***** Official All-Inclusive 2020 Election Night Thread *****

[ChumpDumper]

That means very little in terms of who they actually voted for. For example, my mother and grandmother, diehard conservatives, actually were registered Democrats from 2006 to 2012 because they had to re-register as Democrats to vote in a primary for their friend from a charity club (Frank Madla) who unfortunately ended up losing to the other Democrat and then dying in a fire that Thanksgiving, 2006.

Examples like that are very, very common.Sounds very, very stupid so I doubt it's common at all.

[Splits]

That means very little in terms of who they actually voted for. For example, my mother and grandmother, diehard conservatives, actually were registered Democrats from 2006 to 2012 because they had to re-register as Democrats to vote in a primary for their friend from a charity club (Frank Madla) who unfortunately ended up losing to the other Democrat and then dying in a fire that Thanksgiving, 2006.

Examples like that are very, very common.

Very true. Probably more people will die in fires on Thanksgiving this year than covid

[TSA]

Remember when TSA was giddy as fuck about Republicans closing the gap in early voting?

I brought up the point that they're essentially cannibalizing their own voter turnout on election day. Looks like that's what's happening.

Early voting ended up with a dem lead of just over 100k while dems ran just about even with them at 65% apiece.

https://twitter.com/athein1/status/1323709580598149120

[spurraider21]

:lmao joeisdone.github

[Will Hunting]

Got it, thanks. Where you getting the data for today's votes?
@UMichVoter99 on twitter. He aggregates all the data from each county.

[Millennial_Messiah]

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Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: PA-1 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_1st_district_fitzpatrick_vs_finello-7132.html) | PA-7 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_7th_district_scheller_vs_wild-7174.html) | PA-8 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_8th_district_bognet_vs_cartwright-7175.html) | PA-10 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_10th_district_perry_vs_depasquale-7133.html) | PA-17 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_17th_district_lamb_vs_parnell-7176.html) President: 2016: Trump +0.7 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html) | 2012: Obama +5.4 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html)

Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls) (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html)

Polling Data

Poll
Date
Sample
MoE
Biden (D)

Trump (R)

Spread


RCP Average
10/29 - 11/2
--
--
48.7
47.5
Biden +1.2


Susquehanna* (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/SusquehannaPolling-PAStatewidePoll-Oct2020.pdf)
11/1 - 11/2
499 LV
4.3
48
49
Trump +1


Rasmussen Reports (https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_49_trump_45)
10/31 - 11/1
800 LV
3.5
50
47
Biden +3


Trafalgar Group (R)* (https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-1102/)
10/30 - 10/31
1062 LV
2.9
46
48
Trump +2


NBC News/Marist (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/final-nbc-marist-state-polls-show-close-races-pennsylvania-arizona-n1245775)
10/29 - 11/1
772 LV
4.4
51
46
Biden +5


InsiderAdvantage* (https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/11/PA-POll-Oct-31st-final-poll-a1-.pdf)
10/30 - 10/31
500 LV
4.4
47
49
Trump +2


CNBC/Change Research (D) (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/02/2020-election-polls-biden-leads-trump-in-six-swing-states.html)
10/29 - 11/1
699 LV
--
50
46
Biden +4

[ChumpDumper]

:lmao joeisdone.github:lmao "thank you BYECOMEY"

[ChumpDumper]

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Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden
Key 2020 Races: PA-1 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_1st_district_fitzpatrick_vs_finello-7132.html) | PA-7 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_7th_district_scheller_vs_wild-7174.html) | PA-8 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_8th_district_bognet_vs_cartwright-7175.html) | PA-10 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_10th_district_perry_vs_depasquale-7133.html) | PA-17 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_17th_district_lamb_vs_parnell-7176.html) President: 2016: Trump +0.7 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html) | 2012: Obama +5.4 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html)

Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls) (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html)

Polling Data

Poll
Date
Sample
MoE
Biden (D)

Trump (R)

Spread


RCP Average
10/29 - 11/2
--
--
48.7
47.5
Biden +1.2


Susquehanna* (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/SusquehannaPolling-PAStatewidePoll-Oct2020.pdf)
11/1 - 11/2
499 LV
4.3
48
49
Trump +1


Rasmussen Reports (https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_49_trump_45)
10/31 - 11/1
800 LV
3.5
50
47
Biden +3


Trafalgar Group (R)* (https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-1102/)
10/30 - 10/31
1062 LV
2.9
46
48
Trump +2


NBC News/Marist (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/final-nbc-marist-state-polls-show-close-races-pennsylvania-arizona-n1245775)
10/29 - 11/1
772 LV
4.4
51
46
Biden +5


InsiderAdvantage* (https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/11/PA-POll-Oct-31st-final-poll-a1-.pdf)
10/30 - 10/31
500 LV
4.4
47
49
Trump +2


CNBC/Change Research (D) (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/02/2020-election-polls-biden-leads-trump-in-six-swing-states.html)
10/29 - 11/1
699 LV
--
50
46
Biden +4

Why did they omit the most recent poll with the largest sample size?

[Splits]

:lmao joeisdone.github

very next tweet:

1323710989473181696

:lmao

[lefty]

:lol


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BqxArM3Vwk

[Splits]

@UMichVoter99 on twitter. He aggregates all the data from each county.

