Texas response to Corona virus

[Blake]

"Published July 26, 2020
Updated July 27, 2020
HOUSTON — Elaine Roberts, a longtime bagger at a supermarket, tried to be so careful. She put on gloves and stopped riding the bus to work, instead relying on her father to drive her to keep their family safe. She wore masks — in space-themed fabrics stitched by her sister — as she stacked products on shelves, helped people to their cars and retrieved carts from the parking lot.

But many of the customers at the Randalls store in a Houston suburb did not wear them, she noticed, even as coronavirus cases in the state began rising in early June. Gov. Greg Abbott, who had pushed to reopen businesses in Texas, was refusing to make masks mandatory and for weeks had blocked local officials from enforcing any mask requirements. The grocery store only posted signs asking shoppers to wear them.

Ms. Roberts, 35, who has autism and lives with her parents, got sick first, sneezing and coughing. Then her father, Paul, and mother, Sheryl, who had been so cautious after the pandemic struck that their rare ventures out were mostly for bird-watching in a nearly empty park, were hospitalized with breathing problems.

Their cases were unusual: Sheryl Roberts, a sunny retired nurse, experienced severe psychiatric symptoms that made doctors fear she was suicidal, possibly an effect of the disease and medicines to treat it. She is recovering, but her husband is critically ill, on a ventilator, with failing kidneys and a mysterious paralysis that has afflicted about a dozen others at Houston Methodist Hospital....."

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/26/us/coronavirus-family-houston-masks.html

[Winehole23]

Hook em


According to UT-Austin’s dashboard, 172 faculty and staff members and 287 students have tested positive for the coronavirus since March.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/07/30/ut-austin-coronavirus-cases/ (https://www.texastribune.org/2020/07/30/ut-austin-coronavirus-cases/?utm_campaign=trib-social&utm_content=1596145719&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter)

[Winehole23]

dp

[tholdren]

too bad texans just didn't wear goggles like all the other countries in the world

Dr. Anthony Fauci suggested that people wear goggles or face shields as an added measure of protection against contracting the coronavirus, according to a report.

“If you have goggles or an eye shield, you should use it,” Fauci, 79, the top US infectious disease expert, told ABC News Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Jennifer Ashton on Wednesday

[ElNono]

too bad texans just didn't wear goggles like all the other countries in the world

Dr. Anthony Fauci suggested that people wear goggles or face shields as an added measure of protection against contracting the coronavirus, according to a report.

“If you have goggles or an eye shield, you should use it,” Fauci, 79, the top US infectious disease expert, told ABC News Chief Medical Correspondent Dr. Jennifer Ashton on Wednesday

gossip

[boutons_deux]

In San Antonio’s Largest School District,

2/3 of Parents Don’t Want Kids on Campus

About two-thirds of Northside Independent School District parents said they plan to keep their kids home when school starts, district officials reported at a Tuesday night school board meeting.

When asked the same question at the beginning of June, 38 percent of parents said the same.

San Antonio’s largest school district polled parents and staff on their feelings toward school reopening.

The results showed close to

three-quarters of both groups were very concerned about COVID-19 impacting their health or the health of someone in their household.

These concerns had grown significantly since the district surveyed parents at the beginning of June.

https://therivardreport.com/in-san-antonios-largest-school-district-2-3-of-parents-dont-want-kids-on-campus (https://therivardreport.com/in-san-antonios-largest-school-district-2-3-of-parents-dont-want-kids-on-campus/?utm_campaign=ffd21bc7cf-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_21_07_19_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_source=Rivard%20Report&utm_content=editorial&utm_term=0_1576c62124-ffd21bc7cf-84683437&mc_cid=ffd21bc7cf&mc_eid=54a5432c74)

[RandomGuy]

Who claims science is irrefutable?

No science is irrefutable. Sort of baked in to the definition.

But

The only way you really refute evidence or a theory is with better evidence or better theories. Something dipshits have a hard time wrapping their pointy little anti-science brains around.

[Splits]

Ramp to 225 deaths/day by end July, continuing to escalate to a peak of around 450/day by latter part of August, plateauing there for who knows how long, at least several weeks. ~10k Texans dead by end-August.

https://i.imgur.com/UVjRfIO.png

hate to see it

[Splits]

trending wrong...

[Will Hunting]

https://i.imgur.com/UVjRfIO.png

hate to see it
Splits

[Will Hunting]

trending wrong...
What should we expect for Florida, tbh?

[Splits]

What should we expect for Florida, tbh?

Tracking Texas closely, just extrapolate.

Both will hit single-day highs of 500 in the next 30 days, both may peak and plateau at that range for a number of weeks.

[Will Hunting]

Tracking Texas closely, just extrapolate.

Both will hit single-day highs of 500 in the next 30 days, both may peak and plateau at that range for a number of weeks.
The X factor is how much the Trump administration is going to fudge the numbers now that the CDC is no longer getting the data. I’m worried Trump gets really desperate and starts publishing false numbers that show the curve flattening/going down.

[boutons_deux]

Coronavirus infected scores of children and staff at Georgia sleep-away camp

The finding that children 'might play an important role in transmission’ is likely to fuel debates about whether to reopen schools.

children of all ages are susceptible to coronavirus infection and may also spread it to others — a finding likely to intensify an already fraught discussion about the risks of sending children back to school this fall.

an outbreak at a sleep-away camp in Georgia last month in which 260 children and staffers —

more than three-quarters of the 344 tested —

contracted the virus less than a week after spending time together in close quarters.

The children had a median age of 12.

The camp had required all 597 campers and staff members to provide documentation that they had tested negative for the virus before coming.

Staff were required to wear masks,

but children were not.

likely to add fuel to an already polarizing nationwide discussion about

whether sending children back to crowded school buildings is worth the risk,

in large part because so little data has been available about children’s vulnerability to the infection and their ability to transmit the virus.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/07/31/georgia-children-covid-outbreak/

[Winehole23]

Travis County is doing well relatively, #15 statewide as measured by cumulative caseload.

I see some folks wearing their masks wrong, but hardly any going around without a mask.

Sit down restaurants, whole 'nother thing.

[Splits]

The X factor is how much the Trump administration is going to fudge the numbers now that the CDC is no longer getting the data. I’m worried Trump gets really desperate and starts publishing false numbers that show the curve flattening/going down.


Raw data still published at the local level... it's imprecise but at the same time dependable. If that number supply chain gets disrupted, then yeah... but so far nothing nefarious

[Winehole23]

:lmao

1289268596590481410

[TSA]

The X factor is how much the Trump administration is going to fudge the numbers now that the CDC is no longer getting the data. I’m worried Trump gets really desperate and starts publishing false numbers that show the curve flattening/going down.

The CDC never stopped getting the data.

[midnightpulp]

What should we expect for Florida, tbh?

This dude has been pretty dead on, but he only forecasts about two weeks ahead.

1288951536299565056

Note. Yes, Florida has already reported more than 190 deaths per hitting the 250 and above range, but his forecasts are for "actual" deaths, since reported deaths are invariably higher as they include backlogged deaths.

[Blake]

Coronavirus infected scores of children and staff at Georgia sleep-away camp

The finding that children 'might play an important role in transmission’ is likely to fuel debates about whether to reopen schools.

children of all ages are susceptible to coronavirus infection and may also spread it to others — a finding likely to intensify an already fraught discussion about the risks of sending children back to school this fall.

an outbreak at a sleep-away camp in Georgia last month in which 260 children and staffers —

more than three-quarters of the 344 tested —

contracted the virus less than a week after spending time together in close quarters.

The children had a median age of 12.

The camp had required all 597 campers and staff members to provide documentation that they had tested negative for the virus before coming.

Staff were required to wear masks,

but children were not.

likely to add fuel to an already polarizing nationwide discussion about

whether sending children back to crowded school buildings is worth the risk,

in large part because so little data has been available about children’s vulnerability to the infection and their ability to transmit the virus.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/07/31/georgia-children-covid-outbreak/

NO IT'S OKAY CUZ SWEDEN

[Will Hunting]

The CDC never stopped getting the data.
You’re saying the CDC still gets it straight from hospitals? I don’t follow.

[tholdren]

This dude has been pretty dead on, but he only forecasts about two weeks ahead.

1288951536299565056

Note. Yes, Florida has already reported more than 190 deaths per hitting the 250 and above range, but his forecasts are for "actual" deaths, since reported deaths are invariably higher as they include backlogged deaths.

this guy also said hospitals i n ca ny az tx fl would be over capacity if no lockdown..

He's low iq

[tholdren]

Raw data still published at the local level... it's imprecise but at the same time dependable. If that number supply chain gets disrupted, then yeah... but so far nothing nefarious

lol you are not good at math.

It is not reliable. Just stop

[ChumpDumper]

this guy also said hospitals i n ca ny az tx fl would be over capacity if no lockdown..

He's low iqHe's better than you.

And it kills you.

[Blake]

lol you are not good at math.

It is not reliable. Just stop

Just stop your lies.

[ChumpDumper]

math:lol

[tholdren]

He's better than you.

And it kills you.

not really.

[ChumpDumper]

not really.Yep. You can't even show your math.

Sad.

