usgs.gov/periodicals/mcs2026/mcs2026-sulfur.pdf) at 83.87 million metric tons last year; including 50% of seabourne trade of sulphur (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/asian-traders-seek-sulfur-options-as-hormuz-halt-cuts-supply) — which must be exported via the Strait of Hormuz.


Sulphur is essential to sulphuric acid which, in turn, is essential to processing critical minerals, including copper and nickel.


And, the sulphuric acid market was already tight before the latest Middle East disruption, increasing 500% (https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/acid-not-copper-is-paying-chinas-smelters-will-it-last-2026-02-13/) before the latest conflict in Iran started.


—


Metal / sector
How sulphuric acid is used
Exposure to Hormuz‑linked sulphur


Nickel
HPAL and other laterite leach circuits are highly acid‑intensive, both for MHP and nickel sulfate production
Indonesia’s HPAL capacity is heavily reliant on Middle East sulphur imports and carries minimal inventory cover


Copper
Widely used in heap leaching, SX‑EW and other hydrometallurgical routes, especially for oxides and low‑grade ores
Central African copperbelt imports ~2 Mt/y sulphur from the Middle East; disruptions directly hit oxide leach capacity


Cobalt
Often co‑produced with copper and nickel in acid leach circuits
DRC supplies 70% of mined cobalt; reliance on imported sulphur links cobalt supply to Hormuz flows​


Uranium
Sulphuric acid is a standard reagent in acid leaching and in‑situ recovery
Projects using acid ISR or leach, particularly where sulphur is imported, face rising reagent costs and potential curtailments


Rare earths
Used in acid cracking and leaching in several flowsheets
Projects outside China that rely on imported acid or sulphur are most exposed; Chinese operations are partly shielded by captive capacity


Lithium
Acid used in some leach‑based routes and in upstream reagents for conversion
China’s refining base is indirectly exposed via higher global sulphur and acid prices and any constraints on imports


Titanium dioxide
Sulphate process reacts ilmenite or slag with sulphuric acid
Pigment producers using the sulphate route face higher reagent costs; chloride‑route producers are less affected


Zinc, manganese, and others
Various hydrometallurgical flowsheets and secondary processing use sulphuric acid
Exposure is more asset‑specific; operations with captive acid are advantaged over toll buyers


htps://theoregongroup.com/commodities/nickel/strait-of-hormuz-is-also-the-chokepoint-for-sulphuric-acid-and-critical-metal-processing/

[Winehole23]

when was the last time "bomb them until they give up" worked?



U.S. intelligence indicates that Iran's leadership is still largely intact and is not at risk of collapse any time soon after nearly two weeks of relentless U.S. and Israeli bombardment, according to three sources familiar with the matter.

A "multitude" of intelligence reports provide "consistent #analysis that the regime is not in danger" of collapse and "retains control of the Iranian public," said one of the sources, all of whom were granted anonymity #to discuss U.S. intelligence findings.

The latest report was completed within the last few days, the source said.

With political pressure building over soaring oil costs, President Donald Trump has suggested he will end the biggest U.S. military operation since ​2003 "soon." But finding an acceptable end to the war could be difficult if Iran's hardline leaders remain firmly entrenched.https://uk.news.yahoo.com/exclusive-us-intelligence-says-iran-230717678.html

[Winehole23]

Salalah, Oman


https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:6y3honhec2jch2ryrbuyx5a5/bafkreihftt5z4mq4xonc5l3ztc2ybw2qmmk36ztyfe2xyj2rd goyug2xgu

https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.worldatlas.com%2Fimg%2Flocato r%2Fcity%2F093%2F15393-salalah-locator-map.jpg&f=1&nofb=1&ipt=3adcd4ae6e201b4903c86f2be25c301ae2078c6496d4f1 94ee789755ea67fd76

[Winehole23]

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:z6rujpf4u56jfie7aqic2nfg/bafkreiawrv7c5amo2p64t5lhdhiawb53mgo2w5jbmm3dke6c5 5234ljnk4

[Winehole23]

sounds like our forces in Iraq have been pinned down by Iran -- we had to get the Brits to evacuate the US consulate in Erbil


Diplomatic staff at the American consulate in Erbil were also forced to shelter-in-place when the facility came under attack from Iran before they were ultimately flown out of the country by the British Royal Air Force due to constraints on the U.S. military, which would normally carry out such a mission, according to the officials.
The U.K. Ministry of Defense confirmed to ABC News that the RAF carried "a number of US consulate staff and contractors, at their request" from Iraq to Cyprus.