:tu

just checked some of the crosstabs of the most recent polls and even the ones with Trump ahead indies were breaking for Biden by around 10 points

[Reck]

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Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden


Key 2020 Races: PA-1 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_1st_district_fitzpatrick_vs_finello-7132.html) | PA-7 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_7th_district_scheller_vs_wild-7174.html) | PA-8 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_8th_district_bognet_vs_cartwright-7175.html) | PA-10 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_10th_district_perry_vs_depasquale-7133.html) | PA-17 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/house/pa/pennsylvania_17th_district_lamb_vs_parnell-7176.html) President: 2016: Trump +0.7 (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html) | 2012: Obama +5.4 (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html)

Final 2016 RCP Average: Clinton +1.9, Results: Trump +0.7 (Trump +2.6 Ahead of Polls) (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5964.html)

Polling Data



Poll
Date
Sample
MoE
Biden (D)
Trump (R)
Spread


RCP Average
10/29 - 11/2
--
--
48.7
47.5
Biden +1.2


Susquehanna* (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/SusquehannaPolling-PAStatewidePoll-Oct2020.pdf)
11/1 - 11/2
499 LV
4.3
48
49
Trump +1


Rasmussen Reports (https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_49_trump_45)
10/31 - 11/1
800 LV
3.5
50
47
Biden +3


Trafalgar Group (R)* (https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-1102/)
10/30 - 10/31
1062 LV
2.9
46
48
Trump +2


NBC News/Marist (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/final-nbc-marist-state-polls-show-close-races-pennsylvania-arizona-n1245775)
10/29 - 11/1
772 LV
4.4
51
46
Biden +5


InsiderAdvantage* (https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/11/PA-POll-Oct-31st-final-poll-a1-.pdf)
10/30 - 10/31
500 LV
4.4
47
49
Trump +2


CNBC/Change Research (D) (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/11/02/2020-election-polls-biden-leads-trump-in-six-swing-states.html)
10/29 - 11/1
699 LV
--
50
46
Biden +4




Already debunked this.

Also :lol asterisk palooza.

[Will Hunting]

:tu

just checked some of the crosstabs of the most recent polls and even the ones with Trump ahead indies were breaking for Biden by around 10 points
Indies broke for Gillum by 10% in 2018 as well, that’s why I’m saying maybe the Rs have a turnout lead but it’s not the turnout lead they were expecting or needed.

Later afternoon voting hours traditionally favor Democrats in South Florida as well. We’re unlikely to see a GOP surge in FL between now and when polls close.

[ElNono]

very next tweet:

1323710989473181696

:lmao

:lol

[TSA]

@UMichVoter99 on twitter. He aggregates all the data from each county.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323715394578755584

[Will Hunting]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323715394578755584
So R+1.5% with 4 hours before polls close. I’m ok with that.

[Reck]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323715394578755584

You're ignoring the non party affilation voters again. :lol

[Splits]

Indies broke for Gillum by 10% in 2018 as well, that’s why I’m saying maybe the Rs have a turnout lead but it’s not the turnout lead they were expecting or needed.

Later afternoon voting hours traditionally favor Democrats in South Florida as well. We’re unlikely to see a GOP surge in FL between now and when polls close.

yeah and most polls also had ~8%R->D x-over and ~4%D->R crossover.

[Nathan89]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1323695576450535424?s=20

The upside of Biden winning is digging a hole and burying these propagandists tbh

[ChumpDumper]

https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1323695576450535424?s=20

The upside of Biden winning is digging a hole and burying these propagandists tbh:lol no chance in hell.

Your guys will always be unhinged conspiracy mongers from now on. Plenty of material.

[ChumpDumper]

"What if we just arrested the ballots?"

1323712802805067776

[baseline bum]

Indies broke for Gillum by 10% in 2018 as well, that’s why I’m saying maybe the Rs have a turnout lead but it’s not the turnout lead they were expecting or needed.

Later afternoon voting hours traditionally favor Democrats in South Florida as well. We’re unlikely to see a GOP surge in FL between now and when polls close.

Because the older happy merchants go to dinner at 4:30 and then it's oxycodone by 5:15?

[Nathan89]

The racist assholes wanted id verification for me to vote.:madrun

[Nathan89]

:lol no chance in hell.

Your guys will always be unhinged conspiracy mongers from now on. Plenty of material.

The left has averaged one viral bullshit story per day for the last 2 months.

Your candidate is running on a platform built on a hoax.

[Reck]

"What if we just arrested the ballots?"

1323712802805067776

These people are insane.

[MASSA]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA

[ChumpDumper]

The left has averaged one viral bullshit story per day for the last 2 months.

Your candidate is running on a platform built on a hoax.Great, have you kept track of your side's viral bullshit stories in the same time period?

Yes or no.

[spurraider21]

The racist assholes wanted a literacy test for me to vote.:madrun

[Spurtacular]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=769SHKAaJJw

[ChumpDumper]

derp, are you posting all this shit from work?:lol

[Nathan89]

https://twitter.com/ReaganBattalion/status/1323699306487025669?s=20

Vote against the overlords that don't respect individual rights.

[Warlord23]

It looks like FL will end up around R+3 in terms of registered turnout. Biden has led on average by 2-3% in R+5 turnout models. Cautiously optimistic about FL

[Spurtacular]

https://twitter.com/ReaganBattalion/status/1323699306487025669?s=20

Vote against the overlords that don't respect individual rights.

America gonna officially repudiate this sh** today.