[TSA]

You’re saying the CDC still gets it straight from hospitals? I don’t follow.

https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2020/07/15/prepared-remarks-from-hhs-media-call-cdc-director-redfield-cio-arrieta-covid-19-data-collection.html

John Hopkins never relied on the CDC anyways so it would be easy to see if numbers were being fudged by comparing the two.

[tholdren]

Yep. You can't even show your math.

Sad.

I've already told you. You dont understand normal distribution

[midnightpulp]

Tracking Texas closely, just extrapolate.

Both will hit single-day highs of 500 in the next 30 days, both may peak and plateau at that range for a number of weeks.

You using an algo or just doing back of the napkin math extrapolation?

[ChumpDumper]

I've already told you. You dont understand normal distributionI've already told you. You're afraid to show your math.

You haven't done it once.

[midnightpulp]

this guy also said hospitals i n ca ny az tx fl would be over capacity if no lockdown..

He's low iq

Show me the tweet?

[ElNono]

https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2020/07/15/prepared-remarks-from-hhs-media-call-cdc-director-redfield-cio-arrieta-covid-19-data-collection.html

John Hopkins never relied on the CDC anyways so it would be easy to see if numbers were being fudged by comparing the two.

Yeah, hopefully we don't start seeing discrepancies, otherwise it's amateur hour, tbh

[Winehole23]

Yeah, hopefully we don't start seeing discrepancies, otherwise it's amateur hour, tbh"loss of situational awareness"

https://www.propublica.org/article/how-many-people-in-the-us-are-hospitalized-with-covid-19-who-knows

[baseline bum]

nm

[tholdren]

I've already told you. You're afraid to show your math.

You haven't done it once.

I've done it regularly

[midnightpulp]

I've done it regularly

300 today in Texas.

[Blake]

I've done it regularly

Lol

[pgardn]

Foldren playing games with the word, capacity.

What is the capacity of a gallon jug of milk?

The capacity is 2 gallons because you have another gallon jug across the street in a repo apartment complex.

What is the capacity of 1 floor of ICU beds?

10 floors of ICU, because you just label all the other 8 floors ICU, and then add one floor for the parking garage.

Next... We use the ocean floor.

[tholdren]

300 today in Texas.

Tell me about those 300...

[ChumpDumper]

I've done it regularlyPost a link to the last time you showed your math.

[DarrinS]

Hospitalization falling in SA

[Blake]

Hospitalization falling in SA

I wonder why

[boutons_deux]

https://scontent-dfw5-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/116872096_10158761653665742_8093005403325472019_o. jpg?_nc_cat=103&_nc_sid=9267fe&_nc_ohc=Si-DoavFz-wAX9-_Q-X&_nc_ht=scontent-dfw5-1.xx&oh=bb8d80d7cd6fc061daaf9798ffc5ffd6&oe=5F4D3128

[DarrinS]

374 new cases in S.A. (pop. > 2M) and hospitalization continues decline.

[DarrinS]

374 new cases in S.A. (pop. > 2M) and hospitalization continues decline.

And 3 deaths

[DarrinS]

And 3 deaths

My zip code still less than 300 CUMULATIVE cases, zero deaths.

[Winehole23]

My zip code still less than 300 CUMULATIVE cases, zero deaths.It's all about the effect on you, huh?

[Blake]

Darrin bunkering down in his zip code. Neat.

[tholdren]

It's all about the effect on you, huh?

Jim and the 99.9 percent that also had nothing. 2 weeks bro

[Blake]

"HOUSTON — As we begin a new work week, Houston is reporting more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases for the fifth day in a row. The city also reported eight new deaths related to the virus.

"I certainly don't see progress," said infectious disease expert Dr. Peter Hotez.

Hotez says rising deaths in Houston are a concern.

"It's the same thing every damn day," Hotez said. "It's Hispanic, Hispanic, Black, Black, Hispanic. I think it's historic decimation of the Hispanic/Latina community, not only in Houston, but across Texas."

The CDC is now projecting the U.S. will hit 173,000 deaths in just three weeks. Locally, new cases are plateauing at about 1,200 to 1,500 a day in Houston. Hotez says the number is too high.

......Hotez warns if new cases don't drastically come down, reopening schools would be a disaster.

"It won't be sustained," Hotez said. "We'll have to start shutting down schools again pretty quickly. Teachers will get sick and it will destabilize the whole system and things will get worse."

https://www.khou.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/houston-reports-more-than-1k-new-covid-19-cases-for-fifth-straight-day/285-6bab0690-717f-4ea2-96bf-b4ac5ebe3f9f

[tholdren]

"HOUSTON — As we begin a new work week, Houston is reporting more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases for the fifth day in a row. The city also reported eight new deaths related to the virus.

"I certainly don't see progress," said infectious disease expert Dr. Peter Hotez.

Hotez says rising deaths in Houston are a concern.

"It's the same thing every damn day," Hotez said. "It's Hispanic, Hispanic, Black, Black, Hispanic. I think it's historic decimation of the Hispanic/Latina community, not only in Houston, but across Texas."

The CDC is now projecting the U.S. will hit 173,000 deaths in just three weeks. Locally, new cases are plateauing at about 1,200 to 1,500 a day in Houston. Hotez says the number is too high.

......Hotez warns if new cases don't drastically come down, reopening schools would be a disaster.

"It won't be sustained," Hotez said. "We'll have to start shutting down schools again pretty quickly. Teachers will get sick and it will destabilize the whole system and things will get worse."

https://www.khou.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/houston-reports-more-than-1k-new-covid-19-cases-for-fifth-straight-day/285-6bab0690-717f-4ea2-96bf-b4ac5ebe3f9f

Lol the fear

[tholdren]

No hospital ever was over capacity in texas

[ElNono]

^ gossip

[RandomGuy]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/08/01/schools-reopening-coronavirus-arizona-superintendent/

This is my choice, but I’m starting to wish that it wasn’t. I don’t feel qualified. I’ve been a superintendent for 20 years, so I guess I should be used to making decisions, but I keep getting lost in my head. I’ll be in my office looking at a blank computer screen, and then all of the sudden I realize a whole hour’s gone by. I’m worried. I’m worried about everything. Each possibility I come up with is a bad one.

About this series
Voices from the Pandemic is an oral history of covid-19 and those affected.
The governor has told us we have to open our schools to students on August 17th, or else we miss out on five percent of our funding. I run a high-needs district in middle-of-nowhere Arizona. We’re 90 percent Hispanic and more than 90 percent free-and-reduced lunch. These kids need every dollar we can get. But covid is spreading all over this area and hitting my staff, and now it feels like there’s a gun to my head. I already lost one teacher to this virus. Do I risk opening back up even if it’s going to cost us more lives? Or do we run school remotely and end up depriving these kids?

This is your classic one-horse town. Picture John Wayne riding through cactuses and all that. I’m superintendent, high school principal and sometimes the basketball referee during recess. This is a skeleton staff, and we pay an average salary of about 40,000 a year. I’ve got nothing to cut. We’re buying new programs for virtual learning and trying to get hotspots and iPads for all our kids. Five percent of our budget is hundreds of thousands of dollars. Where’s that going to come from? I might lose teaching positions or basic curriculum unless we somehow get up and running.


I’ve been in the building every day, sanitizing doors and measuring out space in classrooms. We still haven’t received our order of Plexiglas barriers, so we’re cutting up shower curtains and trying to make do with that. It’s one obstacle after the next. Just last week I found out we had another staff member who tested positive, so I went through the guidance from OSHA and the CDC and tried to figure out the protocols. I’m not an expert at any of this, but I did my best with the contact tracing. I called 10 people on staff and told them they’d had a possible exposure. I arranged separate cars and got us all to the testing site. Some of my staff members were crying. They’ve seen what can happen, and they’re coming to me with questions I can’t always answer. “Does my whole family need to get tested?” “How long do I have to quarantine?” “What if this virus hits me like it did Mrs. Byrd?”

We got back two of those tests already — both positive. We’re still waiting on eight more. That makes 11 percent of my staff that’s gotten covid, and we haven’t had a single student in our buildings since March. Part of our facility is closed down for decontamination, but we don’t have anyone left to decontaminate it unless I want to put on my hazmat suit and go in there. We’ve seen the impacts of this virus on our maintenance department, on transportation, on food service, on faculty. It’s like this district is shutting down case by case. I don’t understand how anyone could expect us to reopen the building this month in a way that feels safe. It’s like they’re telling us: “Okay. Summer’s over. It’s been long enough. Time to get back to normal.” But since when has this virus operated on our schedule?

I dream about going back to normal. I’d love to be open. These kids are hurting right now. I don’t need a politician to tell me that. We only have 300 students in this district, and they’re like family. My wife is a teacher here, and we had four kids go through these schools. I know whose parents are laid off from the copper mine and who doesn’t have enough to eat. We delivered breakfast and lunches this summer, and we gave out more meals each day than we have students. I get phone calls from families dealing with poverty issues, depression, loneliness, boredom. Some of these kids are out in the wilderness right now, and school is the best place for them. We all agree on that. But every time I start to play out what that looks like on August 17th, I get sick to my stomach. More than a quarter of our students live with grandparents. These kids could very easily catch this virus, spread it and bring it back home. It’s not safe. There’s no way it can be safe.