"We cannot comment on specific operational details, but as a general matter, U.S. Mission Iraq continues to implement all needed steps to ensure the safety of our diplomatic personnel and facilities," a State Department spokesperson said.
https://abcnews.com/International/us-struggles-evacuate-american-personnel-facilities-fire-iraq/story?id=130981420

[Winehole23]

Despite repeated urging from the U.S. that the Iraqi government step up efforts to defend American interests in the country, officials say the Trump administration has been disappointed by the response.

[Winehole23]

Trump has destabilized his Persian Gulf allies



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_fullsize/plain/did:plc:bbp2b224lro3bfnzcqwwnkfo/bafkreifil776gbs2zkj2m43irtp3udfps22chpkiqg6jzat5s pfq5hlsnmhttps://capitalandempire.com/p/bahrain-imports-anti-riot-troops

[Winehole23]

attrition to strategic US radars

it's hard to tell just how badly Iran has already damaged US bases, comms and missile defense




One of the most significant strikes hit a sophisticated early-warning radar system at Qatar’s Al-Udeid, which hosts the largest American military base in the region. The attack damaged the AN/FPS-132 radar, hindering its ability to function, according to satellite imagery and a U.S. official.


The AN/FPS-132 is a wide-aperture radar designed to track many targets at once. The U.S. has five of these fixed radar systems in its North American warning system that is set up to protect the U.S. homeland from potential incoming missiles, according to the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a defense think tank. The system costs up to $1 billion.


“These are scarce, strategic resources,” said Thomas Karako, the director of the Missile Defense Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.


Satellite images from Planet Labs (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/PL) show damage to the radar installation in Qatar. The images show debris on the northeastern face of the domed radar installation, the side facing Iran, along with water runoff, likely from efforts to put out a fire, according to Sam Lair, a researcher with the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies.


“It demonstrates the fragility of some of these kind of higher tier radars,” said Lair, who published an analysis of the satellite image.


Iran also struck a TPY-2 radar attached to a Thaad battery in Jordan, according to satellite imagery and a U.S. official. The radar is a critical component of the ground-based missile-defense system, which intercepts ballistic missiles above the atmosphere.

Satellite images reviewed by The Wall Street Journal also show damage to three radar domes at Camp Arifjan, a base used by U.S. forces in Kuwait, and damage to a satellite communications system at the headquarters of the U.S. Fifth Fleet in Bahrain.
https://www.wsj.com/world/iran-is-hitting-the-radars-that-underpin-u-s-missile-defenses-2edbfccc?st=xbs9Dc

[Winehole23]

side effect: stimulating the transition to nuclear and renewable sources of energy



https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:3nekuksdc3y37mr7q66aaq4d/bafkreifsnodnug6m4nhoiwwbvfww7mkiyv4snpczosvxvhrl7 wqrvdpyzu

[Winehole23]

this man has a point

the proximate cause of the closing of the Strait of Hormuz was the collapse of shipping insurance

all the bombs in the world can't put that risk-market back together -- this guy thinks it will take at least six months



Every sell-side research desk, every geopolitical risk model, and every energy strategy team at every major institution on Earth is currently modelling this closure as a kinetic problem solvable by military force. The United States has three carrier strike groups in theatre. It has achieved tactical air superiority over Iranian airspace. It has destroyed 80% of Iran’s integrated air defence network, sunk 43 warships, and reduced Iranian missile launches by 86% from their opening-day peak. By every traditional metric of military dominance, the campaign is succeeding.

Yet the Strait remains commercially paralysed.

The US Navy has not escorted a single commercial tanker through Hormuz. The Development Finance Corporation’s $20 billion emergency reinsurance facility, announced on 6 March, has not produced a single confirmed insured VLCC transit at scale. And the market, anchored to a consensus of two-to-four-week military resolution, is mispricing the duration of this closure by a factor of at least three.