[Spurtacular]

It looks like FL will end up around R+3 in terms of registered turnout. Biden has led on average by 2-3% in R+5 turnout models. Cautiously optimistic about FL

:lol You're just making up sh**.

[spurraider21]

:lol You're just making up sh**.
come to terms

[Nathan89]

https://twitter.com/AdamCrigler/status/1323544020467949569?s=20

My dude traveled across the country to vote for Trump in Arizona. That's the initiative I like to see tbh

[Spurtacular]

come to terms

I have. Swimming in a sea of red.

[Nathan89]

America gonna officially repudiate this sh** today.

I'm not optimistic like you as I've stated but I hope you are correct.

[Spurtacular]

I'm not optimistic like you as I've stated but I hope you are correct.

It's happening. You probably watch way too much MSM. They lie about everything, bro.

[ElNono]

https://twitter.com/ReaganBattalion/status/1323699306487025669?s=20

:tu

[Splits]

It's happening. You probably watch way too much MSM. They lie about everything, bro.

Yet still no map from you in the Prediction Contest thread

[Nathan89]

It's happening. You probably watch way too much MSM. They lie about everything, bro.

Nah, I just see polls combined with endless propaganda combined with endless outreach by the Dem cult to reach low info voters. Can't be too confident with that reality.

[ChumpDumper]

https://twitter.com/ReaganBattalion/status/1323699306487025669?s=20

Vote against the overlords that don't respect individual rights.Fake news. State and local governments closed business and limited gatherings.

[Joseph Kony]

https://twitter.com/AdamCrigler/status/1323544020467949569?s=20

My dude traveled across the country to vote for Trump in Arizona. That's the initiative I like to see tbh

1323652828309716993

[ChumpDumper]

https://twitter.com/AdamCrigler/status/1323544020467949569?s=20

My dude traveled across the country to vote for Trump in Arizona. That's the initiative I like to see tbhSounds illegal tbh.

[Joseph Kony]

Nah, I just see polls combined with endless propaganda combined with endless outreach by the Dem cult to reach low info voters. Can't be too confident with that reality.
sorry this is happening to you

[ElNono]

1323652828309716993

:lmao

[Reck]

He made a last minute call to travel across the country to vote? What was wrong with the place he lived in? Ran out of mail in ballots?

[Spurminator]

Nah, I just see polls combined with endless propaganda combined with endless outreach by the Dem cult to reach low info voters. Can't be too confident with that reality.

Depressed incels on election day.

You love to see it.

[spurraider21]

I have. Swimming in a sea of red.
red tears

[ChumpDumper]

He made a last minute call to travel across the country to vote? What was wrong with the place he lived in? Ran out of mail in ballots?Apparently his Maryland registration "didn't go through" so he voted in a jurisdiction in which he does not reside.

Obvious case of vote fraud.

[Leetonidas]

I have. Swimming in a sea of red.

A sea of red blood coming out of your ass after your post election meltdown :lmao

[DarrinS]

He made a last minute call to travel across the country to vote? What was wrong with the place he lived in? Ran out of mail in ballots?


Probably went to the place he was registered to vote.

[Spurminator]

If we're really talking probability, he probably just tweeted something he didn't actually do.

[ElNono]

From what I've been reading in the buildup to today is that the expectation is a 57% to 43% advantage to (R) in popular vote (408-130 in electoral votes) tonight, what's been dubbed the Red Mirage.

But once vote by mail (VBM) ballots results start to get processed, we'll see a "blue shift" towards the expected (D) popular vote win + electoral votes changes.

One thing to keep an eye on is what those Red Mirage numbers look like towards the end of the day, and if they're over/under expectations.

[TSA]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323715394578755584

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323730535492046856

[Splits]

1323732513852981256

[ChumpDumper]

1323652828309716993:lol Worse yet, Maryland has election day registration.

[Splits]

From what I've been reading in the buildup to today is that the expectation is a 57% to 43% advantage to (R) in popular vote (408-130 in electoral votes) tonight, what's been dubbed the Red Mirage.

But once vote by mail (VBM) ballots results start to get processed, we'll see a "blue shift" towards the expected (D) popular vote win + electoral votes changes.

One thing to keep an eye on is what those Red Mirage numbers look like towards the end of the day, and if they're over/under expectations.

It's not uniform, it varies state to state. for example, Florida will report all early votes within 30 minutes of polls closing and the e-Day vote will be lagging, not the early vote. Same in NC. But PA is the opposite.

[Will Hunting]

PA is the only state where it could literally be several days before we know who won. The other major swing states have taken some steps to start counting mail ballots early.

[Trainwreck2100]

1323732513852981256
Black people

[ElNono]

Black people

But Lil Pimp!

[ElNono]

So, *IF* POTUS loses Florida... is DeathSantis making that call to the WH, tbh?

[Spurminator]

But Lil Pimp!

Kanye, bro.

[MASSA]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA

[Millennial_Messiah]

So, *IF* POTUS loses Florida... is DeathSantis making that call to the WH, tbh?

Desantis kills himself, Trump sells off all his NYC properties and businesses and becomes FL governor tbh.

[Nathan89]

1323732513852981256

Low info voters. Sad.

[Millennial_Messiah]

PA is the only state where it could literally be several days before we know who won. The other major swing states have taken some steps to start counting mail ballots early.