If you think anything else, I’m sorry, but it’s a fantasy. Kids will get sick, or worse. Family members will die. Teachers will die.

Jeff Gregorich, superintendent of schools at Hayden Winkelman Unified School District in Arizona, shows results of a district survey. (Photos by Caitlin O’Hara for The Washington Post)
Mrs. Byrd did everything right. She followed all the protocols. If there’s such a thing as a safe, controlled environment inside a classroom during a pandemic, that was it. We had three teachers sharing a room so they could teach a virtual summer school. They were so careful. This was back in June, when cases here were starting to spike. The kids were at home, but the teachers wanted to be together in the classroom so they could team up on the new technology. I thought that was a good idea. It’s a big room. They could watch and learn from each other. Mrs. Byrd was a master teacher. She’d been here since 1982, and she was always coming up with creative ideas. They delivered care packages to the elementary students so they could sprout beans for something hands-on at home, and then the teachers all took turns in front of the camera. All three of them wore masks. They checked their temperatures. They taught on their own devices and didn’t share anything, not even a pencil.

At first she thought it was a sinus infection. That’s what the doctor told her, but it kept getting worse. I got a call that she’d been rushed to the hospital. Her oxygen was low, and they put her on a ventilator pretty much right away. The other two teachers started feeling sick the same weekend, so they went to get tested. They both had it bad for the next month. Mrs. Byrd’s husband got it and was hospitalized. Her brother got it and passed away. Mrs. Byrd fought for a few weeks until she couldn’t anymore.

I’ve gone over it in my head a thousand times. What precautions did we miss? What more could I have done? I don’t have an answer. These were three responsible adults in an otherwise empty classroom, and they worked hard to protect each other. We still couldn’t control it. That’s what scares me.


We got the whole staff together for grief counseling. We did it virtually, over Zoom. There’s sadness, and it’s also so much fear. My wife is one of our teachers in the primary grade, and she has asthma. She was explaining to me how every kid who sees her automatically gives her a hug. They arrive in the morning — hug. Leave for recess — hug. Lunch — hug. Locker — hug. That’s all day. Even if we do everything perfectly, germs are going to spread inside a school. We share the same space. We share the same air.

A bunch of our teachers have told me they will put in for retirement if we open up this month. They’re saying: “Please don’t make us go back. This is crazy. We’re putting the whole community at risk.”

They’re right. I agree with them 100 percent. Teachers don’t feel safe. Most parents said in a survey that they’re “very concerned” about sending their kids back to school. So why are we getting bullied into opening? This district isn’t ready to open. I can’t have more people getting sick. Why are they threatening our funding? I keep waiting for someone higher up to take this decision out of my hands and come to their senses. I’m waiting for real leadership, but maybe it’s not going to happen.

It’s me. It’s the biggest decision of my career, and the one part I’m certain about is it’s going to hurt either way.

[Blake]

https://cbsnews3.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2020/08/04/5fb26895-756d-465e-8ba3-69621d4a8171/thumbnail/640x596/fd76b86f03539379cbbbc4e6af3e48c3/screen-shot-2020-08-04-at-10-36-24-am.png

"... They blame his death on Trump, Abbott, etc.."

They have every right, tbh

[DarrinS]

https://cbsnews3.cbsistatic.com/hub/i/r/2020/08/04/5fb26895-756d-465e-8ba3-69621d4a8171/thumbnail/640x596/fd76b86f03539379cbbbc4e6af3e48c3/screen-shot-2020-08-04-at-10-36-24-am.png

"... They blame his death on Trump, Abbott, etc.."

They have every right, tbh

Lol, politicizing an obituary.

Dude was 80.

[Blake]

Lol, politicizing an obituary.

Dude was 80.

Cuz your zip code is doing good :tu

[Winehole23]

Cuz your zip code is doing good :tuPoliticizing his own COVID-19 free status, so to speak. Universalizing the particular.

[DarrinS]

Politicizing his own COVID-19 free status, so to speak. Universalizinsseg the particular.

Universalizinsseg?


Anyway, just giving local data.

[Winehole23]

Universalizing?,


Anyway, just giving local data.Thanks for the micrological view. :tu

[DarrinS]

Thanks for the micrological view. :tu

The entire city is trending in a positive direction. Do you hate good news?

[Winehole23]

The entire city is trending in a positive direction. Do you hate good news?Not at all, the trend, if true, looks favorable short term.

Problem sure looks small if you look at it through a soda straw.

[DarrinS]

Not at all, the trend, if true, looks favorable short term.

Problem sure looks small if you look at it through a soda straw.


Sad trombone

[Winehole23]

Sad tromboneyou heard it

[baseline bum]

Lol, politicizing an obituary.

Dude was 80.

:cry Just shut up if you think Trump screwed up :cry
:cry 80 year-old lives don't count :cry

[Spurminator]

:cry Just shut up if you think Trump screwed up :cry
:cry 80 year-old lives don't count :cry

Politicizing deaths is the exclusive privilege of Republican politicians, not liberal plebs. Pandemics are off limits, but if you can get a few months of material from an immigrant killing a white girl, milk that shit dry.

[DarrinS]

Politicizing deaths is the exclusive privilege of Republican politicians, not liberal plebs. Pandemics are off limits, but if you can get a few months of material from an immigrant killing a white girl, milk that shit dry.

Hi

[baseline bum]

Hi

Why does being 80 mean David Nagy's life doesn't matter?

[slick'81]

Hi


D out for blood tonight

[baseline bum]

D out for blood tonight

I know someone who died of COVID in his 80s. It was really funny. He didn't matter either.

[Winehole23]

Why does being 80 mean David Nagy's life doesn't matter?Exceeded the est. avg life expectancy for a US male and was no longer a productive worker.

An incipient moocher, his sudden demise from COVID-19 probably averted significant public charges.

[Blake]

"HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- The COVID-19 testing positivity rate is at the highest point yet in Texas.

The Department of Health and Human Services reported the seven day positivity test rate on August 8 was 20.31%. The rate has increased from 12.05% on July 31...."

https://abc13.com/health/covid-19-testing-positivity-rate-hits-new-high-in-texas/6363998/

[Blake]

"AUSTIN (KXAN) — With active cases of COVID-19 in slight decline around Texas, a projection by modelers at the University of Texas at Austin raises new concerns. It suggests there will be 15,000 more deaths in Texas over the next three weeks.

The model by UT’s College of Natural Sciences predicts between 20,655 and 26,726 Texans will die as a result of COVID-19 by Aug. 31. Currently 8,459 Texans have died since the pandemic began. The predicted escalation would represent a 177% increase by Aug. 31..."

https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/ut-model-predicts-sharp-climb-in-texas-covid-19-deaths-by-end-of-august/

[Trainwreck2100]

"HOUSTON, Texas (KTRK) -- The COVID-19 testing positivity rate is at the highest point yet in Texas.

The Department of Health and Human Services reported the seven day positivity test rate on August 8 was 20.31%. The rate has increased from 12.05% on July 31...."

https://abc13.com/health/covid-19-testing-positivity-rate-hits-new-high-in-texas/6363998/

has the testing gone down? If so then it makes sense the positivity rate has gone up if they're saving the tests for more symptomatic people

[Blake]

has the testing gone down? If so then it makes sense the positivity rate has gone up if they're saving the tests for more symptomatic people

"The number of Texans being tested for the coronavirus has fallen sharply in recent weeks, a trend that has worried public health experts as officials consider sending children back to school while thousands more Texans are infected each day.

In the week ending Aug. 8, an average 36,255 coronavirus tests were administered in Texas each day — a drop of about 42% from two weeks earlier, when the average number of daily tests was 62,516.

At the same time, the percentage of tests yielding positive results has climbed, up to 20% on average in the week ending Aug. 8. Two weeks earlier, the average positivity rate was around 14%...."

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/08/10/coronavirus-testing-texas/


Pretty ridiculous that we're doing less testing in the weeks leading up to school starting

[SnakeBoy]

"The number of Texans being tested for the coronavirus has fallen sharply in recent weeks, a trend that has worried public health experts as officials consider sending children back to school while thousands more Texans are infected each day.

In the week ending Aug. 8, an average 36,255 coronavirus tests were administered in Texas each day — a drop of about 42% from two weeks earlier, when the average number of daily tests was 62,516.

At the same time, the percentage of tests yielding positive results has climbed, up to 20% on average in the week ending Aug. 8. Two weeks earlier, the average positivity rate was around 14%...."

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/08/10/coronavirus-testing-texas/


Pretty ridiculous that we're doing less testing in the weeks leading up to school starting

health officials say fewer people are seeking tests

[Blake]

health officials say fewer people are seeking tests

"The number of tests performed in Texas has “never been great,” said Vivian Ho, a health economist at Rice University and Baylor College of Medicine, but “it’s extremely troubling” that the numbers have dipped since last month.

“It’s troubling because we can guess at some of the reasons, but we’re not sure,” she said."

[SnakeBoy]

"The number of tests performed in Texas has “never been great,” said Vivian Ho, a health economist at Rice University and Baylor College of Medicine, but “it’s extremely troubling” that the numbers have dipped since last month.