This is not a geopolitical risk overlay. This is the first live demonstration of Actuarial Warfare: a paradigm in which private reinsurance desks, operating under regulatory capital constraints, exercise de facto sovereignty over the planet’s most critical maritime chokepoint more durably than navies, missiles, or executive orders. The closure mechanism is financial, not kinetic. Its reversal requires not military victory but the sequential, multi-party reconstruction of a commercial risk market that was already structurally hollowed by 26 months of Houthi losses before the first bomb fell on Tehran. And this mechanism is now interacting with four other channels, each independently severe, in ways that produce emergent dynamics no compartmentalised institutional framework can synthesise.

What follows is the mechanism, the timing, the positioning vulnerability, the evidence chain, and the executable trade. Inside this analysis: why the reinsurance cascade cannot be reversed by political will on any timeline shorter than six months.
https://shanakaanslemperera.substack.com/p/actuarial-warfare-how-seven-insurance?utm_medium=web&_src_ref=go.bsky.app

[Winehole23]

Global seaborne trade does not run on naval protection. It runs on a layered stack of private financial guarantees. At the base sit the Protection and Indemnity clubs, mutual associations of shipowners pooling third-party liability risk across their membership. Above them sit the treaty reinsurers, predominantly London-based syndicates that absorb catastrophic accumulation risk. Above those sits the retrocession market and insurance-linked securities, a $41 billion capital pool providing the ultimate backstop. This stack possesses a critical structural vulnerability: the retrocession and ILS market systematically excludes war risk. The war-risk market therefore operates under a hard capital ceiling of approximately $1 billion in annual premiums and a handful of treaty reinsurers whose aggregate capacity cannot absorb a single major total-loss event.


When Operation Epic Fury commenced on 28 February and the IRGC declared the Strait closed to ships from the United States, Israel, and their Western allies on 2 March, London reinsurance desks did not convene committees. Their Solvency II risk models immediately flagged the Gulf as an uninsurable accumulation zone. The problem was not merely that the probability of loss was elevated. The problem was that the tail was unlimited. A single VLCC total loss could easily exceed $150 million for the hull, $100 million for the cargo, and virtually infinite liability for environmental pollution. Against a premium pool that writes $1 billion annually, a single major claim would consume the entire global war-risk market’s revenue.

[Winehole23]

War-risk premiums for a seven-day VLCC transit surged from the pre-crisis range of 0.05% to 0.25% of hull value to between 1.0% and 3.0%. For a modern VLCC valued at $100 million, this translates to between $1 million and $3 million in additional, unrecoverable cost for a single transit. When the premium exceeds the voyage margin, the coverage is commercially unavailable regardless of its theoretical existence.


This is Verification Cost Inversion operating at planetary scale. The very attempt to price the risk forces capital flight at the precise moment coverage is demanded. Each additional day of closure feeds new data into insurer models, raising the actuarial cost of reopening and extending the closure in a reflexive, self-reinforcing loop. The down-barrier to closure was crossed in hours. The up-barrier to reopening, measured in the time required for sustained safe conditions, actuarial recalibration, and reinsurance capital replenishment, operates on a timescale of months to years.

[Winehole23]

The insurance mechanism is amplified by a second channel that the market cannot price at all: the atomisation of the counterparty that would need to guarantee safe passage.


Marine insurance does not merely price hazard. It prices governance. When the entity that can credibly guarantee non-attack is ambiguous or internally fragmented, underwriters face a qualitatively different risk, because assurances cannot be validated or enforced.


The 28 February decapitation strikes succeeded kinetically but produced a strategic paradox. When Ali Khamenei was killed in the opening salvo of Operation Epic Fury, the IRGC immediately activated its pre-planned Decentralised Mosaic Defence doctrine, a framework developed over two decades by former commander Mohammad Ali Jafari to survive precisely this scenario. The doctrine divided the IRGC into 31 autonomous provincial commands, one for each of Iran’s 30 provinces plus Tehran, each with independent firing authority, local command-and-control infrastructure, integration with Basij paramilitary elements, and pre-delegated authority to launch missiles, drones, or conduct naval harassment without requiring authorisation from the capital. Provincial commanders do not need real-time communication with Tehran. They execute pre-programmed retaliatory protocols designed to function in the absence of central leadership. Foreign Minister Araghchi stated the doctrine “enables us to decide when, and how, war will end.”


Negotiating safe passage with “Iran” now requires simultaneous agreement from multiple counterparties whose incentives diverge by port exposure and revenue dependency. Insurance markets demand a unitary sovereign guarantor. The Mosaic supplies the opposite.