And if PA is indeed the deciding state, like FL in 2000, if it's +/- 3 the Dems have no shot because 6-3 SCOTUS. They MIGHT get Justice Roberts if they're lucky but that's not enough.

Amazing how the hanging chad crap wouldn't have been relevant if Gore would have held a relatively liberal tiny state way up in blue-ass New England instead of ignoring it and losing by like 331 votes.

[Rummpd]

From what I've been reading in the buildup to today is that the expectation is a 57% to 43% advantage to (R) in popular vote (408-130 in electoral votes) tonight, what's been dubbed the Red Mirage.

But once vote by mail (VBM) ballots results start to get processed, we'll see a "blue shift" towards the expected (D) popular vote win + electoral votes changes.

This would be very interesting if happens

One thing to keep an eye on is what those Red Mirage numbers look like towards the end of the day, and if they're over/under expectations.

[Nathan89]

https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1323603571099643905?s=20

Across the country people are boarding up their businesses because they are afraid of leftist terrorists.

[spurraider21]

https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1323603571099643905?s=20
thats a really dumb way to decide your vote

but hey, low information voters vote too

[ChumpDumper]

https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1323603571099643905?s=20

Across the country people are boarding up their businesses because they are afraid of leftist terrorists.Are you afraid of leftist terrorists, Nathan?

Yes or no.

[Spurminator]

https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1323603571099643905?s=20

How do you know how looters vote?

Or did you just mean black people?

[Nathan89]

thats a really dumb way to decide your vote

but hey, low information voters vote too

Nope, the terrorists in the streets were getting bailed out by the Biden campaign.

[spurraider21]

Nope, the terrorists in the streets were getting bailed out by the Biden campaign.
my point remains. its a really dumb reason to vote for a candidate because of what you think of their supporters.

[Will Hunting]

https://twitter.com/ScottAdamsSays/status/1323603571099643905?s=20

Across the country people are boarding up their businesses because they are afraid of leftist terrorists.
:lol that’s your best endorsement of Trump? That his supporters might be more like to help you change your tire?

[Nathan89]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1323739295887314945?s=20

:lmao

Leftist propaganda outlets want us to wait for them to inform us.

[ChumpDumper]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1323739295887314945?s=20

:lmao

Leftist propaganda outlets want us to wait for them to inform us.From whom are you waiting to get the information, Nathan?

[Nathan89]

From whom are you waiting to get the information, Nathan?

Not the New York Times which employs a bunch of lunatics that lost their shit when a republican senator wrote an opinion piece for them.

[ElNono]

Desantis kills himself, Trump sells off all his NYC properties and businesses and becomes FL governor tbh.

sounds legit

[ElNono]

And if PA is indeed the deciding state, like FL in 2000, if it's +/- 3 the Dems have no shot because 6-3 SCOTUS. They MIGHT get Justice Roberts if they're lucky but that's not enough.

Amazing how the hanging chad crap wouldn't have been relevant if Gore would have held a relatively liberal tiny state way up in blue-ass New England instead of ignoring it and losing by like 331 votes.

I thought you said this election was going to be decided by AZ...

[Splits]

1323747268990828550

[ElNono]

Not the New York Times which employs a bunch of lunatics that lost their shit when a republican senator wrote an opinion piece for them.

Does it hurt, tho?

[Will Hunting]

1323747268990828550
Now do you see what I’m saying?

[ElNono]

People are getting robocalls telling them to 'stay safe and stay home'. The FBI is investigating.

The FBI is investigating the source of a barrage of robocalls that have urged prospective voters in recent weeks to stay at home because of unsubstantiated safety concerns, a senior Department of Homeland Security official said Tuesday.

The official, who asked to remain anonymous to candidly discuss ongoing election security issues, said the calls represented attempts at voter intimidation and suppression.

While the official said the FBI was reviewing the matter, he said the nature of the calls were similar to other intimidation tactics that emerge "in every election."

Overall, the DHS official said there have been no major disruptions, with technical glitches causing only temporary outages.

The Washington Post first reported that the calls have reached nearly all of the nation's area codes.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/03/fbi-investigating-robocalls-michigan-elections/6144588002/

---

:lol this country

[MASSA]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA

[Splits]

Now do you see what I’m saying?

Yeah and I also don't understand this from Silver:

1323697478517116933

I couldn't find any polls that publish their crosstabs (without paying) where indies were tied or had Trump ahead. But he's the expert.

Also:

1323366696208531460

looking real bad for Dennison in FL. This could be an anti-climatic night.

[DarrinS]

1323739903994306565

[Reck]

1323739903994306565

Buddy, we're past the point of posting lame videos about the candidates.

[Trill Clinton]

1323752624341065734

[ElNono]

1323739903994306565

Sounds like a mob boss, tbh

[Spurtacular]

Law and order ahead of covid in CNN exit polls. Not a good sign for ya, Chumpettes. :lol

[ElNono]

1323726954231701505

[ElNono]

1323752840439992320

[Spurtacular]

1323752840439992320

:lmao Hack Silver

[ElNono]

:lmao Hack Silver

Pretty solid analysis. Did you read it?

[Will Hunting]

1323752624341065734
:lmao

[ElNono]

1323752624341065734

:lol that's gotta be a troll job

[ElNono]

1323640478600994819

[Ef-man]

Pretty solid analysis. Did you read it?

We know derp did not read the analysis.

Copium will not let him.