“It’s troubling because we can guess at some of the reasons, but we’re not sure,” she said."

health officials say fewer people are seeking tests

[Blake]

health officials say fewer people are seeking tests

"In Austin, health officials say fewer people are seeking tests through the city’s online portal and at local events."


Why are you being disingenuous here? What's the point?

[ChumpDumper]

"AUSTIN (KXAN) — With active cases of COVID-19 in slight decline around Texas, a projection by modelers at the University of Texas at Austin raises new concerns. It suggests there will be 15,000 more deaths in Texas over the next three weeks.

The model by UT’s College of Natural Sciences predicts between 20,655 and 26,726 Texans will die as a result of COVID-19 by Aug. 31. Currently 8,459 Texans have died since the pandemic began. The predicted escalation would represent a 177% increase by Aug. 31..."

https://www.kxan.com/news/coronavirus/ut-model-predicts-sharp-climb-in-texas-covid-19-deaths-by-end-of-august/

UT modelers base their projection on current social distancing data they glean from geolocation cell phone data. An anomaly in the data may account for the high prediction. On July 27th, the state reported 1,202 deaths. The modelers believe this may be causing something unusual happening in their model.

The model’s prediction was actually a little modest for deaths by July 31. It originally predicted 6,000 COVID-19 deaths in the state by that time, but there were 7,265 deaths.

The state reported 116 new COVID-19 deaths Sunday, along with 4,800 new cases. It would need to average more than 700 new deaths a day to make the UT prediction true.

UT’s minimum number of projected deaths was 20,655 and its maximum was 26,726 deaths in Texas.

Jeez, I hope they're wrong.

[SnakeBoy]

"In Austin, health officials say fewer people are seeking tests through the city’s online portal and at local events."


Why are you being disingenuous here? What's the point?

Fewer people are seeking testing. It's mentioned throughout article.

"And at sites in Dallas, testing numbers have been declining over the past few weeks as locals utilize less of the city’s capacity."

Why do you think it is ridiculous that we're doing less testing when fewer people are seeking testing?

[RandomGuy]

UT modelers base their projection on current social distancing data they glean from geolocation cell phone data. An anomaly in the data may account for the high prediction. On July 27th, the state reported 1,202 deaths. The modelers believe this may be causing something unusual happening in their model.

The model’s prediction was actually a little modest for deaths by July 31. It originally predicted 6,000 COVID-19 deaths in the state by that time, but there were 7,265 deaths.

The state reported 116 new COVID-19 deaths Sunday, along with 4,800 new cases. It would need to average more than 700 new deaths a day to make the UT prediction true.

UT’s minimum number of projected deaths was 20,655 and its maximum was 26,726 deaths in Texas.

Jeez, I hope they're wrong.

It will make Texas' death rate per capita triple, if accurate.

the stupid fucking graph that is Darrin's go to for "muh New York":
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

will have Texas at about 100 by the end of the month, which will have Texas jump about 20 places in the ranking, past a lot of NE states, and approaching New York.

Meanwhile... Snakeboy still can't explain the spike.

[RandomGuy]

They all stayed in their poorly ventilated buildings and got sick.

We don't live on top of each other down here.

Compare case and/or death rates of NY and TX.

It's not close.

Not going to age well. Texas doesn't count "probable", so our actual rate was about 2x the official count.

[Blake]

Fewer people are seeking testing. It's mentioned throughout article.

"And at sites in Dallas, testing numbers have been declining over the past few weeks as locals utilize less of the city’s capacity."

Why do you think it is ridiculous that we're doing less testing when fewer people are seeking testing?

Yeah that's one reason, not the reason. So what?

It's ridiculous that fewer people are seeking testing before school starts.

[Blake]

UT modelers base their projection on current social distancing data they glean from geolocation cell phone data. An anomaly in the data may account for the high prediction. On July 27th, the state reported 1,202 deaths. The modelers believe this may be causing something unusual happening in their model.

The model’s prediction was actually a little modest for deaths by July 31. It originally predicted 6,000 COVID-19 deaths in the state by that time, but there were 7,265 deaths.

The state reported 116 new COVID-19 deaths Sunday, along with 4,800 new cases. It would need to average more than 700 new deaths a day to make the UT prediction true.

UT’s minimum number of projected deaths was 20,655 and its maximum was 26,726 deaths in Texas.

Jeez, I hope they're wrong.

The UT modelers have been pretty accurate so far. Fingers crossed they're wrong but goddam we're not really doing much else about it other than begging people to distance and wear masks.

And oh yeah, school.

[ChumpDumper]

The UT modelers have been pretty accurate so far. Fingers crossed they're wrong but goddam we're not really doing much else about it other than begging people to distance and wear masks.

And oh yeah, school.Did they make an estimate for Darrin's zip code?

[RandomGuy]

YET

It's like you don't understand time. NY got its peak earlier.

Do you think the rate will be lower, or higher, after we get our peak?



https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1280871099215933441

Time keeps on slippin... into the future...

Care to answer the question yet? Where do you think Texas will be at the end of Aug? Sep?

Splits says we plateau for a while at levels far in excess of where we were on JUL 8

[Blake]

Did they make an estimate for Darrin's zip code?

I think they had one fat old guy drive through his zip code but other than that the Darrin Zip model looking good :tu

[Spurtacular]

I think they had one fat old guy drive through his zip code but other than that the Darrin Zip model looking good :tu

Do you live on one deluded cuckold drive?

[Blake]

Do you live on one deluded cuckold drive?

Your sandbox is calling you

[ChumpDumper]

Do you live on one deluded cuckold drive?Really trying hard today, eh?

[tholdren]

Time keeps on slippin... into the future...

Care to answer the question yet? Where do you think Texas will be at the end of Aug? Sep?

Splits says we plateau for a while at levels far in excess of where we were on JUL 8

Splits like you has terrible logic and math. 0 hospitals

[Spurtacular]

Really trying hard today, eh?

Not at all. BlerpDerper lobbed that one in.

:lmao At you coming to his rescue on your very first post, though. :lmao

[ChumpDumper]

Not at all. BlerpDerper lobbed that one in.

:lmao At you coming to his rescue on your very first post, though. :lmaoI've been here discussing the topic. You had to come in with your try hard compulsion and nothing else.

Now you're only going to post about me.

[Spurtacular]

I've been here discussing the topic. You had to come in with your try hard compulsion and nothing else.

Now you're only going to post about me.

You and Blake giving each other handies while ankle biting Darrin is "discussing" :lol

[ChumpDumper]

You and BlakeCalled it.

[tholdren]

Called it.

Not the whole quote. You lie

[ChumpDumper]

Not the whole quote. You lie:lol you don't even know what I called.

[tholdren]

:lol you don't even know what I called.

Has nothing to do with my claim. My claim is that you misquote everyone to try and prove a point. Which you just did.


Then you changed subject. Like I said you always do

Why are you dishonest?

[ChumpDumper]

Has nothing to do with my claim. My claim is that you misquote everyone to try and prove a point. Which you just did.


Then you changed subject. Like I said you always do

Why are you dishonest?I misquoted nothing.

I said he was going to post only about me and that's exactly what he did.

You're really not intelligent at all.

It's time for another meltdown from you.

[DarrinS]

It will make Texas' death rate per capita triple, if accurate.

the stupid fucking graph that is Darrin's go to for "muh New York":
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

will have Texas at about 100 by the end of the month, which will have Texas jump about 20 places in the ranking, past a lot of NE states, and approaching New York.

Meanwhile... Snakeboy still can't explain the spike.


We can reexamine this at the end of August. A lot of places in TX trending in the right direction.

[Blake]

We can reexamine this at the end of August. A lot of places in TX trending in the right direction.

Muh zip code

[tholdren]

I misquoted nothing.

I said he was going to post only about me and that's exactly what he did.

You're really not intelligent at all.

It's time for another meltdown from you.

you always misquote. Its your schtick. You misquote. Deflect and use words like all, every, any when you lie so that you can try to be right after you get called out for being wrong.

[ChumpDumper]

you always misquote. Its your schtick. You misquote. Deflect and use words like all, every, any when you lie so that you can try to be right after you get called out for being wrong.I misquoted nothing.

I said he was going to post only about me and that's exactly what he did.

It's there for everyone to see.

You are being dishonest. You are not intelligent.

[Blake]

you always misquote. Its your schtick. You misquote. Deflect and use words like all, every, any when you lie so that you can try to be right after you get called out for being wrong.

Gossip

[tholdren]

I misquoted nothing.

I said he was going to post only about me and that's exactly what he did.

It's there for everyone to see.

You are being dishonest. You are not intelligent.

you did. You cut off all his quote but 2 words. So you didn't do that? Yes or no?

[DarrinS]

Muh zip code

Hi

[ChumpDumper]

you did. You cut off all his quote but 2 words. So you didn't do that? Yes or no?That isn't misquoting.

You are not intelligent.

[Blake]

Hi :drunk

[tholdren]

You and Blake giving each other handies while ankle biting Darrin is "discussing" :lol


Chumpdump quotes only "you and blake"

Then when called out for not quoting full quote. Chumpdump goes on a lie spree stating he didn't misquote.....


Hmmmmmmm

[ChumpDumper]

Chumpdump quotes only "you and blake"Because he was only talking about us. That was the pertinent part.

See?

[ElNono]

you always misquote. Its your schtick.

You lie. It's not a schtick.

[tholdren]

Please let me know how many under 20 have been hospitalized.... in Florida where 5k 17 and under have been confirmed there are 0 hospitalization. The fact continues to be proven that over 85 percent will not have anything more than minor symptoms and under 50 are less effected by covid than the flu.

Science and math win again

bump

[ChumpDumper]

:lol so many moved goalposts

[Spurtacular]

Chumpdump quotes only "you and blake"

Then when called out for not quoting full quote. Chumpdump goes on a lie spree stating he didn't misquote.....


Hmmmmmmm

He likes the thought of him and his lover getting their gay on, tbh.

[tholdren]

Hmm. Never took us that long. Usually when we threatened to change the locks people left pretty voluntarily. We never had to go to court to get people out when they weren't paying.

RandomGuy

[ChumpDumper]

HeTold ya.

[tholdren]

Chumpdump quotes only "you and blake"

Then when called out for not quoting full quote. Chumpdump goes on a lie spree stating he didn't misquote.....


Hmmmmmmm

Now he says its fine to only quote "pertinent parts"

LolololloI


Well he just admitted he's dishonest

[ChumpDumper]

Now he says its fine to only quote "pertinent parts"It is.

Not a misquote.

You didn't quote the entire Saban article.

You didn't even say it was him.

You are not intelligent.

[tholdren]

It is.

Not a misquote.

You didn't quote the entire Saban article.

You are not intelligent.

Chumpdump now saying its honest to subjectively quote parts of a full statement.

Dishonesty

[ChumpDumper]

Chumpdump now saying its honest to subjectively quote parts of a full statement.

Dishonestyth:lolldren moves the goalpost.

Not a misquote.

You didn't quote the entire Saban article.

You didn't even attribute the quote to Saban.

You are not intelligent.

You are dishonest.

[Spurtacular]

Told ya.

Sorry, I forgot she is your preferred pronoun.

[ChumpDumper]

Sorry, I forgot she is your preferred pronoun.?

[tholdren]

th:lolldren moves the goalpost.

Not a misquote.

You didn't quote the entire Saban article.

You didn't even attribute the quote to Saban.

You are not intelligent.

You are dishonest.

Chumpdump now backtracking like he do when he wrong every post.

[pgardn]

you always misquote. Its your schtick. You misquote. Deflect and use words like all, every, any when you lie so that you can try to be right after you get called out for being wrong.

Hypocrite

Absolute contradictions.
Walking, shitting Trumpster.

[ChumpDumper]

Chumpdump now backtracking like he do when he wrong every post.Nope.

You tried to move your goalpost like you do every time.

Because you are dishonest.

And not intelligent.

And afraid of me.

[tholdren]

Chumpdump now backtracking like he do when he wrong every post.

[ChumpDumper]

Nope.

You tried to move your goalpost like you do every time.

Because you are dishonest.

And not intelligent.

And afraid of me.

[RandomGuy]

We can reexamine this at the end of August. A lot of places in TX trending in the right direction.

"moving in the right direction" will be too late for thousands of Texans who will die this month.

"Democrats bad" propaganda Kool-aid that you drink constantly because you are too gullible and stupid to see through, has had you comparing NY and Texas for months, despite the fact that they aren't really that comparable until both have had equivalent levels of per capita infections, and you have been told this repeatedly.

So you have marched off like a mindless idiot posting constant "Democrat bad" points like "muh NY", just like you mindlessly and breathlessly parrot "climate change not real" bullshit for over a fucking decade, even after being repeatedly humiliated here for making bad arguments, and using bullshit data. You never rethink your position, no matter how bad the data or arguments are demonstrated to be.

Texas, unlike NY, doesn't include probable deaths. Once you factor in the probable deaths based on the variance in "all cause" deaths from normal averages, the actual count, per your stupid fucking favorite measure is about TWICE what it says it is for that reason, based on best avaiable current data.

Does that penetrate your fucking thick skull yet?

So when your toy stat says "32 deaths per unit of capita" Texas is more likely at 64. They hide their source behind a paywall, but it is probably the same official spreadsheet that everyone else is looking at, with the little caveat I am talking about "does not include probable".


So when Texas in your stat goes from a rate of 32 deaths due to having 8k official casualties.. and adds another 15k this month, that stat will clock out at about 90. Double that.

Where will that place Texas in your toy stat?

[TimDunkem]

Also heading in the right direction at 100mph and no brakes isn't exactly a good thing.

[DarrinS]

We can reexamine this at the end of August. A lot of places in TX trending in the right direction.




"moving in the right direction" will be too late for thousands of Texans who will die this month.

"Democrats bad" propaganda Kool-aid that you drink constantly because you are too gullible and stupid to see through, has had you comparing NY and Texas for months, despite the fact that they aren't really that comparable until both have had equivalent levels of per capita infections, and you have been told this repeatedly.

So you have marched off like a mindless idiot posting constant "Democrat bad" points like "muh NY", just like you mindlessly and breathlessly parrot "climate change not real" bullshit for over a fucking decade, even after being repeatedly humiliated here for making bad arguments, and using bullshit data. You never rethink your position, no matter how bad the data or arguments are demonstrated to be.

Texas, unlike NY, doesn't include probable deaths. Once you factor in the probable deaths based on the variance in "all cause" deaths from normal averages, the actual count, per your stupid fucking favorite measure is about TWICE what it says it is for that reason, based on best avaiable current data.

Does that penetrate your fucking thick skull yet?

So when your toy stat says "32 deaths per unit of capita" Texas is more likely at 64. They hide their source behind a paywall, but it is probably the same official spreadsheet that everyone else is looking at, with the little caveat I am talking about "does not include probable".


So when Texas in your stat goes from a rate of 32 deaths due to having 8k official casualties.. and adds another 15k this month, that stat will clock out at about 90. Double that.

Where will that place Texas in your toy stat?


Wow, that was quite the tantrum. :lol

San Antonio had been counting duplicates, as people were being tested multiple times.

"We try to de-duplicate the cases and determine if the person has already been reported to us. Because what we are also finding is that a number of people do get tested more than once on a weekly basis."

https://www.ksat.com/news/local/2020/08/08/metro-health-official-explains-how-positive-covid-19-cases-are-investigated-in-bexar-county-with-new-system/


San Antonio is now tracking deaths "under investigation".

https://www.ksat.com/news/local/2020/08/10/metro-health-now-tracks-deaths-under-investigation-for-covid-19-in-addition-to-confirmed-deaths/


The way the state is trending, it's still unlikely our numbers will be as bad as NJ, NY, etc. I don't know why you think this is such a controversial statement.

[tholdren]

Also heading in the right direction at 100mph and no brakes isn't exactly a good thing.

0 hospitals ever over capacity from covid

[TimDunkem]

Obsessed vagina hours.

[TSA]

"moving in the right direction" will be too late for thousands of Texans who will die this month.

"Democrats bad" propaganda Kool-aid that you drink constantly because you are too gullible and stupid to see through, has had you comparing NY and Texas for months, despite the fact that they aren't really that comparable until both have had equivalent levels of per capita infections, and you have been told this repeatedly.

So you have marched off like a mindless idiot posting constant "Democrat bad" points like "muh NY", just like you mindlessly and breathlessly parrot "climate change not real" bullshit for over a fucking decade, even after being repeatedly humiliated here for making bad arguments, and using bullshit data. You never rethink your position, no matter how bad the data or arguments are demonstrated to be.

Texas, unlike NY, doesn't include probable deaths. Once you factor in the probable deaths based on the variance in "all cause" deaths from normal averages, the actual count, per your stupid fucking favorite measure is about TWICE what it says it is for that reason, based on best avaiable current data.

Does that penetrate your fucking thick skull yet?

So when your toy stat says "32 deaths per unit of capita" Texas is more likely at 64. They hide their source behind a paywall, but it is probably the same official spreadsheet that everyone else is looking at, with the little caveat I am talking about "does not include probable".


So when Texas in your stat goes from a rate of 32 deaths due to having 8k official casualties.. and adds another 15k this month, that stat will clock out at about 90. Double that.

Where will that place Texas in your toy stat?

https://covidplanningtools.com/texas-over-the-hump/

[baseline bum]

https://covidplanningtools.com/texas-over-the-hump/

Remember when Texas was supposed to be done with it in May too? I remember lots of early spiking of the football from the right during the Balous Miller Recovery for Texas. It's good to see hospitalizations dropping steady, but if we reopen the bars, open the schools, and stop masking up we'll probably end up right back where we were in July.

[tholdren]

Remember when Texas was supposed to be done with it in May too? I remember lots of early spiking of the football from the right during the Balous Miller Recovery for Texas. It's good to see hospitalizations dropping steady, but if we reopen the bars, open the schools, and stop masking up we'll probably end up right back where we were in July.
Remember when you said hospitals in texas would be over capacity.? Shall we proceed?