[Reck]

Law and order ahead of covid in CNN exit polls. Not a good sign for ya, Chumpettes. :lol

Even with the handicap of not being able to poll the mail in balloters, Biden is the chosen one to better handle the virus.

Number 1 issue is....controlling the virus.

:lol

[FrostKing]

Even with the handicap of not being able to poll the mail in balloters, Biden is the chosen one to better handle the virus.

Number 1 issue is....controlling the virus.

:lol
Economy issue dwarfs the virus.

[Spurtacular]

:lol Are they talking about Andy Dalton being exposed on ESPN?
:lol Desperate to the end.

Millennial_Messiah

[Reck]

Economy issue dwarfs the virus.

Not from the early exit poll data.

Arizona, Georgia and even Florida all say the virus and how it's handle are the top issues.

Biden is the favorite there.

[Spurtacular]

Even with the handicap of not being able to poll the mail in balloters, Biden is the chosen one to better handle the virus.

Number 1 issue is....controlling the virus.

:lol

:lol @ your life decisions. Zombie Rapist as your chosen one.

[Reck]

Trump's job dissaproval in Arizona is 53%. :lol

[Ef-man]

Derp's struggle with copium is real!

https://media.giphy.com/media/XpxVDWILLXC92/giphy.gif


:lol Are they talking about Andy Dalton being exposed on ESPN?
:lol Desperate to the end.

[Spurtacular]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YkADj0TPrJA


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8_YOQ4tJOjA

[Trainwreck2100]

1323752624341065734
:lol the way they listed that Russia question is deceptive as fuck

[Warlord23]

Exit polls are all over the place. The Fox News one looks decidedly more liberal than the CNN one. I don't think they've figured out how to conduct an exit poll with this year's voting patterns

[FrostKing]

Not from the early exit poll data.

Arizona, Georgia and even Florida all say the virus and how it's handle are the top issues.

Biden is the favorite there.
Certainly one of the top issues but majority of working Americans are non-life threatening. I saw statistics 1/5 Americans will be out of funds by Election Day.

[Reck]

1323762478111723523

Aight

[RandomGuy]

:lol @ your life decisions. Zombie Rapist as your chosen one.

Child rapist is your chosen one.

Why do you support a child rapist?

[ducks]

Joe Biden’s campaign says the Democratic presidential nominee can defeat President Trump and win the White House even without carrying two crucial battlegrounds: Florida and Pennsylvania.


Do they think they will lose those states

[Spurtacular]

Re: PA
Via Andrew Torba:

https://gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/059/453/441/original/0f025e9ef7c9cd80.jpeg

[Winehole23]

LAW AND ORDER

1323768290720833536

[Spurtacular]

Trump won Florida in 2016 by just 113,000 votes.

It's only 12:30pm and he's already up by 99,000 votes.

[Spurtacular]

Joe Biden’s campaign says the Democratic presidential nominee can defeat President Trump and win the White House even without carrying two crucial battlegrounds: Florida and Pennsylvania.


Do they think they will lose those states

Good luck with that. :lol

[Spurtacular]

Lines in rural Pennsylvania voting stations are reported to be an hour to an hour and a half long where normally they are 15 minutes.

SPOILER ALERT: they don't vote Blue in rural Pennsylvania.

[Will Hunting]

:lol McGrath running behind Biden in Kentucky, what a fucking horrible candidate.

[Spurtacular]

https://gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/059/459/451/original/7fa5ffbf920d9e11.png

[RandomGuy]

Joe Biden’s campaign says the Democratic presidential nominee can defeat President Trump and win the White House even without carrying two crucial battlegrounds: Florida and Pennsylvania.


Do they think they will lose those states

nope.

[Spurtacular]

Reddit just banned the r/WhoseBricksAreThese subreddit, where they were posting pics of the piles of bricks that are showing up everywhere.

[RandomGuy]

Economy issue dwarfs the virus.

Virus determines course of the economy. BAM

[Will Hunting]

:lmao the DNC forcing a bull-dyke into the race
She's so bad there are actually ticket splitting Biden/McConnell voters :lol

[FrostKing]

Virus determines course of the economy. BAM
Democrats ready to wage war against virus? Reminds me of Republicans war on terrorism.

[Reck]

Biden is already outperforming Hillary's numbers in Kentucky of all places.

[Will Hunting]

Biden is already outperforming Hillary's numbers in Kentucky of all places.
Be careful, a lot of those counties have just reported early votes and haven't counted the election day votes yet.

[Spurtacular]

Trump leading the popular in the early going. The illegal aliens and harvested ballots not in yet.

[baseline bum]

Biden is already outperforming Hillary's numbers in Kentucky of all places.

Boy this night's going to be a rollercoaster for you if you're trying to read anything into these early results.

[Spurtacular]

Biden is already outperforming Hillary's numbers in Kentucky of all places.


Be careful, a lot of those counties have just reported early votes and haven't counted the election day votes yet.

:lol Tranny fell for it.

And not even outperforming by much at all.

[Spurtacular]

Boy this night's going to be a rollercoaster for you if you're trying to read anything into these early results.

She/he needs these tiny w's badly. Will shouldn't have taken it away from her/him, tbh.

[Reck]

Boy this night's going to be a rollercoaster for you if you're trying to read anything into these early results.

ROFL

I'm not looking for Biden to win or be competitive there. I'm just comparing the raw total votes of Biden vs Hillary.