[RandomGuy]

https://covidplanningtools.com/texas-over-the-hump/

That us a URL. Not really an answer to my question.

Thank for playing.

Since we are on URLS,

Cherokee high school shuts down after students, staff test positive for COVID-19
https://www.cbs46.com/news/cherokee-high-school-shuts-down-after-students-staff-test-positive-for-covid-19/article_2cd6a980-dc05-11ea-88f9-dbf3ae718d8c.html


More than 900 students and staff in Georgia school district told to quarantine after reopening last week
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/georgia-students-staff-quarantine-cherokee-county-school-district-covid-tests/

[tholdren]

That us a URL. Not really an answer to my question.

Thank for playing.

Since we are on URLS,

Cherokee high school shuts down after students, staff test positive for COVID-19
https://www.cbs46.com/news/cherokee-high-school-shuts-down-after-students-staff-test-positive-for-covid-19/article_2cd6a980-dc05-11ea-88f9-dbf3ae718d8c.html


More than 900 students and staff in Georgia school district told to quarantine after reopening last week
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/georgia-students-staff-quarantine-cherokee-county-school-district-covid-tests/

RandomGuy so terrible at math and logic. Yet here he is. Dumb dumb dumb

[RandomGuy]

This message is hidden because tholdren is on your ignore list.
View Post
Remove user from ignore list

Sweet sweet bliss. Stopped even peeking at the fail. Best decision ever.

[baseline bum]

Remember when you said hospitals in texas would be over capacity.? Shall we proceed?

No, I don't remember that. I said it was a worry that could possibly happen.

[tholdren]

Sweet sweet bliss. Stopped even peeking at the fail. Best decision ever.

This is how big of a liar RandomGuy is ... and how ignorant. He supposedly blocked the post, but responded to it. And he's got bad math and no logic.

Funnier when he pretends to show math. Lol wut happened to that sig..?


Lol

I win

[RandomGuy]

Wow, that was quite the tantrum. :lol

San Antonio had been counting duplicates, as people were being tested multiple times.

"We try to de-duplicate the cases and determine if the person has already been reported to us. Because what we are also finding is that a number of people do get tested more than once on a weekly basis."

https://www.ksat.com/news/local/2020/08/08/metro-health-official-explains-how-positive-covid-19-cases-are-investigated-in-bexar-county-with-new-system/


San Antonio is now tracking deaths "under investigation".

https://www.ksat.com/news/local/2020/08/10/metro-health-now-tracks-deaths-under-investigation-for-covid-19-in-addition-to-confirmed-deaths/


The way the state is trending, it's still unlikely our numbers will be as bad as NJ, NY, etc. I don't know why you think this is such a controversial statement.

Not talking about case tests, you drooling moron.

Jesus H. Christ on a stick.

[tholdren]

No, I don't remember that. I said it was a worry that could possibly happen.

awwwww how cute. Agreeing you over react and are illogical.

I'll take it as an apology. Shall you proceed with the overreaction and ignorance?

[tholdren]

Not talking about case tests, you drooling moron.

Jesus H. Christ on a stick.

RandomGuy name calling because well thats all he's got at this point

[RandomGuy]

No, I don't remember that. I said it was a worry that could possibly happen.

I said Texas hospitals were about to be overwhelmed, if nothing changed. People pulled back and hunkered down again.

Many hospitals were overwhelmed and had to shunt COVID's around the system. We came very, very close.

As I said at the time, happy to be wrong about that.

[baseline bum]

awwwww how cute. Agreeing you over react and are illogical.

I'll take it as an apology. Shall you proceed with the overreaction and ignorance?

LOL fake news foldren

[tholdren]

I said Texas hospitals were about to be overwhelmed, if nothing changed. People pulled back and hunkered down again.

Many hospitals were overwhelmed and had to shunt COVID's around the system. We came very, very close.

As I said at the time, happy to be wrong about that.

this is completely false.
1. You said they would be over capacity no matter what. You said that with fl ga ny tx az....

2. No hospitals were over capacity. And we were not remotely close or electives would have stopped completely. They didn't

3. No you're not you are dancing around how wrong you are and have been.


Awful math. Should be ashamed actually

[Blake]

This is how big of a liar RandomGuy is ... and how ignorant. He supposedly blocked the post, but responded to it. And he's got bad math and no logic.

Funnier when he pretends to show math. Lol wut happened to that sig..?


Lol

I win

He can see that you posted but the message itself is hidden. You're an idiot.

[Blake]

this is completely false.
1. You said they would be over capacity no matter what. You said that with fl ga ny tx az....

2. No hospitals were over capacity. And we were not remotely close or electives would have stopped completely. They didn't

3. No you're not you are dancing around how wrong you are and have been.


Awful math. Should be ashamed actually

Lies

[ChumpDumper]

https://covidplanningtools.com/texas-over-the-hump/Do you actively shop for non-epidemiologists?

I'm glad things seem to be on the decline here but there is on evidence Balous land Greg learned anything the past two months.

[tholdren]

Oregon State University researchers believe 17% of Hermiston residents were positive for COVID-19 during the university’s door-to-door testing period on July 25-26.

[RandomGuy]

He can see that you posted but the message itself is hidden. You're an idiot.

I just assume he is vainly trying to get my attention if he posts shortly after I do.

I am usually right. his pathetic begging for my attention amuses me greatly.

[DarrinS]

Not talking about case tests, you drooling moron.

Jesus H. Christ on a stick.

My post addressed both case counts and deaths.

Why so much hostility?

[RandomGuy]

My post addressed both case counts and deaths.

Why so much hostility?

Because you have exhausted my patience, of which is in short supply these days.

I will take a deep breath and try again.

Do you understand that Texas' reported COVID death tally is absolutely under-reported?

[tholdren]

Because you have exhausted my patience, of which is in short supply these days.

I will take a deep breath and try again.

Do you understand that Texas' reported COVID death tally is absolutely under-reported?

no it isn't.

....


You are ignorant to how cases and deaths reported

[tholdren]

My post addressed both case counts and deaths.

Why so much hostility?

RandomGuy mad because its not as serious as his math predicted. Cdc instructions to overcount cases and death to use worat case scenario. A la modeling

[Blake]

RandomGuy mad because its not as serious as his math predicted. Cdc instructions to overcount cases and death to use worat case scenario. A la modeling

Gossip

[DarrinS]

https://covid19.sanantonio.gov/About-COVID-19/Dashboards-Data/Progress-Warning-Indicators

[Winehole23]

testing plummets in Texas, positivity rate for testing spikes to over 20%. the reasons aren't clear.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/08/10/coronavirus-testing-texas/

[DarrinS]

testing plummets in Texas, positivity rate for testing spikes to over 20%. the reasons aren't clear.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/08/10/coronavirus-testing-texas/


Just under 13% here in SA.

[boutons_deux]

testing plummets in Texas, positivity rate for testing spikes to over 20%. the reasons aren't clear.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/08/10/coronavirus-testing-texas/

probably more people with symptoms going for testing, while pre-symptom spreaders not gettting tested.

shithole TX run by shitbag Repugs elected by shitbag Texans, backed by the shitbag ideologues in 5th Circuit

[DarrinS]

It's odd that some people are panicking that things aren't worse. What's up with that?

[ChumpDumper]

Why the fuck is Darrin soft pedaling the current disaster in Texas?

[spurraider21]

Why the fuck is Darrin soft pedaling the current disaster in Texas?
politically expedient

[ChumpDumper]

politically expedientIt's pretty sickening. We almost had things under control then Balous just decided arbitrary dates would be the basis of reopening rather than anything remotely scientific. Hope we don't make the same mistake again. At least our mayor in Austin gave a threshold for reopening schools in person.

[DarrinS]

politically expedient

I only saw chumpderp's quote because you replied to it.

Is Texas really a disaster?


https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

[spurraider21]

I only saw chumpderp's quote because you replied to it.

Is Texas really a disaster?


https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/
texas (and california... newsom caved to pressure instead of leading) allowed their states to get hit in fucking june. it's inexcusable.

NY/NJ didn't have the same luxury of time, information, and preparedness

[ChumpDumper]

I only saw chumpderp's quote because you replied to it.

Is Texas really a disaster?


https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/Yes, it's a fucking disaster, Darrin.

You put your trust in this guy so you could go to the fucking bar:

https://s.hdnux.com/photos/56/61/16/12260231/3/360x0.jpg

Now you're acting like no one else is going to die.

[DarrinS]

We will have to be 6x worse to catch up to NJ, NY.

[spurraider21]

We will have to be 6x worse to catch up to NJ, NY.
and until that happens the thousands of deaths in your own state just dont matter

[ChumpDumper]

We will have to be 6x worse to catch up to NJ, NY.This is your fucking problem, Darrin.

All number of deaths up to NY/NJ levels are just fine with you.

Have a drink and post your "People gotta die for me. You can hide if you want." shtick.

[Winehole23]

Just under 13% here in SA.That's not so great.

[DarrinS]

and until that happens the thousands of deaths in your own state just dont matter


It's a pandemic. All lives matter.

Oh shit. Nevermind

[DarrinS]

That's not so great.

Down almost 3%

[spurraider21]

It's a pandemic. All lives matter.