[Reck]

She/he needs these tiny w's badly. Will shouldn't have taken it away from her/him, tbh.

Dude, you think Trump leading the popular vote now is some major discovery. It always happens.

Just wait until New York an California kicks in. :lol derp

[Spurtacular]

Chris Wallace clutching his pearls about businesses boarded up.
Maybe you should've asked Biden if he denounced Antifa, dip shit.

[Splits]

She's so bad there are actually ticket splitting Biden/McConnell voters :lol

Where are you getting these numbers? From what I see she's slightly ahead of Biden's totals

[Splits]

Boy this night's going to be a rollercoaster for you if you're trying to read anything into these early results.

We should have a clearer picture in the next 30 minutes when Florida posts.

[baseline bum]

We should have a clearer picture in the next 30 minutes when Florida posts.


NATE SILVER
NOV. 3, 6:42 PM
It looks as though Republicans will wind up with around a net +2 percent on party registration in Florida. That’s not terrible for them, and they reversed a slight Democratic disadvantage based on early and absentee voting. But it’s also not great. Based on the partisan splits in recent polls of Florida, I estimated that — because Biden is doing better among independents in most polls of the state and gets somewhat more crossover voters — the breakeven point for a Trump win was about R +3.5 in Florida. That is, if Republicans led in turnout by 3.5 points or more, Trump would be the favorite to win; otherwise Biden would be. We’ll probably end up just to the Biden side of the line. With that said, there’s a lot of uncertainty. Some polls in Florida showed Biden with big leaders among independents in Florida, while in others he was running evenly with Trump.

[boutons_deux]

LAW AND ORDER

1323768290720833536

no punishment? accountability?

The oligarchy telling the judiciary to fuck off and get lost, with impunity.

[Spurtacular]

:lol Fox News calling Virginia w/o showing numbers and not calling Indiana where Trump up big.

[hater]

Fuck trump won

Fuck me

[Winehole23]

:lol that's gotta be a troll job
US voters support social democratic policies by large majorities. Pity neither major party does.

[baseline bum]

Fucking McGrath running slightly under McConnell with mostly only the mail-in vote counted. What a fucking worthless candidate.

[hater]

Trump killing it

[Will Hunting]

Where are you getting these numbers? From what I see she's slightly ahead of Biden's totals
Yeah the first counties to report showed Biden ahead since then she's pulled ahead of Biden.

[Will Hunting]

:lol Fox News calling Virginia w/o showing numbers and not calling Indiana where Trump up big.
MSNBC called Indiana for Trump already :lol

[Winehole23]

:lol Fox News calling Virginia w/o showing numbers and not calling Indiana where Trump up big.AP has called Indiana for Trump.

[Reck]

Trump is under performing his 2016 numbers in Florida thus far. A lot of red couties already upwards of 70-80% in.

[Warlord23]

Pinellas county, FL might be the canary in the coal mine. If Biden retains that margin he wins FL

[hater]

Damn Trump obliterating nigas

Called it :tu

[Splits]

Pinellas county, FL might be the canary in the coal mine. If Biden retains that margin he wins FL

This

+1 in 2016 for Trump he's -9 with 74% reported

[Will Hunting]

Pinellas county, FL might be the canary in the coal mine. If Biden retains that margin he wins FL
The margin will shrink but there aren't enough election day votes in Pinellas to change it, Biden should carry Pinellas.

[Spurtacular]

Democrats ready to wage war against virus? Reminds me of Republicans war on terrorism.

Yup. America doesn't need that sh**.

[boutons_deux]

US voters support social democratic policies by large majorities. Pity neither major party does.

the answer is very simple, and always:

Both parties support whatever their BigDonor class wants, and that's Capitalism

Voters almost never get their preferences except by incidentally overlapping with what BigDonor prefers.

[Spurtacular]

AP has called Indiana for Trump.

Yea, FNC needs Indy not called to give Biden the lead. They need to sell the drama.

[Warlord23]

The other key in FL in 2016 was the Libertarian and Green vote ... that seems to be going into Biden's account this time

[boutons_deux]

Trash takes fucking nasty Indiana, 11 EC

[Splits]

Hillsborough county: Clinton +7 Biden +12 with 81% in

[Spurtacular]

MSNBC called Indiana for Trump already :lol

FNC made a decision that Biden ahead better for their ratings.

[Splits]

Damn Trump obliterating nigas

Called it :tu

lmao Dennison is getting killed in Florida compared to Clinton in every county reporting so far

[spurraider21]

Hillsborough county: Clinton +7 Biden +12 with 81% in
when these tracking websites like NYT say that 80% of the votes from a given county are in, does that also factor in mail in votes, or just the in-person votes?

[ducks]

CNN Projection: Trump wins Indiana

[Splits]

when these tracking websites like NYT say that 80% of the votes from a given county are in, does that also factor in mail in votes, or just the in-person votes?

All votes, mail, in-person today, in-person early.

Florida probably best in country at reporting

[Reck]

Jesus, Broward county people came to play.

[Spurtacular]

Damn Trump obliterating nigas

Called it :tu

Any TYT meltdowns yet?

[Splits]

Miami-Dade just fucked Biden smh

[Winehole23]

1323689968452177920

[ducks]

A precinct in Orange County, Florida, reported a voter turnout rate of more than 100% on Tuesday.