Oh shit. Nevermind
context is a bitch, aint it

but you clearly dont believe that. lives dont matter unless we're seeing more deaths than april. you've made that abundantly clear

[DarrinS]

context is a bitch, aint it

but you clearly dont believe that. lives dont matter unless we're seeing more deaths than april. you've made that abundantly clear

^dumb

I'm comparing our current data to past data. Nothing wrong with that.

[ChumpDumper]

Human lives just data to four drink Darrin.

[DarrinS]

Can't see dumbbert's posts unless they're guoted.

[ChumpDumper]

Can't see dumbbert's posts unless they're guoted.Put another drink in your goute.

[Blake]

^dumb

I'm comparing our current data to past data. Nothing wrong with that.

Whatever helps you confirm your bias

[DarrinS]

Whatever helps you confirm your bias

Hi

[Blake]

:drunk Hi :drunk

[DarrinS]

Poor blake. I'm sorry to dismiss you all time. :lol

[Winehole23]

Down almost 3%Well, it's spiking statewide.

[Blake]

Poor blake. I'm sorry to dismiss you all time. :drunk

[boutons_deux]

502 random San Antonians were tested for coronavirus.

Here’s what health officials learned.

The results of the City of San Antonio’s door-to-door study (https://sanantonioreport.org/san-antonio-to-sample-residents-randomly-to-trace-coronavirus-spread/) that tested 502 people who presented no symptoms of the coronavirus are in.

None of them tested positive

In May, officials said that around 75 percent of Bexar County jail inmates who tested positive for the virus were asymptomatic.

https://sanantonioreport.org/502-random-san-antonians-were-tested-for-coronavirus-heres-what-health-officials-learned (https://sanantonioreport.org/502-random-san-antonians-were-tested-for-coronavirus-heres-what-health-officials-learned/?utm_campaign=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter-daily&utm_content=editorial&utm_term=coronavirus&utm_source=Rivard+Report&utm_campaign=c1b081d29d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_21_07_19_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_1576c62124-c1b081d29d-84683437&mc_cid=c1b081d29d&mc_eid=54a5432c74)

[DarrinS]

502 random San Antonians were tested for coronavirus.

Here’s what health officials learned.

The results of the City of San Antonio’s door-to-door study (https://sanantonioreport.org/san-antonio-to-sample-residents-randomly-to-trace-coronavirus-spread/) that tested 502 people who presented no symptoms of the coronavirus are in.

None of them tested positive

In May, officials said that around 75 percent of Bexar County jail inmates who tested positive for the virus were asymptomatic.

https://sanantonioreport.org/502-random-san-antonians-were-tested-for-coronavirus-heres-what-health-officials-learned (https://sanantonioreport.org/502-random-san-antonians-were-tested-for-coronavirus-heres-what-health-officials-learned/?utm_campaign=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter-daily&utm_content=editorial&utm_term=coronavirus&utm_source=Rivard+Report&utm_campaign=c1b081d29d-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_12_21_07_19_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_1576c62124-c1b081d29d-84683437&mc_cid=c1b081d29d&mc_eid=54a5432c74)






They did the study too early

[ChumpDumper]

:lol they did it throughout June.

Noted epidemiologist Darrin objects and makes another Bloody Mary.

[RandomGuy]

https://covid19.sanantonio.gov/About-COVID-19/Dashboards-Data/Progress-Warning-Indicators

That is a link, not really an answer. I am trying to help you here.

Do you understand that deaths due to Covid in Texas is absolutely under-reported?

[RandomGuy]

^dumb

I'm comparing our current data to past data. Nothing wrong with that.

Depends on the reporting lag, and whether that data has appropriate cutoff, etc. Just had an hourlong conversation about this very thing.

[RandomGuy]

I only saw chumpderp's quote because you replied to it.

Is Texas really a disaster?


https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

Texas stands at least 66 on that scale, higher than most states in the union, quite probably higher, giving us the 8th highest rate in the US, with one of the worst months ahead of us.

Add in this months deaths... and it will be much higher than that.

(edit)

(huge effort at patience)

You do understand that statistic will change over time, right?

[ChumpDumper]

Texas' testing and reporting become a void of uncertainty right before school and football start.

https://www.texastribune.org/2020/08/10/coronavirus-testing-texas/

[Death In June]

We leveled off in the RGV. Starting to decrease and provide a little bit of breathing room.

[DarrinS]

This should make RG happy

"Nirenberg also confirmed 26 new COVID-19 deaths, bringing the death toll to 545. The new deaths were investigated between June 12 and Aug. 11"

counting probables now

[ChumpDumper]

If our testing is so terrible we can't even verify whether a dead person had it what else are we supposed to do?

[TimDunkem]

Don't want to hear any more about low death counts when most of these were happening on days where we knew about the 10-15 of people dying per day within the metro area.

[tholdren]

This should make RG happy

"Nirenberg also confirmed 26 new COVID-19 deaths, bringing the death toll to 545. The new deaths were investigated between June 12 and Aug. 11"

counting probables now

they always count probables. Cdc guidelines

[tholdren]

Don't want to hear any more about low death counts when most of these were happening on days where we knew about the 10-15 of people dying per day within the metro area.

who were those people?

I'll wait....

[TimDunkem]

Old sandy vagina meltdown hours.

[RandomGuy]

This should make RG happy

"Nirenberg also confirmed 26 new COVID-19 deaths, bringing the death toll to 545. The new deaths were investigated between June 12 and Aug. 11"

counting probables now

That isn't what that says. That says "probables were confirmed so they met the states confirmed definition".

Secondly, you ignored my other good faith questions meant to help you.

I can only assume that you do understand that Texas deaths are absolutely under-reported.

Yet you won't acknowledge it.

Every time I set aside my deep frustration with how dishonest you are, you go and say something dishonest, or take a pass on being honest.

You are lying and disingenuous. You have always been a lying disingenuous person for the entire time you have posted here.

You are a symptom of the moral and intellectual rot in modern "conservative" ideology.

If you have to lie, or not be honest to sustain your worldview, that should be a huge red flag that your worldview could use a healthy dose of reality.

[TimDunkem]

That isn't what that says. That says "probables were confirmed so they met the states confirmed definition".

Secondly, you ignored my other good faith questions meant to help you.

I can only assume that you do understand that Texas deaths are absolutely under-reported.

Yet you won't acknowledge it.

Every time I set aside my deep frustration with how dishonest you are, you go and say something dishonest, or take a pass on being honest.

You are lying and disingenuous. You have always been a lying disingenuous person for the entire time you have posted here.

You are a symptom of the moral and intellectual rot in modern "conservative" ideology.

If you have to lie, or not be honest to sustain your worldview, that should be a huge red flag that your worldview could use a healthy dose of reality.
Disingenuous Darrin

[tholdren]

That isn't what that says. That says "probables were confirmed so they met the states confirmed definition".

Secondly, you ignored my other good faith questions meant to help you.

I can only assume that you do understand that Texas deaths are absolutely under-reported.

Yet you won't acknowledge it.

Every time I set aside my deep frustration with how dishonest you are, you go and say something dishonest, or take a pass on being honest.

You are lying and disingenuous. You have always been a lying disingenuous person for the entire time you have posted here.

You are a symptom of the moral and intellectual rot in modern "conservative" ideology.

If you have to lie, or not be honest to sustain your worldview, that should be a huge red flag that your worldview could use a healthy dose of reality.

Lolol

You said there were nonprobable deaths counted. Bwahahahhahashhabshsbs



180





180







180

[tholdren]

Lolol

You said there were nonprobable deaths counted. Bwahahahhahashhabshsbs



180





180







180

[tholdren]

HOUSTON — New research out of the University of Texas shows that COVID-19 was spreading farther and faster than anyone knew at the start of this pandemic.

Researchers at UT just released their findings. They went back to throat swabs taken in Wuhan, China and Seattle, Washington weeks before those cities were locked down.

[tholdren]

With that many cases, researchers now believe the first case in Seattle probably arrived around Christmas and they estimate at least a third of those undisclosed cases in the U.S. were in children.

The first case of coronavirus in Washington State was not reported until January 21.

The governor started shutting down schools by early March. At that time, the state reported close to 150 cases. UT researchers now believe that number was closer to 9,000 and they believe because so many of the cases were in children, whose symptoms tend to be milder, those cases went undetected.

[tholdren]

On August 3, 2020, CDC updated its isolation guidance based on the latest science about COVID-19 showing that people can continue to test positive for up to 3 months after diagnosis and not be infectious to others. Contrary to media reporting today, this science does not imply a person is immune to reinfection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, in the 3 months following infection," the CDC said in a press release.

"The latest data simply suggests that retesting someone in the 3 months following initial infection is not necessary unless that person is exhibiting the symptoms of COVID-19 and the symptoms cannot be associated with another illness," it added.

The statement marks a reversal from guidance the CDC issued earlier this month saying that a person who has recovered from COVID-19 will likely be safe from reinfection for three months. The earlier guidance represented the first recognition of a defined immunity period for people who have recovered from the coronavirus

[Winehole23]

Free COVID-19 self-screening (saliva tests) now available in Tarrant County.