The Orange County Supervisor of Elections posted a Twitter thread on Tuesday citing state turnout data, showing that Precinct 538 had voter turnout exceeding 100%.

Officials explained that as of Oct. 6, the registration deadline, there were 754 voters registered in the precinct.

[spurraider21]

Miami-Dade just fucked Biden smh
was about to say, his lead there isn't big at all. hillary carried that county by way more

[Spurtacular]

If Miami-Dade any indication of other urban places.....

[baseline bum]

was about to say, his lead there isn't big at all. hillary carried that county by way more

:pctoss

[Spurtacular]

NYT: Trump 78% chance of winning FL. That's going to be over 90 really quick.

[Nathan89]

https://twitter.com/RichardBSpencer/status/1323755888667103232?s=20

Joe Biden had kkk friends and now has Richard's vote. He has yet to denounce white supremacy like Trump. Not a good look.

[spurraider21]

NYT currently giving trump an 81% chance to take Florida with just under 40% of the vote in

[FkLA]

Florida is fascinating to watch, tbh. :lol

[spurraider21]

Jesus, Broward county people came to play.
did they? the numbers there are fairly comparable to 2016, while biden underperformed in dade

[Will Hunting]

:lmao jesus Miami-Dade that's not good

[Spurtacular]

Florida is fascinating to watch, tbh. :lol

It's a bit of a bellwether. Zombie apocalypse may be quelled for now.

[baseline bum]

Fucking Florida again

https://media0.giphy.com/media/fsnzYr1pgvAQM/giphy.gif

[ducks]

BREAKING: The Fox News Decision Desk can now project that President Trump will defeat former Vice President Joe Biden in Kentucky.

[baseline bum]

:lmao jesus Miami-Dade that's not good

Tell you're rioting tonight

[Spurtacular]

I might have to consider being a Heat fan going forward.

[boutons_deux]

Catholic clown

‘That’s a big number’:

CNN’s Santorum stunned by volume of voters admitting they’re showing up to vote against Trump

https://www.rawstory.com/2020/11/thats-a-big-number-cnns-san​torum-stunned-by-volume-of-voters-admitting-theyre-showing-up-to-vote-against-trump (https://www.rawstory.com/2020/11/thats-a-big-number-cnns-santorum-stunned-by-volume-of-voters-admitting-theyre-showing-up-to-vote-against-trump/?utm_source=&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=5821)

[Reck]

did they? the numbers there are fairly comparable to 2016, while biden underperformed in dade

According to Nate Silver they it was D+28.

John King from CNN said the remaining voptes from Miami Dade are mail in that haven't kicked in yet.

[spurraider21]

NYT giving trump 91% chance to take Florida with just over 50% in

[Spurtacular]

Fucking Florida again

https://media0.giphy.com/media/fsnzYr1pgvAQM/giphy.gif

Writing was on the wall. Democrats were stupid to compete so hard for it.

[Spurtacular]

NYT: Trump 78% chance of winning FL. That's going to be over 90 really quick.


NYT giving trump 91% chance to take Florida with just over 50% in

7 minutes.

[FkLA]

https://youtu.be/fPZkdhubStI

[spurraider21]

Trump needs Florida to compete... it would have been a quick knockout blow if he lost the state. looks like we have a race.

[florige]

Fucking Florida again

https://media0.giphy.com/media/fsnzYr1pgvAQM/giphy.gif


Biden campaign earlier today said that FL was going to be tough, they already called that before now

[baseline bum]

Biden campaign earlier today said that FL was going to be tough, they already called that before now

God damn worthless Cubans

[Winehole23]

LAW AND ORDER

1323768290720833536
I wouldn't want to be the lawyer appearing for the USPS tomorrow.

1323767666830643201

[LaMarcus Bryant]

Stupid conservative ass Cubans hurry and breed your ethnicity away smh

[hater]

Biden lost Florida

:wow

Holy shit what a beatdown

[Spurtacular]

NYT needle for GA 56 percent for Trump.
FNC needle for GA 59 percent for Biden.

FNC selling the drama tonight.

[lefty]

:lmao applying for canadian citizenship tonight

:lol Sorreh we’re closed

[hater]

Trump won easily

Called it :tu

[InRareForm]

We aren't going to know who wins... Michigan saying too many absentee.ballots and penn has to wait until tommorow

[Spurtacular]

Biden lost Florida

:wow

Holy shit what a beatdown

Expected. I should've bookmarked my big calls for Florida. Would be hard to find. My calls were between 3-10 percent.

[hater]

We aren't going to know who wins... Michigan saying too many absentee.ballots and penn has to wait until tommorow

Its ova niga

Trump 4 more years

[spurraider21]

I’ll get dual citizenship in South Korea then :lol
my wife is already a swedish citizen... maybe we'll put her US citizenship app on hold :lol

[Spurtacular]

Spurtacular (https://www.spurstalk.com/forums/member.php?u=49615) congratulations, Derp. Your boy did it.

Way too early. No jinxing, slob.

[InRareForm]

Betting lines have dropped from -210 to -170 for biden now

[Spurtacular]

my wife is already a swedish citizen... maybe we'll put her US citizenship app on hold :lol

Why? Does she have renounce Swedish citizenship?

[lefty]

my wife is already a swedish citizen... maybe we'll put her US citizenship app on hold :lol

go to sweden bro

[lefty]

I’ll get dual citizenship in South Korea then :lol

:lol sk is pretty nice tbh

[spurraider21]

NYT calling virginia for biden. i did my job fellas :lol

[Winehole23]

1323786492838293513

[Spurtacular]

Georgia starting to look good.
Nothing on NC for about 40 minutes.

[hater]

Democrats getting obliterated :wow

[Spurtacular]

I know Panhandle not in yet, but Biden still ahead in Florida annoying me all the same.

[baseline bum]

I’ll get dual citizenship in South Korea then :lol

Why would you want to pay taxes to this shithole?

[Spurtacular]

They still not called Indiana? :lol

[Robz4000]

This is gonna be a bigger win for Trump than 2016 isn't it?

[Spurtacular]

This is gonna be a bigger win for Trump than 2016 isn't it?

You tryin' to jinx it, bro?

[TimDunkem]

This is gonna be a bigger win for Trump than 2016 isn't it?

It's 6:46 CST, brah.

[spurraider21]

This is gonna be a bigger win for Trump than 2016 isn't it?
way too early to tell. florida was one of the states trump had to win to have a chance. he's doing well there though. Florida basically represented an opportunity for an early knockout blow if biden won it.

[Reck]

What are you people watching? Biden is up in Florida by 2 points with 78% reporting.

I'm following the AP.

[lefty20]

This is gonna be a bigger win for Trump than 2016 isn't it?

Looking like it, tbh.

[spurraider21]

What are you people watching? Biden is up in Florida by 2 points with 78% reporting.

I'm following the AP.
dade/broward vote almost all in. still a lot of panhandle counties to report which will go heavy trump. was a similar scenario in 2016 iirc

i'm following NYT. they show, as you are seeing, biden with a small lead with 78% in, but they're giving trump something like 95% chance to carry the state based on where we are still having votes reported from

[Robz4000]

What are you people watching? Biden is up in Florida by 2 points with 78% reporting.

I'm following the AP.

That last 20% is from the Florida panhandle which is mostly conservative iirc.

[InRareForm]

Lol people jumping to conclusions. We are in for a long night

[Winehole23]

1323782251419754497

[Texas_Ranger]

after 79% its pretty much tied in Florida.

[Spurtacular]

1323782251419754497

:tu

[Spurtacular]

Do they have campaign HQ audiences like usual?

[Spurminator]

way too early to tell. florida was one of the states trump had to win to have a chance. he's doing well there though. Florida basically represented an opportunity for an early knockout blow if biden won it.

He did well in Miami but Biden is outperforming Clinton in basically every other county. I think the 95% number from the NYT is way too high at the moment.

[spurraider21]

Trump needs to sweep Flordia/Georgia/NC for this to be a race. right now he has Florida nearly in the bag. still very early in those other states. if Trump sweeps those 3, then we look very closely at the other battleground states like penn/ohio/arizona

[Dirks_Finale]

What are you people watching? Biden is up in Florida by 2 points with 78% reporting.

I'm following the AP.

Panhandle always come in later flooded with conservative votes. If its essentially tied with 80% in, FLA is red again.

[hater]

Panhandle always come in later flooded with conservative votes. If its essentially tied with 80% in, FLA is red again.

Yup easiest call of the night

Trump wins presidency easily

[vy65]

Ohio and NC looking good for Biden early on

[Leetonidas]

People in here trying to call it with barely any votes in yet :lmao

[ducks]

BREAKING: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell wins reelection in Kentucky after big-spending race against Amy McGrath, Fox News projects

[hater]

People in here trying to call it with barely any votes in yet :lmao

Its over nig

Trump repeated :wow

[hater]

BREAKING: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell wins reelection in Kentucky after big-spending race against Amy McGrath, Fox News projects

Trump votes. It pays to suck Dumps small dick

[florige]

People in here trying to call it with barely any votes in yet :lmao



People are having DeJA Vu about 2016 over again so they are literally freaking out

[spurraider21]

:lol miami

https://i.gyazo.com/dd8980eee3c347fddfbdf4075ecb33a8.png

[RD2191]

Just got in. What's the word bromosexuals?

[spurraider21]

Just got in. What's the word bromosexuals?
we have a real race.

[hater]

Biden lost Florida

:wow

Holy shit what a beatdown

Called it 45 mins ago

Its over

Trump repeats

[Spurtacular]

Trump +21 with 21 reporting in VA. :lol if they have to put that back on the board.

[TimDunkem]

:lol Any Dem that expects Florida not to disappoint.

[hater]

:lol Any Dem that expects Florida not to disappoint.

If Biden cannot win Florida its over

TRUMP BY MILES

[Spurtacular]

Collier County fishy. Dems must've had an operation there.

[RD2191]

we have a real race.
You think my boy Bernard Sanders would've done better?

[TimDunkem]

If Biden cannot win Florida its over

TRUMP BY MILES

That's silly. Florida was never essential. Florida just means Trump has a longshot instead of a big defeat.

On the flipside, Trump needs Ohio and he's underperforming bigly.

[Trainwreck2100]

Fucking Cubans Castro knew what he was doing when he sent those asshats here

[Spurtacular]

Trump won FL at 8:16 EST.

[Spurtacular]

Fucking Cubans Castro knew what he was doing when he sent those asshats here

Yea, Castro was the good guy. :lol

[RD2191]

If Trump wins Florida he's winning the election, I'm calling it now.