If we could do this nationwide, it could be a game changer. We'd be getting asymptomatic cases to screen themselves and self-quarantine.

https://covidtesting.tarrantcounty.com/

[RandomGuy]

Believe.

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sweet nothing.

[RandomGuy]

I only saw chumpderp's quote because you replied to it.

Is Texas really a disaster?


https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109011/coronavirus-covid19-death-rates-us-by-state/

... moved up four places since you posted this five days ago... and that is without rightfully doubling it due to the fact we don't count probable cases.

At 72 (quite possibly higher) we are just behind Washington DC, and above Mississipi, and our worst month is only halfway there.

Where it stops... nobody knows.

[RandomGuy]

Free COVID-19 self-screening (saliva tests) now available in Tarrant County.

If we could do this nationwide, it could be a game changer. We'd be getting asymptomatic cases to screen themselves and self-quarantine.

https://covidtesting.tarrantcounty.com/

I would be hesitant to trust the test, given foibles with other early roll outs. Hopefully it works and helps.

[DarrinS]

"70 new cases in Bexar County on Monday.

The rise in cases brings Bexar County’s cumulative total to 44,122. Bexar County also reported a 1.4% drop in the weekly positivity rate, which now sits at 11.3%.

The death toll in Bexar County rose to 617 on Monday, an increase from 598 on Sunday. deaths were reported between late June and Sunday"

So, I guess that means zero deaths today.

[tholdren]

"70 new cases in Bexar County on Monday.

The rise in cases brings Bexar County’s cumulative total to 44,122. Bexar County also reported a 1.4% drop in the weekly positivity rate, which now sits at 11.3%.

The death toll in Bexar County rose to 617 on Monday, an increase from 598 on Sunday. deaths were reported between late June and Sunday"

So, I guess that means zero deaths today.
No. But that won't stop RandomGuy from hiding.

[pgardn]

Since Aug 1 hospitalizations have decreased 30%
Very good news.

Now for school.
Hopefully the numbers keep falling.

[tholdren]

Since Aug 1 hospitalizations have decreased 30%
Very good news.

Now for school.
Hopefully the numbers keep falling.

bwahahahahahahahaaaayysushshshshshsss

[pgardn]

bwahahahahahahahaaaayysushshshshshsss

A 60 year old man does this...

[tholdren]

A 60 year old man does this...

You've been completely wrong the whole time.

[pgardn]

You've been completely wrong the whole time.

You are not a man.
dammit...

Sorry maam.

[tholdren]

You are not a man.
dammit...

Sorry maam.

Ifr


Sorry you are terrible at math

[ElNono]

Ifr


Sorry you are terrible at math

^ gossip

[Winehole23]

I would be hesitant to trust the test, given foibles with other early roll outs. Hopefully it works and helps.A cheap dumb test that is self administered could have a large positive effect if we flood the zone with it, even if it doesn't work very well. Catching *more* asymptomatic carriers than we do now is intrinsically desirable.

[tholdren]

ifr less than flu for over half the population.... of the world

[DarrinS]

"143 new COVID-19 cases in Bexar County on Tuesday.

The rise in cases brings Bexar County’s cumulative total to 44,265.

20 new deaths were reported. The new deaths were reported between June 23 and Aug. 13, Nirenberg said."

[clambake]

Hi karrin

[Winehole23]

Does COVID-19 morbidity not bother y'all at all?

Looking at a disease from the perspective of death is the soda straw view of the impact.

[TimDunkem]

Does COVID-19 morbidity not bother y'all at all?

Looking at a disease from the perspective of death is the soda straw view of the impact.



Wait wasn't he saying there were basically no deaths during the huge spike and that in itself was evidence of it being no big deal, but now he's citing the deaths that are now being confirmed as occurring during that time period as evidence of it being no big deal?

Disingenuous Darrin!

[DarrinS]

Wait wasn't he saying there were basically no deaths during the huge spike and that in itself was evidence of it being no big deal, but now he's citing the deaths that are now being confirmed as occurring during that time period as evidence of it being no big deal?

Disingenuous Darrin!


Zero covid deaths in the last two days in Bexar county. That's just a fact.

[tholdren]

Wait wasn't he saying there were basically no deaths during the huge spike and that in itself was evidence of it being no big deal, but now he's citing the deaths that are now being confirmed as occurring during that time period as evidence of it being no big deal?

Disingenuous Darrin!
No he's just saying that you are afraid of inaccurate data.

Sorry you lied about having covid-19

[pgardn]

Zero covid deaths in the last two days in Bexar county. That's just a fact.

Concentrate on your Zip code, the rest is insignificant.

It is good news so you now decided to care?

[ChumpDumper]

Somehow no deaths today means no deaths happened any day before today either.

[DarrinS]

Concentrate on your Zip code, the rest is insignificant.

It is good news so you now decided to care?

There are very many zip codes in Bexar county. No people from any of those zip codes died of covid in the past two days.

It is what it is. Covid is fading in the Bexar county area. Don't know why you people hate good news.

[ChumpDumper]

Darrin really wants the bars to reopen.

[RandomGuy]

There are very many zip codes in Bexar county. No people from any of those zip codes died of covid in the past two days.

It is what it is. Covid is fading in the Bexar county area. Don't know why you people hate good news.

Moron. Still dont' understand reporting lags.

so... two weeks ago this thing is killing hundreds of people per day.

Now for the last ttwo days... zero reported fatalities, something that hasn't happened in... months.

And you think this is a sign that it just "went away"?

or that the current data is just not yet reported?

smh

[RandomGuy]

sooo we still have about 2/3 the number of people in ICUs with lab-confirmed COVID as we did at the peak, and zero reported deaths for over 2200 people in ICUs.

Darrin thinks its going away, because reporting lags are too difficult for him to understand.

[baseline bum]

Zero covid deaths in the last two days in Bexar county. That's just a fact.

Sounds like there was at least one death in Bexar County on August 17th from how they just reported 19 more deaths.

[Winehole23]

Wait wasn't he saying there were basically no deaths during the huge spike and that in itself was evidence of it being no big deal, but now he's citing the deaths that are now being confirmed as occurring during that time period as evidence of it being no big deal?Darrin will say the same thing no matter what the figures are, but I was hoping to shift the conversation to the torments of the living. Morbidity, not mortality.

COVID-19 has a long tail that keeps getting longer because we keep fucking up the response.

[DarrinS]

"San Antonio Mayor Ron Nirenberg announced 191 new COVID-19 cases in Bexar County on Wednesday, up from 143 on Tuesday. The seven-day average of new cases is now at 143 a day, the mayor said.

Since the beginning of the pandemic in March, Bexar County has seen a total of 44,456 cases. More than 38,700 residents have recovered from the virus, according to the latest numbers provided by the county.

But 19 new COVID-19 deaths were confirmed on Wednesday, bringing the local death toll to 656 on Wednesday. The new deaths occurred between late July 13 and Monday, Nirenberg said"

[DarrinS]

Darrin will say the same thing no matter what the figures are, but I was hoping to shift the conversation to the torments of the living. Morbidity, not mortality.

COVID-19 has a long tail that keeps getting longer because we keep fucking up the response.


Just relaying what S.A. authorities are telling us.

[TimDunkem]

So then you were wrong about hardly any deaths occurring during the spike. Guess it was (and still is) a big deal.

[Winehole23]

Just relaying what S.A. authorities are telling us.so glib

[DarrinS]

Hospitalizations continue declining in Bexar county.

[DarrinS]

so glib

How is it glib to post direct quotes?

[baseline bum]

"San Antonio Mayor Ron Nirenberg announced 191 new COVID-19 cases in Bexar County on Wednesday, up from 143 on Tuesday. The seven-day average of new cases is now at 143 a day, the mayor said.

Since the beginning of the pandemic in March, Bexar County has seen a total of 44,456 cases. More than 38,700 residents have recovered from the virus, according to the latest numbers provided by the county.

But 19 new COVID-19 deaths were confirmed on Wednesday, bringing the local death toll to 656 on Wednesday. The new deaths occurred between late July 13 and Monday, Nirenberg said"

Today's briefing from Niremberg an hour ago listed 19 new deaths up to the 17th of August.

[DarrinS]

Sometimes it seems some people are cheering for the virus. Very odd.

[tholdren]

Today's briefing from Niremberg an hour ago listed 19 new deaths up to the 17th of August.

Cdc states lockdown deaths will eventually surpass with covid death. Approx 70k at this time.


Uh oh

[DarrinS]

Today's briefing from Niremberg an hour ago listed 19 new deaths up to the 17th of August.

At least one death on Monday. Can't know more than that, based on how it was worded.

Were you hoping for more deaths this week?

[baseline bum]

Cdc states lockdown deaths will eventually surpass with covid death. Approx 70k at this time.


Uh oh

CDC states ifr 6x the flu

[baseline bum]

At least one death on Monday. Can't know more than that, based on how it was worded.

Were you hoping for more deaths this week?

No, just your happy talk like we're nearing the end of the pandemic is annoying. You acted the same way in May.

[DarrinS]

No, just your happy talk like we're nearing the end of the pandemic is annoying. You acted the same way in May.

The data has no emotion. You do.